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CC = Vancouver Convention Centre   F = Fairmont Waterfront Vancouver
* = applied session       ! = JSM meeting theme

Activity Details


3 * !
Sun, 7/29/2018, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-West 301
Remembering Stephen E. Fienberg — Invited Papers
Memorial, Social Statistics Section, History of Statistics Interest Group, Survey Research Methods Section
Organizer(s): Alicia Carriquiry, Iowa State University; Asaph Young Chun, US Census Bureau
Chair(s): Amanda Luby, Carnegie Mellon University
2:05 PM The Role of Statistics in Improving Forensic Science
Hal Stern, University of California, Irvine
2:20 PM Causes of Effects and Effects of Causes: A Study of Shaken Baby Syndrome
Maria Cuellar, Carnegie Mellon University
2:35 PM Discussant: Edward George, Wharton, University of Pennsylvania
2:50 PM Discussant: Alicia Carriquiry, Iowa State University
3:05 PM Discussant: William Eddy, Carnegie Mellon University
3:20 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

4 *
Sun, 7/29/2018, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-East 16
Transparency, Reproducibility and Replicability in Work with Social and Economic Data — Invited Papers
Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, Section on Statistical Computing
Organizer(s): Mike L. Cohen, Committee on National Statistics
Chair(s): Mike L. Cohen, Committee on National Statistics
2:05 PM Framing Reproducibility Issues in Computationally- and Data-Enabled Research?
Victoria Stodden, University of Illinois
2:30 PM Transparency, Reproducibility, and Replicability
Margaret Levenstein, Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research
2:55 PM Enhancement of Transparency, Reproducibility, and Replicability in the Integration of Multiple Data Sources
Presentation 1 Presentation 2
John L. Eltinge, United States Census Bureau
3:20 PM Discussant: Emilda Rivers, National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics, NSF
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

5 * !
Sun, 7/29/2018, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-East 19
Strategic Planning and Vision Building for the Statistics Profession: Are Existing Databases Underutilized? — Invited Papers
Social Statistics Section, IMS, Conference Board of the Mathematical Sciences, SSC, Caucus for Women in Statistics
Organizer(s): Amanda L. Golbeck, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences
Chair(s): Roy E. Welsch, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
2:05 PM Seeing the Big Picture in, and Having More Influence on, the Statistics Profession from Your Vantage Point
Presentation
Amanda L. Golbeck, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences
2:30 PM Leading Toward Evidence-Based Educational Improvement Using the CBMS Survey
Presentation
Ellen E. Kirkman, Wake Forest University
2:55 PM Stats on Stats: Statistical Sciences in the Annual Survey of the Mathematical Sciences
Presentation
Thomas Harold Barr, American Mathematical Society
3:20 PM Discussant: Sally C. Morton, Virginia Tech
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

11 * !
Sun, 7/29/2018, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-West 206/207
Daunting Challenges and Innovative Solutions for Big Data Analysis — Invited Papers
Section on Statistical Computing, Caucus for Women in Statistics, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science, SSC, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Nusrat Jahan, James Madison University
Chair(s): Nusrat Jahan, James Madison University
2:05 PM Spatially Informed Variable Selection Priors and Application to Neuroimaging Data
Presentation
Marina Vannucci, Rice University
2:30 PM Analysis and Visualization for Large-Scale Scientific Simulations
Joanne R. Wendelberger, Los Alamos National Laboratory; Divya Banesh, Los Alamos National Laboratory; James Ahrens, Los Alamos National Laboratory
2:55 PM Nonparametric Empirical Bayes Methods for High Dimension Problems 
Presentation
Linda Zhao, University of Pennsylvania; Junhui Cai, University of Pennsylvania
3:20 PM Data-Driven Regularization and Priors in GWAS and Mediation Analysis
Presentation
Sunduz Keles, University of Wisconsin, Madison
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

25 *
Sun, 7/29/2018, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-East 14
Recent Research on Current Population Survey — Topic Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Yang Cheng, US Census Bureau
Chair(s): Stephen Ash, US Census Bureau
2:05 PM Optimal AK Composite Estimators in Current Population Survey
Presentation
Yang Cheng, US Census Bureau; Jun Shao, University of Wisconsin; Yu Zhou, East China Normal University
2:25 PM Understanding Variance Estimator Bias in Stratified Two-Stage Sampling
Presentation 1 Presentation 2
Khoa Dong, U.S. Census Bureau; Timothy Trudell, US Census Bureau; Yang Cheng, US Census Bureau; Eric Slud, U.S. Census Bureau
2:45 PM Domain Estimation and Successive Difference Replication
Presentation
Timothy Trudell, US Census Bureau; Khoa Dong, U.S. Census Bureau; Yang Cheng, US Census Bureau; Eric Slud, U.S. Census Bureau
3:05 PM Current Population Survey State GVFs and Design Effects
Presentation
Tamara Zimmerman, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Edwin Robison, Bureau of Labor Statistics
3:25 PM Discussant: Snigdhansu Chatterjee, University of Minnesota
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

47 * !
Sun, 7/29/2018, 4:00 PM - 5:50 PM CC-East 10
Statistical Analysis of Linked Data — Invited Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science, Caucus for Women in Statistics, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Ying Han, University of Maryland, College Park; Partha Lahiri, University of Maryland, College Park
Chair(s): Daniel Bonnery, University of Maryland
4:05 PM Outlier Robust Inference Using Probabilistically Linked Data
Presentation
Nicola Salvati, University of Pisa; Suojin Wang, Texas A&M University; Enrico Fabrizi, Catholic University of Sacro Cuore; Raymond Chambers, University of Wollongong
4:30 PM Entity Resolution with Societal Impacts in Statistical Machine Learning
Presentation
Rebecca C. Steorts, Duke University
4:55 PM A Bayesian Approach for Deduplication, Record Linkage, and Inference with Linked Data
Presentation
brunero liseo, Sapienza Università di Roma; Andrea Tancredi, Sapienza Università di Roma; Rebecca C. Steorts, Duke University
5:20 PM Discussant: Mauricio Sadinle, University of Washington
5:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

54
Sun, 7/29/2018, 4:00 PM - 5:50 PM CC-West Ballroom A
The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly: The Future of Statistics and the Public — Invited Panel
International Statistical Institute, Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, SSC, Social Statistics Section, Caucus for Women in Statistics
Organizer(s): John Bailer, Miami University; Regina Nuzzo, Gallaudet University; Liberty Vittert, University of Glasgow
Chair(s): Liberty Vittert, University of Glasgow
4:05 PM The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly: The Future of Statistics and the Public
Presentation 1 Presentation 2
Panelists: David Spiegelhalter, Royal Statistical Society
Richard Coffin, USAFacts
Mark Hansen, Columbia University & David and Helen Gurley Brown Institute for Media Innovation
Scott Tranter, 0ptimus Consulting
Rita Ko, The Hive, data initiative of UNHCR (UN Refugee Agency)
5:40 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

