JSM 2016 Online Program

Sessions Were Renumbered as of May 19.

Legend:
CC-W = McCormick Place Convention Center, West Building,   CC-N = McCormick Place Convention Center, North Building
H = Hilton Chicago,   UC= Conference Chicago at University Center
* = applied session       ! = JSM meeting theme

Activity Details

19 * !	Sun, 7/31/2016, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM	CC-W186c
Strengthening the Science in Forensic Science — Topic Contributed Papers
Ad Hoc Advisory Committee on Forensic Science , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee
Organizer(s): Munir Winkel, North Carolina State University
Chair(s): Lucas Mentch, North Carolina State University
2:05 PM	Reliability of Eyewitness Identification as a Forensic Tool — Karen Kafadar, University of Virginia
2:25 PM	The Same Smoking Gun? Uncertainty in Matching Cartridge Casings — Munir Winkel, North Carolina State University
2:45 PM	Modeling Spatial Relationships Between Features When Quantifying the Weight of Fingerprint Evidence — Cedric Neumann, San Diego State University ; Vered Madar, Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute ; Michael L. Lavine, University of Massachusetts ; Jonah K. Amponsah, South Dakota State University ; Christopher Saunders, MITRE/South Dakota State University
3:05 PM	Biased by Design — Clifford Spiegelman, Texas A&M University
3:25 PM	Discussant: Hal Stern, University of California at Irvine
3:45 PM	Floor Discussion

51	Sun, 7/31/2016, 4:00 PM - 5:50 PM	CC-W185bc
Media and Statistics — Invited Papers
Excellence in Statistical Reporting Award , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee
Organizer(s): Morteza Marzjarani, Saginaw
Chair(s): Morteza Marzjarani, Saginaw
4:05 PM	Causal Inferences from Observational Studies: Fracking, Earthquakes, and Oklahoma — Howard Wainer, NBME
4:25 PM	It's Not What We Say, It's Not What They Hear, It's What They Say They Heard — Barry Nussbaum, EPA
4:45 PM	Bad Statistics, Bad Reporting, Bad Impact on Patients: The Story of the PACE Trial — Julie Rehmeyer, Discover Magazine
5:05 PM	Can Statisticians Enlist the Media to Successfully Change Policy? — Donald A. Berry, MD Anderson Cancer Center
5:25 PM	Discussant: Jessica Utts, University of California at Irvine
5:45 PM	Floor Discussion

57 * !	Sun, 7/31/2016, 4:00 PM - 5:50 PM	CC-W183a
The Extraordinary Impact of Janet Norwood on the Federal Statistical System and the Statistical Profession — Invited Panel
Memorial , Caucus for Women in Statistics , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee
Organizer(s): John Eltinge, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Chair(s): Katherine K. Wallman, Office of Management and Budget
4:05 PM	The Extraordinary Impact of Janet Norwood on the Federal Statistical System and the Statistical Profession
Panelists:	Erica L. Groshen, Bureau of Labor Statistics Judith Tanur, SUNY Stony Brook John Thompson, U.S. Census Bureau Miron Straf
5:45 PM	Floor Discussion

85	Sun, 7/31/2016, 4:00 PM - 5:50 PM	CC-W176a
Administrative Records and Data Disclosure — Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee , Committee on Applied Statisticians
Chair(s): Jiashen You, Department of Transportation
4:05 PM	Implementation and Results of a New Administrative Record-Linkage Methodology in the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages — Jessica Helfand, Bureau of Labor Statistics ; Justin McIllece, Bureau of Labor Statistics
4:20 PM	Documenting and Resolving the Discrepancy in Government Estimates of the Size and Legal Composition of the U.S. Foreign-Born Population — Guillermina Jasso, New York University ; Mark R. Rosenzweig, Yale University
4:35 PM	Survey Respondents' Perceptions on Data Confidentiality and Data Sharing — Jacob Bournazian, U.S. Energy Information Administration
4:50 PM	ReASSESS: A Robust Adaptive Mechanism Using Subsetting and Multiplicative Weights in Data Synthesis — Evercita Cuevas Eugenio, University of Notre Dame ; Fang Liu, University of Notre Dame
5:05 PM	Visualizing Mortality Differences in Rural Health — Erin Tanenbaum, NORC at the University of Chicago ; Alana Knudson, NORC at the University of Chicago ; Marilyn Klug, University of North Dakota ; Michael Meit, NORC at the University of Chicago ; Joanne Brady, NORC at the University of Chicago ; Tess Gilbert, NORC at the University of Chicago ; Emily Arsen, NORC at the University of Chicago
5:20 PM	An Ordering that Improves the Cell Suppression Pattern in Sequential Processing — Bei Wang, U.S. Census Bureau
5:35 PM	Reproducibility Promotes Transparency, Efficiency, and Aesthetics — Richard Schwinn, U.S. Small Business Administration

