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CC = Colorado Convention Center   H = Hyatt Regency Denver at Colorado Convention Center
* = applied session       ! = JSM meeting theme

Activity Details


29
Sun, 7/28/2019, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-502
SPEED: Survey Methods, Transportation Studies, SocioEconomics, and General Statistical Methods Part 1 — Contributed Speed
Survey Research Methods Section, Transportation Statistics Interest Group, Quality and Productivity Section, Business and Economic Statistics Section, IMS
Chair(s): Georgiy Bobashev, Research Triangle Institute
Poster Presentations for this session.
2:05 PM Frame Development and Sample Design for the 2018 National Survey of Children's Health
Presentation
Emilee Sizemore, US Census Bureau; Tracy Mattingly, US Census Bureau; Antoinette Lubich, US Census Bureau
2:10 PM A Modeling Approach to Compensate for Nonresponse and Selection Bias in Surveys
Presentation
Tien-Huan Lin, Westat; Ismael Flores Cervantes, Westat
2:15 PM A Comparison of Clustering Criteria for Evaluating Multivariate Stratifications of Primary Sampling Units
Presentation
Padraic Murphy, U.S. Census Bureau
2:20 PM Statistical Data Integration and Inference via Multilevel Regression and Poststratification
Presentation
Yajuan Si, University of Michigan
2:30 PM Comparing the Performance of Machine Learning and Semiparametric Regression Methods for Prediction of Travel Times and Flows on Urban Mass Transit Systems
Daniel Graham, Imperial College London
2:35 PM The Relationship Between Driver Performance and Driver Workload Using Functional Data Analysis
Presentation
Jundi Liu, University of Washington; Erika Miller, Colorado State University; Linda Ng Boyle, University of Washington
2:40 PM Causal Impacts of New Urban Transit Provision on Air Quality: a Case Study of Jubilee Line Extension in London
Liang Ma, Imperial College London; Marc E. J. Stettler, Imperial College London; Daniel Graham, Imperial College London
2:45 PM Comparing the Quality of Online to Interviewer-Gathered Survey Data: Preliminary Results from the 2019 Survey of Consumer Finances Web Experiment
Presentation
Richard Windle, Federal Reserve Board
2:50 PM Cluster-Stratified Outcome-Dependent Sampling in Resource-Limited Settings: Inference and Small-Sample Considerations
Presentation
Sara Sauer, Harvard School of Public Health; Bethany Hedt-Gauthier, Harvard Medical School; Claudia Rivera-Rodriguez, University of Auckland; Sebastien Haneuse, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health
3:00 PM Bayesian Uncertainty Estimation Under Complex Sampling
Presentation
Matthew Williams, National Science Foundation; Terrance Savitsky, Bureau of Labor Statistics
3:05 PM How Hard Is it to Remove Mode Effects in Multimode Surveys? Basic Weighting V. Three Model-Based Methods
Matt Jans; Randy ZuWallack, ICF; Kelly Martin, ICF; Thomas Brassell, ICF; James Dayton, ICF; Stephen Immerwahr, NYC DOHMH; Amber Levanon Seligson, NYC DOHMH; Sahnah Lim, NYU
3:15 PM Use of an Artificial Realistic Dataset to Compare the Performance of Different Cross-Sectional Methods for Estimating Crash Modification Factors
Presentation
Bo Lan, University of North Carolina; Raghavan Srinivasan, University of North Carolina Highway Safety Research Center
3:20 PM Use of Matching Algorithms to Determine Unit Eligibility
Presentation 1 Presentation 2
Brandon Hopkins, RTI International; Kimberly Ault, RTI International
3:25 PM DOE Optimization of Managing Trip in Europe
Presentation 1 Presentation 2
Charles Chen, Applied Materials; Mason Chen, Mission San Jose High School, Stanford OHS; Brianna Zheng, Basis School
3:30 PM Does Location Matter? a Case-Study of the Influence of Geography in Measurement of Gasoline Price Inflation
Presentation
David Popko, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Ilmo Sung., U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
3:35 PM Estimating Generalized Linear Models with the Pseudo-Marginal Metropolis-Hastings Algorithm
Presentation
Taylor Brown, University of Virginia; Tim McMurry, University of Virginia School of Medicine
3:40 PM Two-Step Estimation for Time Varying ARCH Models
Presentation
Yuanyuan Zhang; Rong Liu, University of Toledo; Qin Shao, University of Toledo; Lijian Yang, Tsinghua University
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

51 * !
Sun, 7/28/2019, 4:00 PM - 5:50 PM CC-210/212
Making Sense of Discrete Data: Challenges, Inferences and Applications — Invited Papers
Social Statistics Section, Business and Economic Statistics Section, Section on Statistics in Marketing
Organizer(s): Dungang Liu, University of Cincinnati
Chair(s): Chris Wild, University of Auckland
4:05 PM Clustering Language Features: Scaling up from Micro to Macro Variation
Presentation
Ivy Liu, Victoria University of Wellington; Richard Arnold, Victoria University of Wellington; Miriam Meyerhoff, Victoria University of Wellington; Shirley Pledger, Victoria University of Wellington; Lingyu Li, Victoria University of Wellington
4:35 PM Assessing Partial Association Between Ordinal Variables: A General Framework
Dungang Liu, University of Cincinnati; Shaobo Li, University of Kansas; Yan Yu, University of Cincinnati
5:05 PM Mediation Analysis via Copula Structural Equation Models for Variables of Mixed Types
Peter X.K. Song , School of Public Health, University of Michigan ; Wei Hao, University of Michigan
5:35 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

56 * !
Sun, 7/28/2019, 4:00 PM - 5:50 PM CC-505
Modern Methods for Structured and Dynamically Dependent Data — Invited Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section, JBES-Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Business Analytics/Statistics Education Interest Group
Organizer(s): Daniel R Kowal, Rice University
Chair(s): Daniel R Kowal, Rice University
4:25 PM Introducing the Mean Locally Stationary Wavelet Process and Its Application to Business Data
Presentation
Rebecca Killick, Lancaster University, UK; Euan McGonigle, Lancaster University; Matthew Nunes, University of Bath
4:45 PM Spectral analysis of a class of high-dimensional linear processes
Debashis Paul, University of California, Davis
5:05 PM Autoregressive Models for Large Matrix Series
Han Xiao, Rutgers University
5:25 PM Discussant: Katherine Ensor, Rice University
5:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

