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17 * !
Sun, 8/8/2021, 1:30 PM - 3:20 PM Virtual
Innovative Statistical Strategies and Designs in Oncology Drug Development — Topic-Contributed Papers
Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, International Chinese Statistical Association
Organizer(s): Olga Marchenko, Bayer
Chair(s): Qi Jiang, Seagen
1:35 PM Opportunities and Challenges of Master Protocol Trials: ASA Oncology Working Group Master Protocol Subteam Update
Xiaoyun (Nicole) Li, Merck & Co.; Chengxing (Cindy) Lu, Biogen
1:55 PM Application of Historical Data in Oncology Combination Therapy Development
Rong Liu, Bristol Myers Squibb
2:15 PM Statistical and Operational Considerations for 2-Stage Adaptive Designs with Simultaneous Evaluation of Overall and Marker Selected Populations in Oncology Confirmatory Trials Presentation
Sunhee Ro, Sierra Oncology
2:35 PM Discussant: Xin Cindy Gao, FDA
2:55 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

29
Sun, 8/8/2021, 1:30 PM - 3:20 PM Virtual
Statistical Issues Specific to Therapeutic Areas, Power and Sample Size Calculations, and Trial Monitoring — Contributed Speed
Biopharmaceutical Section
Chair(s): Jonathan Moscovici, QuintilesIMS
1:35 PM A Bayesian Network Meta-Analysis on Treatments of Brain Metastases in Patients with Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer
Uma Siangphoe, Johnson and Johnson
1:40 PM On Characterizing Survival Curve of CAR-T Cell Therapy
xiaoling wu, Legend Biotech
1:45 PM On Treatment Effect in Sequential Parallel Comparison Design
Xiaoyan Liu, Boston University; Zifei Han, University of International Business and Economics; Chanmin Kim, Sungkyunkwan University; Gheorghe Doros, Boston University
1:50 PM WITHDRAWN: Comparison of Methods for Adjusting for Crossover in Oncology Trials
Jin Zhang, Merck
1:55 PM Handling Multiple Imputation in Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test: A Case Study Applied to a Hemophilia Clinical Trial Presentation
Eunhee Hwang, Pfizer Inc; Joseph Cappelleri, Pfizer Inc; Satrajit Roychoudhury, Pfizer Inc.; Dan Meyer, Pfizer
2:00 PM An Alternate Method to Find the Confidence Interval for the Difference Between Two Proportions of Rare Event Presentation
Ruji Yao, Merck & Co., Inc.; Amarjot Kaur, Merck & Co., Inc.; qing li, Merck & co., Inc.
2:05 PM A Flexible Ensemble Learning Method for Survival Extrapolation Presentation
Meijing Wu, Abbvie Inc.; Ran Dai, University of Nebraska Medical Center ; Yabing Mai, Boehringer Ingelheim; Weili He, AbbVie
2:10 PM Methods for Vaccine Efficacy in a Fixed Duration Design with Censoring
Ying Zhang, Merck & Co., Inc.; G. Frank Liu, Merck Sharp & Dohme Corp.; Radha A Railkar, Biostatistics and Research Decision Sciences, Merck & Co., Inc.
2:15 PM Novel Measures of Treatment Efficacy Under Delayed Treatment Effects
Kijoeng Nam, Merck & Co., inc. ; Nicholas Henderson, University of Michigan; Dai Feng, AbbVie Inc.
2:20 PM Sample Size Reestimation for the Finkelstein and Schoenfeld Test Statistic for a Composite Endpoint with Two Components
Thomas Zhou, Boston University; Joseph Massaro, Boston University
2:30 PM Power Analyses of Oncology Clinical Trials with Stratified Randomization
Xiao Fang, Merck; Paul DeLucca, Merck; Fang Liu, Merck & Co., Inc.; Xuan Deng, Merck & Co. Inc; Devan V Mehrotra, Merck & Co., Inc.
2:35 PM Something Out of Nothing? The Influence of 0-0 Studies in Bayesian Meta-Analysis of Drug Safety Studies
Zhaohu(Jonathan) Fan, University of Cincinnati ; Dungang Liu, University of Cincinnati; Yuejie Chen , North Carolina State University; Nanhua Zhang, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center
2:40 PM Incorporating Historical Controls in Analyses of Clinical Trial Data: An Empirical Power Prior Approach
Duncan Rotich, Bristol Myers Squibb; Yun Shen, Bristol Myers Squibb; Kay Tatsuoka, Bristol Myers Squibb
2:45 PM Do unadjusted pilot analyses lead to biased decision in proceeding to a larger trial?
Robert Montgomery, University of Kansas Medical Center
2:50 PM Optimizing Precision and Power in COVID-19 Trials by Covariate Adjustment
Nicholas Williams, Weill Cornell Medicine; Ivan Diaz, Weill Cornell Medical College; Michael Rosenblum, Johns Hopkins University
2:55 PM Collaborative Biostatistics as a Bridge from Preclinical Discovery to Population Data Science
Emily Slade, University of Kentucky; Heather Bush, University of Kentucky
3:00 PM Interim Analysis Incorporating Intermediate Binary Responses
Gang (Gerry) Li, Alexion Pharmaceuticals; Jiuzhou Wang, University of Minnesota Twin Cities; Jingnan (Jenna) Zhang, Alexion Pharmaceuticals
3:05 PM Predicting Analysis Times in Clinical Trials with Nonproportional Hazards
David Paulucci, Bristol Myers Squibb; Nikolas Weissmueller, Bristol Myers Squibb; Ming Zhou, Bristol Myers Squibb; Kay Tatsuoka, Bristol Myers Squibb
3:10 PM Realistic Patient-Level Simulators Considering Two Dependent Time-to-Event Endpoints
Yalin Zhu, Merck & Co Inc; Jing Zhao, Merck & Co., Inc.; Jing Wei, University of Kentucky
3:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

