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Legend:
CC = Colorado Convention Center   H = Hyatt Regency Denver at Colorado Convention Center
* = applied session       ! = JSM meeting theme

Activity Details


10 * !
Sun, 7/28/2019, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-505
Challenges and Breakthroughs in Analyzing Big Survey Data — Invited Papers
Government Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, Section on Statistics in Marketing
Organizer(s): Snigdhansu Chatterjee, University of Minnesota
Chair(s): Eric Slud, University of Maryland
2:05 PM Bayesian Disaggregation of Spatio-Temporal Community Indicators Estimated via Surveys: An Application to the American Community Survey
Veronica J. Berrocal, University of Michigan
2:30 PM A Model-Based Approach to Predict Employee Compensation Components
Presentation
Andreea Erciulescu, Westat; Jean Opsomer, Westat
2:55 PM Relationship Mining in Big Data from Surveys Using Penalization and the Bag-Of-Little-Bootstraps
Snigdhansu Chatterjee, University of Minnesota; Benjamin E. Bagozzi, University of Delaware; Ujjal Kumar Mukherjee, University of Illinois; Xuetong Sun, University of Minnesota
3:20 PM Regression Composite Estimation for Current Population Survey
Presentation
Yang Cheng, US Census Bureau; Daniel Bonnery, University of Maryland and Maryland Longitudinal Data System Center ; Partha Lahiri, University of Maryland, College Park; Timothy Trudell
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

28
Sun, 7/28/2019, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-501
SPEED: Data Challenge Part 1 — Contributed Speed
Government Statistics Section, Section on Statistical Consulting, Section on Statistical Graphics
Chair(s): Wendy L Martinez, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Poster Presentations for this session.
2:05 PM Interactive Visualization of Housing Condition Changes in NYC
Qi Qi, University of Connecticut; Jun Yan, University of Connecticut
2:10 PM Immigrant Residency and Happiness in New York City
Presentation 1 Presentation 2 Presentation 3
Alison Tuiyott, Miami University of Ohio; Thomas J Fisher, Miami University; Karsten Maurer, Miami University
2:15 PM An Analysis of Rent-Control Policy on Housing Quality
Presentation
Benjamin Schweitzer, Miami University; Thomas J Fisher, Miami University; Karsten Maurer, Miami University
2:20 PM An Analysis of Immigrants and House Condition in New York City
Xiang Shen, George Washington University; Mingze Zhang, George Washington University; Shunyan Luo, George Washington University
2:25 PM Comparing NYCHVS Responses About Housing Issues to NYC 311 Complaint Records
Presentation
Letisha Smith
2:30 PM Correlates and Changes in New York City Housing Densities from 2002 to 2017
Presentation
Elizabeth Pirraglia, NYU School of Medicine; Matthias Altwicker, NYIT; Andrea Troxel, NYU School of Medicine
2:35 PM Data Challenge Expo
Presentation
Darcy Hille, Merck & Company Inc; Ellen Snyder, Merck
2:40 PM An Analysis of Housing Quality in New York City
Jordan Rodu, University of Virginia
2:50 PM Statistical Analysis of the Association Between Housing Quality/Gentrification and Resident Behaviors in New York City
Presentation
Hon Keung Tony Ng, Southern Methodist University; Leqi Chen, Southern Methodist University; Jingzhou Liu, Southern Methodist University; Lynne Stokes, Southern Methodist University; Lang Xu, Southern Methodist University; Greg Guggenmos, Southern Methodist University; Madeline Hamilton, Southern Methodist University
2:55 PM Measuring Gentrification Over Time with the NYCHVS
Robert Montgomery, NORC; Quentin Brummet, NORC; Nola du Toit, NORC at the University of Chicago; Peter Herman, NORC at the University of Chicago; Edward Mulrow, NORC at the University of Chicago
3:00 PM Measuring Gentrification: a Data Driven Approach
Steven Stier; Hend Aljobaily, University of Northern Colorado; Kofi Wagya, University of Northern Colorado; Michael Oduro-Safo, University of Northern Colorado
3:05 PM Changes in Quality Housing Index in New York City
Presentation
Tuan Nguyen, University of Evansville; Mark Mozina, University of Evansville; Colton Albin, University of Evansville; Xianrui She, University of Evansville; Andrew Moore, University of Evansville
3:10 PM Housing Affordability and Immigration: An Exploratory Analysis in New York City
Presentation
Jhonatan Medri, Utah State University; Braden Probst
3:20 PM Findings from Analysis and Visualization of the New York City Housing and Vacancy Survey Data
Presentation
Nels Grevstad, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Rachel Rosebrook, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Lance Barto, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Gil Leibovich, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Elizabeth Foster, Metropolitan State University of Denver; ThienNgo Le, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Kelsey Smith, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Nathanael Whitney, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Zoe Girkin, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Ahern Nelson, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Karan Bhargava, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Alex Whalen-Wagner, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Gemma Hoeppner, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Larry Breeden, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Ayako Zrust, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Travis Rebhan, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Anayeli Ochoa, Metropolitan State University of Denver
3:25 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

63 *
Sun, 7/28/2019, 4:00 PM - 5:50 PM CC-113
Cryptocurrency Surveys: Challenges and Results from Central Banks — Topic Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Business and Economic Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Kevin M. Foster, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Chair(s): Marcin M. Hitczenko, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
4:05 PM Measuring Consumer Cryptocurrency Adoption and Use in the United States
Presentation
Kevin M. Foster, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
4:25 PM Ownership and Purchase Intention of Crypto-Assets – Results from an Austrian Survey
Helmut Stix, Oesterreichische Nationalbank
4:45 PM Economic Networks with Incentives: The Mobile Money Case in Ecuador
Ivan Rivadeneyra, University of Hawaii - Manoa; Daniel Suthers, University of Hawaii - Manoa; Ruben Juarez, University of Hawaii - Manoa
5:05 PM Bubbles in My Bitcoin: Results from the 2018 Bitcoin Omnibus Survey
Presentation
Gradon Nicholls, Bank of Canada; Christopher Henry, Bank of Canada; Kim Huynh, Bank of Canada; Mitchell Nicholson, Bank of Canada
5:25 PM Discussant: Kim Huynh, Bank of Canada
5:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

66 * !
Sun, 7/28/2019, 4:00 PM - 5:50 PM CC-301
Improving Data Collection: Challenges in Survey Practice — Topic Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section
Organizer(s): Daniel Yang, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Chair(s): Phil Kott, RTI
4:05 PM Leveraging Auxiliary Information on Marginal Distributions in Nonignorable Models for Item and Unit Nonresponse in Surveys
Presentation
Olanrewaju Michael Akande, Duke University; Gabriel Madson, Duke University; D. Sunshine Hillygus, Duke University; Jerry Reiter, Duke University
4:25 PM Improving Employer Data Collection- the Journey to Modernization of the U.S Equal Opportunity Commission’s Employer Information EEO-1 Survey
Presentation
Rashida Dorsey, US EEOC; Margaret Noonan, U.S. Equal Employment Opportunity Commission
4:45 PM Assessing How a Household Survey Is Perceived by Respondents
Daniel Yang, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
5:05 PM Identifying Data Quality Outliers with Web Survey Response Times: Evaluation and Best Practices
Y. Patrick Patrick Hsieh, RTI International; Joe Murphy, RTI International
5:25 PM Multivariate Unit-Level Models for Non-Gaussian Survey Data Under Informative Sampling Designs
Presentation
Paul Parker, University of Missouri; Scott H. Holan, University of Missouri/U.S. Census Bureau; Ryan Janicki, U.S. Census Bureau
5:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