59 * !
Sun, 7/29/2018, 4:00 PM - 5:50 PM CC-East 9
Novel Population Model to Project the Health Impact of the Use of Tobacco Products in the United States — Topic Contributed Papers
Social Statistics Section, Health Policy Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Antonio Paredes, US Food and Drug Administration Center for Tobacco Products
Chair(s): Antonio Paredes, US Food and Drug Administration Center for Tobacco Products
4:05 PM Modeling and Simulation Strategies in Tobacco Regulatory Science
George Rochester, FDA Center for Tobacco Products
4:25 PM Case Study of Modeling and Simulation in Tobacco Regulation
Presentation
Esther Salazar, U.S. Food and Drug Administration
4:45 PM A System Dynamics Model for Tobacco Research
Presentation
Minh Huynh, Impaq International, LLC; Aaron Heuser, IMPAQ International, LLC; Chris Zhang, IMPAQ International LLC; Hautahi Kingi, IMPAQ International LLC; Antonio Paredes, US Food and Drug Administration Center for Tobacco Products; George Rochester, FDA Center for Tobacco Products
5:05 PM Probabilistic Analysis of Modified Risk Tobacco Product Effects on Population Health
Presentation
Bill Poland, Certara; Sylvain Larroque, JT International SA
5:25 PM Models for Sensory Discrimination with Application to Tobacco Regulatory Science
Presentation
Ghideon Solomon, FDA; George Rochester, FDA Center for Tobacco Products
5:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

87
Sun, 7/29/2018, 8:30 PM - 10:30 PM CC-West Hall B
Invited ePoster Session: a Statistical Smörgåsbord — Invited Poster Presentations
SSC, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science, Section on Nonparametric Statistics, Biometrics Section, Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section for Statistical Programmers and Analysts, Section on Statistics in Imaging, WNAR, Social Statistics Section, Astrostatistics Special Interest Group, Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR, Section on Risk Analysis, Section on Statistical Consulting
Chair(s): Paul McNicholas, McMaster University
1: The LISA 2020 Program to Build Statistics Capacity in Developing Countries
Eric Vance, LISA-University of Colorado Boulder
2: Conditions for the Uniqueness, Finiteness, and Possible Location of the Maximum Likelihood Estimate with a Log Binomial Model
Gurbakhshash Singh, University of Calgary; Gordon Hilton Fick, University of Calgary
3: Two Mixture-Based Clustering Approaches: Modeling an Automobile Insurance Portfolio
Tatjana Miljkovic, Miami University; Daniel Fernandez, Victoria University of Wellington
4: An Expectation Conditional Maximization Approach for Gaussian Graphical Models
Zehang Li, University of Washington; Tyler McCormick, University of Washington
5: A Bayesian Model for Multivariate Micro-Level Insurance Claims
Marie-Pier Côté, Universite Laval; Christian Genest, McGill University; David A Stephens, McGill University
6: Deep Learning for Statistical Inference in Infectious Disease Systems
Rob Deardon, University of Calgary; Carolyn Augusta, University of Guelph; Graham Taylor, University of Guelph
7: Flexible Accelerated Failure Time Model in Survival Analysis
Menglan Pang, McGill University; Michal Abrahamowicz, McGill University; Robert W Platt, McGill University
8: Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Children and Adolescents' Emergency Department Use for Mental Health Reasons in Alberta, Canada
Michelle Thiessen, Simon Fraser University; Joan Hu, Simon Fraser University; Rhonda J. Rosychuk, University of Alberta
9: Approximate Bayesian Computation with Complex High-Dimensional Data and Limited Simulations
Taylor Gene Pospisil, Carnegie Mellon University
10: Zero Counts in Single Cell RNA-Seq Data
Hao Wu, Emory University; Zhijin Wu, Brown University
11: Quasi-Oracle Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects
Xinkun Nie, Stanford University; Stefan Wager, Stanford University
12: Estimation of Fire Duration Distribution with Missing Start Time
Yi Xiong, Simon Fraser University; John Braun, University of British Columbia ; Joan Hu, Simon Fraser University
13: Bayesian Nonparametric Hierarchical Models for Lightcurve Classification and Observation Decisions
David Edward Jones, Duke University and SAMSI; Sujit Ghosh, North Carolina State Univ.; Ana-Maria Staicu, NC State University; Ashish Mahabal, Caltech
14: Approximate Bayesian Computation for the Stellar Initial Mass Function
Jessi Cisewski-Kehe, Yale University; Chad Schafer, Carnegie Mellon University; Grant Weller, Savvysherpa; David Hogg, New York University
15: A Novel Bayesian Framework to Probe Closed Box Nature of Galaxy Clusters
Arya Farahi, University of Michigan - Ann Arbor
16: Statistical Approaches to Decreasing the Discrepancy of Non-Detects in QPCR Data
Valeriia Sherina, University of Rochester Medical Center; Love Tanzy, University of Rochester Medical Center; Matthew N. McCall, University of Rochester Medical Center
17: Generalized Statistical Inference for Astrophysical Discoveries
Sara Algeri, Imperial College London; David A van Dyk, Imperial College London; Jan Conrad, Oskar Klein Centre for Cosmoparticle Physics
18: Nonparametric Causal Effects Based on Incremental Propensity Score Interventions
Edward Kennedy, Carnegie Mellon University; Matteo Bonvini, Carnegie Mellon University
19: Addressing Overfitting in Mixtures of Factor Analyzers
Jeffrey L Andrews, University of British Columbia Okanagan
20: Spatiotemporal Analysis of Environmental Health Risk
Renjun Ma, University of New Brunswick; Edward Hughes, Edward Hughes Consulting
21: Probabilistic Partial Least Squares Regression Applied to Longitudinal and Cross-Sectional Compositional Data
Peter A Tait, McMaster Univeristy; Paul McNicholas, McMaster University
22: Detection of Trend Onset in Environmental Time Series
Ying Zhang, Acadia University
23: The Analysis of Face Perception MEG and EEG Data Using a Potts-Mixture Spatiotemporal Joint Model
Yin Song, University of Victoria; Farouk Nathoo; Arif Babul, University of Victoria
24: Infere
Steven Cumming, Université Laval
25: Functional Partial Linear Quantile Regression Based on Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space
Peng Liu, University of Alberta; Linglong KONG, University of Alberta; Bei JIANG, University of Alberta; Nan Zhang, Fudan University; Jianhua Z. Huang, Texas A&M University
26: Gaussian Process Regression with Large Data Sets: Has the Problem Been Solved?
Sonja Surjanovic, University of British Columbia; William Welch, University of British Columbia
27: Sparse Estimation for Functional Semiparametric Additive Model
Peijun Sang, Simon Fraser University; Richard Lockhart, Simon Fraser University; Jiguo Cao, Simon Fraser University
28: Analysis of Paired Binary Data Subject to Misclassification Using a Random Effect Model
Hua Shen, University of Calgary ; Richard John Cook, University of Waterloo
29: A Grouped Weighted Quantile Regression Approach to Modeling Environmental Chemical Mixtures and Childhood Leukemia Risk
David C. Wheeler, Virginia Commonwealth University
30: Efficient Robust Doubly Adaptive Regularized Regression with Application to fMRI Data
Wei Tu, University of Alberta
31: A Model-Based Clustering to Identify Disease-Associated SNPs
Li Xing, University of Victoria; Xuekui Zhang, University of Victoria; Yan Xu, University of Victoria; Weiliang Qiu, Brigham and Women's Hosptial/Harvard Medical School
32: The Consequences of Requiring 'Greater Statistical Stringency' for Scientific Publication
Harlan Campbell, University of British Columbia; Paul Gustafson, University of British Columbia
33: Mixtures of Contaminated Shifted Asymmetric Laplace Factor Analyzers
Brian C Franczak, MacEwan University
34: Uncertainty Quantification of Stochastic Computer Model for Binary Black Hole Formation
Luyao Lin, Simon Fraser University; Jim Barrett, University of Birmingham; Derek Bingham, Simon Fraser University; Ilya Mandel, University of Birmingham
35: Network Meta-Analysis of Disconnected Networks: How Dangerous Are Random Baseline Treatment Effects?
Audrey Béliveau, University of Waterloo; Sarah Goring, SMG Outcomes Research; Robert W Platt, McGill University; Paul Gustafson, University of British Columbia
36: Nonparametric Measures of Local Causality and Tests of Local Non-Causality in Time Series
Felix Camirand Lemyre, School of mathematics and statistics, University of Melbourne; Taoufik Bouezmarni, Université de Sherbrooke; Jean-François Quessy, Université du Québec à Trois-Rivières
37: Sparse Functional Principal Component Analysis in a New Regression Framework
YUNLONG NIE, Simon Fraser University; Jiguo Cao, Simon Fraser University
38: Inference of Introgressive Hybridization in Anopheles Mosquito Genomes
Jingxue(Grace) Feng, Simon Fraser University; Liangliang Wang, Simon Fraser University; Cedric Chauve, Simon Fraser University
39: Statistical Methods for Addressing Missing Data in HIV/AIDS Surveillance Systems
Sahar Zangeneh, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; Ying Qing Chen, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; Deborah Donnell, Fred Hutch
40: Latent Mixtures of Functions to Characterize the Complex Exposure Relationships of Pesticides on Cancer Incidence
Sung Duk Kim, National Cancer Institute; Paul S Albert, National Cancer Institute
 