35 * !
Sun, 8/8/2021, 3:30 PM - 5:20 PM Virtual
Stories from COVID-19 Vaccine Development: Statistical Challenges and Opportunities — Invited Papers
Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, Committee on Applied Statisticians
Organizer(s): Charlotte Baidoo, GlaxoSmithKline plc; Wenji Pu, GlaxoSmithKline plc
Chair(s): Fabian Tibaldi, GlaxoSmithKline plc
3:35 PM COVID-19: Modeling, Epidemiological, Clinical, and Vaccine Aspects Presentation
Geert Molenberghs, Universiteit Hasselt and KU Leuven
4:00 PM Statistical Observations on Vaccine Clinical Development for Pandemic Diseases
Scott Patterson, Sanofi Pasteur; Bo Fu, Sanofi Pasteur; Fabrice Bailleux, Sanofi Pasteur; Josh Chen, Sanofi Pasteur
4:25 PM Statistical Challenges in COVID-19 Vaccine Trials
Ye Yang, FDA/CBER
4:50 PM Discussant: Tsai-Lien Lin, CBER, FDA
5:10 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

45 * !
Sun, 8/8/2021, 3:30 PM - 5:20 PM Virtual
Statistical Methods Utilizing Historical and Real-World Data for Clinical Studies — Topic-Contributed Papers
Biopharmaceutical Section, International Chinese Statistical Association, International Society for Clinical Biostatistics, Caucus for Women in Statistics
Organizer(s): Yuan Ji, The University of Chicago
Chair(s): Tianjian Zhou, Colorado State University
3:35 PM Robust Use of External Control Information in Clinical Trials
Heinz Schmidli, Novartis
3:55 PM Performance of LTMLE in the Presence of Missing Patterns
Sue-Jane Wang, FDA; Zhipeng Huang, FDA
4:15 PM Using Historical Data in Developing Novel Therapies: A Roadmap and Case Studies
Rui (Sammi) Tang, Servier Pharmaceuticals; chenkun wang, vertex pharmarcetical
4:35 PM Single Arm Trials with a Synthetic Control Arm Built from RWD
Peter Mueller, University of Texas Austin; Noirrit Kiran Chandra, University of Texas at Austin; Choudur Lakshminarayan, Teradata Labs/The University of Texas at Austin
4:55 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

64 * !
Mon, 8/9/2021, 10:00 AM - 11:50 AM Virtual
Innovative Practical Improvements in Biomarker Development and Evaluation — Invited Papers
Section on Medical Devices and Diagnostics, Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section, Caucus for Women in Statistics
Organizer(s): Laura Yee, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health
Chair(s): Hari Sankaran, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health
10:05 AM Emulating a Target Trial to Evaluate the Clinical Utility of a Biomarker-Based Treatment Rule
Michael Charles Sachs, Karolinska Institutet
10:25 AM Two-Stage Adaptive Design for Prognostic Biomarker Signatures with a Survival Endpoint
Mei-Yin C Polley, University of Chicago; Biyue Dai, University of Iowa
10:45 AM Biologically Informed Development of Treatment Selection Scores from High-Dimensional Omics Data
Lisa McShane, National Cancer Institute
11:05 AM Sample Size Methods for Validation of Predictive Biomarkers
Kevin K Dobbin, University of Georgia; Lisa McShane, National Cancer Institute
11:25 AM Discussant: Ana Best, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health
11:45 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

73 * !
Mon, 8/9/2021, 10:00 AM - 11:50 AM Virtual
Data Visualization Game: Who Is Winning? Sponsors, Third Parties, or Someone Else? — Invited Panel
Section for Statistical Programmers and Analysts, Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Statistical Graphics
Organizer(s): Vipin Arora, Eli Lilly and Company
Chair(s): Vipin Arora, Eli Lilly and Company
10:05 AM Data Visualization Game: Who Is Winning? Sponsors, Third Parties, or Someone Else?
Panelists: Kent Koprowicz, Axio Research
Douglas Landsittel, Indiana University
Neby Bekele, Exelixis Inc
Richard C. Zink, Lexitas Pharma Services, Inc.
Melvin Munsaka, AbbVie Inc
11:40 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