70 *
Sun, 7/28/2019, 4:00 PM - 5:50 PM CC-703
Science of Test and Advancements in Reliability Modeling — Topic Contributed Panel
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security, Government Statistics Section, Committee on Applied Statisticians
Organizer(s): Raymond Hill, Air Force Instittute of Technology
Chair(s): Laura Freeman
4:05 PM Science of Test and Advancements in Statistics and Reliability Modeling
Presentation 1 Presentation 2 Presentation 3 Presentation 4 Presentation 5
Panelists: Raymond Hill, Air Force Instittute of Technology
Douglas Montgomery, ASU
G. Geoff Vining, Va Tech
Eric Chicken, Florida State University
Susan Sanchez, Naval Postgraduate School
5:40 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

83
Sun, 7/28/2019, 4:00 PM - 5:50 PM CC-302
Applications in Surveys and Social Science — Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Chair(s): Ashley Clark, Indiana University
4:05 PM Measures of Variance Across CPI Populations
Presentation
Joshua Klick, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Owen Shoemaker, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
4:20 PM A Multivariate Spatio-Temporal Model of Opioid Overdose Deaths in Ohio
Presentation
Staci Hepler, Wake Forest University; David Kline, The Ohio State University; Lance Waller, Emory University
4:35 PM Adaptive Log-Linear Zero-Inflated Generalized Poisson Autoregressive Model with Applications to Crime Counts Data
Presentation
Xiaofei Xu, National University of Singapore-Faculity of Science; Ying Chen, National University of Singapore; Xian-cheng Lin, University of Science and Technology of China; Cathy W. S. Chen, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan
4:50 PM Using Paradata to Inform Methodological Improvements to Survey Programs
Presentation
Jeffrey Gonzalez, Bureau of Labor Statistics
5:05 PM Causal Inference for Policy Analysis: When Programs for Some Affect Outcomes for Others
Daniel Wilmoth, U.S. Small Business Administration
5:20 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

86
Sun, 7/28/2019, 4:00 PM - 4:45 PM CC-Hall C
SPEED: Data Challenge Part 2 — Contributed Poster Presentations
Government Statistics Section, Section for Statistical Programmers and Analysts, Section on Statistical Computing
Chair(s): Wendy L Martinez, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Oral Presentations for this session.
1: Measuring Gentrification Over Time with the NYCHVS
Robert Montgomery, NORC; Quentin Brummet, NORC; Nola du Toit, NORC at the University of Chicago; Peter Herman, NORC at the University of Chicago; Edward Mulrow, NORC at the University of Chicago
2: Data Challenge Expo
Darcy Hille, Merck & Company Inc; Ellen Snyder, Merck
3: Interactive Visualization of Housing Condition Changes in NYC
Qi Qi, University of Connecticut; Jun Yan, University of Connecticut
4: Findings from Analysis and Visualization of the New York City Housing and Vacancy Survey Data
Nels Grevstad, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Rachel Rosebrook, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Lance Barto, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Gil Leibovich, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Elizabeth Foster, Metropolitan State University of Denver; ThienNgo Le, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Kelsey Smith, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Nathanael Whitney, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Zoe Girkin, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Ahern Nelson, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Karan Bhargava, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Alex Whalen-Wagner, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Gemma Hoeppner, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Larry Breeden, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Ayako Zrust, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Travis Rebhan, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Anayeli Ochoa, Metropolitan State University of Denver
6: Measuring Gentrification: a Data Driven Approach
Steven Stier; Hend Aljobaily, University of Northern Colorado; Kofi Wagya, University of Northern Colorado; Michael Oduro-Safo, University of Northern Colorado
7: Changes in Quality Housing Index in New York City
Tuan Nguyen, University of Evansville; Mark Mozina, University of Evansville; Colton Albin, University of Evansville; Xianrui She, University of Evansville; Andrew Moore, University of Evansville
8: Housing Affordability and Immigration: An Exploratory Analysis in New York City
Jhonatan Medri, Utah State University; Braden Probst
9: Statistical Analysis of the Association Between Housing Quality/Gentrification and Resident Behaviors in New York City
Hon Keung Tony Ng, Southern Methodist University; Leqi Chen, Southern Methodist University; Jingzhou Liu, Southern Methodist University; Lynne Stokes, Southern Methodist University; Lang Xu, Southern Methodist University; Greg Guggenmos, Southern Methodist University; Madeline Hamilton, Southern Methodist University
10: An Analysis of Housing Quality in New York City
Jordan Rodu, University of Virginia
11: Comparing NYCHVS Responses About Housing Issues to NYC 311 Complaint Records
Letisha Smith
12: Immigrant Residency and Happiness in New York City
Alison Tuiyott, Miami University of Ohio; Thomas J Fisher, Miami University; Karsten Maurer, Miami University
13: An Analysis of Rent-Control Policy on Housing Quality
Benjamin Schweitzer, Miami University; Thomas J Fisher, Miami University; Karsten Maurer, Miami University
14: An Analysis of Immigrants and House Condition in New York City
Xiang Shen, George Washington University; Mingze Zhang, George Washington University; Shunyan Luo, George Washington University
15: Correlates and Changes in New York City Housing Densities from 2002 to 2017
Elizabeth Pirraglia, NYU School of Medicine; Matthias Altwicker, NYIT; Andrea Troxel, NYU School of Medicine
Oral Presentations for this session.
 
 

Register 92
Mon, 7/29/2019, 7:00 AM - 8:15 AM H-Centennial Ballroom G-H
CANCELED: Government Statistics Section A.M. Roundtable Discussion (Added Fee) — Roundtables AM Roundtable Discussion
Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Michael Yang, NORC at the University of Chicago
 
 

98 *
Mon, 7/29/2019, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-607
The Multiple Adaptations of Multiple Imputation — Invited Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Joerg Drechsler, Institute for Employment Research
Chair(s): Joerg Drechsler, Institute for Employment Research
8:35 AM Multiple Imputation for Privacy Protection: Where Are We and Where Are We Going?
Presentation
Jerry Reiter, Duke University
9:00 AM Multiple Imputation Procedure for Record Linkage and Causal Inference to Estimate the Effects of Home-Delivered Meals
Presentation
Mingyang Shan, Brown University; Kali Thomas, Brown University; Roee Gutman, Brown University
9:25 AM Application of Multiple Imputation Methodology to Address Measurement Error Problems
Presentation
Trivellore Raghunathan, University of Michigan
9:50 AM Discussant: Donald B. Rubin, Tsinghua University; Temple University; Harvard University
10:10 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

106 * !
Mon, 7/29/2019, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-705
Administrative Income Data, Survey Data and Inequality — Invited Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section
Organizer(s): Bruce D Meyer, University of Chicago
Chair(s): Marina Gindelsky, Bureau of Economic Analysis
8:35 AM Using Survey and Tax Data to Evaluate the Distribution of Personal Income
Presentation
David S. Johnson, University of Michigan; Marina Gindelsky, Bureau of Economic Analysis; Dennis Fixler, Bureau of Economic Analysis
9:00 AM Evaluating the Success of President Johnson’s War on Poverty: Revisiting the Historical Record Using a Full-Income Poverty Measure
Richard Burkhauser, Council of Economic Advisers; Kevin Corinth, Council of Economic Advisers; James Elwell, Cornell University; Jeff Larrimore, Federal Reserve Board
9:25 AM Estimating the Extent of Individual Income Tax Filing Noncompliance
Presentation
Alan H Plumley, Internal Revenue Service; Patrck Langetieg, Internal Revenue Service; Mark Payne, Internal Revenue Service
9:50 AM New Estimates of Poverty from the Comprehensive Income Data Set
Presentation
Bruce D Meyer, University of Chicago; Derek Wu, University of Chicago
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