 

216542
Mon, 7/30/2018, 7:00 AM - 8:30 AM CC-East 20
Social Statinstics Section Executive Committee Meeting — Other Cmte/Business
Social Statistics Section
Chair(s): Paul Beatty, U.S. Census Bureau
 
 

136 *
Mon, 7/30/2018, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-West 112
Development of Indicators: Prediction vs. Inference — Contributed Papers
Social Statistics Section
Chair(s): Brian Sloboda, University of Phoenix
8:35 AM Quantify the Thucydides Trap Risk
Charles Tan, Pfizer, Inc.
8:50 AM Inferential Analysis of the Supreme Court Citation Network
Christian Schmid, The Pennsylvania State University; Bruce Desmarais, The Pennsylvania State University
9:05 AM Measurement Variation in Bibliometric Impact Indicators
Presentation
Stephan Stahlschmidt, German Centre for Higher Education Research and Science Studies (DZHW); Marion Schmidt, German Centre for Higher Education Research and Science Studies (DZHW)
9:20 AM New Frontiers in Measuring the Wellbeing in the Big Data Era
Presentation
Daniele Toninelli, University of Bergamo; Michela Cameletti, University of Bergamo; Stephan Schlosser, Universität Göttingen
9:35 AM Development of the Canadian Marginalization Index Using Factor Analysis
Presentation
Camille Charbonneau, Statistics Canada
9:50 AM Investigating Gender Differences in Mobility and Activity Space Using Density Ranking
Zhihang Dong, University of Washington; Adrian Dobra, University of Washington; Yen-Chi Chen, University of Washington
10:05 AM Using Neural Generative Models to Release Synthetic Twitter Corpora with Reduced Stylometric Identifiability of Users
Presentation
Joshua Snoke; Alexander Ororbia, Pennsylvania State University; Fridolin Linder, Pennsylvania State University
 
 

148 *
Mon, 7/30/2018, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-West 118
Administrative Records for Survey Methodology and Evidence Building — Invited Panel
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Asaph Young Chun, US Census Bureau
Chair(s): Rochelle Martinez, Office of Management and Budget
10:35 AM Administrative Records for Survey Methodology and Evidence Building
Presentation 1 Presentation 2 Presentation 3
Panelists: Asaph Young Chun, US Census Bureau
Bruce Meyer, University of Chicago
Paul Biemer, RTI Internatinoal
12:10 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

151 * !
Mon, 7/30/2018, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-West 224
#LeadwithStatistics in the Social Sciences — Topic Contributed Papers
Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Social Statistics Section, Business and Economic Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Tyler McCormick and Adrian Raftery, University of Washington
Chair(s): Bailey Fosdick, Colorado State University
10:35 AM Model Selection, Contingency Tables and Human Mobility
Presentation
Adrian Dobra, University of Washington
10:55 AM Covariate Selection for Generalizing Experimental Results
Presentation
Erin Hartman, UCLA; Naoki Egami, Princeton University
11:15 AM Estimating Unmet Need for Contraceptive Methods in the World's Poorest Countries
Presentation
Leontine Alkema, University of Massachusetts Amherst; Niamh Cahill, University College Dublin; Chuchu Wei, University of Massachusetts Amherst
11:35 AM Sharing of Network Data: Differentially Private Synthetic Networks
Presentation
Aleksandra Slavkovic, Pennsylvania State University; Vishesh Karwa, Ohio State University; Pavel Krivitsky, University of Wollongong
11:55 AM Discussant: Adrian Raftery, University of Washington
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