78 *
Mon, 8/9/2021, 10:00 AM - 11:50 AM Virtual
Key Steps in Deriving Real-World Evidence from Analysis of Real-World Data — Topic-Contributed Papers
Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science
Organizer(s): Yixin Fang, AbbVie
Chair(s): Weili He, AbbVie
10:05 AM Estimands: From Concepts to Applications in Real-World Setting (RWS)
Jie Chen, On behalf of ASA Biop RWE SWG Estimand Team
10:25 AM Principles and Approaches for the Use and Evaluation of Fit-for-Purpose, Real-World Data Sources
Mark Levenson, FDA; Weili He, AbbVie
10:45 AM Examples of Applying Causal-Inference Roadmap to RWE Clinical Studies Presentation
Martin Ho, Google; Yixin Fang, AbbVie
11:05 AM From Sensitivity Analysis to Evidence-Value: Ways to Interpret Real-World Evidence
Yixin Fang, AbbVie ; Weili He, AbbVie
11:25 AM Discussant: Hana Lee, FDA
11:45 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

82 * !
Mon, 8/9/2021, 10:00 AM - 11:50 AM Virtual
Evaluating Causal Effects Using Incomplete Data with Interference in Public Health Research — Topic-Contributed Papers
ENAR, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biopharmaceutical Section
Organizer(s): TingFang Lee, College of Pharmacy, University of Rhode Island
Chair(s): Ashley Buchanan, College of Pharmacy, University of Rhode Island
10:05 AM Causal Effects with Hidden Treatment Diffusion Over Partially Unobserved Networks
Costanza Tortù, Ecole Polytechnique; Irene Crimaldi, IMT Lucca; Fabrizia Mealli, University of Florence; Laura Forastiere, Yale University
10:25 AM Doubly Robust Treatment Effect Estimation with Missing Attributes
Imke Mayer, Centre d'Analyse et de Mathématiques Sociales, EHESS; Erik Sverdrup, Graduate School of Business, Stanford University; Tobias Gauss, Department of Anesthesia and Intensive Care, Beaujon Hospital, AP-HP; Jean-Denis Moyer, Department of Anesthesia and Intensive Care, Beaujon Hospital, AP-HP; Stefan Wager, Stanford University; Julie Josse, INRIA Sophia-Antipolis
10:45 AM Evaluating Disseminated Effects of Incomplete Data in Network-Based Studies for Public Health Presentation
TingFang Lee, College of Pharmacy, University of Rhode Island; Ashley Buchanan, College of Pharmacy, University of Rhode Island; Natallia Katenka, Department of Computer Science and Statistics, University of Rhode Island; M. Elizabeth Halloran, Public Health Sciences Division, Fred Hutch; Samuel Friedman, Department of Population Health, NYU Grossman School of Medicine; Georgios Nikolopoulos, Medical School, University of Cyprus
11:05 AM Leveraging Influencers in the Design of Network-Structured Studies to Estimate Direct and Spillover Effects
Junhan Fang, Yale School of Public Health; Donna Spiegelman, Yale School of Public Health; Laura Forastiere, Yale University
11:25 AM Discussant: Samrachana Adhikari, NYU School of Medicine
11:45 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

Register 94
Mon, 8/9/2021, 12:00 PM - 1:20 PM Virtual
Biopharmaceutical Section P.M. Roundtable Discussion (Added Fee) — Roundtables PM Roundtable Discussion
Biopharmaceutical Section
ML01: Enhancing Pediatric Drug Development
Fei Wang, Boehringer Ingelheim; Susan Wang, Boehringer Ingelheim
ML02: Practical Considerations of Weighted Log-Rank Test in Immunotherapy Trials
Philip He, Astrazeneca
ML03: Promoting Awareness and Education of Bayesian Statistical Topics Among Our Clinical Drug Development Colleagues
Ross Bray, Eli Lilly and Company
 
 

123 * !
Mon, 8/9/2021, 1:30 PM - 3:20 PM Virtual
Innovative Designs for Benefit of Patients — Topic-Contributed Papers
Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section
Organizer(s): Rong Liu, Bristol Myers Squibb
Chair(s): Cristiana Mayer, Janssen R&D
1:35 PM Adaptive Endpoints Selection with Application in Rare Disease
Heng Xu, Nektar Therapeutics; Yi Liu, Nektar Therapeutic; Robert Allen Beckman, Georgetown University Medical Center
1:55 PM Master Protocols and Their Benefits for Clinical Trial Participants and Patients Presentation
Robert Allen Beckman, Georgetown University Medical Center
2:15 PM A Roadmap to Using Historical Controls in Clinical Trials, by Drug Information Association Innovative Design Scientific Working Group
Mercedeh Ghadessi, Bayer Pharamceuticals
2:35 PM Ethics: Patients, Research Subjects, and Drug Development
Gianna McMillan, Loyola Marymount University Bioethics Institute
2:55 PM Discussant: Zoran Antonijevic, MedSource
3:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

