Conference Program Home
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All Times EDT

Legend:
CC = Walter E. Washington Convention Center   M = Marriott Marquis Washington, DC
* = applied session       ! = JSM meeting theme

Activity Details


11 * !
Sun, 8/7/2022, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-150A
Modern Machine Learning Tools for Social Science — Invited Papers
Social Statistics Section, IMS, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science, Text Analysis Interest Group
Organizer(s): Jiashun Jin, Carnegie Mellon University
Chair(s): Rui Song, North Carolina State University
2:05 PM Evidence-Based Elections Presentation
Philip B Stark, UC Berkeley
2:35 PM Community Detection in Networks with Covariates
Wanjie Wang, National University of Singapore
3:05 PM The Citation Behavior of Statisticians
Jiashun Jin, Carnegie Mellon University; Tracy Ke, Harvard University; Pengsheng Ji, University of Georgia; Wanshan Li, Carnegie Mellon University
3:35 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

19 !
Sun, 8/7/2022, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-144C
2020 Census Post-Enumeration Survey Estimation Methods: Research and Challenges — Topic Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Timothy Kennel, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Timothy Kennel, U.S. Census Bureau
2:05 PM COVID-19 Impacts on the Post-Enumeration Survey
Shadie Khubba, U.S. Census Bureau; Elizabeth Marra, U.S. Census Bureau
2:25 PM Nonresponse in the 2020 Post-Enumeration Survey
Shadie Khubba, U.S. Census Bureau; Mark Jost, US Census Bureau; Courtney Hill, U.S. Census Bureau
2:45 PM Analyzing the Imputations for Nonresponse in the 2020 Census Post-Enumeration Survey
Michael Beaghen, U.S. Census Bureau; Richard Neil Turner, U.S. Census Bureau
3:05 PM Bias in the Post-Enumeration Survey Due to Duplicate Misclassification Presentation
Scott Konicki, U.S. Census Bureau
3:25 PM Research on Reducing Correlation Bias in Dual-System Estimates
Krista Heim, U.S. Census Bureau; Courtney Hill, U.S. Census Bureau
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

44 * !
Sun, 8/7/2022, 4:00 PM - 5:50 PM CC-202A
Tukey (1962) and the Subsequent Sixty Years of Data Analysis: Perspectives from Government and Social Science Applications — Invited Papers
Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section, Section on Statistical Consulting
Organizer(s): John L. Eltinge, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Tommy Wright, U.S. Census Bureau
4:05 PM Statistics Research Driven by Real Problems: The Expanding Legacy of John Tukey's Career in Data Analysis, Robustness, and Service to Science
Karen Kafadar, University of Virginia
4:30 PM Realistic Evaluation and Communication of Indications, Conclusions, and Uncertainty from Analysis of Government Data
John L. Eltinge, U.S. Census Bureau
4:55 PM Risk of Model Misspecification in Survey Estimation
Daniell Toth, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
5:20 PM Discussant: Xiao-Li Meng, Harvard University
5:40 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

60 * !
Sun, 8/7/2022, 4:00 PM - 5:50 PM CC-151A
Census Disclosure Avoidance: Where Are We Now? — Topic Contributed Panel
Social Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Margo Anderson, University of Wisconsin Milwaukee
Chair(s): Constance Citro, National Academy of Sciences
4:05 PM Census Disclosure Avoidance: Where Are We Now?
Panelists: Steven Ruggles, University of Minnesota
Andrew Beveridge, Social Explorer, Inc
David Van Riper, Minnesota Population Center
Margo Anderson, University of Wisconsin Milwaukee
5:40 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

Register 80
Mon, 8/8/2022, 7:00 AM - 8:15 AM CC-Ballroom Level South Prefunction
Social Statistics Section A.M. Roundtable Discussion (Added Fee) — Roundtables AM Roundtable Discussion
Social Statistics Section
ML05: Summary of Recent Committee on National Statistics Report on Transparency in Official Statistics
Michael L Cohen, Committee on National Statistics; Dan Kasprzyk, NORC
 
 

89
Mon, 8/8/2022, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-202B
Combining Survey and Digital Trace Data — Invited Papers
Social Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, Text Analysis Interest Group
Organizer(s): Florian Keusch, University of Mannheim
Chair(s): Christopher Antoun, University of Maryland
8:35 AM Deriving Measurements from Digital Trace Data: Opportunities and Challenges
Ruben Bach, University of Mannheim; Christoph Kern, University of Mannheim
8:55 AM Measuring Facebook Use: The Accuracy of Self-Reported Data Versus Digital Trace Data
Paulina Pankowska, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Florian Keusch, University of Mannheim; Ruben Bach, University of Mannheim; Alexandru Cernat, University of Manchester
9:15 AM Theorizing Personalization vs. Customization Effects in Digital Information Environments Using Survey and Behavioral Tracking Data
Minh Hao Nguyen, University of Zurich
9:35 AM Track Me, but Not Really: Tracking Undercoverage in Metered Data Collection
Oriol J. Bosch, The London School of Economics and Political Science; Jouni Kuha, The London School of Economics and Political Science; Patrick Sturgis, The London School of Economics and Political Science
9:55 AM Discussant: Stephanie Eckman, RTI International
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