119 * !
Mon, 7/29/2019, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-506
Statistical Data Editing Modernisation — Topic Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, Committee on Applied Statisticians
Organizer(s): Katie Davies, Office for National Statistics
Chair(s): Charlotte Gaughan, Office for National Statistics
8:35 AM A Generalized Framework to Evaluate Imputation Strategies: Recent Developments
Presentation
Darren Gray, Statistics Canada
8:55 AM Evaluating Imputation Methods for the Agricultural Resource Management Survey
Darcy Miller, National Agricultural Statistics Service; Andrew Dau, National Agricultural Statistics Service; Audra Zakzeski, National Agricultural Statistics Service
9:15 AM Improving Edit and Imputation Strategies Through Feature Selection
Presentation
Andrew Stelmack, Statistics Canada
9:35 AM Improving Efficiency of Imputation Using Machine Learning
Presentation
Katie Davies, Office for National Statistics; Vinayak Anand-Kumar, Office for National Statistics
9:55 AM Incorporating Administrative Data into Population Census 2020
Presentation 1 Presentation 2
Jeslyn Tan, Ministry of Manpower; Jeremy Heng, Ministry of Manpower
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

124 * !
Mon, 7/29/2019, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-503
Implementing the 2018 Standard Occupational Classification System in the Federal Statistical System — Topic Contributed Panel
Social Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section, Business and Economic Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Lynda Laughlin, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Heide Jackson, U.S. Census Bureau
8:35 AM Implementing the 2018 Standard Occupational Classification System in the Federal Statistical System
Presentation 1 Presentation 2 Presentation 3
Panelists: Lynda Laughlin, U.S. Census Bureau
Laurie Salmon, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Kerrie Leslie
Stella Fayer, Bureau of Labor Statistics
10:10 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

149 * !
Mon, 7/29/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-702
Government Cybersecurity Research: Statistical Challenges and Opportunities — Invited Papers
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science, Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Justin Newcomer, Sandia National Laboratories
Chair(s): Lyndsay Shand, Sandia National Laboratories
10:35 AM A Broad Overview of AI/ML and Cybersecurity
Presentation 1 Presentation 2 Presentation 3
Adam Cardinal-Stakenas, National Security Agency
11:00 AM Latent Feature Models for Network Link Prediction with Labelled Nodes
Presentation
Melissa Turcotte, Los Alamos National Laboratory
11:25 AM Analyzing Cyber Networks Using Spectral Embedding and a Kernel-Based Procrustes Algorithm
Presentation
David Marchette, NSWCDD
11:50 AM Dynamic Model Updating for Streaming Classification and Clustering
Alexander Foss, Sandia National Laboratories
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

153 * !
Mon, 7/29/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-101
Developing Multi-Purpose Imputed or Synthetic Data for Official Statistics — Invited Papers
Government Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, Business and Economic Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Katherine J Thompson, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Demetra Lytras, U.S. Census Bureau
10:35 AM Finding a Flexible Hot Deck Imputation Method for Multinomial Data
Presentation
Rebecca Andridge, The Ohio State University College of Public Health; Laura Bechtel, U.S. Census Bureau; Katherine J Thompson, U.S. Census Bureau
10:55 AM Calibrated Imputation Under Edit Restrictions
Presentation
Ton De Waal, Statistics Netherlands; Jacco Daalmans, Statistics Netherlands
11:15 AM MLDS Synthetic Data Project: An Evaulation
Presentation
Mark Lachowicz, University of Maryland, College Park; Daniel Bonnery, University of Maryland and Maryland Longitudinal Data System Center ; Yi Feng, University of Maryland, College Park; Angela Henneberger, University of Maryland, Baltimore; Tessa Johnson, University of Maryland, College Park; Bess Rose, University of Maryland, Baltimore; Terry Shaw, University of Maryland, Baltimore; Laura Stapleton, University of Maryland, College Park; Michael Woolley, University of Maryland, Baltimore; Yating Zheng, University of Maryland, College Park
11:35 AM Developing Synthetic Data from the Economic Census Under Edit and Calibration Restrictions
Presentation
Katherine J Thompson, U.S. Census Bureau; Hang Joon Kim, University of Cincinnati
11:55 AM Discussant: Jeffrey Gonzalez, Bureau of Labor Statistics
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

155 * !
Mon, 7/29/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-107
Research Reproducibility for Precision Medicine: From Controlled Experiments to Real-World Evidence — Topic Contributed Papers
Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Dong Wang, FDA National Center for Toxicological Research (NCTR); Wei Vivian Zhuang, U.S. Food and Drug Administration
Chair(s): Dong Wang, FDA National Center for Toxicological Research (NCTR)
10:35 AM Make Genomics Reproducible Again – MAQC and Beyond
Presentation
Weida Tong, FDA National Center for Toxicological Research (NCTR); Zhihua Xu, U.S. Food and Drug Administration
10:55 AM On Randomized Controlled Trials with Integrated Real World Evidence for Drug Development in Gene Therapy Trials
Presentation
Qing Liu, Quantitative and Regulatory Medical Science, LLC
11:15 AM Reproducible Evidence: Practices to Enhance and Achieve Transparency of “Real World” Evidence from “Real World” Databases
Shirley Wang
11:35 AM A Nonparametric Statistical Method for More Reproducible Biomarker Detection
Presentation
Wei Zhuang, NCTR/U.S. FDA; Luísa Camacho, NCTR/U.S. FDA; Camila Silva, NCTR/U.S. FDA; Huixiao Hong, NCTR/U.S. FDA
11:55 AM R Markdown: a Software Ecosystem for Reproducible Publications
Yihui Xie, RStudio, Inc.
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

157 *
Mon, 7/29/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-102
Big Survey Meets Big Data: Integrating Administrative Data into the American Community Survey — Topic Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Victoria A Velkoff, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Victoria A Velkoff, U.S. Census Bureau
10:35 AM Broad Roles for Administrative and Third-Party Data in the ACS
Presentation
Jennifer Ortman, U.S. Census Bureau
10:55 AM Preliminary Research Investigating the Use of Administrative Records in the American Community Survey (ACS)
Nikolas Pharris-Ciurej, U.S. Census Bureau
11:15 AM Simulating ACS Housing Estimates Using Administrative Data
Robert Sawyer, U.S. Census Bureau
11:35 AM Measuring Income Using Administrative Data
Presentation
Jonathan L. Rothbaum, U.S. Census Bureau
11:55 AM Incorporating Administrative Data in ACS Editing and Imputation Procedures
Presentation
Sandra Clark, U.S. Census Bureau
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

Register 199
Mon, 7/29/2019, 12:30 PM - 1:50 PM H-Centennial Ballroom G-H
Government Statistics Section P.M. Roundtable Discussion (Added Fee) — Roundtables PM Roundtable Discussion
Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Michael Yang, NORC at the University of Chicago
ML10: Combining Probability and Nonprobabiity Samples for Estimation
Michael Yang, NORC at the University of Chicago
 
 

215 !
Mon, 7/29/2019, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-603
Evolving Survey Inference in the Big Data Era: Challenges and Opportunities — Invited Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, IMS
Organizer(s): Yajuan Si, University of Michigan
Chair(s): Yajuan Si, University of Michigan
2:05 PM Small Area Estimation to Correct for Measurement Errors in Big Population Registers
Presentation
Dano Ben-Hur, Central Bureau of Statistics, Israel; Danny Pfeffermann, Central Bureau of Statistics and Hebrew Unversity, Israel, University of Southampton, UK
2:30 PM Revisiting Design-Based Inference
Presentation
Jean Opsomer, Westat
2:55 PM Novel Methods for Incorporating Sample Designs in Bayesian Inference
Presentation
Michael Elliott, University of Michigan; Yuqi Zhai, University of Michigan; Trivellore Raghunathan, University of Michigan
3:20 PM Combining Non-Probability and Probability Survey Samples Through Mass Imputation
Presentation
Jae-kwang Kim, Iowa State University; Seho Park , Dartmouth University ; Yilin Chen, University of Waterloo; Changbao Wu, University of Waterloo
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