135
Mon, 8/9/2021, 1:30 PM - 3:20 PM Virtual
Multiplicity, Missing Data and Other Topics — Contributed Speed
Biopharmaceutical Section
Chair(s): Madhurima Majumder, Bayer
1:35 PM On Assessing Effectiveness of New Assets Using Historical Response Data: A Bayesian Approach
Chunsheng He, BMS; Yike Tang, UIC; Shu-Pang Huang, BMS
1:40 PM Evidence Synthesis of Randomized and Nonrandomized Studies for Decision-Making
Hongwei Wang, AbbVie; Weili He, AbbVie; Tianming Gao, AbbVie; Linyu Shi, AbbVie
1:45 PM Indirect Treatment Comparison with Evidences of Different Sources and Quality
Tianming Gao, AbbVie; Hongwei Wang, AbbVie; Weili He, AbbVie; Linyu Shi, AbbVie
1:50 PM Continuous Learning from Small Efficacy Studies in Drug Development
Haiyuan Zhu, Sunovion Pharmaceuticals; Robert Hayes, Sunovion Pharmaceuticals
1:55 PM Simulating Clinical Trials Data with Synthetic.Cdisc.Data and Respectables
Gabriel Becker, Clindata Insights; Adrian Waddell, F. Hoffmann-La Roche
2:00 PM Expedite Rare Disease Drug Development Through Bayesian Analyses, External Controls, and Real-World Data
Florence Yong, Pfizer Inc.; Jeffrey Palmer, Pfizer Inc
2:05 PM A Novel Approach to Augment Single-Arm Clinical Studies with Real-World Data
Archie Sachdeva, University of Florida; Ram Tiwari, Bristol Myers Squibb; Subharup Guha, University of Florida
2:10 PM Treatment Effects Across Subgroups Based on Shrinkage Estimation
Amarjot Kaur, Merck & Co., Inc.; qing li, Merck & co., Inc.; Jia Hua, Merck
2:15 PM Exploring the Impact of Different Endpoint Definitions for MMRM and Related Missing Data Problems
Yaoyuan Vincent Tan, Vertex Pharmaceuticals; Fengjuan Xuan, Vertex Pharmaceuticals
2:20 PM A Novel Return-to-Baseline Imputation Method for Missing Data in Clinical Trials
Biyue Dai, Eli Lilly and Company; Yongming Qu, Eli Lilly and Company
2:30 PM Analysis of Crossover Designs for Longitudinal Binary Data with Ignorable and Nonignorable Dropout Presentation
Xi Wang, Pennsylvania State University College of Medicine; Vernon M. Chinchilli, Pennsylvania State University College of Medicine
2:35 PM Simulating Treatment Discontinuation in Clinical Trials
Ahmad Hakeem Abdul Wahab, Purdue University, Department of Statistics; Hege Michiels, Department of Applied Mathematics, Computer Science and Statistics, Ghent University; Arman Sabbaghi, Purdue University, Department of Statistics; Stephen J Ruberg, Analytix Thinking, LLC
2:40 PM A Bias Correction Method for Hazard Ratio Estimation and Its Inference in a Multiple-Arm Clinical Trial
Liji Shen, Merck & Co. Inc; Ziwen Wei, Merck & Co. Inc; Xuan Deng, Merck & Co. Inc
2:45 PM Treatment Effect Bias from Sample Snooping: Blinding Outcomes Is Neither Necessary nor Sufficient
Aaron Fisher, Foundation Medicine Inc
2:50 PM On Weighted Holm Procedures
Beibei Li, New Jersey Institute of Technology; Wenge Guo, New Jersey Institute of Technology
2:55 PM Statistical Methods to Assess In-Vitro Comparability
Michael Daniel Cid Lucagbo, University of Maryland, Baltimore County and University of the Philippines Diliman; Tianjiao Dai, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Yixin Ren, Merck & Co., Inc.; Meiyu Shen, Office of Biostatistics CDER, FDA; Yi Tsong, CDER, US FDA
3:00 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

220773
Tue, 8/10/2021, 8:30 AM - 1:00 PM
Biopharmaceutical Section Executive Committee meeting (closed) — Other Cmte/Business
Biopharmaceutical Section
Chair(s): Weili He, AbbVie
 
 

148 * !
Tue, 8/10/2021, 10:00 AM - 11:50 AM Virtual
Considerations in Clinical Trial Endpoints’ Selection — Invited Papers
Biopharmaceutical Section, Health Policy Statistics Section, Biometrics Section, Caucus for Women in Statistics
Organizer(s): Freda Cooner, Amgen
Chair(s): Laura Fernandes, FDA
10:05 AM Treatment-Free Survival and Depth of Response as Novel Endpoints of Immuno-Oncology (IO)-Based Therapy for Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma (MRCC) Presentation
Meredith M Regan, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute; Laura Fernandes, FDA
10:30 AM Handling Missing Data Through Combining of Endpoints
Jitendra Ganju, Ganju Clinical Trials, LLC; Ron Yu, Gilead Sciences
10:55 AM Win Statistics: Impact of Follow-up Time and Unbiased Estimators of Treatment Effect in the Presence of Censoring
Gaohong Dong, BeiGene; Victoria Chang, BeiGene; Bo Huang, Pfizer Inc.; James Song, BeiGene; Duolao Wang, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, UK; Lu Mao, University of Wisconsin; Jiuzhou Wang, ImmunoGen Inc.; Johan Verbeeck, University Hasselt, Belgium ; Margaret Gamalo-Siebers, Pfizer Inc.; David C. Hoaglin, University of Massachusetts Medical School
11:20 AM How to Measure the Treatment Effect in COVID-19 Clinical Studies?
Lu Tian, Stanford University ; LJ Wei, Harvard University; Zachary McCaw, Google Inc
11:45 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