134 * !
Mon, 8/8/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-143A
Statistics for Strengthening Inferences from Forensic Evidence — Topic Contributed Papers
Advisory Committee on Forensic Science, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Karen Kafadar, University of Virginia
Chair(s): Jan Hannig, University of Noerth Carolina at Chapel Hill
10:35 AM Characterizing Variability in Forensic Decision-Making with Item Response Theory
Amanda Luby, Swarthmore College
10:55 AM An Algorithm for Forensic Toolmark Comparisons
Maria Cuellar, University of Pennsylvania; Heike Hofmann, Iowa State University
11:15 AM NIST Footwear Impression Comparison System (FICS)
Steven Lund, National Institute of Standards and Technology; Adam Pintar, National Institute of Standards and Technology
11:35 AM Discussant: Hari Iyer, National Institute of Standards & Technology
11:55 AM Discussant: Hal S. Stern, University of California-Irvine
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

143
Mon, 8/8/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-140A
SPEED: Bayesian Methods and Social Statistics Part 1 — Contributed Speed
Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Social Statistics Section, Section on Statistics in Marketing, Text Analysis Interest Group
Chair(s): Jorge Luis Romeu, Syracuse University
10:35 AM Spatial Structure and Labor Market Integration Projections in Germany
Monika Obersneider, University of Duisburg-Essen; Petra Stein, University of Duisburg-Essen
10:40 AM Jury Perception of Bullet Matching Algorithms and Demonstrative Evidence
Rachel Rogers, University of Nebraska-Lincoln; Susan VanderPlas, University of Nebraska - Lincoln
10:45 AM Parameter-Expanded Data Augmentations for Analyzing Mixed Ordinal and Continuous Data with Missing Values
Xiao Zhang, Michigan Technological University
10:50 AM Bayesian Nonparametric Inference on Restricted Mean Survival Time with Adjustments for Covariates
Ruizhe Chen, University of Illinois Chicago; Sanjib Basu, Biostatistics, University of Illinois Chicago; Qian Shi, Mayo Clinic
10:55 AM Causal Inference for Health Effects of Time-Varying Correlated Environmental Mixtures
Zilan Chai, Columbia University; Linda Valeri, Columbia University; Ana Navas-Acien, Columbia University; Brent Coull, Harvard University
11:00 AM Zero-Inflated Hierarchical Generalized Dirichlet Multinomial Bayesian Regression Model with Cyclic Splines for Analysis of TDP-43 on the ALS-FTD Spectrum
Patrick Gravelle, Brown University; Roee Gutman, Brown University
11:05 AM Approaches to Cost-Constrained Bayesian Model Selection
Erica May Porter, Virginia Tech; Christopher Franck, Virginia Tech; Stephen Adams, Virginia Tech Hume Center
11:10 AM Likelihood Ratios for Categorical Evidence with Applications to Digital Forensics
Rachel Longjohn, University of California Irvine; Padhraic Smyth, University of California Irvine
11:15 AM A Bayesian Kernel Machine Regression Approach to Assessing the Effect of Heavy Metal Mixtures in on the Risk of Heart Attack
Kazi Tanvir Hasan, Florida International University; Boubakari Ibrahimou, Florida International University; Shelbie Burchfield, Florida International University
11:20 AM Automated Detection of Edge Clusters via an Overfitted Mixture Prior
Hanh Pham, University of Iowa; Daniel Sewell, University of Iowa
11:35 AM Optional Randomized Response Technique for Estimating Proportions of Two Sensitive Characteristics and Their Overlap
Kavya Pushadapu, Texas A&M University-Kingsville; Sarjinder Singh, Texas A&M University-Kingsville
11:40 AM Bias Correction for Sampled Genetic Network Data
Gabrielle Lemire, Montana State University; Nicole Carnegie, Montana State University; Ravi Goyal, University of California San Diego; Breschine Cummins, Montana State University
11:45 AM Associations Between Digital Divide Indicators and Employment Retention Among Workers with and Without Disabilities
Amy Fong, Department of Labor - Office of Disability Employment Policy
11:50 AM Nonlinear Spatial Data Analysis for Induced Terminations of Pregnancy (ITOP) Incidents at Texas
YOONSUNG JUNG, Prairie View A&M University; Duchwan Ryu, Northern Illinois University
11:55 AM Modeling and Understanding Social Polarization in News Media
Shane Dakota Bookhultz, Virginia Tech; David Edwards, Virgnia Tech; Scotland Leman, Virginia Tech; Shyam Ranganathan, Clemson University; James Hawdon, Virginia Tech
12:00 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