157 *
Mon, 7/30/2018, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-West 115
Constructing Profiles of Local Communities — Topic Contributed Papers
Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Joshua Goldstein, Social and Decision Analytics Laboratory, Virginia Tech
Chair(s): David Higdon, Virginia Tech
10:35 AM The Science of Data Science - Developing a Data Framework and Methods to Bring the All Data Revolution to Communities
Presentation
Stephanie Shipp, Biocomplexity Institute of Virginia Tech; Sallie Keller, Social & Decisional Analytics Lab, Virginia Tech
10:55 AM Community Profiling with Composite Indicators
Presentation
Vicki Lancaster, Biocomplexity Institute of Virginia Tech- Social Decision & Analytics Lab
11:15 AM Constructing a Synthetic Population for Community Profiling Using Publicly Available Data
Presentation
Joshua Goldstein, Social and Decision Analytics Laboratory, Virginia Tech; David Higdon, Virginia Tech
11:35 AM Potts Models for Record Linkage in Albuquerque Crime Data
Presentation
Ian Crandell, Virginia Tech
11:55 AM Discussant: Barbara Robles, Federal Reserve Board
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

219 !
Mon, 7/30/2018, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-West 118
Seeing the World as a Missing Data Problem: Celebrating 40 Years of Multiple Imputation — Invited Papers
Social Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, Royal Statistical Society, SSC
Organizer(s): Robin Mitra, University of Lancaster
Chair(s): Robin Mitra, University of Lancaster
2:05 PM Nonparametric Multiple Imputation for Bridging Between Different Industry Coding Systems
Jörg Drechsler, Institute for Employment Research; Birgit Pech, Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg
2:30 PM Multiple Imputation for Adaptive Survey Design
Presentation
Trivellore Raghunathan, University of Michigan
2:55 PM A Robust Multiple Imputation Approach to Causal Inference with Confounding by Indication
Presentation
Roderick J Little, University of Michigan; Tingting Zhou, University of Michigan; Michael Elliott, University of Michigan
3:20 PM Discussant: Donald Rubin, Harvard University
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

231 *
Mon, 7/30/2018, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-West 114
Uses of Alternative Data Sources for Federal Statistics — Topic Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Zachary H Seeskin, NORC at the University of Chicago
Chair(s): Felicia LeClere, NORC at the University of Chicago
2:05 PM Current Challenges in Linking Federal and State Data for Evidence-Building
Presentation
Robert Goerge, Chapin Hall at the University of Chicago; Leah Gjertson, Chapin Hall at the University of Chicago
2:25 PM Uses of Alternative Data Sources for Public Health Statistics and Policymaking: Challenges and Opportunities
Zachary H Seeskin, NORC at the University of Chicago; Felicia LeClere, NORC at the University of Chicago; Jaehoon Ahn, NORC at the University of Chicago; Joshua Williams, Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation
2:45 PM Things Fall Apart: Creating Robust Nowcasters for Shifting Ground Truth
Presentation
Margaret Levenstein, Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research
3:05 PM Discussant: Yoonsang Kim, NORC at the University of Chicago
3:25 PM Discussant: Mike L. Cohen, Committee on National Statistics
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

235 *
Mon, 7/30/2018, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-West 115
Best Student Papers Awarded by the ASA Consortium of GSS/SSS/SRMS — Topic Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Asaph Young Chun, US Census Bureau
Chair(s): Stephanie Ewert Galvin, US Census Bureau
2:05 PM A Classical Regression Framework for Mediation Analysis with Applications to Behavioral Science
Presentation
Christina Saunders
2:25 PM Stochastic Interventions on Continuous Instruments:Estimating the Effects of Visitation on Recidivism
Presentation
Jacqueline A Mauro, Carnegie Mellon University; Edward Kennedy, Carnegie Mellon University; Daniel Nagin, Carnegie Mellon University
2:45 PM Practical Bayesian Inference for Record Linkage
Presentation
Brendan McVeigh, Carnegie Mellon University; Jared S Murray, University of Texas at Austin
3:05 PM Constructing Independent Evidence from Regression and Instrumental Variables with an Application to the Effect of Violent Conflict on Altruism and Risk Preference
Presentation
Bikram Karmakar, University of Pennsylvania; Dylan Small, University of Pennsylvania
3:25 PM Bayesian Model-Assisted Estimation for Functional Data in Survey Sampling
Presentation
Luis Fernando Campos, Harvard University
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

326 * !
Tue, 7/31/2018, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-West 210
Will Administrative Data Save Government Surveys? — Invited Panel
Social Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section
Organizer(s): Jonathan Auerbach, Columbia University
Chair(s): Joseph Salvo, New York City Department of City Planning
10:35 AM Will Administrative Data Save Government Surveys?
Presentation 1 Presentation 2 Presentation 3 Presentation 4
Panelists: John Czajka, Mathematica Policy Research
George C Hough, WA State Office of Financial Management
Eddie Hunsinger, AK Department of Labor and Workforce Development
Quentin Brummet, NORC at the University of Chicago
12:10 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

357
Tue, 7/31/2018, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-West 204
Issues in Survey Design and Estimation — Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Social Statistics Section
Chair(s): Richard Levy, U.S. Census Bureau
10:35 AM A Comparison of Clustering Algorithms Used for Multivariate Stratification of Primary Sampling Units
Thomas Chesnut, U.S. Census Bureau; Padraic Murphy, U.S. Census Bureau
10:50 AM Nested Subsamples: a Method for Achieving Flexibility in Annual Sample Sizes for a Continuous Multiyear Survey
Presentation
Van Parsons, National Center for Health Statistics; Chris Moriarity, National Center for Health Statistics
11:05 AM Efficiency Comparisons of Selective Editing Methods
Chin-Fang Weng, U.S. Census Bureau; Joanna Fane Lineback, U.S. Census Bureau
11:20 AM Detecting and Correcting Influential Values Using the Conditional Bias Approach : Application to the Canadian Survey of Household Spending
Christiane Laperrière, Statistics Canada; Aliou Seydi, Statistics Canada
11:35 AM The Utility of Using Web Surveys to Measure and Estimate Health Outcomes, a Pilot Study
Presentation
Yulei He, CDC/NCHS; Hee-Choon Shin, CDC/NCHS; Bill Cai, CDC/NCHS; Jennifer Parker, CDC/NCHS
11:50 AM Assessment of a Review Process for the 2017 Census of Agriculture
Presentation
Denise Abreu, USDA/NASS
12:05 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