88	Sun, 7/31/2016, 6:00 PM - 8:00 PM	CC-Hall F1 West
The Extraordinary Power of Data — Invited Poster Presentations
Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science , Section on Statistical Graphics , Section on Statistics in Imaging , Business and Economic Statistics Section , Biometrics Section , ENAR , Section for Statistical Programmers and Analysts , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee , Section on Bayesian Statistical Science , Section on Statistics in Epidemiology , Section on Statistics in Marketing , Social Statistics Section , Statistics in Business Schools Interest Group
Chair(s): Tyler McCormick, University of Washington
1:	Communicate Better with R, R Markdown, and Shiny — Garrett Grolemund, RStudio
2:	Spectral Filtering for Spatial-Temporal Dynamics — Tian Zheng, Columbia University ; Lu Meng, Columbia University
3:	A Mixed-Effects Modeling Approach to Study the Impact of Pesticides on Farmworkers' Brain Networks Using RS-fMRI Data — Mohsen Bahrami, Virginia Tech ; Paul Laurienti, Wake Forest School of Medicine ; Thomas Arcury, Wake Forest School of Medicine ; Sean Simpson, Wake Forest School of Medicine
4:	Cascaded High-Dimensional Histograms: A Generative Approach to Density Estimation — Siong Thye Goh, MIT ; Cynthia Rudin, Duke University
5:	TV Advertising's Impact on Online Searches — Yonathan Schwarzkopf, Google ; Ying Liu, Google ; Makoto Uchida, Google ; Elissa Lee, Google ; Jim Koehler, Google
6:	Modeling Connectivity in High-Dimensional Time Series Data via Factor Analysis — Hernando Ombao, University of California at Irvine ; Yuxiao Wang, University of California at Irvine ; Chee-Ming Ting, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia
7:	Analysis of Longitudinal Multi-Sequence MRI in Multiple Sclerosis — Elizabeth M. Sweeney, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health ; Russell Shinohara, University of Pennsylvania ; John Muschelli, The Johns Hopkins University ; Daniel Reich , National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke ; Ciprian Crainiceanu, The Johns Hopkins University ; Jonathan Gellar, Mathematica Policy Research ; Philip Reiss, New York University/University of Haifa ; Ani Eloyan, Brown University
8:	Law, Order, and Algorithms — Sharad Goel, Stanford University
9:	Defining and Estimating Reliability in Hierarchical Logistic Regression Models for Health Care Provider Profiling — Jessica Hwang, RAND Corporation ; John Adams, Kaiser Permanente ; Susan M. Paddock, RAND Corporation
10:	Probabilistic Cause-of-Death Assignment Using Verbal Autopsies — Tyler McCormick, University of Washington ; Sam Clark, University of Washington ; Zehang Li, University of Washington
11:	We Are What We Ask: Mapping the Ecosystem of Software Development Using Stack Overflow Data — David G. Robinson, Stack Overflow
12:	Data Science at Stitch Fix — Hilary Parker, Stitch Fix
13:	Text Mining on Domain Names — Kenneth E. Shirley, Amazon
14:	Fighting Fraud with Statistics! — Alyssa Frazee, Stripe
15:	Forecasting Seasonal Epidemics with Ensemble Methods and Collective Human Judgment — Logan Conrad Brooks, Carnegie Mellon University ; Sangwon Hyun, Carnegie Mellon University ; Ryan Tibshirani, Carnegie Mellon University
16:	Geometric Methods for Network Comparison and Multilevel Modeling — Anna Smith, The Ohio State University ; Catherine Calder, The Ohio State University
17:	Mixed-Effects Models for Resampled Network Statistics Improve Statistical Power to Find Differences in Functional Brain Connectivity — Manjari Narayan, Rice University ; Genevera Allen, Rice University
18:	Estimating the Causal Impact of Recommendation Systems from Observational Data — Amit Sharma, Microsoft Research ; Jake Hofman, Microsoft Research ; Duncan Watts, Microsoft Research
19:	The Future of the Journal Biostatistics — Dimitris Rizopoulos, Erasmus University Medical Center ; Jeffrey Leek, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
20:	Sample Size Calculations for Micro-Randomized Trials in MHealth — Peng Liao, University of Michigan ; Ji Sun, University of Michigan ; Susan A. Murphy, University of Michigan

116 !	Mon, 8/1/2016, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM	CC-W183a
What's Wrong with P-Value? — Topic Contributed Papers
ENAR , IMS , Biopharmaceutical Section , Section on Teaching of Statistics in the Health Sciences , Royal Statistical Society , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee , Conference on Statistical Practice Steering Committee , Statistics Without Borders
Organizer(s): Eugene Demidenko, Dartmouth College
Chair(s): James O'Malley, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth
8:35 AM	On the Reproducibility of Psychology Experiments — Valen E. Johnson, Texas A&M University
8:55 AM	Problems with P-Value Reform: Who Can We Blame? — Regina Nuzzo, Gallaudet University
9:15 AM	P-Value Overdose in Medical Research: Problems and Solutions — J. Jack Lee, MD Anderson Cancer Center
9:35 AM	The Death of the P-Value: What's the Chance? — Philip Sedgwick, University of London
9:55 AM	P, Sorry, D-Value — Eugene Demidenko, Dartmouth College
10:15 AM	Floor Discussion

121 * !	Mon, 8/1/2016, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM	CC-W192b
The Policy Landscape for Statistics in the UK and U.S. — Topic Contributed Panel
Royal Statistical Society , Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee
Organizer(s): Hetan Shah, RSS
Chair(s): Katherine K. Wallman, Office of Management and Budget
8:35 AM	The Policy Landscape for Statistics in the UK and the U.S.
Panelists:	Hetan Shah, RSS Steve Pierson, ASA Brian Harris-Kojetin, Committee on National Statistics
8:55 AM	Floor Discussion