238
Mon, 7/29/2019, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-103
SPEED: Environment and Health, Governmental Policies and Population Surveys, Part 1 — Contributed Speed
Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Government Statistics Section, Health Policy Statistics Section, Lifetime Data Science Section, Text Analysis Interest Group
Chair(s): James Lymp, Juno Therapeutics, A Celgene Company
Poster Presentations for this session.
2:05 PM Optimal Sampling Regimes for Estimating Population Dynamics
Presentation 1 Presentation 2
Rebecca Bergee
2:10 PM Application of Stochastic Search Variable Selection to Modeling Evacuation Ahead of Hurricane Irma
Presentation
Sierra Bainter, University of Miami; Caitlin Brown, University of Miami; Kiara Timpano, University of Miami
2:15 PM Bayesian Finite Population Estimates from a Two-Stage Sample with Spatial Correlation
Presentation
Alec M Chan-Golston, University of California, Los Angeles; Sudipto Banerjee, UCLA; Mark Handcock, University of California, Los Angles
2:20 PM Transitions Between Homelessness States(Safe Haven, Temporary Housing , Emergency Shelter and Unsheltered) Before and After Operation Rio Grande in the Salt Lake Metropolitan Area
Presentation
Prem Narayanan, Salt Lake County
2:25 PM Assessing to the Impact of Differential Response Rates Across National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) Locations
Te-Ching Chen, CDC/NCHS; Jennifer Parker, CDC/NCHS/OAE/SPB; Tala Fakhouri, CDC/NCHS
2:30 PM A New Methodology for Frame Building and Sample Design for the State Heating Oil and Propane Program (SHOPP)
Presentation
Edgardo Cureg, U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA); Marcela Bradbury, U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)
2:35 PM Report on Industry Births and Deaths in PPI Frames
Presentation
Andy Sadler, Bureau of Labor Statistics
2:40 PM Determining the Distance Between Countries of Latin America and the Caribbean Regarding Their Fulfillment of the SDGs in 2017
Presentation 1 Presentation 2
Andres Esteban Arguedas Leiva, University of Costa Rica
2:45 PM Providing Access to the Federal Information Base for Evidence Based Policy Making
Presentation 1 Presentation 2
Marilyn Seastrom, US Department of Education; Jennifer Nielsen, National Center for Education Statistics/IES/Dept of Education
2:50 PM Imputation as a Practical Alternative to Data Swapping
Presentation
Saki Kinney, RTI International; David Wilson, RTI International; Alan Karr, RTI International; Kelly Kang, NSF
3:00 PM Using Efficient Sampling Methods for Fixed-Margin Matrices to Assess Judicial Innovation
Presentation
Alex Fout
3:05 PM Examining Public Comments for Financial and Net Neutrality Regulations
Shawn Mankad, Cornell University; Abhinav Gaiha, Cornell University
3:10 PM Using Supervised Machine Learning to Classify Customer Input
Presentation 1 Presentation 2
Adrianna Steers-Smith, USDA/FSIS
3:15 PM Weighting Adjustments Can Help with Low Response Rates, but at What Cost to Data Quality?
Presentation
Chrishelle Lawrence, U.S. Energy Information Administration
3:20 PM Annualizing Energy Consumption in Residential Households in the 2015 RECS
Presentation
Jay Olsen, U.S. Department of Energy
3:25 PM Methodology for Allocating Municipal Solid Waste to Biogenic and Non-Biogenic Energy
Presentation
Joy Liu, US Department of Energy
3:30 PM On the Small Count Inflated Poisson Distribution
Michael Floren, Misericordia Univerisity; Trent L Lalonde, University of Northern Colorado
3:35 PM Conditional Survival Methods for Evaluating the Effect of a Time-Dependent Treatment on the Survival Function
Presentation
Danting Zhu; Douglas Schaubel, University of Michigan
3:40 PM Hyper Prior Dirichlet Partial Multinomial Logistic Regression Through Multiple Binary Responses for Mozambique HIV/AIDS
Diana Gonzalez, Arizona State University; Di Fang, University of Arkansas
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

242
Mon, 7/29/2019, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-506
Issues in Frame Quality and Accuracy Assessments — Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section
Chair(s): Daniel Yang, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
2:05 PM Transition of a Large Healthcare Survey from a Dual-Frame Design to a Single-Frame Design
Presentation
Xian Tao; Ben Skalland, NORC at the University of Chicago; Laurie D. Elam-Evans, CDC; James A. Singleton, CDC; Holly A. Hill, CDC; Tanja Walker, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; David Yankey, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Benjamin Fredua, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Kimberly Nguyen, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Wolter Kirk, NORC at the University of Chicago; Kathleen Santos, NORC at the University of Chicago; Zhen Zhao, CDC
2:20 PM Evaluation of a Sample Design Based on Predicted Occupational Frame Data
Presentation
Alice Yu; Erin McNulty, Bureau of Labor Statistics
2:35 PM An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis of Census Net Undercount Rates from 1940 to 2010 Using Demographic Analysis
Presentation
Eric Jensen, U.S. Census Bureau; Lauren Medina, U.S. Census Bureau
2:50 PM Incorporating Variance and Geographic Specificity into the Imputation Frame Used in Weighting the American Community Survey Group Quarters Sample
Presentation
Dirk Bullock, U.S. Census Bureau; John M. Jordan, U.S. Census Bureau; Edward C. Castro, Jr., U.S. Census Bureau
3:05 PM Using Statistical Models in Place of Clerical Matching in the Census 2020 Post-Enumeration Survey to Produce Estimates of Census Housing Unit Coverage
Presentation
Michael Beaghen; Elizabeth Marra, U.S. Census Bureau; Mark Jost, U.S. Census Bureau
3:20 PM Address Canvassing for the 2018 End-To-End Census Test
Shannon McDougall, U.S. Census Bureau
3:35 PM Imputation Models Using Computer Matching Results
Glenn Reisch, United States Census Bureau
 
 

218894
Tue, 7/30/2019, 7:00 AM - 8:30 AM H-Limestone Boardroom
Government Statistics Section Executive Committee — Other Cmte/Business
Government Statistics Section
Chair(s): Elizabeth Mannshardt, US Environmental Protection Agency
 
 

Register 264
Tue, 7/30/2019, 7:00 AM - 8:15 AM H-Centennial Ballroom G-H
Government Statistics Section A.M. Roundtable Discussion (Added Fee) — Roundtables AM Roundtable Discussion
Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Michael Yang, NORC at the University of Chicago
TL03: Synthetic Data as an Alternative to PUMS: Challenges, Successes, and Issues
Katherine J Thompson, U.S. Census Bureau
TL18: GSS Mentoring Session
Elizabeth Mannshardt, US Environmental Protection Agency
 
 

289 * !
Tue, 7/30/2019, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-708
Assessing the Quality of Integrated Data — Topic Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science
Organizer(s): Lisa Mirel, CDC/NCHS
Chair(s): Jeffrey Gonzalez, Bureau of Labor Statistics
8:35 AM Practical Diagnostic Tools for Data Linkage Method
Presentation
MoonJung Cho, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Justin McIllece, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
8:55 AM Balancing Data Confidentiality and Research Needs: NCHS Linked Mortality Files
Lisa Mirel, CDC/NCHS; Cordell Golden, CDC/NCHS/OAE/SPB; Cindy Zhang, CDC/NCHS/OAE/SPB
9:15 AM Tools for Evaluating Quality of State and Local Administrative Data
Presentation
Zachary H Seeskin, NORC at the University of Chicago; Gabriel Ugarte, NORC at the University of Chicago; Rupa Datta, NORC at the University of Chicago
9:35 AM The Implications of Misreporting for Longitudinal Studies of SNAP
Erik Scherpf, USDA Economic Research Service; Brian Stacy , USDA Economic Research Service
9:55 AM Discussant: Jennifer Parker, CDC/NCHS/OAE/SPB
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