389 *
Tue, 7/31/2018, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-West 209
Improving Survey Data Quality with Machine Learning Techniques — Invited Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Social Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Stephanie Eckman, RTI International
Chair(s): Stephanie Eckman, RTI International
2:05 PM Artificial Intelligence (AI)-Enhanced Applications to Survey-Specific Imputation Tasks to Achieve Time and Cost Efficiencies
Presentation
Steven B. Cohen, RTI International
2:20 PM Predicting Panel Drop-Outs with Machine Learning
Presentation
Christoph Kern, University of Mannheim
2:35 PM Dynamic, Personalized Instruments via Responsive Matrix Sampling with High-Dimensional Covariates
Presentation
Sean Taylor, Facebook; Curtiss Cobb, Facebook; Chelsea Zhang, UC Berkeley
2:50 PM A Comparison of Automatic Algorithms for Occupation Coding
Presentation
Malte Schierholz, Institute for Employment Research
3:05 PM The Use of Machine Learning Methods to Improve the US National Resources Inventory Survey
Zhengyuan Zhu, Iowa State University
3:20 PM Discussant: Frauke Kreuter, Joint Program in Survey Methodology
3:35 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

407 *
Tue, 7/31/2018, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-West 210
Linked Data Visualizations, Machine Learning and Evidence-Based Policy Making — Topic Contributed Panel
Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Asaph Young Chun, US Census Bureau
Chair(s): Eric Grau, Mathematica Policy Research
2:05 PM Evidence-based Policy for People with Disabilities: An Analysis of Disabilities in the DPRK within the Global Context of Disability Studies
Presentation 1 Presentation 2 Presentation 3 Presentation 4
Panelists: Giang Huong Nguyen, University of Iowa
Allison Conners, University of Toronto
Sophie Lee, ISR Foundation Center for Interdisciplinary Research
Nema Dean, University of Glasgow
Paul Chun, ISR Foundation Center for Interdisciplinary Research
3:40 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

417 * !
Tue, 7/31/2018, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-West 208
Redesigning Federal Surveys — Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section, International Statistical Institute, Social Statistics Section
Chair(s): Michael Davern, NORC
2:05 PM Calling All Stakeholders: Developing a Demographic Statistical Redesign Research Agenda
Presentation
Richard Levy, U.S. Census Bureau; Jimmie B Scott, U.S. Census Bureau
2:20 PM An Overview of 2020 Census Design
Robin A Pennington, US Census Bureau; Gina Walejko, U.S. Census Bureau
2:35 PM A Statistical Comparison of Call Volume Uniformity Due to Mailing Strategy
Presentation
Andrew Raim, U.S. Census Bureau; Elizabeth Nichols, U.S. Census Bureau; Thomas Mathew, University of Maryland, Baltimore County
2:50 PM Results from a Test of Online Modes for the Consumer Expenditure Diary Survey
Presentation
Ian Elkin, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Douglas Williams, Westat; Hanyu Sun, Westat
3:05 PM Developing and Testing the Business Research Survey
Presentation
Sharon S Stang, US Bureau of Labor Statitsics; Emily Thomas, US Bureau of Labor Statistics
3:20 PM Application of State Health Status In the Design of the 2011-2014 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey
Jay Clark, Westat; Leyla Mohadjer, Westat; Te-Ching Chen, National Center for Health Statistics
3:35 PM Leading with Local: The Role of Regional Official Statistics
Presentation
Roeland Beerten, Statistics Flanders
 
 

424
Tue, 7/31/2018, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-West Hall B
Contributed Poster Presentations: Social Statistics Section — Contributed Poster Presentations
Social Statistics Section
Chair(s): Paul McNicholas, McMaster University
28: Projecting Age-Specific Death Probabilities at Advanced Ages Using the Mortality Laws of Gompertz and Wittstein
Peter Pflaumer
29: Bayesian Extended Redundancy Analysis with Spike-And-Slab Variable Selection for Binary Responses
Min Jung Kyung, Duksung Women's University; Ju-Hyun Park, Dongguk University; Ji Yeh Choi, National University of Singapore
30: Analyzing the Evolution of Media Narratives Following Mass Shooting Events Using Modern Bayesian Statistical Methods
Thomas Belin, UCLA; Jay Xu
 
 

216587
Tue, 7/31/2018, 5:30 PM - 7:00 PM CC-West 107
Social Statistics Section Business Meeting — Other Cmte/Business
Social Statistics Section
Chair(s): Paul Beatty, U.S. Census Bureau
 
 

448
Wed, 8/1/2018, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-West Ballroom A
Introductory Overview Lecture: The Statistical and Data Revolution in the Social Sciences — Invited Special Presentation
JSM Partner Societies, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Adrian Raftery, University of Washington
Chair(s): Adrian Dobra, University of Washington
The past decade has seen rapid progress in the development and application of statistical methods for the social sciences, spurred by a huge expansion in available social science data, new kinds of social science data bringing novel statistical challenges, and the establishment of several interdisciplinary centers and institutes in US universities on this interface. This lecture will provide an introductory overview highlighting new statistical methods for three areas of social science where the impact of statistics has been expanding rapidly: demography, social network analysis, and criminology.
8:35 AM The Statistical and Data Revolution in Demography
Adrian Raftery, University of Washington
9:05 AM The Human Experience in Context: Collecting and Analyzing Social Network Data
Tyler McCormick, University of Washington
9:35 AM Modern Statistical Challenges in Criminology
Elena A Erosheva, University of Washington
10:05 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

465 * !
Wed, 8/1/2018, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-West 204
Probabilistic Record Linkage: Better Assumptions, Scalable Inference, and Accounting for Uncertainty — Topic Contributed Papers
Social Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Jared S Murray, University of Texas at Austin
Chair(s): Rebecca Nugent, Carnegie Mellon University
8:35 AM When There Can Be Only One: The Highlander Probability Model for Historical Record Linkage with Labeled Data
Presentation
Jared S Murray, University of Texas at Austin
8:55 AM Incorporating Sociodemographic Transitions and Family Network Structure into Historical Record Linkage
Kayla Frisoli, Carnegie Mellon University; Rebecca Nugent, Carnegie Mellon University; Brendan Murphy, University College Dublin
9:15 AM Improving Probabilistic Record Linkage: Accurate Links, Probabilities, and Measures of Uncertainty
Presentation
Bradley Spahn, Stanford University; Brendan McVeigh, Carnegie Mellon University; Jared S Murray, University of Texas at Austin
9:35 AM Multiple Imputation of Probabilistic Linkage of Employers in Survey and Administrative Data: Creating CenHRS
Dhiren Patki, University of Michigan
9:55 AM Bayesian Record Linkage with Sub-Models
Joan Heck
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