63 *
Sun, 7/28/2019, 4:00 PM - 5:50 PM CC-113
Cryptocurrency Surveys: Challenges and Results from Central Banks — Topic Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Business and Economic Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Kevin M. Foster, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Chair(s): Marcin M. Hitczenko, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
4:05 PM Measuring Consumer Cryptocurrency Adoption and Use in the United States
Presentation
Kevin M. Foster, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
4:25 PM Ownership and Purchase Intention of Crypto-Assets – Results from an Austrian Survey
Helmut Stix, Oesterreichische Nationalbank
4:45 PM Economic Networks with Incentives: The Mobile Money Case in Ecuador
Ivan Rivadeneyra, University of Hawaii - Manoa; Daniel Suthers, University of Hawaii - Manoa; Ruben Juarez, University of Hawaii - Manoa
5:05 PM Bubbles in My Bitcoin: Results from the 2018 Bitcoin Omnibus Survey
Presentation
Gradon Nicholls, Bank of Canada; Christopher Henry, Bank of Canada; Kim Huynh, Bank of Canada; Mitchell Nicholson, Bank of Canada
5:25 PM Discussant: Kim Huynh, Bank of Canada
5:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

74
Sun, 7/28/2019, 4:00 PM - 5:50 PM CC-507
Statistical Methods and Applications: Domestic and International — Contributed Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section
Chair(s): Emily Lei Kang, University of Cincinnati
4:05 PM Impacting Policy by Estimating Causal Links
Presentation
Hrishikesh Vinod, Fordham University, NY
4:20 PM Asymptotically Unbiased Inference for a Panel VAR Model with P Lags
Presentation
Luis Melo, Banco De La Republica; Juan Sebastian Cubillos, Banco de la Republica
4:35 PM Nonparametric Estimation and Testing for Positively Quadrant Dependent Copula
Lu Lu, North Carolina State University; Sujit Ghosh, North Carolina State Univ.
4:50 PM Postwar Railroad Productivity Measurement: Refining the Statistical Analysis
Presentation
Robert Reynolds, Brattle Group; Sarah Wolfolds, Cornell University
5:05 PM ANALYSIS of TRENDS and DETERMINANTS of MORTALITY in the KINGDOM of SAUDI ARABIA
Presentation
Ashraf Ahmed, Morgan State University-Institute for Urban Research; Samar Al Abbas, Morgan State University
5:20 PM On the Use of Incomplete Moments for Measuring Income Inequalities
Presentation
Sayed A Mostafa, North Carolina A&T State University; Ibrahim A Ahmad, Oklahoma State University
5:35 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

89
Sun, 7/28/2019, 5:05 PM - 5:50 PM CC-Hall C
SPEED: Survey Methods, Transportation Studies, SocioEconomics, and General Statistical Methods Part 2 — Contributed Poster Presentations
Survey Research Methods Section, Transportation Statistics Interest Group, Quality and Productivity Section, Business and Economic Statistics Section, IMS
Chair(s): Georgiy Bobashev, Research Triangle Institute
Oral Presentations for this session.
20: Frame Development and Sample Design for the 2018 National Survey of Children's Health
Emilee Sizemore, US Census Bureau; Tracy Mattingly, US Census Bureau; Antoinette Lubich, US Census Bureau
21: A Modeling Approach to Compensate for Nonresponse and Selection Bias in Surveys
Tien-Huan Lin, Westat; Ismael Flores Cervantes, Westat
22: A Comparison of Clustering Criteria for Evaluating Multivariate Stratifications of Primary Sampling Units
Padraic Murphy, U.S. Census Bureau
23: Statistical Data Integration and Inference via Multilevel Regression and Poststratification
Yajuan Si, University of Michigan
25: Comparing the Performance of Machine Learning and Semiparametric Regression Methods for Prediction of Travel Times and Flows on Urban Mass Transit Systems
Daniel Graham, Imperial College London
26: The Relationship Between Driver Performance and Driver Workload Using Functional Data Analysis
Jundi Liu, University of Washington; Erika Miller, Colorado State University; Linda Ng Boyle, University of Washington
27: Causal Impacts of New Urban Transit Provision on Air Quality: a Case Study of Jubilee Line Extension in London
Liang Ma, Imperial College London; Marc E. J. Stettler, Imperial College London; Daniel Graham, Imperial College London
28: Comparing the Quality of Online to Interviewer-Gathered Survey Data: Preliminary Results from the 2019 Survey of Consumer Finances Web Experiment
Richard Windle, Federal Reserve Board
29: Cluster-Stratified Outcome-Dependent Sampling in Resource-Limited Settings: Inference and Small-Sample Considerations
Sara Sauer, Harvard School of Public Health; Bethany Hedt-Gauthier, Harvard Medical School; Claudia Rivera-Rodriguez, University of Auckland; Sebastien Haneuse, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health
30: Bayesian Uncertainty Estimation Under Complex Sampling
Matthew Williams, National Science Foundation; Terrance Savitsky, Bureau of Labor Statistics
31: How Hard Is it to Remove Mode Effects in Multimode Surveys? Basic Weighting V. Three Model-Based Methods
Matt Jans; Randy ZuWallack, ICF; Kelly Martin, ICF; Thomas Brassell, ICF; James Dayton, ICF; Stephen Immerwahr, NYC DOHMH; Amber Levanon Seligson, NYC DOHMH; Sahnah Lim, NYU
33: Use of Matching Algorithms to Determine Unit Eligibility
Brandon Hopkins, RTI International; Kimberly Ault, RTI International
34: Use of an Artificial Realistic Dataset to Compare the Performance of Different Cross-Sectional Methods for Estimating Crash Modification Factors
Bo Lan, University of North Carolina; Raghavan Srinivasan, University of North Carolina Highway Safety Research Center
35: Does Location Matter? a Case-Study of the Influence of Geography in Measurement of Gasoline Price Inflation
David Popko, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Ilmo Sung., U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
36: DOE Optimization of Managing Trip in Europe
Charles Chen, Applied Materials; Mason Chen, Mission San Jose High School, Stanford OHS; Brianna Zheng, Basis School
37: Estimating Generalized Linear Models with the Pseudo-Marginal Metropolis-Hastings Algorithm
Taylor Brown, University of Virginia; Tim McMurry, University of Virginia School of Medicine
38: Two-Step Estimation for Time Varying ARCH Models
Yuanyuan Zhang; Rong Liu, University of Toledo; Qin Shao, University of Toledo; Lijian Yang, Tsinghua University
Oral Presentations for this session.
 