292 * !
Tue, 7/30/2019, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-709
Providing Access to Useful Data While Preserving Confidentiality — Topic Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Stats. Partnerships Among Academe Indust. & Govt. Committee
Organizer(s): Daniell Toth, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Chair(s): Daniell Toth, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
8:35 AM Statistical Disclosure Issues Involving Digital Images of ROC Curves
Ofer Harel, Dept of Statistics, U of Connecticut; Gregory Matthews
8:55 AM Pseudonymisation to Anonymisation: Addressing the GDPR in Survey Microdata
Presentation
Jane Li, Westat; Tom Krenzke, Westat; Lin Li, Westat
9:15 AM Bayesian Pseudo Posterior Synthesis for Data Privacy Protection
Presentation
Jingchen Hu, Vassar College; Terrance Savitsky, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Matthew Williams, National Science Foundation
9:35 AM PMSE Mechanism: Differentially Private Synthetic Data with Maximal Distributional Similarity
Joshua Snoke, RAND Corporation; Aleksandra Slavkovic, Penn State University
9:55 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

300
Tue, 7/30/2019, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-710
Innovations in and Applications of Imputation — Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section
Chair(s): Randall Powers, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
8:35 AM Simulation Study to Compare Imputation at the ELI-PSU Level Versus the ITEM-AREA Level
Presentation
Onimissi M Sheidu, Bureau of Labor Statistics
8:50 AM Imputing Seasonal Data in an Advanced Indicator with Forecasts from X-13ARIMA-SEATS
Presentation
Nicole Czaplicki, U.S. Census Bureau; Yarissa Gonzalez, U.S. Census Bureau
9:05 AM Imputation in the American Housing Survey: Comparing Multiple Imputation with Current Hot Deck Methods
Presentation
Sean Dalby, US Census Bureau
9:20 AM Redefining Viability in Data Collection and Its Impact on Estimation
Leland Righter, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Alice Yu; Bradley Rhein, Bureau of Labor Statistics
9:35 AM An Algorithm of Generalized Robust Ratio Model Estimation for Imputation
Presentation
Kazumi Wada, National Statistics Center, Japan; Seiji Takata, Shiga University; Hiroe Tsubaki, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics
9:50 AM Exploring the Performance of IVEware and Proc MI with Ordinal Categorical Data
Valbona Bejleri, USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service; Andrew Dau, National Agricultural Statistics Service; Darcy Miller, National Agricultural Statistics Service
10:05 AM An Empirical Study of Correlation Coefficient Aggregation in Multiple Imputation
Presentation
Jianjun Wang; Xin Ma, University of Kentucky
 
 

311
Tue, 7/30/2019, 9:25 AM - 10:10 AM CC-Hall C
SPEED: Environment and Health, Governmental Policies and Population Surveys, Part 2 — Contributed Poster Presentations
Government Statistics Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Health Policy Statistics Section, Lifetime Data Science Section, Text Analysis Interest Group
Chair(s): Wendy Meiring, University of California At Santa Barbara
Oral Presentations for this session.
21: Optimal Sampling Regimes for Estimating Population Dynamics
Rebecca Bergee
22: Application of Stochastic Search Variable Selection to Modeling Evacuation Ahead of Hurricane Irma
Sierra Bainter, University of Miami; Caitlin Brown, University of Miami; Kiara Timpano, University of Miami
23: Bayesian Finite Population Estimates from a Two-Stage Sample with Spatial Correlation
Alec M Chan-Golston, University of California, Los Angeles; Sudipto Banerjee, UCLA; Mark Handcock, University of California, Los Angles
24: Transitions Between Homelessness States(Safe Haven, Temporary Housing , Emergency Shelter and Unsheltered) Before and After Operation Rio Grande in the Salt Lake Metropolitan Area
Prem Narayanan, Salt Lake County
25: Assessing to the Impact of Differential Response Rates Across National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) Locations
Te-Ching Chen, CDC/NCHS; Jennifer Parker, CDC/NCHS/OAE/SPB; Tala Fakhouri, CDC/NCHS
26: A New Methodology for Frame Building and Sample Design for the State Heating Oil and Propane Program (SHOPP)
Edgardo Cureg, U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA); Marcela Bradbury, U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)
27: Report on Industry Births and Deaths in PPI Frames
Andy Sadler, Bureau of Labor Statistics
28: Determining the Distance Between Countries of Latin America and the Caribbean Regarding Their Fulfillment of the SDGs in 2017
Andres Esteban Arguedas Leiva, University of Costa Rica
29: Providing Access to the Federal Information Base for Evidence Based Policy Making
Marilyn Seastrom, US Department of Education; Jennifer Nielsen, National Center for Education Statistics/IES/Dept of Education
30: Imputation as a Practical Alternative to Data Swapping
Saki Kinney, RTI International; David Wilson, RTI International; Alan Karr, RTI International; Kelly Kang, NSF
31: Using Efficient Sampling Methods for Fixed-Margin Matrices to Assess Judicial Innovation
Alex Fout
32: Examining Public Comments for Financial and Net Neutrality Regulations
Shawn Mankad, Cornell University; Abhinav Gaiha, Cornell University
33: Using Supervised Machine Learning to Classify Customer Input
Adrianna Steers-Smith, USDA/FSIS
34: Weighting Adjustments Can Help with Low Response Rates, but at What Cost to Data Quality?
Chrishelle Lawrence, U.S. Energy Information Administration
35: Annualizing Energy Consumption in Residential Households in the 2015 RECS
Jay Olsen, U.S. Department of Energy
36: Methodology for Allocating Municipal Solid Waste to Biogenic and Non-Biogenic Energy
Joy Liu, US Department of Energy
37: On the Small Count Inflated Poisson Distribution
Michael Floren, Misericordia Univerisity; Trent L Lalonde, University of Northern Colorado
38: Conditional Survival Methods for Evaluating the Effect of a Time-Dependent Treatment on the Survival Function
Danting Zhu; Douglas Schaubel, University of Michigan
39: Hyper Prior Dirichlet Partial Multinomial Logistic Regression Through Multiple Binary Responses for Mozambique HIV/AIDS
Diana Gonzalez, Arizona State University; Di Fang, University of Arkansas
Oral Presentations for this session.
 
 

332 * !
Tue, 7/30/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-712
Multivariate Time Series: Modeling and Estimation — Topic Contributed Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section, Biometrics Section
Organizer(s): James Livsey, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Anand Vidyashankar, George Mason University
10:35 AM Applying the EM Algorithm to Multivariate Signal Extraction
Presentation
James Livsey, U.S. Census Bureau
10:55 AM Dual Coupled Kalman Filters for Simultaneously Updating Estimated Time-Varying States and Parameters of VARMA Models Using Data with Periodically or Non-Periodically Missing Values
Peter Zadrozny, Bureau of Labor Statistics
11:15 AM Gaussian Copula Vector Autoregressive Modeling
Vladas Pipiras, University of North Carolina At Chapel Hill; James Livsey, U.S. Census Bureau; Benjamin Leinwand, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
11:35 AM Constrained Estimation in Co-Integrated VAR Models
Presentation
Anindya Roy, University of Maryland - Baltimore County; Tucker McElroy, US Census Bureau
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

333 *
Tue, 7/30/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-505
Adaptive Survey Design: Recent Advances and New Potential — Topic Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Stephanie M Coffey, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Thomas Louis, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg SPH
10:35 AM Adapting Data Collection Activities Using Survey Fielding Metrics
A. Elizabeth Ormson, NORC at the University of Chicago; Rupa Datta, NORC at the University of Chicago; Weihuang Wong, NORC at the University of Chicago
10:55 AM Responsive and Adaptive Survey Design: Use of Bias Propensity During Data Collection to Reduce Nonresponse Bias
Presentation
Daniel Pratt, RTI International; Andrey Peytchev, RTI International; Michael Duprey, RTI International
11:15 AM Dynamic Interventions for Outcome Improvement: Minimizing Cost for a Fixed RMSE
Presentation
Stephanie M Coffey, U.S. Census Bureau
11:35 AM Using Cost-Calibration Trade-Offs in Establishment Surveys to Allocate Cases by Mode
Benjamin Martin Reist, USDA, NASS; Gavin Corral, National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS); Andrew Dau, National Agricultural Statistics Service; Tyler Wilson, USDA, NASS; Audra Zakzeski, National Agricultural Statistics Service
11:55 AM Use of Adaptive and Responsive Design Concepts and Methods in the Integration of Multiple Data Sources
Presentation
John L. Eltinge, United States Census Bureau
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