152
Mon, 8/8/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-155
Statistical Methods for Data Privacy and Statistical Modeling of Social and Economic Factors — Contributed Papers
Social Statistics Section
Chair(s): Carlos Cinelli, University of Washington
10:35 AM A Formal Privacy Framework for Partially Private Data
Jeremy Seeman, Penn State University; Aleksandra B. Slavkovic, Penn State University; Matthew Reimherr, Penn State University
10:50 AM Posterior Inference on Privatized Data via Data Augmentation MCMC
Jordan Alexander Awan, Purdue University; Ruobin Gong, Rutgers University; Nianqiao Ju, Purdue University; Vinayak Rao, Purdue University
11:05 AM Evaluating the Impact of USDA Broadband Subsidy Programs Using Differentiable Gaussian Random Fields
Joshua Goldstein, Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia; Aritra Halder, University of Virginia; Hanna Charankevich, University of Virginia; John Pender, Economic Research Service, USDA; Aaron Schroeder, University of Virginia; Stephanie S Shipp, University of Virginia; Sallie Keller, Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia
11:20 AM Changes in Poverty 1995-2016 Using Comprehensive Income and Linked Data
Bruce D Meyer, University of Chicago; Derek Wu, University of Chicago
11:35 AM Income and Inequality Projections in Germany
Jana Emmenegger, German Federal Statistical Office; Monika Obersneider, University of Duisburg-Essen; Petra Stein, University of Duisburg-Essen
11:50 AM Loss Aversion and the Golden Number
Guillermina Jasso, New York University
12:05 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

172 !
Mon, 8/8/2022, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-143B
Thinking Outside the Box: Innovative Methods for Estimation and Inference for Surveys — Invited Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Jean Opsomer, Westat
Chair(s): Jean Opsomer, Westat
2:05 PM Statistical Data Integration Using Multilevel Models to Predict Employee Compensation Presentation
Andreea Luisa Erciulescu, Westat; Jean Opsomer, Westat; Benjamin Schneider, Westat
2:30 PM Multiple Bias Calibration: A New Propensity Score Weighting Framework for Handling Selection Bias in Voluntary Samples
Jae-kwang Kim, Iowa State University
2:55 PM Incorporating Order Restrictions in Survey Domain Mean Estimation and Inference
Mary C Meyer, Colorado State University; Xiyue Liao, California State University, Long Beach; Xiaoming Xu, Duke University; Jean Opsomer, Westat
3:20 PM Inference in the Presence of Imputed Databased on Random Forests
David Haziza, University of Ottawa; Mehdi Dagdoug, Université de Franche-Comté; Camelia Goga, Université de Franche Comté
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

192 * !
Mon, 8/8/2022, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-143A
Using Ranking Data for Decision-Making — Topic Contributed Papers
Social Statistics Section, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science, Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Elena Erosheva, University of Washington ; Michael Pearce, University of Washington
Chair(s): Michael Pearce, University of Washington
2:05 PM Mixture-of-Experts Models with Item Covariates for Ranking Data
Thomas Brendan Murphy, University College Dublin; Lucy Small, University College Dublin
2:25 PM Joint Confidence Regions for Communicating Uncertainty in Rankings Presentation
Jerzy Wieczorek, Colby College
2:45 PM The Usefulness of Both Ranking and Scoring in the Grant Review of Research Applications
Stephen Gallo, American Institute of Biological Sciences
3:05 PM Dishonest Behavior in Peer Review
Nihar B Shah, Carnegie Mellon University
3:25 PM Ratings as Comparisons with Mileposts -- a Mallows Model
Annelise Wagner, University of Washington; Marina Meila, University of Washington
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