218 * !	Mon, 8/1/2016, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM	CC-W185bc
Advances in Statistical Methods for Dissemination and Analysis of Official Statistics — Invited Papers
Government Statistics Section , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee , Survey Research Methods Section
Organizer(s): Scott H. Holan, University of Missouri
Chair(s): Jonathan R. Bradley, University of Missouri
2:05 PM	An Integrated Approach to Providing Access to Confidential Social Science Data — Jerome Reiter, Duke University
2:30 PM	The Challenge of Reproducible Science and Privacy Protection for Statistical Agencies — John M. Abowd, U.S. Census Bureau/Cornell University
2:55 PM	Spatio-Temporal Change of Support with Application to American Community Survey Multi-Year Period Estimates — Scott H. Holan, University of Missouri ; Jonathan R. Bradley, University of Missouri ; Christopher Wikle, University of Missouri
3:20 PM	Discussant: Thomas A. Louis, The Johns Hopkins University
3:40 PM	Floor Discussion

228 * !	Mon, 8/1/2016, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM	CC-W183c
The Extraordinary Power of Statistical Collaboration — Invited Papers
Section on Statistical Consulting , International Chinese Statistical Association , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee , Committee on Applied Statisticians
Organizer(s): Eric Vance, Laboratory for Interdisciplinary Statistical Analysis
Chair(s): Doug Zahn, Florida State University
2:05 PM	Moving from Statistical Consulting to Collaboration — Kim Love, K. R. Love Quantitative Consulting and Collaboration
2:30 PM	The Extraordinary Power of Statistical Collaboration in Industry — LeAnna Stork, Monsanto
2:55 PM	The Power of Statistical Collaboration in Government — Carol Gotway Crawford, USDA/NASS
3:20 PM	The Extraordinary Potential of Statistical Collaboration Laboratories — Eric Vance, Laboratory for Interdisciplinary Statistical Analysis
3:45 PM	Floor Discussion

237 *	Mon, 8/1/2016, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM	CC-W196a
Quantitative Sciences for Safety Monitoring and Confirmatory Safety in Clinical Development — Topic Contributed Papers
Biopharmaceutical Section , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee , Committee on Applied Statisticians
Organizer(s): Judy X. Li, FDA
Chair(s): Qi Jiang, Amgen
2:05 PM	ASA Biopharm's Safety Monitoring Subteam: Survey of Statisticians, Thought Leaders, and Regulatory Guidance — Mike Wright Colopy, UCB Bioscience ; Susan Duke, AbbVie
2:25 PM	Safety-Monitoring Methodology in the Premarketing Setting — Melvin Munsaka, Takeda Development Center
2:45 PM	Statistical Considerations for Cardiovascular Outcome Trials in Patients with T2DM — Maria Matilde Sanchez-Kam, Arena Pharmaceuticals
3:05 PM	Discussant: William Wang, Merck
3:25 PM	Discussant: Ram Tiwari, FDA/CDER/OT/OB
3:45 PM	Floor Discussion

238	Mon, 8/1/2016, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM	CC-W175a
If You Measure, They Will Publish: State and Federal Data on Sexual Orientation and Gender Identity in Action — Topic Contributed Papers
Social Statistics Section , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee
Organizer(s): Paul Guerino, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services
Chair(s): Paul Guerino, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services
2:05 PM	Sexual Orientation and Health Outcomes in the U.S. Medicare-Aged Population: National Health Interview Survey, 2013--2014 — Erkan ERDEM, KPMG ; Samuel "Chris" Haffer, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services
2:25 PM	Marriage Equality and Health for the Lesbian, Gay, and Bisexual Population — Gilbert Gonzales, Vanderbilt University
2:45 PM	Keeping the 'T' in LGBT: Testing and Implementing Gender Identity Questions in the California Health Interview Survey (CHIS) — Matt Jans, University of California at Los Angeles ; David Grant, University of California at Los Angeles ; Royce Park, University of California at Los Angeles ; Ninez Ponce, University of California at Los Angeles ; Jody Herman, The Williams Institute ; Bianca D. M. Wilson, The Williams Institute ; Gary Gates, The Williams Institute ; Sue Holtby, Public Health Institute ; Nicole Lordi, Public Health Institute ; Joe Viana, University of California at Los Angeles
3:05 PM	Difficulties in Assessing Sexual Minority Status Without Standardized Measures: The Youth Risk Behavior Survey — Gregory Phillips, Northwestern University
3:25 PM	Discussant: Diane Herz, Mathematica Policy Research
3:45 PM	Floor Discussion

239 !	Mon, 8/1/2016, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM	CC-W179a
Winning Solutions for Health Policy Puzzles: HPSS Student Paper Competition Winners — Topic Contributed Papers
Health Policy Statistics Section , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee
Organizer(s): Ruth Etzioni, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center
Chair(s): Ruth Etzioni, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center
2:05 PM	Nonparametric Methods for Doubly Robust Estimation of Continuous Treatment Effects — Edward Kennedy, University of Pennsylvania ; Zongming Ma, University of Pennsylvania ; Dylan Small, University of Pennsylvania
2:25 PM	A Bayesian HSROC Model for Meta-Analysis of Multiple Diagnostic Tests — Qinshu Lian, University of Minnesota ; Haitao Chu, University of Minnesota
2:45 PM	Spatial Confounding Adjustment with Propensity Score Matching — Georgia Papadogeorgou, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health ; Corwin Zigler, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health
3:05 PM	Bayesian Bounding of the Population Subgroup Which Benefits from Treatment — Patrick Schnell, University of Minnesota ; Qi Tang, AbbVie ; Walt Offen, AbbVie ; Bradley Carlin, University of Minnesota
3:25 PM	Disentangling Bed Nets and Spillover Effects in a Clustered Encouragement Design for Malaria Control: A Bayesian Principal Stratification Approach — Laura Forastiere, University of Florence ; Fabrizia Mealli, University of Florence ; Tyler J. VanderWeele, Harvard
3:45 PM	Floor Discussion