335
Tue, 7/30/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-504
SRMS/SSS/GSS Student Paper Competition — Topic Contributed Papers
Social Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Jeffrey Gonzalez, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Chair(s): Amanda Rae Ellis, Eastern Kentucky University
10:35 AM Polling Bias from Undecided Voters in Recent US Presidential Elections
Presentation
Joshua Bon, Queensland University of Technology; Timothy Ballard, University of Queesland; Bernard Baffour, Australian National University
10:55 AM Complementing the Power of Deep Learning with Statistical Model Fusion: Probabilistic Forecasting of Influenza in Dallas County, Texas, USA
Presentation
Marwah Soliman, University of Texas At Dallas; Yulia Gel, University of Texas at Dallas; Vyacheslav Lyubchich, University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science
11:15 AM Predicting Interviewer Effects Using Paradata
Presentation
Sharan Sharma, University of Michigan; Michael Elliott, University of Michigan
11:35 AM Reinforced Designs for Observational Studies of Treatment Effects: Multiple Instruments Plus Control Groups as Evidence Factors
Bikram Karmakar, University of Pennsylvania; Dylan Small, University of Pennsylvania; Paul Rosenbaum, University of Pennsylvania
11:55 AM Accounting for Survey Design in Bayesian Disaggregation of Survey-Based Areal Estimates of Proportions
Presentation
Marco Benedetti, University of Michigan; Veronica J. Berrocal, University of Michigan
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

344
Tue, 7/30/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-506
Expanding Data Utility - Issues in Disclosure and Modeling — Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section
Chair(s): Lisa Mirel, CDC/NCHS
10:35 AM Rubrics for the Documentation of Sampling designs and Their Specification in Statistical Software Packages
Presentation 1 Presentation 2
Stas Kolenikov, Abt Associates; Brady T. West, University of Michigan; Peter Lugtig, University of Utrecht
10:50 AM Balancing Privacy and Precision: Disclosure Control Methods in Government Surveys
Presentation
Ellen Galantucci, Bureau of Labor Statistics
11:05 AM Using Generative Adversarial Networks to Generate Synthetic Population
Presentation
Yijun Wei, NISS; Luca Sartore, National Institute of Statistical Sciences; NELL Sedransk, NISS
11:20 AM Overdispersed Binomial Small Area Models with Application to Poverty Rate Estimation
Presentation
Patrick Joyce
11:35 AM Arrest-Related Deaths Program Redesign Study: Pilot Survey Measures of Decedent and Incident Characteristics
Kevin Scott, Bureau of Justice Statistics; Duren Banks, RTI International; Michael Planty, RTI International; Lance Couzens, RTI International; Erin Kennedy, RTI International; Philip Lee, RTI; Connor Brooks, Bureau of Justice Statistics
11:50 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

379 * !
Tue, 7/30/2019, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-501
Achieving Adequate Representation When Surveying Rare Populations — Invited Papers
Journal of Survey Statistics and Methodology, Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Tom Krenzke, Westat
Chair(s): Leyla Mohadjer, Westat
2:05 PM Application of Non-Probability and Probability-Based Link-Tracing Approaches to Sampling Out-Of-School Youth in Developing Countries
Presentation
Tom Krenzke, Westat; Leyla Mohadjer, Westat
2:30 PM Hybrid Estimates for Rare Populations: Probability Surveys Augmented with Targeted Nonprobability Samples
Presentation
Jill A Dever, RTI International
2:55 PM Exploring Mechanisms of Recruitment and Recruitment Cooperation in Respondent-Driven Sampling
Sunghee Lee, University of Michigan; Ai Rene Ong, University of Michigan; Michael Elliott, University of Michigan
3:20 PM Discussant: Jae-kwang Kim, Iowa State University
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

389 !
Tue, 7/30/2019, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-703
Official Statistics at the Crossroads: Data Quality and Access in an Era of Heightened Privacy Risk — Invited Panel
Government Statistics Section, Committee on National Statistics, NAS, Committee on Professional Ethics
Organizer(s): Michael Hawes, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Michael Hawes, U.S. Census Bureau
2:05 PM Official Statistics at the Crossroads: Data Quality and Access in an Era of Heightened Privacy Risk
Presentation 1 Presentation 2 Presentation 3 Presentation 4 Presentation 5
Panelists: John M. Abowd, U.S. Census Bureau
Rochelle (Shelly) Wilkie Martinez, U.S. Office of Management and Budget
Michael Davern, NORC
3:40 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

395 * !
Tue, 7/30/2019, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-702
Connecting Parallel Universes — Topic Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Business and Economic Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Arthur B Kennickell, Self
Chair(s): Barry W Johnson, Statistics of Income, IRS
2:05 PM HFCS Micro Simulation Model
Presentation
Miguel Ampudia, European Central Bank; Johannes Fleck, European Central Bank
2:25 PM Are Survey Data Underestimating the Inequality of Net Wealth?
Presentation
Tairi Room, Bank of Estonia; Jaanika Merikull, Bank of Estonia
2:45 PM Pooling (Data) Assets to Learn About Debts
Brian Bucks, Consumer Financial Protection Bureau
3:05 PM Labour Income Uncertainty During a Crisis
Presentation
Reamonn Lydon, Central Bank of Ireland; Julia Le Blanc, Deutsche Bundesbank
3:25 PM Machine Learning European Household Wealth
Johannes Fleck, European University Institute
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

419
Tue, 7/30/2019, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-Hall C
Contributed Poster Presentations: Government Statistics Section — Contributed Poster Presentations
Government Statistics Section
Chair(s): Wendy Meiring, University of California At Santa Barbara
39: The Value of Mentors for Young Adults
Jayla Gabrielle Langford, Purdue University
40: Data Analytics for Better Statistics
Jeremy Heng, Ministry of Manpower
41: “Comparison of Methods to Analyze Cost When Extreme Values Are Present”
Clinton Alverson, CDC/DDNID/NCBDDD/DCDD/BDB; Charles E. Rose , CDC/DDNID/NCBDDD/OD
42: Estimating Custom Rates Using a Weighted Mean of Reported Rates
Franklin Duan, USDA NASS MD; Timothy Keller, Saint Louis University ; Peter Quan, NASS, USDA
43: A Comparison of Several Missing Data Imputation Techniques for Analyzing Different Types of Missingness
Tiantian Yang, Clemson University; William Bridges, Clemson University
44: Partitioning the Adjustment for Nonresponse, Undercoverage and Misclassification for the 2017 Census of Agriculture
Linda J Young, USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service; Bayazid Sarkar, National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS); Habtamu Benecha, NASS/USDA; Sarah Goodale, National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS); Gavin Corral, National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS)
45: Reconstructing Matrices with Linear Programming
Luis Frank, Universidad de Buenos Aires
46: Factors Associated with Rural Disparities in Early-Season Influenza Vaccination Among U.S. Adults, 2018–19 Influenza Season
Anup Srivastav, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention/Leidos Inc; Pengjun Lu, CDC; Tammy A Santibanez, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Ashely Amaya, RTI International; Jill A Dever, RTI International; Marshica Stanley Kurtz, RTI International; Jessica L Roycroft, RTI International; Walter W Williams, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
 
 

218895
Tue, 7/30/2019, 5:30 PM - 7:00 PM H-Capitol Ballroom 5
Government Statistics Section Business Meeting and Reception — Other Cmte/Business
Government Statistics Section
Chair(s): Elizabeth Mannshardt, US Environmental Protection Agency
 
 

