Abstract:
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Income is one of the leading indicators to measure individual opportunities, regional differences, and inequality in a society. Previous research has provided significant knowledge to explain gender- and migration-related inequalities. However, how the inequalities will develop in the future or under different conditions remains unclear. Statistical simulation methods are used in social sciences as analytical instruments to project future population developments. In particular, dynamic microsimulations allow to model individual, household, as well as regional aspects and analyze complex social dynamics under different what-if scenarios. This contribution aims to examine the potential dynamics in gender and migrant pay gaps across the regions in Germany. We simulate two scenarios: increased full-time employment of a) all women b) the female immigrant population. The first results show that women's increased labor market participation has a regionally diverging effect on the inequality dynamics.
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