208
Mon, 8/8/2022, 2:00 PM - 2:45 PM CC-Hall D
SPEED: Bayesian Methods and Social Statistics Part 2 — Contributed Poster Presentations
Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Social Statistics Section, Section on Statistics in Marketing
Chair(s): Jorge Luis Romeu, Syracuse University
01: Spatial Structure and Labor Market Integration Projections in Germany
Monika Obersneider, University of Duisburg-Essen; Petra Stein, University of Duisburg-Essen
02: Jury Perception of Bullet Matching Algorithms and Demonstrative Evidence
Rachel Rogers, University of Nebraska-Lincoln; Susan VanderPlas, University of Nebraska - Lincoln
03: Parameter-Expanded Data Augmentations for Analyzing Mixed Ordinal and Continuous Data with Missing Values
Xiao Zhang, Michigan Technological University
04: Bayesian Nonparametric Inference on Restricted Mean Survival Time with Adjustments for Covariates
Ruizhe Chen, University of Illinois Chicago; Sanjib Basu, Biostatistics, University of Illinois Chicago; Qian Shi, Mayo Clinic
05: Causal Inference for Health Effects of Time-Varying Correlated Environmental Mixtures
Zilan Chai, Columbia University; Linda Valeri, Columbia University; Ana Navas-Acien, Columbia University; Brent Coull, Harvard University
06: Zero-Inflated Hierarchical Generalized Dirichlet Multinomial Bayesian Regression Model with Cyclic Splines for Analysis of TDP-43 on the ALS-FTD Spectrum
Patrick Gravelle, Brown University; Roee Gutman, Brown University
07: Approaches to Cost-Constrained Bayesian Model Selection
Erica May Porter, Virginia Tech; Christopher Franck, Virginia Tech; Stephen Adams, Virginia Tech Hume Center
08: Likelihood Ratios for Categorical Evidence with Applications to Digital Forensics
Rachel Longjohn, University of California Irvine; Padhraic Smyth, University of California Irvine
09: A Bayesian Kernel Machine Regression Approach to Assessing the Effect of Heavy Metal Mixtures in on the Risk of Heart Attack
Kazi Tanvir Hasan, Florida International University; Boubakari Ibrahimou, Florida International University; Shelbie Burchfield, Florida International University
10: Automated Detection of Edge Clusters via an Overfitted Mixture Prior
Hanh Pham, University of Iowa; Daniel Sewell, University of Iowa
11: A Bayesian Hierarchical Time Series Model for Estimating Sex Ratios in Youth Mortality
Fengqing Chao, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology; Bruno Masquelier, Universite catholique de Louvain; Haavard Rue, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology; Hernando Ombao, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology; Leontine Alkema, University of Massachusetts, Amherst
12: Optional Randomized Response Technique for Estimating Proportions of Two Sensitive Characteristics and Their Overlap
Kavya Pushadapu, Texas A&M University-Kingsville; Sarjinder Singh, Texas A&M University-Kingsville
13: Bias Correction for Sampled Genetic Network Data
Gabrielle Lemire, Montana State University; Nicole Carnegie, Montana State University; Ravi Goyal, University of California San Diego; Breschine Cummins, Montana State University
14: Associations Between Digital Divide Indicators and Employment Retention Among Workers with and Without Disabilities
Amy Fong, Department of Labor - Office of Disability Employment Policy
15: Nonlinear Spatial Data Analysis for Induced Terminations of Pregnancy (ITOP) Incidents at Texas
YOONSUNG JUNG, Prairie View A&M University; Duchwan Ryu, Northern Illinois University
16: Modeling and Understanding Social Polarization in News Media
Shane Dakota Bookhultz, Virginia Tech; David Edwards, Virgnia Tech; Scotland Leman, Virginia Tech; Shyam Ranganathan, Clemson University; James Hawdon, Virginia Tech
 
 

219 * !
Tue, 8/9/2022, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-201
Expanding Access to Administrative and Survey Data for Public Policy Decision-Making — Invited Papers
Government Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Claire McKay Bowen, Urban Institute
Chair(s): Claire McKay Bowen, Urban Institute
8:35 AM Working with Stakeholders to Protect Data Confidentiality
Aaron R. Williams, Urban Institute
9:00 AM Expanding Data Access While Protecting Confidentiality
Ellen Galantucci, Federal Maritime Commission
9:25 AM Survey of Economists’ Perspectives on Differentially Private Methods
Joshua Snoke, RAND Corporation; Aaron R. Williams, Urban Institute; Claire McKay Bowen, Urban Institute; Andrés Barrientos
9:50 AM An Assessment of Privacy-Preserving Regression Analyses Within the Context of Validation Servers for Administrative Tax Data
Andres F. Barrientos, Florida State University; Aaron R. Williams, Urban Institute; Joshua Snoke, RAND Corporation; Claire McKay Bowen, Urban Institute
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

257 * !
Tue, 8/9/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-150B
CANCELED; Using Statistics to Advance Human Rights — Invited Papers
Social Statistics Section, Committee on Law and Justice Statistics, Committee on Scientific Freedom and Human Rights, Justice Equity Diversity and Inclusion Outreach Group, Caucus for Women in Statistics
11:35 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

273 * !
Tue, 8/9/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-150A
Alignment, Accuracy, Precision: Comparing and Combining Data from Multiple Sources — Topic Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Stephanie Coffey, US Census Bureau
Chair(s): Stephanie Coffey, US Census Bureau
10:35 AM Comparing the 2019 American Housing Survey to Contemporary Property Tax Records: Implications for Survey Efficiency and Quality
Ariel J Binder, U.S. Census Bureau; Emily Molfino, HUD; John Voorheis, US Census Bureau
10:55 AM Understanding Self-Employment Income Data Quality in the American Community Survey
John Voorheis, US Census Bureau
11:15 AM Hierarchical Bayesian Model for County-Level Cash Rental Rates
Lu Chen, NISS/NASS, USDA; Balgobin Nandram, Worcester Polytechnic Institute
11:35 AM Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Combining Probability and Nonprobability Samples Under Unknown Overlaps
Terrance D Savitsky, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Matthew R Williams, RTI International; Julie Gershunskaya, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Beresovsky Vladislav, NCHS
11:55 AM Incorporating Administrative Data in Survey Weights for Federal Household Surveys
Jonathan Eggleston, U.S. Census Bureau
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