458 * !
Wed, 7/31/2019, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-708
Differential Privacy Research and Applications at the U.S. Census Bureau — Topic Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section
Organizer(s): Robert Ashmead, Ohio Colleges of Medicine Government Resource Center
Chair(s): Nathan Cruze, USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service
8:35 AM Census Barriers Attitudes and Motivators Study: a Case Study in Differential Privacy at the U.S. Census Bureau
Presentation
Caleb Floyd, U.S. Census Bureau; Rolondo Rodríguez, U.S. Census Bureau
8:55 AM Rationing Out Privacy-Loss: Proportional Budget Expenditure in the 2020 Decennial Census Disclosure Avoidance System
Presentation
William Sexton, U.S. Census Bureau
9:15 AM Ensuring Output: Complex Constraints and Feasible Microdata Under Differential Privacy
Presentation
Philip Leclerc, US Census Bureau
9:35 AM Estimating the Variance of Complex Differentially Private Algorithms
Presentation
Robert Ashmead, Ohio Colleges of Medicine Government Resource Center
9:55 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

460 !
Wed, 7/31/2019, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-104
Advances in Time Series Methodology — Topic Contributed Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section, Biometrics Section
Organizer(s): James Livsey, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Rebecca Hutchinson, US Census Bureau
8:35 AM Quadratic Prediction of Time Series via Auto-Cumulants
Presentation
Tucker McElroy, US Census Bureau; Soumendra N Lahiri, North Carolina State University; Dhrubajyoti Ghosh, North Carolina State University
8:55 AM Seasonal Adjustment Subject to Frequency Aggregation Constraints
Osbert Pang, U.S. Census Bureau; Tucker McElroy, US Census Bureau; Brian Monsell, U.S. Census Bureau
9:15 AM Seasonal Adjustment of Aggregate Time Series with Components Containing Meagre Values
Presentation
Richard Penny, Statistics New Zealand; Tucker McElroy, US Census Bureau
9:35 AM Post Selection Inference for High-Dimensional Time Series
Anand Vidyashankar, George Mason University; Jeffrey Collamore, University of Copenhagen
9:55 AM Regularized Estimation of High-Dimensional Auto- and Cross-Covariance Matrices
Presentation
Tommaso Proietti, University of Rome Tor Vergata; Alessandro Giovannelli, Ministry of Economics and Finance, Italy
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

469
Wed, 7/31/2019, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-709
Using and Linking Administrative and Auxiliary Data — Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section
Chair(s): MoonJung Cho, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
8:35 AM The Research and Methodology on Staggering the 2020 Census Mailings
Presentation
Ioana (Julia) Marasteanu, U.S Census Bureau; Sarah Konya, U.S. Census Bureau
8:50 AM Analyzing Tradeoff Between Administrative Records Enumeration and Count Imputation
Presentation
Andrew Keller, U.S. Census Bureau
9:05 AM Estimating the Probability of Race Change
Presentation
Larry Sink, US Census Bureau
9:20 AM Ethical Principles for the All Data Revolution–Repurposing Administrative and Opportunity Data
Presentation
Stephanie Shipp, University of Virginia, Biocomplexity Institute & Initiative, Social & Decision Analytics; Sallie Keller, University of Virginia, Biocomplexity Institute & Initiative, Social & Decision Analytics; Aaron S Schroeder, Social & Decision Analytics Division, BII, UVA
9:35 AM The Promises and Challenges of Linked Rent Data from the Consumer Expenditure Survey and Housing and Urban Development
Presentation
Garret Christensen, US Census Bureau; Nikolas Pharris-Ciurej, U.S. Census Bureau; Laura Erhard, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Thesia Garner, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Brett Butler, Bureau of Labor Statistics; John Voorheis, US Census Burea
9:50 AM Measurement of Type I and Type II Record Linkage Error
Presentation
Dean Resnick, National Opinion Research Center (NORC); Jana Lynn Asher, Slippery Rock University
10:05 AM Assessment of Computer Availability and Internet Access Statistics to Improve the Planning Database's Low Response Score
Presentation
Luke Larsen, U.S. Census Bureau; Kathleen Kephart, U.S. Census Bureau
 
 

492 * !
Wed, 7/31/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-205
Data Fabrication and Falsification: Protecting the Credibility and Impacts of Surveys — Invited Panel
Government Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, ENAR
Organizer(s): Linda J Young, USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service
Chair(s): Kerrie Leslie
8:35 AM Data Fabrication and Falsification: Protecting the Credibility and Impacts of Surveys
Presentation 1 Presentation 2 Presentation 3 Presentation 4
Panelists: James Dahlhamer, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Jill DeMatteis , Westat
Linda J Young, USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

503 * !
Wed, 7/31/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-106
Small Area Estimation with Relaxed Modeling Assumptions — Topic Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, International Statistical Institute
Organizer(s): Andreea Erciulescu, Westat
Chair(s): Jane Li, Westat
10:35 AM Small Area Estimation of Entropy Inequality Measures: a Comparison Between Alternative Distribution Models
Silvia Pacei, University of Bologna; Maria Rosaria Ferrante, University of Bologna
10:55 AM Small Area Models for Skewed Brazilian Business Survey Data
Fernando Moura, IM-UFRJ; Denise Britz Nascimento Silva, ENCE-IBGE; Andre Felipe Neves, IBGE
11:15 AM Bayesian Nonparametric Joint Model for Point Estimates and Variances under Biased Domain Variances
Presentation
Julie Gershunskaya, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Terrance Savitsky, Bureau of Labor Statistics
11:35 AM Bayesian Monte Carlo Method for Estimating Small Area Complex Parameters Under Unit-Level Models with Skew-Normal Errors
Presentation
Mamadou Diallo
11:55 AM Hierarchical Bayesian Models for Small Areas with Dirichlet Processes
Balgobin Nandram, Worcester Polytechnic Institute
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

505 !
Wed, 7/31/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-503
Formal Privacy: Making an Impact at Large Organizations — Topic Contributed Panel
Committee on Privacy and Confidentiality, Business and Economic Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Lars Vilhuber, Cornell University
Chair(s): Aleksandra Slavkovic, Penn State University
10:35 AM Formal Privacy: Making an Impact at Large Organizations
Presentation
Panelists: Simson Garfinkel, US Census Bureau
Ilya Mironov, Google
Juan Lavista Ferres, Microsoft
Shiva Kasiviswanathan, Amazon
12:10 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

548 * !
Wed, 7/31/2019, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-603
Total Survey Errors in the Combination of Probability and Nonprobability Samples — Invited Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Michael Yang, NORC at the University of Chicago
Chair(s): Michael Yang, NORC at the University of Chicago
2:05 PM Combining Data from a Probability and Nonprobability Sample Using a Composite Estimator
Presentation
Burton Levine, RTI International
2:25 PM Total Survey Error: Approaches for Measuring Bias and Variance Components When Combining Probability and Non-Probability Samples
Nadarajasundaram Ganesh, NORC at the University of Chicago; Edward Mulrow, NORC at the University of Chicago; Vicki Pineau, NORC at the University of Chicago; Michael Yang, NORC at the University of Chicago
2:45 PM Multilevel Regression and Post-Stratification with Misreporting and Selection Bias
Presentation
Douglas Rivers, Stanford University
3:05 PM Discussant: Jill DeMatteis , Westat
3:25 PM Discussant: Andrew Mercer, Pew Research Center
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

565 * !
Wed, 7/31/2019, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-705
Time Series in Government and National Statistics — Topic Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section, Business and Economic Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section
Organizer(s): James Livsey, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): James Livsey, U.S. Census Bureau
2:05 PM Trend-Cycle Filters Comparison for Real Time Macroeconomic Data
Presentation
Estella Dagum, University of Bologna; Silvia Bianconcini, University of Bologna
2:25 PM Using Daily Payment Processor Data to Determine Existence and Length of Retail Shopping Event Effects
Rebecca Hutchinson, US Census Bureau; Nicole Czaplicki, U.S. Census Bureau
2:45 PM Estimating the Variance of Seasonally Adjusted Series of Monthly Statistics Canada Surveys
Francois Verret, Statistics Canada; Catalin Dochitoiu, Statistics Canada
3:05 PM Assessing Residual Seasonality in the U.S. National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA) Aggregates
Baoline Chen, Bureau of Economic Analysis; Tucker McElroy, US Census Bureau; Osbert Pang, U.S. Census Bureau
3:25 PM Dealing with Discontinuities in Survey Reporting Periods and Their Impact on Seasonal Adjustment of Time Series
Presentation
Charlotte Gaughan, Office for National Statistics; Atanaska Nikolova, Office for National Statistics
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