150 !
Tue, 8/10/2021, 10:00 AM - 11:50 AM Virtual
COVID-19 Vaccine Statistics: A Reflection on a Year at Warp Speed — Invited Papers
Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology
Organizer(s): David Benkeser, Emory University
Chair(s): David Benkeser, Emory University
10:05 AM US Regulatory Considerations for COVID-19 Vaccine Trials
John Scott, FDA / CBER
10:25 AM The Burden of Selecting a Primary Efficacy Endpoint: Consideration of a COVID-19 Burden of Disease Endpoint
Jonathan V Hartzel, Merck & Co., Inc.; Devan V Mehrotra, Merck & Co., Inc.
10:45 AM Understanding the Effects of COVID-19 Vaccines on Reducing Secondary Transmission
Holly Janes, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center
11:05 AM Inference for Natural Mediation Effects Under Case-Cohort Sampling with Applications in Identifying COVID-19 Vaccine Correlates of Protection
Ivan Diaz, Weill Cornell Medical College
11:25 AM Discussant: Dean Follmann, NIH
11:45 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

161 * !
Tue, 8/10/2021, 10:00 AM - 11:50 AM Virtual
Collaboratively Improve Trial Design and Result Interpretation Through the Estimand Framework — Topic-Contributed Panel
Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR, Biometrics Section, Caucus for Women in Statistics
Organizer(s): Lei Nie, Office of Biostatistics (OB), OTS, CDER, FDA
Chair(s): Roderick Joseph Little, University of Michigan
10:05 AM Collaboratively Improve Trial Design and Result Interpretation Through the Estimand Framework
Panelists: Paul Kluetz, The US FDA
Gregory Levin, The US FDA
Bohdana Ratitch, Bayer
Anthony Man, Novartis
Sally Seymour, Food and Drug Administration
11:40 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

166
Tue, 8/10/2021, 10:00 AM - 11:50 AM Virtual
Non-Clinical Statistics, Personalized Medicine, and Other Topics — Contributed Speed
Biopharmaceutical Section
Chair(s): Vivien Yin, Mayo Clinic
10:05 AM A Meta-Inference Framework to Integrate Multiple External Models into a Current Study
Tian Gu, Department of Biostatistics, University of Michigan; Jeremy M.G. Taylor, University of Michigan; Bhramar Mukherjee, University of Michigan
10:10 AM Best Practices of Double Score Matching for Estimating Causal Effects
Yunshu Zhang, NC State University; Shu Yang, North Carolina State University; Wendy Ye, Eli Lilly and Company; Douglas Faries, Eli Lilly and Company; Ilya Lipkovich, Eli Lilly; Zbigniew Kadziola, Eli Lilly and Company
10:15 AM In Vitro Dissolution Profile Comparison Using Bootstrap Bias Corrected Similarity Factor, F2
Xiaoyu Cai, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Shaobo Liu, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Meiyu Shen, Office of Biostatistics CDER, FDA; Yi Tsong, CDER, US FDA
10:20 AM Quadratic Slope-Ratio Model for Nonlinear Dose-Response of CBPA Assay
Ming Luo, AbbVie
10:25 AM Statistical Approaches for Shelf Life Determination of a Drug Product
Xutong Zhao, CDER, US FDA; Tengfei Li, Georgetown University; Meiyu Shen, Office of Biostatistics CDER, FDA; Yi Tsong, CDER, US FDA
10:30 AM Practical Conformal Prediction Methods for QSAR
Yuting Xu, Merck & Co., Inc.; Andy Liaw, Merck & Co., Inc.; Vladimir Svetnik, Merck & Co.
10:35 AM Power and Sample Size Estimation in Stability and Analytical Comparability Presentation
Qianqiu Li, Janssen Research & Development
10:40 AM Comparing the Means of Continuous Measurements for Noninferiority and Equivalence
Shaobo Liu, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Xiaoyu Cai, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Meiyu Shen, Office of Biostatistics CDER, FDA; Yi Tsong, CDER, US FDA
10:45 AM Risk Difference, Relative Risk, and Odds Ratio for Noninferiority Clinical Trials: Assessment with Negative Event Rate Endpoint
Senmiao Ni, Nanjing Medical University; Jingwei Wu, Temple University; Quanji Yu, Nanjing Medical University; Jianling Bai, Nanjing Medical University; Hao Yu, Nanjing Medical University
10:50 AM WITHDRAWN: Challenges and Strategies of Handling of PKPD Data in CDISC Standards
Sanjeeva Thalla, COVANCE
11:00 AM A Principal Stratification Approach to Estimating the Effect of Continuing Treatment After Observing Early Outcomes
Patrick Schnell, The Ohio State University College of Public Health; Richard Baumgartner, Merck Research Laboratories; Shahrul Mt-Isa , MSD; Vladimir Svetnik, Merck & Co.
11:05 AM Utility-Based Approach in Individualized Optimal Dose Selection Using Machine Learning Methods
Pin Li, University of Michigan ; Jeremy M.G. Taylor, University of Michigan; Philip Boonstra, University of Michigan; Theodore S. Lawrence, University of Michigan; Matthew J. Schipper, University of Michigan
11:10 AM Addressing Covariate Unbalance in Subgroup Identification for Censored Survival Data via Weighted Gradient Tree Boosting
JINCHUN ZHANG, Merck & Co.; PINGYE ZHANG, MERCK & Co.; Yue Shentu, Merck Sharp & Dohme; JUNSHUI MA, Merck & Co.
11:15 AM A Comparison of Precision Medicine Methods for Count Outcomes: A Simulation Study and a Case Study in Multiple Sclerosis
Xiaotong Jiang, Biogen; Gabrielle Simoneau, Biogen; Bora Youn, Biogen; Changyu Shen, Biogen; Fabio Pellegrini, Biogen; Carl de Moor, Biogen
11:20 AM Finding Associations in a Heterogeneous Setting: Novel Statistical Test for Aberration Enrichment. The Signal Is in the Tails
Mohamed Aziz Mezlini, Evidation Health Inc, University of Toronto, Harvard Medical school
11:25 AM Model-Robust Inference for Clinical Trials That Improve Precision by Stratified Randomization and Covariate Adjustment
Bingkai Wang, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; Ryoko Susukida, Department of Mental Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; Ramin Mojtabai, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; Masoumeh Amin-Esmaeili, Department of Mental Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; Michael Rosenblum, Johns Hopkins University
11:30 AM WITHDRAWN: Calibrated Dynamic Borrowing Using Capping Priors
Sharon Ling, University of Minnesota, Twin Cities; Joseph Koopmeiners, University of Minnesota, Twin Cities
11:35 AM Bayesian Multivariate Probability of Success Using Historical Data with Family-Wise Error Rate Control
Ethan Alt, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Matthew Psioda, UNC Chapel Hill; Joseph G Ibrahim, UNC
11:40 AM Innovations in the Use of External Data to Augment Controls in Clinical Trials
Frank Shen, Bristol Myers Squib; Rong Liu, Bristol Myers Squibb
 