281 * !	Tue, 8/2/2016, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM	CC-W178b
CANCELLED: Immigration: Measuring Integration and Impact on American Society — Invited Papers
Social Statistics Section , International Chinese Statistical Association , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee , Statistics Without Borders
Organizer(s): Carol C. House, Committee on National Statistics

286 *	Tue, 8/2/2016, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM	CC-W187b
Women in Statistics: Past, Present, Future — Invited Papers
Committee on Women in Statistics , Royal Statistical Society , International Chinese Statistical Association , Caucus for Women in Statistics , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee , Statistics Without Borders
Organizer(s): Satkartar Kinney, RTI International
Chair(s): Telba Irony, FDA
8:35 AM	Gender Realities in Cyberspace — Susmita Datta, University of Florida
9:00 AM	Women in the ASA: Past, Present, Future — Bonnie Ghosh-Dastidar, RAND Corporation
9:25 AM	Leaning In: What Does a Conference for Women in Statistics Accomplish? — Dalene K. Stangl, Duke University
9:50 AM	Discussant: Sally Morton, University of Pittsburgh
10:10 AM	Floor Discussion

297 * !	Tue, 8/2/2016, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM	CC-W179b
Data Challenge 2016 I — Topic Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee , Transportation Statistics Interest Group
Organizer(s): Wendy Martinez, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Chair(s): Roya Amjadi, Federal Highway Administration
8:35 AM	Alcohol-Related Crashes in the United States — Dane Korver
8:55 AM	U.S. Roadways — Michael Jadoo, Bureau of Labor Statistics
9:15 AM	Predictive Modeling of Severity of Injuries in Motor Vehicle Crashes — Aditi Pradeep Sharma, University of Maryland Baltimore County ; Michael Wierzbicki, The EMMES Corporation ; Gaurav Sharma, The EMMES Corporation
9:35 AM	Accidents, Injuries, and Driving Speeds: A Causal Investigation — Christopher Eshleman, Port Authority of New York and New Jersey ; Jonathan Auerbach, Columbia University
9:55 AM	Floor Discussion

299 !	Tue, 8/2/2016, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM	CC-W176c
2020 Census: Operational Design and Methods — Topic Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee , Statistics Without Borders
Organizer(s): Robin A. Pennington, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Lisa Blumerman, U.S. Census Bureau
8:35 AM	The Operational Design of the 2020 Census: Overview of the Current Status — Robin A. Pennington, U.S. Census Bureau
8:55 AM	An Overview of the Master Address File Coverage Study — Evan Boyd, U.S. Census Bureau
9:15 AM	Optimizing Self-Response for the 2020 Census — Michael Bentley
9:35 AM	Using Administrative Records to Identify Occupied and Vacant Units — Vincent Mule, U.S. Census Bureau ; Andrew Keller, U.S. Census Bureau ; Darcy S. Morris, U.S. Census Bureau
9:55 AM	Field Re-Engineering for the 2020 Census — Tamara Adams, U.S. Census Bureau
10:15 AM	Floor Discussion

308	Tue, 8/2/2016, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM	CC-W183b
SPEED: Statistics for Health and Health Policy — Contributed Speed
Health Policy Statistics Section , Section on Statistics in Imaging , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee
Chair(s): Steven Cohen, RTI International
8:35 AM	Multiple Imputation for Meta-Analysis: A Comparison of Existing Methods — Deborah Kunkel, The Ohio State University ; Eloise Kaizar, The Ohio State University
8:40 AM	Prediction of Lung Cancer Risk in the CT Arm of the National Lung Screening Trial — Menghan Hu, Brown University ; Fenghai Duan, Brown University
8:45 AM	Matching Estimators for Causal Effects with Multiple Treatments — Anthony Scotina ; Roee Gutman, Brown University
8:55 AM	Integrative Analysis of Multi-Platform Genomics Data — Shisi He, Georgetown University ; Ao Yuan, Georgetown University
9:00 AM	Depicting Activity Profiles via Multilevel Functional Principal Component Analysis: Association and Prediction — Jiarui Lu, University of Pennsylvania ; Lihong Cui, National Institute of Mental Health ; Kathleen R. Merikangas , National Institute of Mental Health ; Haochang Shou, University of Pennsylvania
9:05 AM	Tumor Response in Patients Receiving No Anti-Cancer Therapy: A Meta-Analysis with Incomplete Multinomial Regression — Charity Morgan, University of Alabama at Birmingham ; Pooja Ghatalia, University of Alabama at Birmingham ; Guru Sonpavde, University of Alabama at Birmingham
9:10 AM	Sensitivity Analysis for an Unobserved Moderator in RCT-to-Target-Population Generalization of Treatment Effect — Cyrus Ebnesajjad, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health ; Ben Ackerman, Johns Hopkins School of Public Health ; Trang Q. Nguyen, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health ; Elizabeth Stuart, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
9:15 AM	Ranking Hospitals by Direct Standardization to Prioritize Prevention Efforts in Hospital-Associated Infections — Minn Soe
9:20 AM	Basic Versus Advanced Life Support Ambulances for Out-of-Hospital Medical Emergencies — Prachi Sanghavi, The University of Chicago ; Anupam B. Jena, Harvard Medical School ; Joseph P. Newhouse, Harvard ; Alan M. Zaslavsky, Harvard Medical School
9:30 AM	Asymptotic Properties of Hazard Rate Estimator in Censored Linear Regression — Fuxia Cheng, Illinois State University
9:35 AM	Matching and Regression to the Mean in the Difference-in-Differences Design — Jamie R. Daw, Harvard ; Laura Anne Hatfield, Harvard Medical School
9:45 AM	Applications of Multidimensional Time Model for Probability Cumulative Function for Parameter Evaluation and Risk Reduction — Michael Fundator
9:50 AM	Real-Time Modeling of Variation in Longitudinal Momentary Self-Report Data — Trent L. Lalonde, University of Northern Colorado ; Elysia Clemens, University of Northern Colorado
9:55 AM	Minimum Predictive Risk Subspace Selection in Misspecified Quantile Regressions — Alexander Giessing, University of Michigan ; Xuming He, University of Michigan
10:00 AM	Assessment of Meals on Wheels Program Efficacy via Record Linkage with Medicare Claim Files — Mingyang Shan, Brown University ; Roee Gutman, Brown University
10:05 AM	Predicting Class Membership Using Imputation Methods for Clinical Variable for Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) — Amrina Ferdous, Washington State University ; Nairanjana Dasgupta, Washington State University
10:10 AM	Analysis of Interval Data — Muzi Zhang, Penn State University
10:15 AM	Methods for Outlier Detection Using Relative Abundance in Targeted RNASeq Applications — Bonnie LaFleur ; Shripad Sinari, University of Arizona ; Dominic LaRoche, HTG Molecular Diagnostics ; Kurt Michels, HTG Molecular Diagnostics ; Dean Billheimer, University of Arizona