293
Tue, 8/9/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-Hall D
Contributed Poster Presentations: Social Statistics Section — Contributed Poster Presentations
Social Statistics Section
Chair(s): Gyuhyeong Goh, Kansas State University
44: Effect of Substance Use on Depressive Symptoms
Margaret Appiah, University of Environment and Sustainable Development; Edmund Essah Ameyaw, Howard University
45: Enhancing a Cross-Agency Metadata Model
Heather Madray, U.S. Census Bureau; Kate McNamara, U.S. Census Bureau; Adrienne Chen-Young, The MITRE Corporation; Swami Natarajan, The MITRE Corporation
 
 

Register 303
Tue, 8/9/2022, 12:30 PM - 1:50 PM CC-Ballroom Level South Prefunction
Social Statistics Section P.M. Roundtable Discussion (Added Fee) — Roundtables PM Roundtable Discussion
Social Statistics Section
TL18: Getting Involved in Data for Social Good: Experiences and Opportunities
David Corliss, Peace-Work
 
 

325 * !
Tue, 8/9/2022, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-144B
Investigating COVID-19 and the Criminal Legal System, Policing, and Crime — Topic Contributed Papers
Social Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section, Caucus for Women in Statistics
Organizer(s): Amelia M. Haviland, Carnegie Mellon University
Chair(s): Max Rubinstein, Carnegie Mellon University
2:05 PM The Impact of COVID-19 Lockdowns on Crime: Causal Evidence from Bogota, Colombia
Maria Cuellar, University of Pennsylvania; Javier Rojas, University of Chicago; Angela Zorro Medina, The University of Chicago
2:25 PM The Impact of COVID-19 on Law Enforcement Agencies: A Multi-Wave National Survey
Cynthia Lum, George Mason University; Carl Maupin, International Association of Chiefs of Police
2:45 PM COVID Risk and Racial Disparities in Policing, Jail, and Low Wage, Essential Work: An SIR Simulation Study
Amelia M. Haviland, Carnegie Mellon University; Phillip Atiba Goff, Yale University; Tracey Lloyd, CENTER FOR POLICING EQUITY; Mikaela M Meyer, Carnegie Mellon University
3:05 PM Changes in Crime Rates During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Mikaela M Meyer, Carnegie Mellon University; Ahmed Hassafy, Carnegie Mellon University; Gina Lewis, Carnegie Mellon University; Prasun Shrestha, Carnegie Mellon University; Amelia M. Haviland, Carnegie Mellon University; Daniel Nagin, Carnegie Mellon University
3:25 PM Discussant: Daniel Nagin, Carnegie Mellon University
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

Register 358
Wed, 8/10/2022, 7:00 AM - 8:15 AM CC-Ballroom Level South Prefunction
Social Statistics Section A.M. Roundtable Discussion (Added Fee) — Roundtables AM Roundtable Discussion
Social Statistics Section
WL04: Gun Violence Research Designs Needed to Combat Myths About Police Shootings and Safety
James Landis Rosenberger, Penn State and NISS
 
 

377 *
Wed, 8/10/2022, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-151B
Measuring Sex, Gender Identity, and Sexual Orientation: Findings of the National Academies — Topic Contributed Papers
Social Statistics Section, ASA LGBTQ+ Advocacy Committee, Government Statistics Section, Caucus for Women in Statistics
Organizer(s): Nancy Bates, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Tara Becker, National Academies
8:35 AM Measuring Sex, Gender Identity, and Sexual Orientation: Definitions, Principles, and Conclusions
Kellan Baker, Whitman-Walker Institute
8:55 AM Measuring Sexual Orientation: Recommendations from the National Academy of Sciences Consensus Panel Report
Nancy Bates, U.S. Census Bureau
9:15 AM Measuring Gender Identity for National Population Surveys: Results from the NASEM Committee Report
D'Lane Compton, University of New Orleans
9:35 AM Measuring Intersex: Findings of the National Academies
KATHARINE DALKE, Penn State Health
9:55 AM Implementing Affirming Sexual and Gender Minority Measures: Making the NASEM Report, 'Measuring Sex, Gender Identity, and Sexual Orientation,' Actionable
Christina N Dragon, Sexual and Gender Minority Research Office, NIH; Karen L Parker, Sexual and Gender Minority Research Office, NIH
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

407 * !
Wed, 8/10/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-152A
50 Years of the Committee on National Statistics: Impacts and Vision for the Future — Invited Panel
Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section, Committee on National Statistics; NAS
Organizer(s): Brian Harris-Kojetin, National Academies of Science
Chair(s): Melissa Chiu, National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
10:35 AM 50 Years of the Committee on National Statistics: Impacts and Vision for the Future
Panelists: Brian Harris-Kojetin, National Academies of Science
Constance Citro, National Academy of Sciences
Robert Groves, Georgetown University
Emilda Rivers, National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics
Cynthia Clark, National Agricultural Statistics Service (retired)
12:10 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