 

Register 171
Tue, 8/10/2021, 12:00 PM - 1:20 PM Virtual
Biopharmaceutical Section P.M. Roundtable Discussion (Added Fee) — Roundtables PM Roundtable Discussion
Biopharmaceutical Section
TL01: Borrowing Historical Information or Real-World Information for Clinical Trials in Regulatory Environment
Madhuja Mallick, Abbvie
TL02: Improving Precision and Power in Randomized Trials Using Covariate Adjustment
Michael Rosenblum, Johns Hopkins University; Bingkai Wang, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; Alex Luedtke, University of Washington; David Benkeser, Emory University; Ivan Diaz, Weill Cornell Medical College; Daniel Scharfstein, University of Utah; Jodi Seagal, Johns Hopkins University
TL03: Meet and Greet with the Biopharmaceutical Section Chairs
Weili He, AbbVie
 
 

200 * !
Tue, 8/10/2021, 1:30 PM - 3:20 PM Virtual
Statistical Challenges and Opportunities for Expedited Oncology Drug Development — Topic-Contributed Papers
Biopharmaceutical Section, International Chinese Statistical Association, Biometrics Section
Organizer(s): Qing Li, Takeda Pharmaceuticals
Chair(s): Jianchang Lin, Takeda Pharmaceuticals
1:35 PM Multiplicity Issues for Platform Trials with a Shared Control Arm
Xiaofei Bai, Boehringer-Ingelheim Pharmaceutical Inc.; Qiqi Deng, Boehringer-Ingelheim Pharmaceutical Inc.; Dacheng Liu, Boehringer-Ingelheim Pharmaceutical Inc.
1:55 PM A Unified Framework for Time-to-Event Dose-Finding Designs
Tianjian Zhou, Colorado State University; Yuan Ji, The University of Chicago
2:15 PM Prediction of Combination Treatment Effect and Its Application in Oncology Trial Design Presentation
Linda Sun, Merck & Co., Inc.; Cong Chen, Merck & Co., Inc.; Cai (Iris) Wu, Merck & Co., Inc.; Fang Liu, Merck & Co., Inc.; Yixin Ren, Merck & Co., Inc.; Leah Suttner, Merck & Co., Inc.; Xiaoyun (Nicole) Li, Merck & Co.
2:35 PM Incorporating Surrogate Information for Adaptive Subgroup Enrichment Design with Sample Size Reestimation
Qing Li, Takeda Pharmaceuticals; Jianchang Lin, Takeda Pharmaceuticals; Mengya Liu, Takeda Pharmaceuticals; Liwen Wu, University of Pittsburgh
2:55 PM Hierarchical Testing of a Primary and Secondary Endpoint in a Group Sequential Design with Different Information Times Presentation
Dong Xi, Novartis Pharmaceuticals, East Hanover, New Jersey, USA ; Jiangtao Gou, Villanova University
3:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