316 * !	Tue, 8/2/2016, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM	CC-W186a
Modern Statistics and Policy in Defense — Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security , Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee
Chair(s): David Marchette, Naval Surface Warfare Center
8:35 AM	How Modern Statistical Techniques Have Influenced DoD Policy and Guidance — Kelly McGinnity, Institute for Defense Analyses
8:50 AM	Probabilistic Graphical Model for Cyber Defensive Policy Assessment and Facilitation of Intuitive Optimal Policy Selection — Pranab Banerjee, Boston Fusion Corp. ; Thomas Allen, Boston Fusion Corp.
9:05 AM	Crime Linkage with Self-Exciting Point Process Models — Michael D. Porter, University of Alabama
9:20 AM	Improving Operational Reliability Estimates in the Department of Defense with Bayesian Statistics (Part 1) — Rebecca Dickinson, Institute for Defense Analyses ; Kassie Froncyzk, IDA
9:35 AM	Improving Operational Reliability Estimates in the Department of Defense with Bayesian Statistics (Part 2) — Kassie Fronczyk ; Rebecca Dickinson, Institute for Defense Analyses
9:50 AM	Applications of Modern Statistical Techniques to Operational Testing — Matthew Avery
10:05 AM	The U.S. Marine Corps' Ground Combat Element Integrated Task Force: Experimental Design, Analysis, and Selected Results — Yevgeniya Pinelis ; Paul Johnson, Marine Corps Operational Test and Evaluation Activity

326 * !	Tue, 8/2/2016, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM	CC-W186c
Controversies: Past, Present, and Future -- Statistical Issues in Reproducibility — Invited Papers
Council of Chapters , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee , Statistics Without Borders
Organizer(s): Kristofer Jennings, The University of Texas Medical Branch
Chair(s): Kristofer Jennings, The University of Texas Medical Branch
10:35 AM	Replication and the Manufacture of Scientific Inferences: A Formal Approach — Fernando Martel Garcia, Cambridge Social Science Decision Lab
11:00 AM	Statistical Issues in Studying Reproducibility — Courtney Karin Soderberg, Center for Open Science ; Brian Nosek, Center for Open Science
11:25 AM	The Stability Principle for Information Extraction from Data — Bin Yu, University of California at Berkeley
11:50 AM	Significance Testing Harms Replicability Only if Misused — Yoav Benjamini, Tel Aviv University
12:15 PM	Floor Discussion

333 * !	Tue, 8/2/2016, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM	CC-W180
Quality of Alternative Sources for Social, Economic, and Health Data — Invited Papers
Government Statistics Section , Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee
Organizer(s): John Eltinge, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Chair(s): John Eltinge, Bureau of Labor Statistics
10:35 AM	Quality of Alternative Sources for Social, Economic, and Health Data — Rachel Harter, RTI International
11:00 AM	On the Quality and Utility of Alternative Auxiliary Data Sources Used in the National Survey of Family Growth — Brady West, University of Michigan
11:25 AM	Progressive Data Modeling — Zahoor Ahmad, University of Southampton ; Li-Chun Zhang, University of Southampton
11:50 AM	Interpreting Administrative Data from Intuit Business Services — Susan Woodward, Sand Hill Econometrics
12:15 PM	Floor Discussion

336 * !	Tue, 8/2/2016, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM	CC-W187a
Collecting Data on Gun Violence: Why Is It so Hard, and What Are We Missing? — Invited Papers
Committee on Scientific Freedom and Human Rights , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee
Organizer(s): Megan Price, Human Rights Data Analysis Group
Chair(s): Megan Price, Human Rights Data Analysis Group
10:35 AM	Collecting Data on Gun Violence: Why Is It So Hard and What Are We Missing? — David Hemenway, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health
10:55 AM	Assessing the Health of Gun Violence Prevention Research---and Filling the Gap — Ted Alcorn, Everytown for Gun Safety
11:15 AM	Who Watches the Watchers? What We Can't Know About Police Violence — Laurel Eckhouse, University of California at Berkeley
11:35 AM	Discussant: David McDowall, SUNY Albany
11:55 AM	Discussant: Kathleen Bachynski, Columbia University
12:15 PM	Floor Discussion