429
Wed, 8/10/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-142
Frequentist and Bayesian Inference for Complex Social Data — Contributed Papers
Social Statistics Section
Chair(s): Shane Lubold, University of Washington
10:35 AM Empirical Test to Asymetric Rand Index : An Application to Recode Pathways
Elisabeth Morand, Ined
10:50 AM Integrating Complex Models for Panel Data into the Dynamic Microsimulation
Dawid Bekalarczyk, University of Duisburg-Essen
11:05 AM An Approach to Causal Inference Over Stochastic Networks
Duncan Clark, University of California, Los Angeles; Mark Stephen Handcock, University of California - Los Angeles
11:20 AM Estimating Causal Spillover Effects in Smallholder Farmer Networks in Western Kenya
Medha Uppala, Center for Social Data Analytics, Penn State University; Bruce Desmarais, Center for Social Data Analytics, Penn State University; David P Hughes, Huck Institutes of the Life Sciences, Penn State
11:35 AM Estimation of High-Frequency Logit Models and Multinomial Models Based on Mixed-Frequency Data
Zheng Xu, Wright State University
11:50 AM A Shared Component Point Process Model for Urban Policing
Claire Kelling, Pennsylvania State University; Murali Haran, Pennsylvania State University
12:05 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

459 * !
Wed, 8/10/2022, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-143C
Statistical Methods for Social Interactions — Invited Papers
Social Statistics Section, Statistics and Public Policy, Survey Research Methods Section
Organizer(s): Cory McCartan, Harvard University
Chair(s): Peter Hoff, Duke University
2:05 PM Revealed Preference Models for Separating Preferences and Availability Effects in Marriage Formation
Mark Stephen Handcock, University of California - Los Angeles; Shuchi Goyal, University of California - Los Angeles; Michael S. Rendall, University of Maryland, College Park; Heide M. Jackson, University of Maryland, College Park
2:20 PM Network Dependence Can Lead to Spurious Associations and Invalid Inference
Youjin Lee, Brown University; Elizabeth Ogburn, Johns Hopkins University
2:35 PM Measuring and Modeling Neighborhoods
Cory McCartan, Harvard University; Kosuke Imai, Harvard University; Jacob Brown, Harvard University
2:50 PM Examining the Consumption of Extreme Content on Social and Mainstream Media
Homa Hosseinmardi, University of Pennsylvania; David Rothschild, Microsoft Research
3:05 PM Very Long-Term Global Population and Migration Projections for Assessing the Social Cost of Carbon
Adrian E. Raftery, University of Washington
3:20 PM Discussant: Andrew Gelman, Columbia University
3:35 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

467 * !
Wed, 8/10/2022, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-144B
Alternative Data Sources Utilization in Clinical Development — Topic Contributed Papers
Health Policy Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section
Organizer(s): Freda Cooner, Amgen
Chair(s): Judy Li, Bristol Myers Squibb
2:05 PM Achieving Regulatory Approval Using Real-World Evidence: Challenges and Considerations
Tae Hyun (Ryan) Jung, US FDA
2:25 PM Bridging the Gap Between Clinical Trial and Real World Data: A Framework for Working with Real-World Data in Clinical Development
Laura L Fernandes, COTA Healthcare
2:45 PM Industry Applications of RWD to Advance Drug Development and Inform Regulatory Decision-Making
May Mo, Amgen
3:05 PM Illustration of Propensity Score Weighted External Control with Single Arm Phase 2 Trial and Hybrid Randomized and External Control in Phase 3 Design in Recurrent Glioblastoma
Ruthie Davi, Acorn AI by Medidata
3:25 PM Discussant: Yueqin Zhao, Food and Drug Administration
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

469 * !
Wed, 8/10/2022, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-143A
2022 GSS/SRMS/SSS Student Paper Competition Award Winners — Topic Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Andreea Luisa Erciulescu, Westat
Chair(s): Megan Price, HRDAG
2:05 PM A-Optimal Split Questionnaire Designs for Multivariate Continuous Variables
Dae-Gyu Jang, Iowa State University; Zhengyuan Zhu, Iowa State University; Cindy Yu, Iowa State University
2:25 PM Sample Size Estimation in Respondent-Driven Sampling
Yibo Wang, University of Michigan; Michael Elliott, University of Michigan; Sunghee Lee, University of Michigan, Institute for Social Research
2:45 PM Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve for Complex Survey Data
Tamy Harumy Moraes Tsujimoto, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Jianwen Cai, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
3:05 PM On the Reliability of Multiple Systems Estimation for the Quantification of Modern Slavery Presentation
Olivier Binette, Duke University; Rebecca Steorts, Duke University
3:25 PM Smoothed Model-Assisted Small Area Estimation
Peter A. Gao, University of Washington; Jon Wakefield, University of Washington
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