203 * !
Tue, 8/10/2021, 1:30 PM - 3:20 PM Virtual
Recent Advances in Bayesian Adaptive Designs, from Early Phase to Confirmatory Trials — Topic-Contributed Papers
Caucus for Women in Statistics, Biopharmaceutical Section, Committee on Women in Statistics
Organizer(s): Jun Yin, Mayo Clinic
Chair(s): Jun Yin, Mayo Clinic
1:35 PM Design Experiences of an Adaptive Dose-Finding Study Utilizing Bayesian Model Averaging in Autoimmune Disease
Mitchell Thomann, Eli Lilly
1:55 PM BOIN12: Bayesian Optimal Interval Phase I/II Trial Design for Utility-Based Dose-Finding
Ruitao Lin, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center
2:15 PM A Bayesian Phase II Clinical Trial Design for Multinomial Endpoints
Rui Qin, Janssen Pharmaceuticals; Yalin Zhu, Merck & Co Inc
2:35 PM Statistical Considerations for Small-Sized Clinical Trials Utilizing a Platform Setting
Feiran Jiao, FDA; Yeh-Fong Chen, FDA
2:55 PM Dynamic Borrowing from a Single Prior Data Source Using the Conditional Power Prior
Jianjin Xu, Food and Drug Administration; Laura Thompson, Food and Drug Administration
3:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

220770
Tue, 8/10/2021, 5:30 PM - 7:00 PM
Biopharmaceutical Section Business Meeting — Other Cmte/Business
Biopharmaceutical Section
Chair(s): Weili He, AbbVie
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219 * !
Wed, 8/11/2021, 10:00 AM - 11:50 AM Virtual
Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in Medical Imaging for Drug Development — Invited Papers
Section on Statistics in Imaging, Section on Medical Devices and Diagnostics, Biopharmaceutical Section
Organizer(s): Bushi Wang, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Chair(s): Sue-Jane Wang, FDA
10:05 AM Using Deep Learning on HRCT Scan to Predict Pulmonary Fibrosis Progression and Support Early Clinical Development Decision
Bushi Wang, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals Inc.; Yi Liu, Boehringer Ingelheim; Hao Li, Boeringer-Ingelheim
10:25 AM Application of Machine Learning in Medical Imaging: Overview of Novartis Radiomics Projects
Thibaud Coroller, Novartis
10:45 AM Histopathology and AI for Cancer Subtype and Mutation Detection
Narges Razavian, New York University Langone Health
11:05 AM Development and Clinical Evaluation of Quantitative Lung Fibrosis Scores on CT Images in Clinical Trials: Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis and Scleroderma Lung Disease
Grace Hyun Kim, UCLA; Jonathan Goldin, UCLA; Matthew Brown, UCLA
11:25 AM Recent Advances in Machine Learning in Medical Image Analysis
Fei Wang, Weill Cornell Medicine
11:45 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

236 * !
Wed, 8/11/2021, 10:00 AM - 11:50 AM Virtual
New Developments in Integrated Analysis of Complex Data from Multiple Sources — Topic-Contributed Papers
Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section, International Chinese Statistical Association
Organizer(s): Xiaofei Wang, Duke University
Chair(s): Herbert Pang, Genentech
10:05 AM Identifying Temporal Pathways Using High-Dimensional Biomarkers
Shanghong Xie , Columbia Unviersity; Donglin Zeng, UNC Chapel Hill; Yuanjia Wang, Columbia University
10:25 AM Fusion Designs and Estimators
Stephen Cole, UNC
10:45 AM Improving Trial Generalizability Using Observational Studies
Lin Dong, Wells Fargo; Shu Yang, North Carolina State University
11:05 AM Causally Interpretable Meta-Analysis: Transporting Inferences from Multiple Randomized Trials to a Target Population
Issa J. Dahabreh, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health; Sarah E. Robertson, Brown University; Lucia C. Petito, Northwestern University; Miguel Hernán, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health; Jon Steingrimsson, Brown University
11:25 AM Discussant: Miguel Hernan, Harvard School of Public Heatlh
11:45 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

238 * !
Wed, 8/11/2021, 10:00 AM - 11:50 AM Virtual
Addressing Nonproportional Hazards Issues in Oncology Clinical Trial Design — Topic-Contributed Papers
Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, Statistics and Pharmacometrics Interest Group
Organizer(s): Revathi Ananthakrishnan, Bristol-Myers Squibb; Daniel Li, Bristol-Myers Squibb
Chair(s): Daniel Li, Bristol-Myers Squibb
10:05 AM New alternative measures to hazard ratio
HAJIME UNO, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute
10:25 AM Max-Combo Test for Time-to-Event Endpoints Under Nonproportional Hazards
Ray Lin, Genentech
10:45 AM Design for Immuno-Oncology Clinical Trials with Nonproportional Hazards Patterns
ZHENZHEN XU, FDA; Bin Zhu, National Cancer Institute; YONGSOEK PARK, University of Pittsburg
11:05 AM A 5-Step Stratified Testing and Amalgamation Routine
Rachel Marceau West, Merck & Co. ; Devan V Mehrotra, Merck & Co., Inc.
11:25 AM Discussant: Kay Tatsuoka, Bristol Myers Squibb
11:45 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