417 *	Tue, 8/2/2016, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM	CC-W181b
Methods and Measures: Including People with Disabilities in Surveys — Topic Contributed Papers
Committee on Statistics and Disability , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee , Statistics Without Borders
Organizer(s): Debra Wright, Insight Policy Research, Inc.
Chair(s): Debra Wright, Insight Policy Research, Inc.
2:05 PM	Comparing Prevalence Estimates for People with Disabilities in National Surveys: 2009--2014 — Andrew Houtenville, University of New Hampshire ; Eric A. Lauer, University of New Hampshire
2:25 PM	Toward Better Disability Items on National Surveys — Kimberly Phillips, UNH Institute on Disability ; Andrew Houtenville, University of New Hampshire ; Vidya Sundar, University of New Hampshire
2:45 PM	When Every Dollar Counts: Comparing Reported Earnings of Social Security Disability Program Beneficiaries in Survey and Administrative Records — Holly Matulewicz, Mathematica Policy Research ; David Wittenburg, Mathematica Policy Research ; Jeffrey Hemmeter, Social Security Administration ; Lindsay Glassman, Mathematica Policy Research ; Lisa Schwartz, Mathematica Policy Research
3:05 PM	A Feasibility Study of Recruiting and Maintaining a Web Panel of People with Disabilities — Jesse Chandler, Mathematica Policy Research
3:25 PM	Discussant: Matthew Brault, Harvard
3:45 PM	Floor Discussion

425 * !	Tue, 8/2/2016, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM	CC-W192b
Data Visualization and Power of Evidence-Driven Approaches to Addressing Social Issues in Countries in Transition — Topic Contributed Panel
Social Statistics Section , International Chinese Statistical Association , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee , Statistics in Business Schools Interest Group , Statistics Without Borders
Organizer(s): Asaph Young Chun, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Asaph Young Chun, U.S. Census Bureau
2:05 PM	Data Visualization and Power of Evidence-Based Policymaking in Countries in Transition
Panelists:	Giang Nguyen, University of Iowa Ariel Lee, ISR Center for Science Diplomacy Igor Barahona, Mathematics Institute of the UNAM Star Ying, U.S. Department of Commerce Hannah Cho, ISR Center for Interdisciplinary Research
3:45 PM	Floor Discussion

437	Tue, 8/2/2016, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM	CC-W175b
Inflation, Price Indexes, and Labor Statistics — Contributed Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee
Chair(s): Jesse Bricker, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
2:05 PM	Review of the 2018 Consumer Price Index Geographic Revision — Steven Paben, Bureau of Labor Statistics
2:20 PM	Sample Size Optimization of the Consumer Price Index: An Implementation Using R — Harold Gomes, Bureau of Labor Statistics ; William Johnson, Bureau of Labor Statistics
2:35 PM	Breaking Down the Differences Between the CPI-U and C-CPI-U: Weights vs. Formula and by Items and Areas — Gregory Kurtzon, Bureau of Labor Statistics
2:50 PM	Measuring Inflation for Seasonal Items with High Product Turnover and Sticky-Upward Prices — Anya Stockburger, Bureau of Labor Statistics
3:05 PM	An Alternative Approach to USDA NASS Subcomponent Price Indexes — Kuan Chen, USDA/NASS ; Mark Gorsak, USDA/NASS
3:20 PM	Inputs to Industry Price Indexes Constructed from U.S. PPI and IPP Data — Jonathan Weinhagen, Bureau of Labor Statistics
3:35 PM	Predicting Industry Output with Statistical Learning Methods — Peter Meyer, Bureau of Labor Statistics ; Wendy Martinez, Bureau of Labor Statistics

213660	Wed, 8/3/2016, 7:00 AM - 8:30 AM	H-PDR6
Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee Business Meeting — Other Cmte/Business
Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee
Chair(s): Jerome Reiter, Duke University

465 * !	Wed, 8/3/2016, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM	CC-W192a
Data Science for Health Policy: A Broad Tent — Invited Papers
Health Policy Statistics Section , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee , Committee on Applied Statisticians
Organizer(s): Sherri Rose, Harvard Medical School
Chair(s): Sherri Rose, Harvard Medical School
8:35 AM	What Works in Boston May Not Work in Los Angeles: A Double Robust Transportability Estimator for Understanding Site Differences in Policy Interventions — Kara Rudolph, University of California at Berkeley ; Mark van der Laan, University of California at Berkeley
9:00 AM	Identifying the Most Harmful Sources of Ambient Air Pollution to Better Protect Public Health — Jenna Krall, Emory University
9:25 AM	Generating Policy-Relevant Statistical Evidence in Sequentially Monitored Vaccine and Drug Safety Evaluations Using Electronic Health Record Data — Jennifer Clark Nelson, Group Health Research Institute ; Andrea J. Cook , Group Health Research Institute ; Robert Wellman, Group Health Research Institute ; Ram Tiwari, FDA/CDER/OT/OB ; Michael Nguyen, FDA ; Estelle Russek-Cohen, FDA ; Tracey Marsh, University of Washington ; Azadeh Shoaibi, FDA ; Denise Boudreau, Group Health Research Institute
9:50 AM	Assessing Causal Impacts of Policy in the HIV Care Cascade — Joseph Hogan, Brown University
10:15 AM	Floor Discussion