507 * !
Thu, 8/11/2022, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-151B
How Can Data Science Improve Surveys? — Topic Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Tom Krenzke, Westat
Chair(s): Tom Krenzke, Westat
8:35 AM Use Machine Learning Approach to Assess Interviewer Performance
Hanyu Sun, Westat; Ting Yan, Westat
8:55 AM Evolving Official Estimates Using Data Science and Diverse Survey and Nonsurvey Data Sources
Linda J Young, USDA National Agricultural Statistics Agency
9:15 AM Faster, Cheaper, Better: How the UK’s Office for National Statistics Is Using Data Science and Machine Learning to Strengthen Our Surveys
Tom Smith, Office for National Statistics, UK; Arthur Turrell, Office for National Statistics, UK
9:35 AM Surveys and Data Science at Statistics Canada
Eric Rancourt, Statistics Canada
9:55 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

510 * !
Thu, 8/11/2022, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-154A
Innovative Approaches in Sample Survey Designs — Topic Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Katherine J. Thompson, US Census Bureau
Chair(s): Hang Kim, University of Cincinnati
8:35 AM Oversampling of Minority Populations Through Dual-Frame Surveys
Alexander Stubblefield, Michigan State University; Julie Stoner, University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center; Sixia Chen, University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center
8:55 AM Creating Multiple Synthetic Frames for Sample Design Research on the Business Enterprise Research and Development Survey
Matthew R Williams, RTI International; Hang Kim, University of Cincinnati; Katherine J. Thompson, US Census Bureau; Stephen Kaputa, U.S. Census Bureau
9:15 AM Using Differentially Private Synthetic Data to Inform the Design Stage of a Sample Survey
Marcel Neunhoeffer, Boston University; Katherine J. Thompson, US Census Bureau; Donald Mark Bauder, U.S. Census Bureau
9:35 AM Developing a Unified Sample Design for the Annual Integrated Economic Survey
Katherine J. Thompson, US Census Bureau
9:55 AM Discussant: Jill Dever, RTI International
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

525
Thu, 8/11/2022, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-155
Applications of Statistical Measurement to a Range of Social Issues: From Cost of Living to Social Unrest — Contributed Papers
Social Statistics Section
Chair(s): Maria Geraldine E. Baggs, Abbott
8:35 AM A Spatial Unified Price Index
Adam Christopher Hall, US Census Bureau
8:50 AM Who's Afraid of Data? Lessons from the Field in Myanmar Presentation
Nimai Mehta, American University; Mary Gray, American University
9:05 AM Partial Association Between Mixed Data: Assessing the Impact of COVID-19 on College Student Well-Being
Shaobo Li, University of Kansas; Zhaohu Fan, University of Cincinnati; Dungang Liu, University of Cincinnati; Ivy Liu, Victoria University of Wellington; Philip S. Morrison, Victoria University of Wellington
9:20 AM Empathetic Data Science Practice: Towards Community-Led Statistics for Stronger Science
Claire Macnamara Morton, Stanford University
9:35 AM Analysis of the Impact of Secondary Source Data on the CPI’s Gasoline Standard Errors
Jenny FitzGerald, Bureau of Labor Statistics
9:50 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

535 !
Thu, 8/11/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-144B
Learning Individualized Treatment Rules in Complex Settings — Invited Papers
Health Policy Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Eli Ben-Michael, Harvard University
Chair(s): Kosuke Imai, Harvard University
10:35 AM Safe Policy Learning Through Extrapolation: Application to Pre-Trial Risk Assessment
Eli Ben-Michael, Harvard University; Jim Greiner, Harvard University; Kosuke Imai, Harvard University; Zhichao Jiang, University of Massachusetts Amherst
10:55 AM On Identification of Optimal Dynamic Treatment Regimes: A Proximal Causal Inference Approach
Eric J Tchetgen Tchetgen, University of Pennsylvania
11:15 AM Confounding-Robust Policy Evaluation in Infinite-Horizon Reinforcement Learning
Angela Zhou, UC Berkeley; Nathan Kallus, Cornell University
11:35 AM Off-Policy Evaluation in Partially Observed Markov Decision Processes
Stefan Wager, Stanford University; Yuchen Hu, Stanford
11:55 AM Discussant: Qingyuan Zhao, University of Cambridge
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

538 *
Thu, 8/11/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-151A
Transitions from Telephone Surveys to Self-Administered and Mixed-Mode Surveys — Invited Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Stas Kolenikov, NORC
Chair(s): James Wagner, University of Michigan
10:35 AM Transitions from Telephone to Mixed Mode Surveys
Kristen Olson, University of Nebraska At Lincoln
10:55 AM Early Experiences When Transitioning from RDD to a Postal Mail Survey Using a Paper Questionnaire
David Cantor, Westat
11:15 AM The Impact of an RDD to ABS/Mail Sample Design and Mode Change in the 2021 New York City Community Health Survey (CHS) Presentation
Michael Witt, Abt Associates; Steven Fernandez, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene; Stephen Immerwahr , New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene; Stas Kolenikov, NORC; Amber Levanon Seligson, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene; Martha McRoy, Abt Associates; John Sokolowski, Abt Associates; Nicholas Ruther, Abt Associates; Stephanie Zimmer, Abt Associates
11:35 AM Transitions from Single to Multi-Mode Surveys: The NORC Experience
Ned English, NORC at the University of Chicago; Anna Wiencrot, NORC at the University of Chicago; Colm O'Muircheartaigh, NORC at the University of Chicago
11:55 AM Discussant: Stas Kolenikov, NORC
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