475
Wed, 8/1/2018, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-West 208
SPEED: Predictive Analytics with Social/Behavioral Science Applications: Spatial Modeling, Education Assessment, Population Behavior, and the Use of Multiple Data Sources — Contributed Speed
Social Statistics Section, Section on Statistics in Imaging, Survey Research Methods Section
Chair(s): Cami M. Fuglsby, South Dakota State University
Poster Presentations for this session.
8:35 AM Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) Integrity Monitoring
Zhicong Zhao
8:40 AM How to Implement Empirical Results of Complex Longitudinal Analysis Models into Microsimulation and Test the Sensitivity of Such Implementations
Dawid Bekalarczyk; Petra Stein, University of Duisburg-Essen
8:45 AM Estimating the Size of a Hidden Finite Set: Large-Sample Behavior of Estimators
Presentation
Si Cheng, Yale School of Public Health; Daniel J. Eck; Forrest W Crawford, Yale School of Public Health
8:50 AM Spatial Proximity Between Bank Branch Closures and Openings: Where Are the New Underserved Banking Areas Located?
Presentation
Anna Tranfaglia
8:55 AM A Multidimensional Array Model for Religiosity
Guangyu Tong, Duke University
9:00 AM Challenges from Modeling Open Online Assessment Data
Presentation 1 Presentation 2
Yan Liu, The University of British Columbia; Henrike Besche, Harvard Medical School; Audrey Béliveau, University of Waterloo; Xingyu Zhang, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology; Edward Kroc, The University of British Columbia; Melanie Stefan, Edinburgh Medical School; Johanna Gutlerner, Harvard Medical School; Chanmin Kim, Boston University School of Public Health
9:05 AM A Spatially Correlated Auto-Regressive Model for Count Data with Applications for Modeling Crime
Nicholas Clark, Iowa State University; Philip M Dixon, Iowa State University
9:10 AM Matrix Linear Discriminant Analysis
Presentation
Wei Hu, University of California, Irvine
9:15 AM Replicate Weights for Variance Estimation of Subnational Areas
Presentation
Stephanie Zimmer, RTI International; Marcus Berzofsky, RTI International; Andrew Moore, RTI International
9:20 AM Model-Based Socio-Economic Health Measures Using Causal Modeling
F. Swen Kuh, Australian National University; Anton H. Westveld, Australian National University; Grace S Chiu, Australian National University
9:30 AM A Monte Carlo Simulation of the Effects of Ignoring Measurement Non-Invariance on the Standard Error for Mean Difference Testing
Presentation
Scott Colwell, University of Guelph; Theodore J Noseworthy, York University
9:35 AM WORKING LIFE EXPECTANCY of MAJOR LEAGUE PITCHERS and FORECASTING the NUMBER of THEM: TASKS MADE EASY by USING the COHORT CHANGE RATIO METHOD
Presentation
David Swanson, University of California Riverside; Jeff Tayman, University of California San Diego; Lucky Tedrow, Western Washington University; Jack Baker, Health Fitness Corporation
9:45 AM Changing Trends in Legal Immigration: A Study of New U.S. Persons' Settling Pattern in Metropolitan Areas
Jesse Cambon, Office of Immigration Statistics; Jiashen You, Office of Immigration Statistics, DHS
9:50 AM Path Analysis of Personality and Physiologic Pathways in Muscle Strength Decline
Presentation
An-Lin Cheng, University of Missouri, Kansas City, School of Medicine
9:55 AM Gaussian Variational Estimation for Multidimensional Item Response Theory
Presentation
April Eun Cho, University of Michigan; Gongjun Xu, University of Michigan
10:00 AM Collaborative Problem Solving Education in Global Perspective: The Evidence from PISA
Presentation
Mack Shelley, Iowa State University; Senay Purzer, Purdue University
 
 

491 * !
Wed, 8/1/2018, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-West 213
Causal Inference Within Reach: Pragmatic Approaches to Model Construction and Validation — Invited Papers
Health Policy Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section, Biometrics Section, Mental Health Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Booil Jo, Stanford University
Chair(s): Elizabeth A Stuart, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
10:35 AM Matching Methods for Causal Inference with Time-Series Cross-Section Data
Presentation
Kosuke Imai, Princeton University; Erik Wang, Princeton University; In Song Kim, MIT
10:55 AM Weighting-Based Sensitivity Analysis in Causal Mediation Studies: Interactive Tools for Analysts
Presentation
Guanglei Hong, University of Chicago; Xu Qin, University of Chicago; Fan Yang, University of Colorado Denver
11:15 AM Model Assessment in Causal Inference Using Explicit Validators
Presentation
Booil Jo, Stanford University
11:35 AM Discussant: Tyler VanderWeele, Harvard University
11:55 AM Discussant: Xiao-Li Meng, Harvard University
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

495 * !
Wed, 8/1/2018, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-West 224
The Potential for Web-Scraping in the Production of Official Statistics: An Opportunity for Statistics to Lead? — Invited Papers
Government Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Linda J Young, USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service
Chair(s): Michael Hyman, USDA-NASS
10:35 AM Modernizing Census Bureau Economic Statistics through Web Scraping
Presentation
Brian Dumbacher, U.S. Census Bureau; Carma Ray Hogue, U.S. Census Bureau
11:00 AM The Potential for Web-Scraping in the Production of Official Statistics: An Opportunity for Statistics to Lead?
Presentation
Linda J Young, USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service
11:25 AM Modernizing Government Statistics While Preserving Principles
Presentation
Robert Sivinski, Office of Management and Budget; Rochelle (Shelly) Wilkie Martinez, Office of Management and Budget
11:50 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

532 *
Wed, 8/1/2018, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-West 223
Can Statistics Inform Decisions in Social, Economic, and Political Event? — Contributed Papers
Social Statistics Section
Chair(s): Barbara Robles, Federal Reserve Board
10:35 AM Wages and the Dynamics of Job Creation and Job Destruction
Presentation
Akbar Sadeghi, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Kevin S Cooksey, Bureau of Labor Statistics
10:50 AM Linking Input Inequality and Outcome Inequality
Guillermina Jasso, New York University
11:05 AM Identifying Farming Practices and Characteristics Associated with Higher Incomes for Smallholder Farms in Kibaale District, Uganda
Presentation
Yew-Meng Koh, Hope College
11:20 AM Recommender System Approaches for Data Quality and Data Validation
Anne Parker, Internal Revenue Service; William Roberts, Deloitte; Danielle Gewurz, Deloitte
11:35 AM Scoring Approaches for Automated Scoring of Spoken Constructed Responses
Presentation
Lili Yao, ETS; Mo Zhang, ETS; Shelby Haberman, Edusoft; Neil Dorans, ETS
11:50 AM STatistical Election to Partition Sequentially (STEPS) and Its Application in Differentially Private Release and Analysis of Youth Voter Registration Data
Claire Bowen, University of Notre Dame; Fang Liu, University of Notre Dame
12:05 PM Data Beat Anecdotes-Really?
Presentation
Joseph Van Matre, School Of Business, U.A.B.
 