 

106 * !
Mon, 7/29/2019, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-705
Administrative Income Data, Survey Data and Inequality — Invited Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section
Organizer(s): Bruce D Meyer, University of Chicago
Chair(s): Marina Gindelsky, Bureau of Economic Analysis
8:35 AM Using Survey and Tax Data to Evaluate the Distribution of Personal Income
Presentation
David S. Johnson, University of Michigan; Marina Gindelsky, Bureau of Economic Analysis; Dennis Fixler, Bureau of Economic Analysis
9:00 AM Evaluating the Success of President Johnson’s War on Poverty: Revisiting the Historical Record Using a Full-Income Poverty Measure
Richard Burkhauser, Council of Economic Advisers; Kevin Corinth, Council of Economic Advisers; James Elwell, Cornell University; Jeff Larrimore, Federal Reserve Board
9:25 AM Estimating the Extent of Individual Income Tax Filing Noncompliance
Presentation
Alan H Plumley, Internal Revenue Service; Patrck Langetieg, Internal Revenue Service; Mark Payne, Internal Revenue Service
9:50 AM New Estimates of Poverty from the Comprehensive Income Data Set
Presentation
Bruce D Meyer, University of Chicago; Derek Wu, University of Chicago
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

110 * !
Mon, 7/29/2019, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-605
Data in the 21st Century: Corporate and Non-Profit Decision Making in the Digital Age — Invited Papers
Business Analytics/Statistics Education Interest Group, Section on Statistics and Data Science Education, Business and Economic Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Michael William Kotarinos, University of South Florida & Solarbeam Capital LLC
Chair(s): Jennifer Lewis Priestley, Kennesaw State University
8:35 AM From Statistics to Artificial Intelligence: The Evolution of Data Science
Presentation
Robert J McGrath, University of New Hampshire
8:50 AM New Statistical Approaches to Financial Time Dependent Information
Doo Young Kim, Sam Houston State University
9:05 AM New Approaches to Old Problems: Interdisciplinary Approaches to Fighting Cancer in the 21st Century
Ke Meng, UNC Chapel Hill
9:20 AM 21st Century Equity Markets: Evaluating, Assimilating, and Inte- Grating Information in Real-Time
Presentation
Michael William Kotarinos, University of South Florida & Solarbeam Capital LLC
9:35 AM Crafting Manifolds: Application Lifecycle Analysis in a Mobile World
Presentation
Julius D'souza, Google
9:50 AM Data in the 21st Century: Corporate and Non-Prot Decision Making in the Digital Age
Ryan Kania, Advocates for World Health
10:05 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

124 * !
Mon, 7/29/2019, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-503
Implementing the 2018 Standard Occupational Classification System in the Federal Statistical System — Topic Contributed Panel
Social Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section, Business and Economic Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Lynda Laughlin, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Heide Jackson, U.S. Census Bureau
8:35 AM Implementing the 2018 Standard Occupational Classification System in the Federal Statistical System
Presentation 1 Presentation 2 Presentation 3
Panelists: Lynda Laughlin, U.S. Census Bureau
Laurie Salmon, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Kerrie Leslie
Stella Fayer, Bureau of Labor Statistics
10:10 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

153 * !
Mon, 7/29/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-101
Developing Multi-Purpose Imputed or Synthetic Data for Official Statistics — Invited Papers
Government Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, Business and Economic Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Katherine J Thompson, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Demetra Lytras, U.S. Census Bureau
10:35 AM Finding a Flexible Hot Deck Imputation Method for Multinomial Data
Presentation
Rebecca Andridge, The Ohio State University College of Public Health; Laura Bechtel, U.S. Census Bureau; Katherine J Thompson, U.S. Census Bureau
10:55 AM Calibrated Imputation Under Edit Restrictions
Presentation
Ton De Waal, Statistics Netherlands; Jacco Daalmans, Statistics Netherlands
11:15 AM MLDS Synthetic Data Project: An Evaulation
Presentation
Mark Lachowicz, University of Maryland, College Park; Daniel Bonnery, University of Maryland and Maryland Longitudinal Data System Center ; Yi Feng, University of Maryland, College Park; Angela Henneberger, University of Maryland, Baltimore; Tessa Johnson, University of Maryland, College Park; Bess Rose, University of Maryland, Baltimore; Terry Shaw, University of Maryland, Baltimore; Laura Stapleton, University of Maryland, College Park; Michael Woolley, University of Maryland, Baltimore; Yating Zheng, University of Maryland, College Park
11:35 AM Developing Synthetic Data from the Economic Census Under Edit and Calibration Restrictions
Presentation
Katherine J Thompson, U.S. Census Bureau; Hang Joon Kim, University of Cincinnati
11:55 AM Discussant: Jeffrey Gonzalez, Bureau of Labor Statistics
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

163 * !
Mon, 7/29/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-708
Methods for Complex Data: The Next Generation — Topic Contributed Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science, Business Analytics/Statistics Education Interest Group, IMS
Organizer(s): David Matteson, Cornell University
Chair(s): Ines Wilms, Maastricht University
10:35 AM Structured Shrinkage Priors
Presentation
Maryclare Griffin, Cornell University Center for Applied Mathematics; Peter Hoff, Duke University
10:55 AM High-Dimensional Causal Discovery with Non-Gaussian Data
Presentation
Y. Samuel Wang, University of Chicago; Mathias Drton, University of Washington
11:15 AM Projection pursuit based generalized betas accounting for higher order co-moment effects in financial market analysis
Presentation
Sven Serneels, Aspen Technology
11:35 AM Learning Local Dependence in Ordered Data
Guo Yu, University of Washington; Jacob Bien, University of Southern California
11:55 AM Sequential Change-Point Detection for High-Dimensional and Non-Euclidean Data
Lynna Chu, University of California, Davis; Hao Chen, University of California, Davis
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