467 * !	Wed, 8/3/2016, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM	CC-W175a
Using the Extraordinary Power of Statistics for Transportation Safety Research at the Federal Highway Administration — Invited Papers
Transportation Statistics Interest Group , Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee , Section on Risk Analysis
Organizer(s): Matthew J. Heaton, Brigham Young University
Chair(s): David Banks, Duke University
8:35 AM	The Naturalistic Driving Study and Statistical Modeling Challenges — Feng Guo, Virginia Tech
9:00 AM	Spatial Modeling of Highway Crash Risk — Matthew J. Heaton, Brigham Young University
9:25 AM	Causal Inference Methods in Traffic Safety Research — Fan Li, Duke University
9:50 AM	Discussant: Carol Tan, Federal Highway Administration
10:10 AM	Floor Discussion

475 * !	Wed, 8/3/2016, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM	CC-W196c
Reproducibility in Statistics and Data Science — Invited Papers
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security , Section on Statistical Computing , Caucus for Women in Statistics , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee
Organizer(s): Ben Baumer, Smith College
Chair(s): Ben Baumer, Smith College
8:35 AM	Reproducibility for All and Our Love/Hate Relationship with Spreadsheets — Jennifer Bryan, University of British Columbia
8:55 AM	Steps Toward Reproducible Research — Karl W. Broman, University of Wisconsin - Madison
9:15 AM	Enough with Trickle-Down Reproducibility: Scientists, Open This Gate! Scientists, Tear Down This Wall! — Karthik Ram, University of California at Berkeley
9:35 AM	Integrating Reproducibility into the Undergraduate Statistics Curriculum — Mine Cetinkaya-Rundel, Duke University
9:55 AM	Discussant: Yihui Xie, RStudio
10:15 AM	Floor Discussion

517 * !	Wed, 8/3/2016, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM	CC-W181a
Do Courts Appreciate the Power of Statistical Evidence? — Invited Papers
Royal Statistical Society , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee , Committee on Applied Statisticians , Statistics Without Borders
Organizer(s): Joseph L. Gastwirth, The George Washington University
Chair(s): Joseph L. Gastwirth, The George Washington University
10:35 AM	Detecting and Correcting Publication Bias in Legal Cases — Edward K. Cheng, Vanderbilt University
11:00 AM	Recent Statistical Issues in U.S. Courts — Qing Pan, The George Washington University ; Joseph L. Gastwirth, The George Washington University ; Weiwen Miao, Haverford College
11:25 AM	The Misuse of Statistical Evidence in Tort Law — Claire McIvor, University of Birmingham, UK
11:50 AM	Expert Evidence for Civil Cases in Australia, England, Scotland, Northern Ireland, USA, and South Africa: Examples and Ethical Challenges — Jane Luise Hutton, University of Warwick
12:15 PM	Floor Discussion

529 * !	Wed, 8/3/2016, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM	CC-W190b
Using Statistics to Understand Health Care Quality: New Methods and Applications — Topic Contributed Papers
Health Policy Statistics Section , Biopharmaceutical Section , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee , Committee on Applied Statisticians
Organizer(s): Amelia M. Haviland, Carnegie Mellon University
Chair(s): Maria Cuellar, Carnegie Mellon University
10:35 AM	Varying Relationships Between Beneficiary Traits and Quality Measures Affect Comparisons in Medicare Advantage — Laura Anne Hatfield, Harvard Medical School ; Alan M. Zaslavsky, Harvard Medical School
10:55 AM	Insurance Premiums and Patient Experience: Do You Get What You Pay for in Medicare Advantage Plans? — Amelia M. Haviland, Carnegie Mellon University ; Sai MA, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services ; Katrin Hambarsoomian, RAND Corporation ; Marc N. Elliott, RAND Corporation
11:15 AM	Extension to the Bayesian Improved Surname Geocoding (BISG) Method — Marc N. Elliott, RAND Corporation ; Amelia M. Haviland, Carnegie Mellon University ; Ann Haas, RAND Corporation ; John Adams, Kaiser Permanente ; Joshua Mallet, RAND Corporation ; Jake Dembosky, RAND Corporation ; Sarah Gaillot, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services ; Samuel "Chris" Haffer, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services
11:35 AM	Methodological Considerations When Adjusting Quality Measures for Socioeconomic Status — Susan M. Paddock, RAND Corporation ; Melony E. Sorbero, RAND Corporation ; Cheryl L. Damberg, RAND Corporation ; Ann Haas, RAND Corporation ; Marc N. Elliott, RAND Corporation
11:55 AM	Discussant: John Adams, Kaiser Permanente
12:15 PM	Floor Discussion