 

538
Wed, 8/1/2018, 10:30 AM - 11:15 AM CC-West Hall B
SPEED: Predictive Analytics with Social/Behavioral Science Applications: Spatial Modeling, Education Assessment, Population Behavior, and the Use of Multiple Data Sources — Contributed Poster Presentations
Social Statistics Section, Section on Statistics in Imaging, Survey Research Methods Section
Chair(s): Paul McNicholas, McMaster University
Oral Presentations for this session.
22: Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) Integrity Monitoring
Zhicong Zhao
23: How to Implement Empirical Results of Complex Longitudinal Analysis Models into Microsimulation and Test the Sensitivity of Such Implementations
Dawid Bekalarczyk; Petra Stein, University of Duisburg-Essen
24: Estimating the Size of a Hidden Finite Set: Large-Sample Behavior of Estimators
Si Cheng, Yale School of Public Health; Daniel J. Eck; Forrest W Crawford, Yale School of Public Health
25: Spatial Proximity Between Bank Branch Closures and Openings: Where Are the New Underserved Banking Areas Located?
Anna Tranfaglia
26: A Multidimensional Array Model for Religiosity
Guangyu Tong, Duke University
27: Challenges from Modeling Open Online Assessment Data
Yan Liu, The University of British Columbia; Henrike Besche, Harvard Medical School; Audrey Béliveau, University of Waterloo; Xingyu Zhang, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology; Edward Kroc, The University of British Columbia; Melanie Stefan, Edinburgh Medical School; Johanna Gutlerner, Harvard Medical School; Chanmin Kim, Boston University School of Public Health
28: A Spatially Correlated Auto-Regressive Model for Count Data with Applications for Modeling Crime
Nicholas Clark, Iowa State University; Philip M Dixon, Iowa State University
29: Matrix Linear Discriminant Analysis
Wei Hu, University of California, Irvine
30: Replicate Weights for Variance Estimation of Subnational Areas
Stephanie Zimmer, RTI International; Marcus Berzofsky, RTI International; Andrew Moore, RTI International
31: Model-Based Socio-Economic Health Measures Using Causal Modeling
F. Swen Kuh, Australian National University; Anton H. Westveld, Australian National University; Grace S Chiu, Australian National University
32: A Monte Carlo Simulation of the Effects of Ignoring Measurement Non-Invariance on the Standard Error for Mean Difference Testing
Scott Colwell, University of Guelph; Theodore J Noseworthy, York University
33: WORKING LIFE EXPECTANCY of MAJOR LEAGUE PITCHERS and FORECASTING the NUMBER of THEM: TASKS MADE EASY by USING the COHORT CHANGE RATIO METHOD
David Swanson, University of California Riverside; Jeff Tayman, University of California San Diego; Lucky Tedrow, Western Washington University; Jack Baker, Health Fitness Corporation
36: Changing Trends in Legal Immigration: A Study of New U.S. Persons' Settling Pattern in Metropolitan Areas
Jesse Cambon, Office of Immigration Statistics; Jiashen You, Office of Immigration Statistics, DHS
37: Path Analysis of Personality and Physiologic Pathways in Muscle Strength Decline
An-Lin Cheng, University of Missouri, Kansas City, School of Medicine
38: Gaussian Variational Estimation for Multidimensional Item Response Theory
April Eun Cho, University of Michigan; Gongjun Xu, University of Michigan
39: Collaborative Problem Solving Education in Global Perspective: The Evidence from PISA
Mack Shelley, Iowa State University; Senay Purzer, Purdue University
Oral Presentations for this session.
 
 

563 * !
Wed, 8/1/2018, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-West 206/207
Mechanisms of Interference: New Strategies for Identification and Estimation — Invited Papers
Social Statistics Section, Statistics and Public Policy, IMS, SSC
Organizer(s): Forrest W Crawford, Yale School of Public Health; Fredrik Sävje, Yale University
Chair(s): Jasjeet Sekhon, UC Berkeley
2:05 PM Identification and Estimation of Treatment and Interference Effects in Observational Studies on Networks
Laura Forastiere, Yale; Edoardo M Airoldi , Harvard University
2:25 PM Causal Inference Under Unmodeled and All-Encompassing Interference
Presentation
Fredrik Sävje, Yale University
2:45 PM Exact Conditional Randomization Tests for Causal Effects Under Interference
Presentation
Panagiotis Toulis, University of Chicago; Avi Feller, UC Berkeley; Guillaume Basse, Harvard University
3:05 PM Estimation of Contagion Effects in Households and Other Networks
Forrest W Crawford, Yale School of Public Health; Wen Wei Loh, Ghent University
3:25 PM Discussant: David Choi, Carnegie Mellon University
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

603 * !
Thu, 8/2/2018, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-West 109
Statistical Inference for Precision Medicine and Subgroup Analysis — Invited Papers
ENAR, Health Policy Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section, Mental Health Statistics Section, SSC
Organizer(s): Minge Xie, Rutgers University
Chair(s): Xiao-Li Meng, Harvard University
8:35 AM Inferential Challenges in Machine Learning and Precision Medicine
Presentation
Michael Kosorok, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
9:00 AM Uncertainty Quantification of Treatment Regime in Precision Medicine by Confidence Distributions
Presentation
Minge Xie, Rutgers University; Yilei Zhan, Rutgers University; Sijian Wang, Rutgers University
9:25 AM Bayesian Variable Selection in Subgroup Analysis
Juan Shen, Fudan University; Naveen Naidu Narisetty, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign; Xuming He, University of Michigan
9:50 AM Sample Size Considerations for Precision Medicine
Eric Laber, North Carlina State University
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