241
Mon, 7/29/2019, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-113
Estimation Challenges and New Approaches — Contributed Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section
Chair(s): Michael William Kotarinos, University of South Florida & Solarbeam Capital LLC
2:05 PM On Post Dimension Reduction Statistical Inference
Kyongwon Kim, The Pennsylvania State University
2:20 PM Randomized Algorithms of Maximum Likelihood Estimation with Spatial Autoregressive Models for Large-Scale Networks
Presentation
Miaoqi Li, University of Cincinnati; Emily Lei Kang, University of Cincinnati
2:35 PM Forecast Combination Using High-Dimensional Precision Matrix
Tae-Hwy Lee, Univ of California, Riverside; Yi Millie Mao, University of California, Riverside; Aman Ullah, University of California, Riverside
2:50 PM Bayesian Estimation and Testing for Constrained Multivariate Functions
Presentation
Thomas Shively, Univ of Texas at Austin
3:05 PM Gaussian Process Mixtures for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects
Presentation
Abbas Zaidi, Duke University - Statistics
3:20 PM Helping Effects Against the Curse of Dimensionality in Threshold Factor Models for High-Dimensional Matrix Time Series
Presentation
Xialu Liu, San Diego State University; YI CHEN, Princeton University
3:35 PM A Least Deviation Estimation Approach for Time Series Models
Presentation
Silvey Shamsi; Mian Adnan, Indiana University
 
 

218834
Mon, 7/29/2019, 6:00 PM - 7:30 PM H-Sandstone Boardroom
Business and Economic Statistics Section Executive Council Meeting — Other Cmte/Business
Business and Economic Statistics Section
Chair(s): Peter Zadrozny, Bureau of Labor Statistics
 
 

274 !
Tue, 7/30/2019, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-201
Macroeconomic Forecasting and Policy in Data Rich Digital Age Environments — Invited Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section, Section on Risk Analysis, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science
Organizer(s): Arnab Bhattacharjee, Heriot-Watt University
Chair(s): Liqian Cai, Liberty Mutual
8:35 AM Some High-Diemnesional Techniques for Analyzing Spatial and Other Complex Economic Data
Taps Maiti, Michigan State University
8:55 AM Prediction and Causal Inference Using Linear Regularized Regression with an Application to Commuting in Ireland
Achim Ahrens, Economic and Social Research Institute; Christian B Hansen, University of Chicago Booth School of Business; Mark E Schaffer, Heriot-Watt University
9:15 AM Financial Stress Scenario Development in a Data-Rich Environment - a Practitioner's View
Xin Wang, HSBC/ IHS Markit
9:35 AM Google Trends and the Macroeconomy: a Bayesian Mixed Frequency Approach
Arnab Bhattacharjee, Heriot-Watt University; David Kohns, Heriot-Watt University
9:55 AM Inference in High-Dimensional Models Without Regularization
Ying Zhu, UC San Diego; Kaspar Wuthrich, UC San Diego
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

320 * !
Tue, 7/30/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-703
Statistical Approaches for Modeling Social Unrests — Invited Papers
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security, Social Statistics Section, Business and Economic Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Snigdhansu Chatterjee, University of Minnesota
Chair(s): Michael Baron, American University
10:35 AM Predicting Anti-Government Violence in Mexico with Big Data on Citizen-Government Interactions
Presentation
Benjamin E. Bagozzi, University of Delaware; Snigdhansu Chatterjee, University of Minnesota; Ujjal Kumar Mukherjee, University of Illinois
11:00 AM Forecasting Political Instability Using Heterogeneous Data Streams
Presentation
Chrysm Watson Ross, Los Alamos National Laboratory ; Ashlynn Daughton, Los Alamos National Laboratory; Geoffrey Fairchild, Los Alamos National Laboratory ; Sara Del Valle, Los Alamos National Laboratory
11:25 AM Model Fusion with Spatial Partitioning for Forecasting Civil Unrest
Presentation
Andrew Hoegh, Montana State University
11:50 AM Predicting the Supply Chain Impact of National Level Conflicts: a Recursive Neural Network Based Approach
Presentation
Ujjal Kumar Mukherjee, University of Illinois; Benjamin E. Bagozzi, University of Delaware; Snigdhansu Chatterjee, University of Minnesota
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

332 * !
Tue, 7/30/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-712
Multivariate Time Series: Modeling and Estimation — Topic Contributed Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section, Biometrics Section
Organizer(s): James Livsey, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Anand Vidyashankar, George Mason University
10:35 AM Applying the EM Algorithm to Multivariate Signal Extraction
Presentation
James Livsey, U.S. Census Bureau
10:55 AM Dual Coupled Kalman Filters for Simultaneously Updating Estimated Time-Varying States and Parameters of VARMA Models Using Data with Periodically or Non-Periodically Missing Values
Peter Zadrozny, Bureau of Labor Statistics
11:15 AM Gaussian Copula Vector Autoregressive Modeling
Vladas Pipiras, University of North Carolina At Chapel Hill; James Livsey, U.S. Census Bureau; Benjamin Leinwand, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
11:35 AM Constrained Estimation in Co-Integrated VAR Models
Presentation
Anindya Roy, University of Maryland - Baltimore County; Tucker McElroy, US Census Bureau
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