544 !
Thu, 8/11/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-149AB
Assessing Different Approaches to Combining Probability and Nonprobability Samples via Simulations — Topic Contributed Papers
Social Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Michael Yang, NORC at the University of Chicago
Chair(s): Katherine J. Thompson, US Census Bureau
10:35 AM Combining Data from Probability and Nonprobability Samples Using Doubly Robust Methods
Michael Elliott, University of Michigan; Ali Rafei, Meta; Carol Flannagan, University of Michigan
10:55 AM Assessing the Accuracy of Estimates from a Blended Sample Where the Nonprobability Subsample Has Been Calibrated to the Probability Subsample
Jamie Ridenhour, RTI International; Phillip S. Kott, RTI International
11:15 AM Hybrid Methods for Combining Probability and Nonprobability Samples for Estimation
Michael Yang, NORC at the University of Chicago; Nada M Ganesh, NORC at the University of Chicago; Edward Mulrow, NORC at the University of Chicago; Evan Herring-Nathan, NORC at the University of Chicago; Vicki Pineau, NORC at the University of Chicago
11:35 AM A Dual-Frame Estimation Approach for Combining Probability and Nonprobability Samples
Chien-Min Huang, Colorado State University; Jay Breidt, NORC at the University of Chicago
11:55 AM Discussant: Andrew Mercer, Pew Research Center
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

547 * !
Thu, 8/11/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-144C
Statistics About Crime and Justice for Tribal Areas and for American Indian and Alaska Natives: Current State and the Need for Innovation — Topic Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Amy Lauger, Bureau of Justice Statistics
Chair(s): Matthew Durose, Bureau of Justice Statistics
10:35 AM Crime and Victimization on Tribal Lands and Involving American Indians and Alaska Natives–Opportunities and Challenges
Amy Lauger, Bureau of Justice Statistics
10:55 AM Tribal Law Enforcement and Court Systems in the U.S
Steven W. Perry, Bureau of Justice Statistics, U.S. Department of Justice
11:15 AM Results of the Survey of Jails in Indian Country
Michael B Field, Bureau of Justice Statistics; Todd D. Minton, Bureau of Justice Statistics
11:35 AM Discussant: Christine Crossland, National Institute of Justice
11:55 AM Discussant: Emily Wright, University of Nebraska, Omaha
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

549 * !
Thu, 8/11/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-150B
Integration of Design and Estimation Approaches in the Use of Auxiliary Data with Sample Surveys — Topic Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): John L. Eltinge, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Daniell Toth, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
10:35 AM Predictive Modeling Using an Enhanced Address-Based Sampling Frame
Rachel Harter, RTI International; Joseph McMichael, RTI International
10:55 AM On the Use of Auxiliary Data in Multiple-Source Extensions of Adaptive Survey Design Concepts and Methods Presentation
Kayla Varela, US Census Bureau; Stephanie Coffey, US Census Bureau; John L. Eltinge, U.S. Census Bureau; Jaya Damineni, US Census Bureau; Anup Mathur, US Census Bureau
11:15 AM Tackling the Overabundance of Options in Survey Estimation
Kelly McConville, Harvard University; Grayson White, RedCastle Resources, Inc.; Olek Wojcik, Reed College; Samuel Olson, Reed College; Paul Nguyen, Reed College; Gretchen Moisen, USDA Forest Service; Tracey Frescino, USDA Forest Service
11:35 AM An Approximate Bayesian Approach to Improving Probability Sample Estimators Using a Supplementary Nonprobability Sample
Yong You, Statistics Canada; Abel DaSylva, Statistics Canada; Jean-Francois Beaumont, Statistics Canada
11:55 AM Nonresponse Weight Adjustment in the Census Bureau's Probability and Nonprobability Tracking Surveys
Eric Slud, US Census Bureau
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

550 *
Thu, 8/11/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-150A
Federal Statistical Agency Initiatives to Broaden Data Access — Topic Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section
Organizer(s): John Finamore, National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics
Chair(s): John Finamore, National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics
10:35 AM Results from a Stakeholder Feedback Survey for the NCSES Secure Data Access Facility
Darius Singpurwalla, National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics
10:55 AM The National Center for Health Statistics Virtual Data Enclave (VDE)
J. Neil Russell, National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS)
11:15 AM Federal Statistical Research Data Centers Virtual Access
Barbara Downs, US Census Bureau
11:35 AM Implementing the Evidence Act’s Standard Application Process
Spiro Stefanou, USDA-Economic Research Service
11:55 AM Discussant: Leonard Burman, Urban Institute
12:10 PM Floor Discussion