613 !
Thu, 8/2/2018, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-West 209
Recent Advances in Network Data Inference — Topic Contributed Papers
Social Statistics Section, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science, Section on Statistical Computing, SSC
Organizer(s): Emma Jingfei Zhang, University of Miami
Chair(s): Emma Jingfei Zhang, University of Miami
8:35 AM Global Spectral Clustering in Dynamic Networks
David Choi, Carnegie Mellon University; Fuchen Liu, Carnegie Mellon University; Kathryn Roeder, Carnegie Mellon University
8:55 AM Community Detection with Covariate Information
Presentation
Yang Feng, Columbia University
9:15 AM Latent Space Approaches to Community Detection in Dynamic Networks
Presentation
Yuguo Chen, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Daniel Sewell, University of Iowa
9:35 AM Dynamic Community Detection for Multiple Networks
Sharmodeep Bhattacharyya, Oregon State University; Shirshendu Chatterjee, City University of New York
9:55 AM Post-Stratification in Network Driven Sampling
Presentation
Yilin Zhang, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Sebastien Roch, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Karl Rohe, University of Wisconsin-Madison
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

639 * !
Thu, 8/2/2018, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-West 224
Causal Inference Meets Statistical Learning with Complex Data — Invited Papers
ENAR, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Social Statistics Section, SSC
Organizer(s): Zhiqiang Tan, Rutgers University
Chair(s): Michael Elliott, University of Michigan
10:35 AM Augmented Minimax Linear Estimation
Stefan Wager, Stanford University; David Hirshberg, Columbia University
11:00 AM Targeted Learning for Causal Inference
Presentation
Mark van der Laan, UC Berkeley
11:25 AM Regularized Calibrated Estimation of Propensity Scores with Model Misspecification and High-Dimensional Data
Presentation
Zhiqiang Tan, Rutgers University
11:50 AM Discovering Effect Modification in Observational Studies
Presentation
Dylan Small, University of Pennsylvania; Jesse Yenchih Hsu, University of Pennsylvania; Paul Rosenbaum, University of Pennsylvania; Kwonsang Lee, Harvard University; Jose Zubizarreta, Harvard University; Jeffrey Silber, University of Pennsylvania
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

642 * !
Thu, 8/2/2018, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-West 301
Data Science for Social Good — Invited Papers
Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science, Statistics and Public Policy, Social Statistics Section, Section on Statistical Computing, Survey Research Methods Section
Organizer(s): Gayle S Bieler, RTI International
Chair(s): Gayle S Bieler, RTI International
10:35 AM Data for Good: Designing for Impact
Presentation
Jake Porway, DataKind
11:00 AM Data Science + Social Science: Using Data Science to Track Arrest-Related Deaths in the US
Presentation
Duren Banks, RTI International; Peter Baumgartner, RTI International; Michael G. Planty, RTI International
11:25 AM A Model for Prioritizing Interventions for People at Risk of Incarceration
Presentation
Erika Salomon, University of Chicago
11:50 AM Discussant: Craig A. Hill, RTI International
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

647 * !
Thu, 8/2/2018, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-East 16
Current Federal Research on Improving Measurement of LGBT Populations — Invited Papers
ASA LGBT Concerns Committee, Government Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Jennifer Truman, Bureau of Justice Statistics
Chair(s): Darcy Miller, National Agricultural Statistics Service
10:35 AM Assessing the Feasibility of Asking Questions on Sexual Orientation and Gender Identity on the Current Population Survey (CPS)
Presentation
Renee Ellis, U.S. Census Bureau; Jessica Holzberg, U.S. Census Bureau; Matthew Virgil , U.S. Census Bureau; Jennifer Edgar, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Polly Phipps, Bureau of Labor Statistics
10:55 AM Improving the Measurement of Sexual Orientation and Gender Identity Among Youth
Presentation
Jessica Stroop, Bureau of Justice Statistics; Darby Steiger, Westat; Leanne Heaton, Westat; Crystal MacAllum, Westat; Jessica Behm, Westat; Cecilia Avison, Westat
11:15 AM Prevalence of Sexual Orientation and Gender Identity Behaviors: An Approach for State-Level and National Estimation Derived from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System
Ronaldo Iachan, ICF; Yangyan Deng, ICF
11:35 AM Differences in Rates of Suicidal Ideation and Potential Suicide Attempt Among Disabled and Gender Minority Medicare Beneficiaries from 2009--2014
Ana M. Progovac, Harvard Medical School / Cambridge Health Alliance; Brian Mullin, Cambridge Health Alliance; Alex McDowell, Harvard Medical School / Cambridge Health Alliance; Maria Jose Sanchez, Cambridge Health Alliance; Sari L. Reisner, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health ; Emilia Dunham, Massachusetts Department of Public Health ; Cynthia Telingator, Cambridge Health Alliance; Benjamin Le Cook, Harvard Medical School / Cambridge Health Alliance
11:55 AM Recent Updates to the Medicare Transgender Cohort: Results from ICD-10
Paul Guerino, Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services; Erin Ewald, NORC at the University of Chicago; Alison Laffan, NORC at the University of Chicago; Christina Dragon, CMS Office of Minority Health; Carl Streed, ?Brigham and Women's Hospital; Zil Goldstein, The Mount Sinai Hospital
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

650 *
Thu, 8/2/2018, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-West 202
Relaxing No Interference Assumptions in Clustered Randomized Trials — Invited Papers
Social Statistics Section, Statistics and Public Policy, Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics
Organizer(s): Luke Keele, Georgetown University
Chair(s): Frank Yoon, IBM Watson Health
10:35 AM Causal Inference with Interference and Noncompliance in the Two-Stage Randomized Experiments
Zhichao Jiang, Princeton University; Kosuke Imai, Princeton University; Anup Malani, University of Chicago
11:00 AM IMP: Interference Manipulating Permutations
Presentation
Michael Baiocchi, Stanford University; Eric Jay Daza, Stanford University
11:25 AM Causal Effects in Partially and Non-Randomized Two-Stage Designs with Interference
Presentation
Avi Feller, UC Berkeley; Samuel David Pimentel, University of California, Berkeley; Panos Toulis, University of Chicago; Guillaume Basse, Harvard University; Luke J. Keele, University of Pennsylvania
11:50 AM Interference and Noncompliance in Clustered Randomized Trials for Program Evaluation
Presentation
Hyunseung Kang, University of Wisconsin - Madison; Luke Keele, Georgetown University
12:15 PM Floor Discussion