357
Tue, 7/30/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-Hall C
Contributed Poster Presentations: Business and Economic Statistics Section — Contributed Poster Presentations
Business and Economic Statistics Section
Chair(s): Wendy Meiring, University of California At Santa Barbara
48: The Comparison of Multiple Imputation and Missing Indicator Methods for Prediction in Regression Analysis
Chi-Hong Tseng, UCLA
49: Time-Varying Copulas with Full-Range Dependence for Modeling Financial Data
Jason Selbo; Su Jianxi, Purdue University
50: Information Shocks in Agricultural Futures Markets
yu Wu, University of Manitoba; Julieta Frank
51: Mean Treatment Effect Inference in the Presence of Heavy-Tailed Data
Luke Smith, Amazon
52: Time Series Analysis of the Rate of the Inflation and Unemployment in Saudi Arabia for the Period (2000-2018)
Amani Albaqshi
53: Determinants of Corporate Bankruptcy: Identification and Uncertainty
TIANHAI ZU, University of cincinnati; Yan Yu, University of Cincinnati; Yichen Qin, University of Cincinnati
54: The Large-Sample, Small Disturbance and Asymptotic Conditions of Dominance of Efficient Shrinkage in Seemingly Unrelated Regression Equations (SURE)
Ali Mehrabani
 
 

Register 363
Tue, 7/30/2019, 12:30 PM - 1:50 PM H-Centennial Ballroom F
Economic Outlook Luncheon (Added Fee) — Roundtables Speaker with Lunch
Business and Economic Statistics Section
TL07: Productivity and Intangible Capital in a World of Disruptive Technologies
Carol Corrado, The Conference Board
 
 

384 * !
Tue, 7/30/2019, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-504
Artificial Intelligence Meets Behavioral Science: Innovations in Discovering and Leveraging Nudges — Invited Papers
Section on Statistics in Marketing, Business and Economic Statistics Section, Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences
Organizer(s): Ying Zhu, UC San Diego
Chair(s): Ying Zhu, UC San Diego
2:05 PM Visual Listening In: Extracting Brand Image Portrayed on Social Media
Liu Liu, University of Colorado Boulder - Leeds School of Business; Daria Dzyabura, New York University Stern School of Business; Natalie Mizik, University of Washington - Foster School of Business
2:20 PM WITHDRAWN: Personalized Free Trials: Design and Evaluation
Ebrahim Barzegary, University of Washington; Hema Yoganarasimhan, University of Washington; Abhishek Pani, Adobe Systems Incorporated
2:35 PM How Algorithmic Confounding in Recommendation Systems Increases Homogeneity and Decreases Utility
Presentation 1 Presentation 2
Allison Chaney, Duke University; Brandon Stewart, Princeton University; Barbara Engelhardt, Princeton University
2:50 PM What Is a Good Explanation for Artificial Intelligence Decisions? a Human's Guide to Understanding Machine Learning Output
Presentation
Tong (Joy) Lu, Carnegie Mellon University; Dokyun Lee, Carnegie Mellon University; Taewan Kim, Carnegie Mellon University; David Danks, Carnegie Mellon University
3:05 PM Harnessing the Small Victories: Empirical Evidence from a Calorie and Weight Loss Tracking Application
Kosuke Uetake, Yale University ; Nathan Yang, McGill University
3:20 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

395 * !
Tue, 7/30/2019, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-702
Connecting Parallel Universes — Topic Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Business and Economic Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Arthur B Kennickell, Self
Chair(s): Barry W Johnson, Statistics of Income, IRS
2:05 PM HFCS Micro Simulation Model
Presentation
Miguel Ampudia, European Central Bank; Johannes Fleck, European Central Bank
2:25 PM Are Survey Data Underestimating the Inequality of Net Wealth?
Presentation
Tairi Room, Bank of Estonia; Jaanika Merikull, Bank of Estonia
2:45 PM Pooling (Data) Assets to Learn About Debts
Brian Bucks, Consumer Financial Protection Bureau
3:05 PM Labour Income Uncertainty During a Crisis
Presentation
Reamonn Lydon, Central Bank of Ireland; Julia Le Blanc, Deutsche Bundesbank
3:25 PM Machine Learning European Household Wealth
Johannes Fleck, European University Institute
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

406
Tue, 7/30/2019, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-507
New Methodologies and Modern Data Applications — Contributed Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section
Chair(s): Mariana Saenz Ayala, Georgia Southern
2:05 PM Use of Social Media Big Data for Predicting the Credit Ratings of Companies
Leonie Tabea Goldmann, University of Edinburgh; Jonathan Crook, University of Edinburgh; Raffaella Calabrese, University of Edinburgh
2:20 PM Sparse Vector Networks
Presentation
Victor Solo, University of New South Wales
2:35 PM Multidimensional Skills and the Returns to Schooling: Evidence from an Interactive Fixed Effects Approach and a Linked Survey-Administrative Dataset
Presentation
Evan Totty, U.S. Census Bureau; Mohitosh Kejriwal, Purdue University; Xiaoxiao Li , Villanova University
2:50 PM Las Cruces Housing Prices
Thomas Fullerton, UTEP; Steven L Fullerton, University of Texas at El Paso
3:05 PM Analyzing Network Formation Models Using CEO’s Twitter Networks
Suyong Song, University of Iowa; Kang-Pyo Lee, University of Iowa
3:20 PM Bi-Clustering of Multivariate Regression Models:
Presentation
Raja Velu, Syracuse University; Zhaoque Zhou, Syracuse University
3:35 PM Going Viral, Binge Watching, and Attention Cannibalism
Natalie Blades, Brigham Young University; Scott Grimshaw, Brigham Young University; Candace J. Berrett, Brigham Young University
 
 

218836
Tue, 7/30/2019, 6:00 PM - 7:00 PM H-Centennial Ballroom G
Business and Economic Statistics Section Meeting — Other Cmte/Business
Business and Economic Statistics Section
Chair(s): Peter Zadrozny, Bureau of Labor Statistics
 
 

218838
Tue, 7/30/2019, 7:00 PM - 9:00 PM H-Centennial Ballroom G
Business and Economic Statistics Section Reception Following Open Meeting — Other Cmte/Business
Business and Economic Statistics Section
Chair(s): Peter Zadrozny, Bureau of Labor Statistics
 
 

460 !
Wed, 7/31/2019, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-104
Advances in Time Series Methodology — Topic Contributed Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section, Biometrics Section
Organizer(s): James Livsey, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Rebecca Hutchinson, US Census Bureau
8:35 AM Quadratic Prediction of Time Series via Auto-Cumulants
Presentation
Tucker McElroy, US Census Bureau; Soumendra N Lahiri, North Carolina State University; Dhrubajyoti Ghosh, North Carolina State University
8:55 AM Seasonal Adjustment Subject to Frequency Aggregation Constraints
Osbert Pang, U.S. Census Bureau; Tucker McElroy, US Census Bureau; Brian Monsell, U.S. Census Bureau
9:15 AM Seasonal Adjustment of Aggregate Time Series with Components Containing Meagre Values
Presentation
Richard Penny, Statistics New Zealand; Tucker McElroy, US Census Bureau
9:35 AM Post Selection Inference for High-Dimensional Time Series
Anand Vidyashankar, George Mason University; Jeffrey Collamore, University of Copenhagen
9:55 AM Regularized Estimation of High-Dimensional Auto- and Cross-Covariance Matrices
Presentation
Tommaso Proietti, University of Rome Tor Vergata; Alessandro Giovannelli, Ministry of Economics and Finance, Italy
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

463
Wed, 7/31/2019, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-103
SPEED: Methodological Advances in Time Series: BandE Speed Session, Part 1 — Contributed Speed
Business and Economic Statistics Section, Text Analysis Interest Group
Chair(s): Jane L Harvill, Baylor University
Poster Presentations for this session.
8:35 AM Functional Tail Dependence Coefficients for Copula
Keying Ye, University of Texas at San Antonio; Zhiruo Liu, University of Texas at San Antonio; Donald Lien, University of Texas at San Antonio
8:40 AM Modeling Time Series of Count Data Using a Periodic Conditional Poisson Model
Presentation
Yi Zhang, Missouri Univeristy of Science and Technology; V A Samaranayake, Missouri University of Science and Technology
8:50 AM A New Method for Estimating Within-Industry Corporate Default Correlation
Presentation
Gary Witt, Temple University; Marcus Sobel, Temple University
9:00 AM The Inequality Process' PDF Approximation Model for Heavy-Tailed Financial Distributions
Presentation
John Angle, The Inequality Process Institute LLC
9:05 AM Bayesian Estimation of Local Volatility with Gaussian Process
Kai Yin, Case Western Reserve University ; Anirban Mondal, Case Western Reserve University
9:10 AM To Adjust or Not to Adjust? An Empirical Evaluation of Time Series with Unstable Seasonal Patterns
Demetra Lytras, U.S. Census Bureau
9:15 AM Application of Linear and Nonlinear Models into Trend Analysis of U.S. Cotton Export (1996-2017)
Presentation
Zahra Saki, NC State University; Marguerite Moore, NC State University; Lori H. Rothenberg, North Carolina State Un.
9:20 AM Nonparametric Estimation of a General Equilibria
Presentation
John Schuler
9:30 AM Efficient Prediction under Model Instabilities
Presentation
Shahnaz Parsaeian
9:35 AM Application of Statistical Methods to Discovery of Anomalies in Accounting Data
Presentation
Eugene Yankovsky, EY; Ana Yankovsky, Intuitive; Loren Williams, EY
9:40 AM Testing Simultaneous Diagonalizability of Rrandom Matrices
Yuchen Xu, Cornell University; David Matteson, Cornell University
9:45 AM Forecasting Daily Service Call Volume Using Nonparametric Transfer Function Approach
Presentation
Jun Liu
9:50 AM Empirical Testing of an Option Pricing Model with Memory
Flavia Sancier-Barbosa, Colorado College; Lochana Siriwardena, University of Indianapolis
9:55 AM The Development of a Calculation of Composite Coincident Indicator (CCI) for the United States
Presentation
Brian Sloboda, University of Phoenix; Chandra Putcha, California State University at Fullerton
10:00 AM Functional Stochastic Volatility
Phillip Jang, Cornell University; David Matteson, Cornell University
10:05 AM Testing for Unit Roots Using Artificial Neural Networks
Presentation 1 Presentation 2
Rukman Ekanayake; V A Samaranayake, Missouri University of Science and Technology
10:10 AM Forecasting Daily Electricity Load Profile Using Functional Principal Components and Transfer Function Models
Presentation
Abdelmonaem Jornaz, Northwest Missouri State University; V A Samaranayake, Missouri University of Science and Technology
10:15 AM Communication Among Business and Statistics Journals: Citation Analysis and Text Analytics with Topic Analysis
Mary Whiteside, The University of Texas At Arlington; Mark Eakin, The University of Texas at Arlington; Qiang Ruan, The University of Texas at Arlington
 
 

478 * !
Wed, 7/31/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-707
Scalable Bayesian Models for Time Series and Dynamic Networks: Making an Impact in Business and Socio-Economic Applications — Invited Papers
Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA), Business and Economic Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Mike West, Duke University
Chair(s): Mike West, Duke University
10:35 AM Bayesian Forecasting of High-Dimensional Count-Valued Time Series: Massive Data in Consumer Sales Forecasting
Presentation 1 Presentation 2 Presentation 3
Lindsay Berry, Duke University; Mike West, Duke University; Paul Helman, 84.51°
11:00 AM Bayesian Decouple/Recouple Modeling for Large-Scale Dynamic Network Flow Studies
Presentation
Xi Chen, LinkedIn Corporation; David Banks, SAMSI/Duke University; Mike West, Duke University
11:25 AM Online Learning and Variable Selection for High-Dimensional Time Series with Simultaneous Graphical Dynamic Linear Models
Lutz F Gruber, QuantCo, Inc.; Mike West, Duke University
11:50 AM A Bayesian Approach to Trajectory-Based Longitudinal Networks, with Application to the European Interbank Market
Presentation
Antonietta Mira, Università della Svizzera italiana and Università dell'Insubria; Federica Bianchi, Univesità della Svizzera italiana; Stefano Peluso, Cattolica University and Università della Svizzera italiana; Francesco Bartolucci, University of Perugia
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

495 * !
Wed, 7/31/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-502
Changepoints: Making an Impact — Topic Contributed Papers
Royal Statistical Society, Section on Statistical Computing, Business and Economic Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Rebecca Killick, Lancaster University, UK
Chair(s): David Matteson, Cornell University
10:35 AM Distinguishing Short and Long-Memory When Testing for Changepoints in Climate Time-Series: Application to Surface Temperature Records
Claudie Beaulieu, University of California, Santa Cruz; Rebecca Killick, Lancaster University, UK
10:55 AM Detection and Estimation of Local Signals
David Siegmund; Xiao Fang, Chinese University of Hong Kong
11:15 AM Detecting Changes in Mean in the Presence of Autocovariance
Presentation
Euan McGonigle, Lancaster University; Rebecca Killick, Lancaster University, UK; Matthew Nunes, University of Bath
11:35 AM Changepoint Analysis of Historical Battle Deaths
Presentation
Marina Knight, University of York; Brennen Fagan, University of York; Niall MacKay, University of York; Jamie Wood, University of York
11:55 AM Influence Measures for Changepoint Segmentations
Presentation
Ines Wilms, Maastricht University; Rebecca Killick, Lancaster University, UK; David Matteson, Cornell University
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

500 * !
Wed, 7/31/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-103
Statistical Challenges and Recent Advances in Finance and Business Analytics — Topic Contributed Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Kai-Sheng Song , University of North Texas
Chair(s): Ta-Hsin Li, IBM T. J. Watson Research Center
10:35 AM Virtual Standard Currency and Exchange Rates
Zhengjun Zhang, University of Wisconsin
10:55 AM Identification of Technical Analysis Patterns with Smoothing Splines for Bitcoin Prices
Guoyi Zhang, University of New Mexico; Nikolay Miller, University of New Mexico; Yiming Yang , University of New Mexico; Bruce Sun, The state university of New York, Buffalo
11:15 AM What Do Low Frequency of Transaction Costs Really Measure?
Presentation
Filip Zikes, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System; Mohammad Jahan-Parvar, Federal Reserve Board
11:35 AM An Accurate and Globally Convergent Algorithm for Estimating General Stable Distributions with Financial Applications
Kai-Sheng Song , University of North Texas
11:55 AM Realtime Detection from Customer’s Behavior Sequence – Explore a Smart Customer Maintenance Algorithm
Mingfei Li, Bentley University
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

505 !
Wed, 7/31/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-503
Formal Privacy: Making an Impact at Large Organizations — Topic Contributed Panel
Committee on Privacy and Confidentiality, Business and Economic Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Lars Vilhuber, Cornell University
Chair(s): Aleksandra Slavkovic, Penn State University
10:35 AM Formal Privacy: Making an Impact at Large Organizations
Presentation
Panelists: Simson Garfinkel, US Census Bureau
Ilya Mironov, Google
Juan Lavista Ferres, Microsoft
Shiva Kasiviswanathan, Amazon
12:10 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

508
Wed, 7/31/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-101
Forecasting and Modeling Financial Volatility — Contributed Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section
Chair(s): Tucker McElroy, US Census Bureau
10:35 AM Estimation of Model-Free Implied Variance
Shuang Zhang, Peking University; Song Xi Chen, Peking University; Lei Lu, University of Manitoba
10:50 AM Inference for Volatility Functionals of Ito Semimartingales Observed with Noise
Richard Chen, University of Chicago
11:05 AM Long-Horizon Return Predictability with Realized Volatility from Pure Jump Point Process
Presentation
Meng-Chen Hsieh, Rider University; Clifford Hurvich, New York University
11:20 AM Creating Stock Portfolios Using Hidden Markov Models
Presentation
Qing Ji, University of Maryland, Baltimore County; Nagaraj Neerchal, University of Maryland, Baltimore County
11:35 AM Business Cycle Downturn Patterns across Texas
Presentation
Aaron Nazarian, Border Region Modeling Project; Thomas Fullerton, UTEP
11:50 AM Modeling and Forecasting Financial Volatility Using Composite CARR Models
Presentation
Isuru Ratnayake, Missouri University of Science and Technology; V A Samaranayake, Missouri University of Science and Technology
12:05 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

519
Wed, 7/31/2019, 10:30 AM - 11:15 AM CC-Hall C
SPEED: Methodological Advances in Time Series: BandE Speed Session, Part 2 — Contributed Poster Presentations
Business and Economic Statistics Section, Text Analysis Interest Group
Chair(s): Jane L Harvill, Baylor University
Oral Presentations for this session.
1: Functional Tail Dependence Coefficients for Copula
Keying Ye, University of Texas at San Antonio; Zhiruo Liu, University of Texas at San Antonio; Donald Lien, University of Texas at San Antonio
2: A Periodic Conditional Poisson Model
Yi Zhang, Missouri Univeristy of Science and Technology; V A Samaranayake, Missouri University of Science and Technology
4: A New Method for Estimating Within-Industry Corporate Default Correlation
Gary Witt, Temple University; Marcus Sobel, Temple University
6: The Inequality Process' PDF Approximation Model for Heavy-Tailed Financial Distributions
John Angle, The Inequality Process Institute LLC
7: Bayesian Estimation of Local Volatility with Gaussian Process
Kai Yin, Case Western Reserve University ; Anirban Mondal, Case Western Reserve University
8: To Adjust or Not to Adjust? An Empirical Evaluation of Time Series with Unstable Seasonal Patterns
Demetra Lytras, U.S. Census Bureau
9: Application of Linear and Nonlinear Models into Trend Analysis of U.S. Cotton Export (1996-2017)
Zahra Saki, NC State University; Marguerite Moore, NC State University; Lori H. Rothenberg, North Carolina State Un.
10: Nonparametric Estimation of a General Equilibria
John Schuler
11: Efficient Prediction under Model Instabilities
Shahnaz Parsaeian
12: Application of Statistical Methods to Discovery of Anomalies in Accounting Data
Eugene Yankovsky, EY; Ana Yankovsky, Intuitive; Loren Williams, EY
13: Testing Simultaneous Diagonalizability of Rrandom Matrices
Yuchen Xu, Cornell University; David Matteson, Cornell University
14: Forecasting Daily Service Call Volume Using Nonparametric Transfer Function Approach
Jun Liu
15: Empirical Testing of an Option Pricing Model with Memory
Flavia Sancier-Barbosa, Colorado College; Lochana Siriwardena, University of Indianapolis
16: The Development of a Calculation of Composite Coincident Indicator (CCI) for the United States
Brian Sloboda, University of Phoenix; Chandra Putcha, California State University at Fullerton
17: Functional Stochastic Volatility
Phillip Jang, Cornell University; David Matteson, Cornell University
18: Testing for Unit Roots Using Artificial Neural Networks
Rukman Ekanayake; V A Samaranayake, Missouri University of Science and Technology
19: Forecasting Daily Electricity Load Profile Using Functional Principal Components and Transfer Function Models
Abdelmonaem Jornaz, Northwest Missouri State University; V A Samaranayake, Missouri University of Science and Technology
20: Communication Among Business and Statistics Journals: Citation Analysis and Text Analytics with Topic Analysis
Mary Whiteside, The University of Texas At Arlington; Mark Eakin, The University of Texas at Arlington; Qiang Ruan, The University of Texas at Arlington
Oral Presentations for this session.
 