554	Wed, 8/3/2016, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM	CC-Hall F1 West
SPAAC Poster Competition — Topic Contributed Poster Presentations
Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee
Chair(s): Sreelatha Meleth, RTI International
1:	Schelling Index: Measuring Decentralized Racism in the Chicago Housing Market — Daniel Silva-Inclan, The University of Chicago
2:	Super-Delta: A New Approach on Microarray Data Normalization and Its Applications — Yuhang Liu, Florida State University ; Xing Qiu, Rochester University ; Jinfeng Zhang, Florida State University
3:	Empirical Estimation of Sequencing Error Rates Using Smoothing Splines — Xuan Zhu, MD Anderson Cancer Center ; Jian Wang, MD Anderson Cancer Center ; Bo Peng, MD Anderson Cancer Center ; Sanjay Shete, MD Anderson Cancer Center
4:	Finding Optimal Combination in Cancer Drug Development: An Evidence Synthesis Approach — Sofia Paul, Novartis ; Fei Ma, Novartis ; Satrajit Roychoudhury, Novartis
5:	Predicting Patient Costs — Grace Shrader, University of Wisconsin - Madison ; Jonathan Berthet, The University of Chicago ; Katherine Tong, The University of Chicago ; David O. Meltzer, The University of Chicago
6:	Convergence of Binomial to Limiting Normal Distribution: Multiple Proofs — Subhash Bagui, University of West Florida ; K.L. Mehra, University of Alberta
7:	Text-Mining Using Discrete Optimization: An Application to Automate Conference Scheduling — Jason Pan, Pfizer ; Kelly Zou, Pfizer ; Ching-Ray Yu, Pfizer ; Franklin W. Sun, Pfizer ; Martin O. Carlsson, Pfizer
8:	A Likelihood-Based Approach for Multivariate One-Sided Tests with Missing Data — Guohai Zhou, University of British Columbia ; Lang Wu, University of British Columbia ; Rollin Brant, University of British Columbia ; J Mark Ansermino
9:	Enumerating Latent Classes with Differential Participant Attrition: A Simulation Study Using PROC TRAJ — Patrick Stuchlik ; Leann Myers, Tulane University
10:	Practical Guidance and Tools for Rule-Out Sensitivity to Unmeasured Confounding Analyses — Lucy D'Agostino McGowan ; Robert Greevy, Vanderbilt University
11:	Break Detection Methods Applied for International Industrial Property Time Series Data — BeomYong Kim, Seoul National University ; HyUP YANG, Kangwon National University
12:	Bayesian Inference in Nonparanormal Graphical Models — Jami Jackson, North Carolina State University ; Subhashis Ghosal, North Carolina State University
14:	Time Series Matching for Novelty Detection in the Stepdown Ward: A Gaussian Process Approach — Glen Wright Colopy, University of Oxford ; Marco A. F. Pimentel ; Stephen J. Roberts ; David A. Clifton
15:	RESTRICTED TWO-SCALES COVARIANCE AND RISK CORRECTION IN THE CONTEXT OF HIGH-FREQUENCY FINANCIAL TRADING — Cyrille Nzouda, University of Nebraska - Lincoln ; Shunpu Zhang, University of Central Florida ; Kent Eskridge, University of Nebraska - Lincoln
16:	Grouping Engineered Nanomaterials by Pulmonary Toxicity Using Rodent Dose-Response Relationships — Nathan Drew, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health ; Eileen D. Kuempel, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health

586 * !	Wed, 8/3/2016, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM	CC-W196c
Collaboration Among Academia, Industry, and Government, and the Role of ASA — Invited Papers
Committee on ASA Archives and Historical Materials , International Chinese Statistical Association , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee , Committee on Applied Statisticians
Organizer(s): Mahinda Karunaratne, AbbVie
Chair(s): Mahinda Karunaratne, AbbVie
2:05 PM	Case Studies in Academic-Industry-Government Collaborations in Bayesian Adaptive Clinical Trials — Bradley Carlin, University of Minnesota
2:30 PM	An Academic on the Factory Floor: My Experience as the David Jordan Visiting Scholar — Rick Chappell, University of Wisconsin - Madison
2:55 PM	The Whole Is Greater Than the Sum of Its Parts: ASA Members Working Together — Wendy Martinez, Bureau of Labor Statistics ; Anna Nevius
3:20 PM	Discussant: Frank Harrell, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine
3:45 PM	Floor Discussion

601	Wed, 8/3/2016, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM	CC-W190a
Expanding Capacity for the Measurement of Sexual Orientation and Gender Identity in Federal Surveys — Topic Contributed Papers
Social Statistics Section , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee , Survey Research Methods Section
Organizer(s): Paul Guerino, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services
Chair(s): Diane Herz, Mathematica Policy Research
2:05 PM	Measurement of Sexual Orientation and Gender Identity in the Federal Statistical System — Jennifer Park, Office of Management and Budget
2:25 PM	Improving Measurement of Same-Sex Couple Households for Census 2020 — Nancy Bates ; Rose Kreider, U.S. Census Bureau ; Daphne Loquist, U.S. Census Bureau
2:45 PM	Results from Cognitive Interviews to Assess Items to Measure Gender and Sexual Identity Among English- and Spanish-Speaking Older Adults in Surveys — Stuart Michaels, NORC at the University of Chicago ; Michael Stern, NORC at the University of Chicago ; Michael Kozloski, NORC at the University of Chicago ; Samuel "Chris" Haffer, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services ; Paul Guerino, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services ; Debra Reed-Gillette, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services
3:05 PM	Testing of Sexual Orientation and Gender Identity Questions for the National Crime Victimization Survey — Jennifer Truman, Bureau of Justice Statistics
3:25 PM	Discussant: Sean Cahill, The Fenway Institute
3:45 PM	Floor Discussion

669 * !	Thu, 8/4/2016, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM	CC-W178a
Showcasing Statistics and Public Policy — Invited Papers
Statistics and Public Policy , Royal Statistical Society , Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee
Organizer(s): David Banks, Duke University
Chair(s): Michael Cohen, Committee on National Statistics
11:00 AM	A Commentary on Statistical Assessment of Violence Recidivism Risk — Peter B. Imrey, Cleveland Clinic ; Philip Dawid, University of Cambridge
11:25 AM	Using Student Test Scores for Teacher Evaluations: The Pros and Cons of Student Growth Percentiles — J.R. Lockwood, Educational Testing Service ; Katherine E. Castellano, Educational Testing Service ; Daniel F. McCaffrey, Educational Testing Service
11:50 AM	Discussant: David Banks, Duke University
12:10 PM	Floor Discussion

JSM 2016 Online Program

Activity Details

ASA Meetings Department

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