581
Wed, 7/31/2019, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-701
Advancement in Theoretical and Applied Aspects of Modeling — Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section, Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology
Chair(s): Anne Parker, Internal Revenue Service
2:05 PM Zero-Inflated Count Time Series Regression Models
Mohammed Alqawba; Norou Diawara, Old Dominion University; Rao Chaganty, Old Dominion University
2:20 PM Revisiting the Linear Models with Exchangeably Distributed Errors
Anuradha Roy, The University of Texas at San Antonio; Timothy Opheim, The University of Texas at San Antonio
2:35 PM Tolerance Limits Under Poisson Regression Models
Presentation
Zachary Zimmer
2:50 PM Time Series for Boolean Random Sets
Kofi Wagya, University of Northern Colorado; Khalil Shafie, University of Northern Colorado
3:05 PM Probability of Flaw Detection for Quasi-Separated Data
Presentation
Christine Henry, Air Force Institute of Technology; Christine Schubert Kabban, Air Force Institute of Technology
3:20 PM A Generalized Z Score for Both Symmetric and Asymmetric Distribution
Presentation
Mian Adnan, Indiana University
3:35 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

589 !
Thu, 8/1/2019, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-207
Learning from the Past – a History of Censuses — Invited Papers
Government Statistics Section, History of Statistics Interest Group, Committee on Professional Ethics
Organizer(s): Wendy L Martinez, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Chair(s): Amanda L. Golbeck, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences
8:35 AM Who Writes Census History, and Why?
Presentation
Margo Anderson, University of Wisconsin - Milwaukee
9:05 AM Evolution of the US Census: Politics, Society, Opportunity, and Innovation
Presentation
Howard Hogan, U. S. Census Bureau
9:35 AM The Role of German Census Taking in the Holocaust: Facts, Obscurities, Legacy
Hans Kiesl, OTH Regensburg
10:05 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

631
Thu, 8/1/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-603
Small Area Estimation: “Producing Estimates for Small Areas from Sampled Data” — Invited Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Kelly McConville, Reed College
Chair(s): Kelly McConville, Reed College
10:35 AM Two-fold subarea models for small area estimation: Some theory and model selection
Presentation
J. N. K. Rao, Carleton University
11:00 AM Small Area Estimation for an Informative Sample Design
Presentation
Emily Berg, Iowa State University
11:25 AM Small Area Estimates Using Tree Based Models
Presentation
Daniell Toth, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Kelly McConville, Reed College
11:50 AM Interpolating Distributions for Populations in Nested Geographies Using Public-Use Data with Application to the American Community Survey
Scott H. Holan, University of Missouri/U.S. Census Bureau; Matthew Simpson, SAS; Christopher K. Wikle, University of Missouri; Jonathan R. Bradley, Florida State University
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

647 * !
Thu, 8/1/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-507
Statistical Advances in Population Research in the Developing World — Topic Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Zehang Richard Li, Yale University
Chair(s): Zehang Richard Li, Yale University
10:35 AM Assessing Data Contribution for Estimation of HIV Epidemics
Presentation
Le Bao, Pennsylvania State University; Xiaoyue Niu, Penn State University; Jacob Parsons, Penn State University
10:55 AM Using Social Networks to Estimate Adult Mortality in the Developing World
Dennis Feehan, Univ of California - Berkeley; Matthew J. Salganik, Princeton University
11:15 AM The Learn as You Go Design for Rigorous Quantitative Adaptation of Multi-Component Intervention Packages in Global Public Health
Donna Spiegelman, Yale School of Public Health; Judith Lok, Boston University, Dept of Mathematics and Statistics; Daniel Nevo, Tel Aviv University
11:35 AM The Convergence of Data Science and Data Poverty
Rumi Chunara, New York University
11:55 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

654
Thu, 8/1/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-505
Evaluating and Reducing Nonsampling Errors in Surveys — Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section
Chair(s): Andreea Erciulescu, Westat
10:35 AM Quarterly Financial Report Nonresponse Bias Analysis
Presentation
Dhanapati Khatiwoda, U.S. Census Bureau
10:50 AM Blasting Farmers with Email and Text Survey Notifications: Modeling Response Rate Effects
Presentation
Tyler Wilson, USDA, NASS; Shane T. Ball, NASS; Benjamin Martin Reist, USDA, NASS
11:05 AM Impact of Certified Mail on Nonresponse Rates
Presentation 1 Presentation 2 Presentation 3
Redouane Betrouni, U.S. Census Bureau; Peter Schilling, U.S. Census Bureau; Dedrick Owens, U.S. Census Bureau; Bac Tran, U.S. Census Bureau
11:20 AM Approaches for Performing Age-Adjustment in Trend Analysis
Presentation
Xianfen Li, NCHS/CDC; Mary Ann Bush, NCHS
11:35 AM Estimating Canadian Cannabis Consumption Using Markers in the Wastewater
Presentation
Andrew Brennan, Statistics Canada; Geneviève Vézina, Statistics Canada; Laurie Reedman, Statistics Canada
11:50 AM Measuring the Substitution Effect in Producer Price Index Goods Data: 2002-2016
Presentation
Jonathan Weinhagen, BLS
12:05 PM Estimating and Understanding the Language and Communication Needs of the Civilian Labor Force Population
JUSTIN WEST, US EEOC; Qi Wang, US EEOC; Jiashen You, US EEOC; Benjamin Overholt, US EEOC
 
 

655
Thu, 8/1/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-506
Applications in the Analysis of Survey Data — Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section
Chair(s): Katherine J Thompson, U.S. Census Bureau
10:35 AM Statistical Analysis of Parent-Child Pair Data from the National Health Interview Survey – an Approach via Weighting and Domain Estimation
Guangyu Zhang, National Center for Health Statistics; Yulei He, CDC; Nathaniel Schenker, Retired; Van Parsons, National Center for Health Statistics; Chris Moriarity, National Center for Health Statistics; Stephen Blumberg, National Center for Health Statistics; Benjamin Zablotsky, National Center for Health Statistics; Aaron Maitland, National Center for Health Statistics; Suresh Srinivasan, National Center for Health Statistics; Matthew Bramlett, National Center for Health Statistics
10:50 AM Estimation of Student Attendance Threshold for K-12 Education
Xiaoyue Cheng, University of Nebraska at Omaha; Mahbubul Majumder, University of Nebraska at Omaha; Tamara Williams, University of Nebraska at Omaha
11:05 AM Using Vector Generalized Linear Models to Assess Kurdish Democratic Progress Under Erdogan
Presentation
Ole Forsberg, Knox College
11:20 AM Estimating Household Space Heating Consumption of Natural Gas Using Billing and Weather Data
Presentation
Shaofen G. Deng, U.S. Energy Informatio Admintration; Greg Lawson, U.S. Energy Information Administration
11:35 AM Infectious Diseases Hospitalizations — New York City, 2001–2014
Chaorui C Huang, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene; David E Lucero, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene; Sungwoo Lim, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene; Yihong Zhao, Boston University Henry M. Goldman School of Dental Medicine; Robert Arciuolo, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene; Joseph Burzynski, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene; Demetre Daskalakis, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene
11:50 AM Robust Estimation of Employment and Finance Data Using Bayesian Inference for a t-Mixture of Linear Mixed Models
Presentation
Giang Trinh, US Census Bureau; Noah Bassel, U.S. Census Bureau; Bac Tran, U.S. Census Bureau
12:05 PM How to Catch an Outlier: a Robust Method for Hours and Earnings Estimation in the Current Employment Statistics Survey
Presentation
Paige Schroeder, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics