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			 Thu, Jan 17		  | 
	
	
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			 C-1 Your Health at Risk   | 
		
			 8:30 AM - 10:15 AM
			   
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				 Organizer(s): Christopher H Schmid, Tufts-New England Medical Center
			        
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				 Chair(s): Laura Lee  Johnson, National Institutes of Health
			        
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				8:30 AM
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				 Smoking Cessation and Cigarrette Tax Avoidance:  A Latent Variable Panel Data Analysis
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Margaret S Loudermilk, University of Illinois at Chicago
			         
                     
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				8:45 AM
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				 Substance Abuse Prevention - A National Picture
				     
					
				      Javaid  Kaiser, SAMHSA
			         
                     
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				9:00 AM
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				 Model for planning and evalutaion of programs aimed at changing risk behaviors: the VEER model
				     
					
				      Sharon R. Kimmel, Lehigh Valley Hospital and Health Network
			         
                     
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				9:15 AM
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				 Patient teenagers:  Virginity pledges as a marker for lower sexual activity
				     
					
				      Janet  Rosenbaum, Harvard University
			         
                     
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				9:30 AM
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				 The Role of Health and Health Behaviors in the Formation and Dissolution of Friendship Ties
				     
					
				      A James  O'Malley, Harvard Medical School
			         
                     
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				9:45 AM
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				 Using a Modified Lorenz Curve and Gini Coefficient to Enhance Interpretation of Treatment Effect on Patient-reported Outcomes
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Joseph C Cappelleri, Pfizer Inc
			         
                     
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			 I-8 Assessing Causation in Observational Studies: Propensity Scores and Instrumental Variables   | 
		
			 8:30 AM - 10:15 AM
			   
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				 Organizer(s): Thomas Ezra Love, Case Western Reserve University
			        
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				 Chair(s): Thomas Ezra Love, Case Western Reserve University
			        
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				8:30 AM
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				 Analysis of Observational Studies in the Presence of Treatment Selection Bias: Effects of Invasive Cardiac Management on AMI Survival using Propensity Score and Instrumental Variable Methods
				     
					
				      Therese A Stukel, Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences
			         
                     
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				9:00 AM
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				 Propensity Score Uses and Misuses in Observational Research
				     
					
				      Ralph B. D'Agostino, Jr., Wake Forest University School of Medicine
			         
                     
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				9:30 AM
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				 The Strength of Instrumental Variables and Their Sensitivity to Unobserved Biases
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Dylan  Small, University of Pennsylvania
			         
                     
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			 TC-1 Missing and Latent Data in Health Policy Research:  Advances in Applications   | 
		
			 8:30 AM - 10:15 AM
			   
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				 Organizer(s): Susan M Paddock, RAND Corporation
			        
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				 Chair(s): Marika  Suttorp, RAND
			        
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				8:30 AM
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				 Using an Approximate Bayesian Bootstrap to Multiply Impute Nonignorable Missing Data
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Juned  Siddique, The University of Chicago
			         
                     
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				8:55 AM
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				 Bayesian variable selection for analyzing longitudinal substance abuse treatment data with informative censoring
				     
					
				      Susan M Paddock, RAND Corporation
			         
                     
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				9:20 AM
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				 Imputation in a Complex Survey of Cancer Care
				     
					
				      Yulei  He, Department of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School
			         
                     
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				9:45 AM
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				 Bayesian Analysis for Mixtures of Continuous, Ordinal and Nominal Repeated Measures
				     
					
				      Xiao  Zhang, The University of Alabama at Birmingham
			         
                     
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			 WK1 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS): A National Data Resource to Inform Health Policy   | 
		
			 8:30 AM - 10:15 AM
			   
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				8:30 AM
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				 The Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS):  A National Data Resource to Inform Health Policy
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Jeffrey  Rhoades, AHRQ
			         
                     
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			 C-2 Applied Modeling of Health Outcomes   | 
		
			 10:30 AM - 12:15 PM
			   
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				 Organizer(s): Christopher H Schmid, Tufts-New England Medical Center
			        
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				 Chair(s): Arlene S Ash, Boston U and DxCG, Inc.
			        
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				10:30 AM
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				 Burden of Diabetes in Quetta – Pakistan: A statistical approach 
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Zahid  Ahmad, GC University Lahore
			         
                     
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				10:45 AM
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				 Impact of a Depression Disease Management Program on Productivity
				     
					
				      Kara  Zivin, University of Michigan
			         
                     
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				11:00 AM
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				 Predicting Depression Status in the Elderly: An Example from Medicare CAHPS Surveys
				     
					
				      Marc N. Elliott, The RAND Corporation
			         
                     
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				11:15 AM
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				 Transitions in Depression Status among Elderly: How to Analyze?
				     
					
				      M. Ataharul Islam, USM
			         
                     
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				11:30 AM
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				 Repeated Measures Analysis of Functional Limitations in Elderly
				     
					
				      Rafiqul I Chowdhury, Kuwait University
			         
                     
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				11:45 AM
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				 A Comparison of Methods for Estimating Chronic Disease Incidence from Linked Administrative Health Data
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Lisa M Lix, University of Manitoba
			         
                     
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			 I-1 Alternative Estimators for Cost Data   | 
		
			 10:30 AM - 12:15 PM
			   
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				 Organizer(s): Roslyn A. Stone, VA Pittsburgh Healthcare System
			        
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				 Chair(s): Roslyn A. Stone, VA Pittsburgh Healthcare System
			        
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				10:30 AM
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				 Comparing Methods of Modeling Health Care Expenditures
				     
					
				      Melinda Beeuwkes Buntin, RAND
			         
                     
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				11:00 AM
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				 Two-part random effects models for longitudinal cost data
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Matthew L Maciejewski, Durham VA HSR&D & UNC
			         
                     
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				11:30 AM
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				 Use of propensity scores in non-linear response models
				     
					
				      Anirban  Basu, University of Chicago
			         
                     
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				12:00 PM
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				 Discussant:
				     
					
				      Xiao-Hua (Andrew)  Zhou, University of Washington
			         
                     
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			 I-9 Multiple Imputation Algorithms for Response Errors and Nonignorable Mechanisms   | 
		
			 10:30 AM - 12:15 PM
			   
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				 Organizer(s): Bonnie  Ghosh Dastidar, Rand
			        
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				 Chair(s): Bonnie  Ghosh Dastidar, Rand
			        
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				10:30 AM
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				 Multiply eliminating outliers using multiple imputation
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Michael R. Elliott, University of Michigan
			         
                     
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				11:00 AM
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				 Missing Data
				     
					
				      Joseph L. Schafer, Department of Statistics
			         
                     
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				11:30 AM
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				 Imputing underreported treatments using multiple sources of treatment information in a cancer services study
				     
					
				      Alan M. Zaslavsky, Harvard University
			         
                     
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			 WK2 Competing Risks   | 
		
			 10:30 AM - 12:15 PM
			   
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				10:30 AM
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				 Competing Risks
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Per Kragh  Andersen, Department of Biostatistics, University of Copenhagen
			         
                     
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			 Luncheon Data on Risk and Insurance Financing in a World of Decentralized Health Reform   | 
		
			 12:30 PM - 2:00 PM
			   
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			 Mark V. Pauly is Bendheim Professor in the Department of Health Care Systems at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. He teaches health care systems, insurance and risk management, and business and public policy at the Wharton School and economics in the School of Arts and Sciences. Pauly is a former commissioner on the Physician Payment Review Commission and a former member of the advisory committee to the Agency for Health Care Research and Quality. Most recently, he was a member of the Medicare Technical Advisory Panel, and he is an active member of the Institute of Medicine. He is coeditor-in-chief of the International Journal of Health Care Finance and Economics and associate editor of the Journal of Risk and Uncertainty. Pauly’s books include Health Benefits at Work: An Economic and Political Analysis of Employment-Related Health Insurance, Supplying Vaccine: An Economic Analysis of Critical Issues, and Financing Long Term Care: What Should Be the Government’s Role?		  | 
	
		
	
	
	
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			 C-3 How Much Does It Cost?   | 
		
			 2:15 PM - 4:00 PM
			   
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				 Organizer(s): Christopher H Schmid, Tufts-New England Medical Center
			        
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				 Chair(s): Anirban   Basu, University of Chicago
			        
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				2:15 PM
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				 Use of Weighted Predictor in Insurance Pricing
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Heungsun  Park, Dept. of Statistics, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies
			         
                     
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				2:30 PM
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				 Individual vs. Group Predictive Modeling for Small Group Renewal Underwriting
				     
					
				      Donghui  Wu, MEDai, Inc
			         
                     
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				2:45 PM
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				 Estimating the marginal costs of training a physician in the US.
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Martey  Dodoo, The Robert Graham Center: Policy Studies in Family Medicine and Primary Care
			         
                     
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				3:00 PM
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				 Avoiding Retransformation in Nonnnegative Health Economic Models with Sample Selection
				     
					
				      Joseph Vincent Terza, University of Florida
			         
                     
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				3:15 PM
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				 Robust regression approach to the analysis of cost data
				     
					
				      Michele  Petrinco, Unit of Cancer Epidemiology, University of Turin, Italy
			         
                     
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				3:30 PM
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				 Hybrid (classification and regression) approach for selection of members for disease management programs 
				     
					
				      Ognian Konstantinov Asparouhov, MEDai, Inc.
			         
                     
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			 TC-2 Value of Information (VOI):  Analyses for Health Care Decisions and Future Research   | 
		
			 2:15 PM - 4:00 PM
			   
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				 Organizer(s): Glenn  Davies, Merck Research Laboratories
			        
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				 Chair(s): Glenn  Davies, Merck Research Laboratories
			        
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				2:15 PM
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				 Value of Information Analysis in Health Policy Decision-Making: Current States and Future Applications
				     
					
				      Ya-Chen Tina  Shih, Section of Health Services Research, Dept. of Biostatistics, Univ of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center
			         
                     
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				2:40 PM
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				 EVI and the design and interpretation of clinical trials
				     
					
				      Andrew R Willan, SickKids Research Institute
			         
                     
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				3:05 PM
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				 Bringing value of information analysis to the masses – Challenges and practical steps
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Joshua T. Cohen, Tufts-New England Medical Center
			         
                     
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				3:30 PM
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				 VOI: is it ready for prime time?
				     
					
				      Khajak  Ishak, United BioSource
			         
                     
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			 WK3 Microsimulation Modeling   | 
		
			 2:15 PM - 4:00 PM
			   
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				2:15 PM
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				 Microsimulation Modeling
				     
					
				      Carolyn M Rutter, Group Health
			         
                     
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			 C-4 Meta-Analysis I   | 
		
			 4:15 PM - 6:00 PM
			   
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				 Organizer(s): Christopher H Schmid, Tufts-New England Medical Center
			        
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				 Chair(s): Joseph C Cappelleri, Pfizer Inc
			        
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				4:15 PM
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				 Data Extraction Errors in Meta-analyses of Diagnostic Tests
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Thomas  Trikalinos, Center for Clinical Evidence Synthesis, Tufts-NEMC
			         
                     
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				4:30 PM
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				 Cochrane Back Group Quality Items and Bias in Back Pain Trials
				     
					
				      Marika  Suttorp, RAND
			         
                     
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				4:45 PM
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				 Evaluation of Reporting Quality in Publications of Diagnostic Tests
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Gowri  Raman, Tufts-New England Medical Center
			         
                     
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				5:00 PM
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				 What If I’d Known Then What I Know Now? Re-Evaluating Diagnostic Test Meta-Analyses With New Statistical Models
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Christopher H Schmid, Tufts-New England Medical Center
			         
                     
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				5:15 PM
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				 Can Sequential Monitoring Boundaries reduce Spurious Inferences from Meta-Analyses?
				     
					
				      Kristian  Thorlund, Copenhagen trial
			         
                     
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				5:30 PM
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				 Estimating required information size and quantifying diversity in a meta-analysis.
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Jørn  Wetterslev, Copenhagen Trial Unit
			         
                     
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			 I-2 Incremental Cost Effectiveness Ratios (ICERs) and Net Health Benefits (NHBs): Statistical, Economic, and Policy Issues   | 
		
			 4:15 PM - 6:00 PM
			   
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				 Organizer(s): George  Carides, Merck & Co.
			        
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				 Chair(s): John  Cook, Merck and Co., Inc.
			        
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				2:45 PM
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				 Joint Distribution Approaches to Quantifying Benefit and Risk in Clinical Trials
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Michele Lee Shaffer, Penn State College of Medicine
			         
                     
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				3:15 PM
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				 Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratios, Net Benefit and Healthcare Decision-Making:  A Policy Perspective
				     
					
				      Michael  Drummond, University of York
			         
                     
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				3:45 PM
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				 Discussant:
				     
					
				      Andrew R Willan, SickKids Research Institute
			         
                     
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				4:15 PM
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				 ICER vs. INHB:  The Statistical Issues
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Daniel F. Heitjan, University of Pennsylvania
			         
                     
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			 I-3 Trends in Medical Costs for Persons with Chronic Conditions   | 
		
			 4:15 PM - 6:00 PM
			   
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				 Organizer(s): Steven B Cohen, AHRQ
			        
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				 Chair(s): Joshua T. Cohen, Tufts-New England Medical Center
			        
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				4:15 PM
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				 Testing for Survey Attrition Effects on Chronic Disease Care Cost Estimates in a National Longitudinal Medical Expenditure Survey
				     
					
				      Steven B Cohen, AHRQ
			         
                     
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				4:45 PM
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				 Predicting Expenditures for Persons with Chronic Conditions
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      John A. Fleishman, AHRQ
			         
                     
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				5:15 PM
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				 Accuracy of Household Reported Medical Conditions:  Findings from the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS)
				     
					
				      Steven R. Machlin, AHRQ
			         
                     
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			 TC-3 Models for Measuring Health Disparities at the National, Regional and Local Levels   | 
		
			 4:15 PM - 6:00 PM
			   
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				 Organizer(s): Marc N. Elliott, The RAND Corporation
			        
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				 Chair(s): Amelia  Haviland, RAND Corporation
			        
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				4:15 PM
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				 Measuring Health Disparities in Healthy People 2010
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Richard J. Klein, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
			         
                     
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				4:40 PM
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				 Measuring Disparity over Inherently Ranked Groups
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Elsie  Pamuk, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
			         
                     
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				5:05 PM
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				 A New Method for Estimating Race/Ethnicity and Associated Disparities Where Administrative Records Lack Self-Reported Race/Ethnicity 
				     
					
				      Marc N. Elliott, The RAND Corporation
			         
                     
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				5:30 PM
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				 Emerging Interactive Mapping Tools for Identifying Disparities and Targeting Interventions
				     
					
				      Allen  Fremont, The RAND Corporation
			         
                     
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			 WK4 Cluster Randomized Trials in Health Policy Research   | 
		
			 4:15 PM - 6:00 PM
			   
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				4:15 PM
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				 Cluster Randomized Trials in Health Policy Research
				     
					
				      Thomas Ezra Love, Case Western Reserve University
			         
                     
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			  Poster Session and Reception   | 
		
			 6:30 PM - 7:30 PM
			   
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				 P1 - Introducing Bayesian Data Analysis to Non-Statisticians in a Frequentist Course:  Illustration with NDNQI Data
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Byron J Gajewski, University of Kansas Schools of Nursing and Allied Health, Center for Biostatistics
			         
                     
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				 P2 - Grouping Hospitals by Quality - A PRIDIT Approach with Bootstrapping
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Robert Dan Lieberthal, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania
			         
                     
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				 P3 - Analysis of Policy-Induced Therapy Change among Patients on Olanzapine Using Florida (FL) Medicaid Claims Database
				     
					
				      Anthony Howard Lawson, Eli Lilly and Company
			         
                     
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				 P4 - Evaluation of Selection Bias in Literacy Studies for English- and Spanish-Speaking Cancer Patients
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Hongyan  Du, Evanston Northwestern Healthcare, Center on Outcomes, Research and Education
			         
                     
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				 P5 - Multilevel Spatial Logistical Model for Neighborhood Effects Analysis
				     
					
				      Xingyou  Zhang, The Robert Graham Center: Policy Studies in Family Medicine and Primary Care
			         
                     
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				 P6 - The contribution of risk adjustment methods when estimating medical costs for persons by specialty of their usual source of care.
				     
					
				      Martey  Dodoo, The Robert Graham Center: Policy Studies in Family Medicine and Primary Care
			         
                     
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				 P7 - Evaluation of methods for estimating the incremental costs of providing behavioral change services in primary care physician practices.
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Martey  Dodoo, The Robert Graham Center: Policy Studies in Family Medicine and Primary Care
			         
                     
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				 P8 - Weighting Within Strata: A New Propensity Weight
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Michael A. Posner, Villanova University
			         
                     
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			 Fri, Jan 18		  | 
	
	
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			 C-5 Applications of Multi-Level Hierarchical and Cluster Data Models   | 
		
			 8:30 AM - 10:15 AM
			   
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				 Organizer(s): Christopher H Schmid, Tufts-New England Medical Center
			        
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				 Chair(s): James  O'Malley, Harvard Medical School
			        
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				8:30 AM
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				 The Essential Role of Pair Matching in Cluster-Randomized Experiments, with Application to the Mexican Universal Health Insurance Evaluation
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Kosuke  Imai, Princeton University
			         
                     
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				8:45 AM
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				 A Flexible Two-Part Random Effects Model for Correlated Medical Costs
				     
					
				      Lei  Liu, University of Virginia
			         
                     
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				9:00 AM
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				 Cross-Classified Random Effects Analysis of Hospital and Surgeon Volume
				     
					
				      Sujata  Patil, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center
			         
                     
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				9:15 AM
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				 Using and Testing Constructs related to Evidence-based Medicine to Improve the Quality of Care in Office Practices
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Gerald K Arnold, American Board of Internal Medicine
			         
                     
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				9:30 AM
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				 Combining National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) and Census Data to Estimate Healthcare Access Deprivation Index for Small Neighborhood Areas in US: A Multilevel Approach
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Xingyou  Zhang, The Robert Graham Center: Policy Studies in Family Medicine and Primary Care
			         
                     
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				9:45 AM
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				 Predictors of Nonresponse to 2007 Medicare CAHPS Survey
				     
					
				      David J. Klein, The RAND Corporation
			         
                     
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			 I-10 Statistical and Economic Perspectives on Utilzation, Costs, and Cost-Effectiveness   | 
		
			 8:30 AM - 10:15 AM
			   
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				 Organizer(s): Roslyn A. Stone, VA Pittsburgh Healthcare System
			        
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				 Chair(s): Roslyn A. Stone, VA Pittsburgh Healthcare System
			        
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				8:30 AM
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				 Providing Primary Care Providers with Incentives for Appropriate Emergency Department Use
				     
					
				      Arlene S Ash, Boston U and DxCG, Inc.
			         
                     
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				9:00 AM
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				 Statistical and economic perspectives on utilization, costs, and cost-effectiveness
				     
					
				      Xiao-Hua (Andrew)  Zhou, University of Washington
			         
                     
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				9:30 AM
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				 Analysis of costs for cost-effectiveness from the perspective of a health economist
				     
					
				      Henry A Glick, University of Pennsylvania
			         
                     
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			 I-4 Future Directions in Health Policy Statistics   | 
		
			 8:30 AM - 10:15 AM
			   
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				 Organizer(s): Juned  Siddique, The University of Chicago
			        
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				 Chair(s): Juned  Siddique, The University of Chicago
			        
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				8:30 AM
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				 The Statistics of Suicide
				     
					
				      Robert D Gibbons, Center for Health Statistics - University of Illinois at Chicago
			         
                     
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				9:00 AM
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				 Combining Information from Multiple Surveys to Enhance Estimation of Measures of Health
				     
					
				      Nathaniel  Schenker, National Center for Health Statistics
			         
                     
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				9:30 AM
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				 Using Latent Variable Models for Assessing Quality of Health Care: Issues and Applications
				     
					
				      Sharon-Lise T Normand, Harvard Medical School
			         
                     
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			 WK5 Applied Longitudinal Analysis   | 
		
			 8:30 AM - 10:15 AM
			   
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				8:30 AM
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				 Applied Longitudinal Analysis
				     
					
				      Garrett  Fitzmaurice, Harvard School of Public Health
			         
                     
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			 C-6 Meta-Analysis II   | 
		
			 10:30 AM - 12:15 PM
			   
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				 Organizer(s): Christopher H Schmid, Tufts-New England Medical Center
			        
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				 Chair(s): Joseph C Cappelleri, Pfizer Inc
			        
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				10:30 AM
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				 Incorporating uncertainty of between-study variance estimates increases the reliability of biased random-effects meta-analysis
				     
					
				      Kristian  Thorlund, Copenhagen trial
			         
                     
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				10:50 AM
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				 Disagreements in statistical inferences from the random-effects meta-analyses model based on different between-study variance estimators
				     
					
				      Kristian  Thorlund, Copenhagen trial
			         
                     
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				11:10 AM
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				 What is the Effect of Zero Cells in a Meta-Analysis
				     
					
				      Ingram  Olkin, Stanford University
			         
                     
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				11:30 AM
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				 Meta-Analysis for Drug Safety Assessment
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Michael A Stoto, Georgetown Universtity
			         
                     
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				11:50 AM
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				 Much Ado About Avandia:  The meta-analysis of rare events in the service of health policy
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Russell  Localio, Dept of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine
			         
                     
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			 C-9 Applications of Survival Analyses to Health Related Outcomes   | 
		
			 10:30 AM - 12:15 PM
			   
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				 Organizer(s): Christopher H Schmid, Tufts-New England Medical Center
			        
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				 Chair(s): Norma  Terrin, Tufts-New England Medical Center
			        
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				10:30 AM
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				 Association Between Nurse Staffing and Hospital Mortality: Methodological considerations
				     
					
				      Luwis  Diya, Biostatistical Center, Catholic University of Leuven
			         
                     
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				10:45 AM
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				 A Temporal, Multi-City Model to Estimate the Effects of Short-Term Exposure to Ambient Air Pollution on Health 
				     
					
				      Hwashin Hyun Shin, Health Canada
			         
                     
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				11:00 AM
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				 A Strategy to Characterize Chemotherapy Diffusion with Population-Based Data
				     
					
				      Cami  Sima, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center
			         
                     
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				11:15 AM
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				 Profiling hospital differences in the quality of CABG surgery using quality-adjusted life years
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Justin W Timbie, Veterans Affairs Ann Arbor Healthcare System, HSRD
			         
                     
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				11:30 AM
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				 An intrinsically valid approach to integrate several health outcomes into a comprehensive score
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Knut M. Wittkowski, The Rockefeller University
			         
                     
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				11:45 AM
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				 A Shared Parameter Model for Continuous Longitudinal Data with Dropouts under Latent Class Structure
				     
					
				      Lingfeng  Yang, Wyeth
			         
                     
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			 I-5 Causal Methods: Advances and Applications in Health   | 
		
			 10:30 AM - 12:15 PM
			   
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				 Organizer(s): Amelia  Haviland, RAND Corporation
			        
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				 Chair(s): Thomas R Belin, The University of California-Los Angeles
			        
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				10:30 AM
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				 Defining  "baseline" using propensity score matching: Application to a clinical trial  
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Elizabeth A. Stuart, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public  Health
			         
                     
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				10:55 AM
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				 Propensity Scores and Multiple Treatments: Application to CAHPS Health Care Ratings
				     
					
				      Marc N. Elliott, The RAND Corporation
			         
                     
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				11:20 AM
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				 Intervening on Risk Factors for Coronary Heart Disease: An Application of the Parametric G-Formula
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Sarah  Taubman, University of Pennsylvania
			         
                     
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				11:45 AM
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				 Gangs and Teen Violence: A Matched Analysis using Trajectory Groups and Propensity Scores
				     
					
				      Amelia  Haviland, RAND Corporation
			         
                     
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			 WK6 Reducing the Impact of Selection Bias with Propensity Scores   | 
		
			 10:30 AM - 12:15 PM
			   
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				10:30 AM
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				 Reducing the Impact of Selection Bias with Propensity Scores
				     
					
				      Thomas Ezra Love, Case Western Reserve University
			         
                     
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			 C-7 Statistical Potpourri   | 
		
			 2:15 PM - 4:00 PM
			   
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				 Organizer(s): Christopher H Schmid, Tufts-New England Medical Center
			        
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				 Chair(s): Juned  Siddique, The University of Chicago
			        
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				2:15 PM
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				 Economic and Statistical Uncertainty in Cost-Effectiveness Inference
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Robert L. Obenchain, Risk Benefit Statistics LLC
			         
                     
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				2:30 PM
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				 Use of a Listed Sample to Supplement and Improve the Accuracy of a Probability Sample
				     
					
				      Bonnie  Ghosh Dastidar, Rand
			         
                     
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				2:45 PM
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				 An Analytical Study: Better Approach For Health Policy Statistics
				     
					
				      Zahid  Ahmad, GC University Lahore
			         
                     
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				3:00 PM
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				 The Positive Influence Generation
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      John F Loase, Chair- Concordia College-NY
			         
                     
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				3:15 PM
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				 Travel flow Scan Statistics for Infectious Disease Surveillance
				     
					
				      Shenghai  Zhang, Public Health Agency of Canada
			         
                     
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				3:30 PM
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				 First order geometric stable process
				     
					
				      A.P.  Kuttykrishnan, Sir Syed College
			         
                     
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			 I-6 Joint Modeling of Longitudinal and Time-to-Event Data   | 
		
			 2:15 PM - 4:00 PM
			   
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				 Organizer(s): Michael R. Elliott, University of Michigan
			        
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				 Chair(s): Michael R. Elliott, University of Michigan
			        
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				2:15 PM
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				 Individual Prediction in Prostate Cancer Studies Using a  Joint Longitudinal-Survival-Cure Model
				     
					
				      Jeremy  Taylor, University of Michigan
			         
                     
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				2:40 PM
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				 Statistical Methods for Adjusting Selection Bias in Longitudinal Survey
				     
					
				      Wen  Ye, University of Michigan
			         
                     
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				3:05 PM
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				 Approximate Bayesian Model Averaging for Latent Class Pattern Mixture Models with an Unknown Number of Classes 
				     
					
				      Jason  Roy, Geisinger Center for Health Research
			         
                     
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				3:30 PM
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				 Evaluating Time-Varying Service Implement on Longitudinal Outcome using Joint Analysis Approach
				     
					
				      Haiqun  Lin, Yale School of Public Health
			         
                     
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			 TC-4 Evaluating Policy Issues with a Triangulation of Methods Using the Burden of Herpes Zoster as an Example   | 
		
			 2:15 PM - 4:00 PM
			   
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				 Organizer(s): Robbin F. Itzler, Merck Research Laboratories
			        
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				 Chair(s): Robbin F. Itzler, Merck Research Laboratories
			        
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				2:15 PM
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				 Analysis of Claims Data to Assess Resource Utilization and Costs Using Herpes Zoster as an Example
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Ralph P Insinga, Merck Research Laboratories
			         
                     
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				2:35 PM
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				 Use of Claims Data To Assess the Resource Utilization and Costs of Herpes Zoster in the First Year After Diagnosis
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Ron  White, Merck Vaccine Division
			         
                     
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				2:55 PM
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				 Use of Propensity Score Matching with Claims Data to Assess the Resource Utilization and Costs Attributable to HZ
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Paul  Buzinec, i3 Innovus
			         
                     
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				3:15 PM
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				 Use of Chart Abstractions Based on Reviews of Medical Records to Assess the Healthcare Resource Utilization and Cost of Herpes Zoster
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Barbara  Yawn, Olmsted Medical Center
			         
                     
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				3:35 PM
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				 Building an Understanding of the Economics of a New Vaccine Through the Use of Clinical Trial and Non-Clinical Trial Data: The Case of the Zoster Vaccine
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      James M. Pellissier, Merck Research Laboratories
			         
                     
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			 WK7 Intermediate Bayesian Data Analysis Using WinBUGS and Brugs   | 
		
			 2:15 PM - 4:00 PM
			   
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				2:15 PM
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				 Intermediate Bayesian Data Analysis Using WinBUGS and BRugs
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Bradley P. Carlin, University of Minnesota
			         
                     
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			 C-8 Propensity Scores   | 
		
			 4:15 PM - 6:00 PM
			   
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				 Organizer(s): Christopher H Schmid, Tufts-New England Medical Center
			        
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				 Chair(s): Eloise  Kaizar, The Ohio State University
			        
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				4:15 PM
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				 Multiple Imputation for the Comparison of Two Screening Test in Two Phase Alzheimer Studies
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Ofer  Harel, University of Connecticut
			         
                     
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				4:35 PM
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				 Comparison of Hot Deck and Multiple Imputation Methods Using Simulations for HCSDB Data
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Donsig  Jang, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.
			         
                     
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				4:55 PM
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				 Cluster Membership provides Guaranteed Balancing Scores.
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Robert L. Obenchain, Risk Benefit Statistics LLC
			         
                     
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				5:15 PM
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				 Sufficient Dimension Reduction Summaries
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      David  Nelson, MPLS VA, Univ of MN
			         
                     
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				5:35 PM
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				 Deconfounding small quasi-experiments using propensity scores and other dimension reduction techniques
				     
					
				      Yevgeniya  Kleyman, University of Michigan
			         
                     
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			 I-11 Conceptual Issues (and Practical Implications) in Measuring Health Disparities   | 
		
			 4:15 PM - 6:00 PM
			   
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				 Organizer(s): James Patrick Scanlan, Attorney at Law
			        
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				 Chair(s): Bonnie  Ghosh Dastidar, Rand
			        
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				4:15 PM
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				 Can we actually measure health disparities?
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      James Patrick Scanlan, Attorney at Law
			         
                     
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				4:45 PM
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				 Measuring Disparities in Healthy People 2010
				     
					
				      View Presentation
					
				      Kenneth G Keppel, National Center for Health Statistics
			         
                     
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				5:15 PM
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				 Using the concentration index to measure disparities in binary variables
				     
					
				      Adam  Wagstaff, Development Research Group, The World Bank
			         
                     
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			 I-7 Economic Assessments in Randomized Trials   | 
		
			 4:15 PM - 6:00 PM
			   
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				 Organizer(s): Jalpa  Doshi, University of Pennsylvania; Henry A Glick, University of Pennsylvania
			        
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				 Discussant(s): John  Cook, Merck and Co., Inc.
			        
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			 WK8 Hierarchical and Joint Longitudinal and Survival Modeling Using WinBUGS   | 
		
			 4:15 PM - 6:00 PM
			   
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				4:15 PM
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				 Hierarchical and Joint Longitudinal and Survival Modeling Using WinBUGS
				     
					
				      Bradley P. Carlin, University of Minnesota
			         
                     
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