 

546 !
Wed, 7/31/2019, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-501
Recent Advances in Time Series and Point Process — Invited Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section, Section on Risk Analysis, Section on Statistical Computing
Organizer(s): Xialu Liu, San Diego State University
Chair(s): Xialu Liu, San Diego State University
2:05 PM A Factor Model Approach for High-Dimensional Dynamic Tensor Time Series
Rong Chen, Rutgers University; Dan Yang, Rutgers University; Cun-Hui Zhang, Rutgers University
2:30 PM A Bivariate Point Process Model with Application to Social Media User Content Generation
Yongtao Guan, University of Miami
2:55 PM Time Series Forecasting with Random Forests and Nonparametric Models
Barbara Ann Bailey, San Diego State University
3:20 PM A Class of Generalized Self-Normalizers for Inference of Time Series and Its Optimal Weighting
Ting Zhang, Boston University
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

565 * !
Wed, 7/31/2019, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-705
Time Series in Government and National Statistics — Topic Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section, Business and Economic Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section
Organizer(s): James Livsey, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): James Livsey, U.S. Census Bureau
2:05 PM Trend-Cycle Filters Comparison for Real Time Macroeconomic Data
Presentation
Estella Dagum, University of Bologna; Silvia Bianconcini, University of Bologna
2:25 PM Using Daily Payment Processor Data to Determine Existence and Length of Retail Shopping Event Effects
Rebecca Hutchinson, US Census Bureau; Nicole Czaplicki, U.S. Census Bureau
2:45 PM Estimating the Variance of Seasonally Adjusted Series of Monthly Statistics Canada Surveys
Francois Verret, Statistics Canada; Catalin Dochitoiu, Statistics Canada
3:05 PM Assessing Residual Seasonality in the U.S. National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA) Aggregates
Baoline Chen, Bureau of Economic Analysis; Tucker McElroy, US Census Bureau; Osbert Pang, U.S. Census Bureau
3:25 PM Dealing with Discontinuities in Survey Reporting Periods and Their Impact on Seasonal Adjustment of Time Series
Presentation
Charlotte Gaughan, Office for National Statistics; Atanaska Nikolova, Office for National Statistics
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

566 * !
Wed, 7/31/2019, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-101
Analytics in Insurance Operations: Novel Statistical Methods and Applications — Topic Contributed Papers
Casualty Actuarial Society, Committee on Applied Statisticians, Business and Economic Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Peng Shi, University of Wisconsin-Madison
Chair(s): Peng Shi, University of Wisconsin-Madison
2:05 PM Incorporating Frequency-Severity Dependence into Collective Risk Models
Presentation
Zifeng Zhao, University of Notre Dame; Peng Shi, University of Wisconsin-Madison
2:25 PM Loss Reserving Models for the Unearned Premium Risk
Presentation
Mathieu Pigeon, UQAM; Jean-Philippe Boucher, UQAM; Sebastien Jessup, UQAM
2:45 PM Multi-Peril Ratemaking for Property Insurance Using Longitudinal Data
Presentation
Lu Yang, University of Amsterdam; Peng Shi, University of Wisconsin-Madison
3:05 PM Deductible Ratemaking and Related Issues
Presentation
Gee Lee, Michigan State University
3:25 PM A New Perspective from a Dirichlet Model for Insurance Loss Reserving
Karthik Sriram, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

604 * !
Thu, 8/1/2019, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-112
Bayesian Inference in Discrete Choice Analysis of Consumer Behavior — Topic Contributed Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Section on Statistics in Marketing
Organizer(s): Kali Chowdhury, University of California, Irvine
Chair(s): Imran Currim, University of California, Irvine
8:35 AM Flexible Functional Specification in Hierarchical Bayesian Estimation of Discrete Choices
Kali Chowdhury, University of California, Irvine
8:55 AM A Flexible Method for Demand Forecasting with Structural Decomposition
Presentation
Mingyu Joo, UC Riverside; Chul Kim, Baruch College (CUNY); Dongsoo Kim, Ohio State University
9:15 AM A Model for Built Environment Effects on Mode Usages
Presentation
Kai Yoshioka, University of California, Irvine; Tomomi Miyazaki, Kobe University
9:35 AM Discussant: Cheryl Hild, Lincoln Memorial University
9:55 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

633
Thu, 8/1/2019, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-102
Foundations of Data Science: Privacy-Preserving Inference — Invited Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section, Royal Statistical Society, IMS, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science
Organizer(s): Sofia C Olhede, University College London
Chair(s): Guy Nason, University of Bristol
11:00 AM Privacy-Preserving Technologies Meet Machine Learning
Presentation
Jeannette Wing, Columbia University, Data Science Institute
11:25 AM Privacy-Preserving Prediction
Presentation 1 Presentation 2 Presentation 3
Cynthia Dwork, Harvard University; Vitaly Feldman, Google
11:50 AM Discussant: Patrick J Wolfe, Purdue University
12:15 PM Floor Discussion