Register 249
Wed, 8/11/2021, 12:00 PM - 1:20 PM Virtual
Biopharmaceutical Section P.M. Roundtable Discussion (Added Fee) — Roundtables PM Roundtable Discussion
Biopharmaceutical Section
WL01: COVID-19 Pandemic Impact on Data Analysis in Infectious Disease Clinical Trials Presentation
Hong Wan, Merck
WL02: Role of Statisticians in Digital Transformation and Democratization of Clinical Trials
Li Chen, Amgen
WL03: The Use of Placebo Participant Information Across Intervention-Specific Trials Within a Platform Study of the Treatment of Moderate to Severely Active Crohn’s Disease Presentation
Dwaine Banton, Janssen R&D; Kim Hung Lo, Johnson and Johnson; Grace Liu, Johnson and Johnson
 
 

272 * !
Wed, 8/11/2021, 1:30 PM - 3:20 PM Virtual
Data Science and Statistics in Pharmaceutical Engineering and Experimental Studies: Where Is It? Where Is It Going? — Invited Panel
Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America
Organizer(s): Stan Altan, Janssen Pharmaceutical R&D
Chair(s): Stan Altan, Janssen Pharmaceutical R&D
1:35 PM Data Science and Statistics in Pharmaceutical Engineering and Experimental Studies: Where Are They, Where Are They Going?
Panelists: Mark Daniel Ward, Purdue University
Terri Bui, Merck & Co.
Ke Wang, Pfizer, Inc.
Jonathan E. Allen, Lawrence Livermore Nattional Laboratory
Huanyu Zhou, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd.
3:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

280 *
Wed, 8/11/2021, 1:30 PM - 3:20 PM Virtual
Application of Machine Learning in Clinical Development — Topic-Contributed Papers
Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science, International Chinese Statistical Association, Text Analysis Interest Group
Organizer(s): Dooti Roy, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Nan Shao, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Chair(s): Zheng Zhu, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
1:35 PM Application of Digital Medicine in Drug Development
Sandeep M Menon, Pfizer; Tim McCarthy, Pfizer; F. Isik Karahanoglu, Pfizer Global Research and Development
1:55 PM Predicting Patient Adherence in a Changing World
Dooti Roy, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
2:15 PM Automatic Disease Screening of Borderline Personality Disorder Using Electronic Health Records (EHR)
Nan Shao, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Marianne Goodman, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai; James J Peters VA Medical Center; Chengxi Zang, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University; Zheng Zhu, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Zsuzsanna Tamas, Boehringer Ingelheim; Rachel Ovens, Boehringer Ingelheim; Agnes Koczon-Jaremko , Boehringer Ingelheim; Vikas_Mohan Sharma, Boehringer Ingelheim
2:35 PM Application of Natural Language Processing in Drug Development
Hua Xu, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston
2:55 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

282 * !
Wed, 8/11/2021, 1:30 PM - 3:20 PM Virtual
Tools to Enable the Use of R by the Biopharmaceutical Industry in a Regulatory Setting — Topic-Contributed Papers
Biopharmaceutical Section
Organizer(s): Marly Gotti, Biogen; Juliane Manitz, EMD Serono
Chair(s): Juliane Manitz, EMD Serono
1:35 PM A Risk-Based Approach for Assessing R Package Accuracy Within a Validated Infrastructure
Paulo Bargo, Janssen R&D; Juliane Manitz, EMD Serono; Andy Nicholls, GSK; Doug Kelkhoff, Roche; Yilong Zhang, Merck & Co., Inc.; Lyn Taylor , Phastar; Joe Rickert, R Consortium; Marly Gotti, Biogen; Keaven M Andersen, Merck & Co. Inc.
1:55 PM riskmetric: A Risk-based Workflow to Evaluate the Quality of R Packages
Doug Kelkhoff, Roche
2:15 PM Paving the Way for Regulatory Submissions Using R: the Risk Assessment Shiny Application
Marly Gotti, Biogen
2:35 PM Packages for Automated Assessment and Standards Alignment of R Packages
Mark Padgham, rOpenSci; Noam Ross, Ecohealth Alliance
2:55 PM R2rtf - A Lightweight R Package to Produce Submission-Ready Tables and Figures in RTF Format
Yilong Zhang, Merck & Co., Inc.; Siruo Wang, John Hopkins University; Simiao Ye, Merck & Co., Inc.; Madhusudhan Ginnaram, Merck & Co., Inc.; Keaven M Andersen, Merck & Co. Inc.
3:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

316
Wed, 8/11/2021, 3:30 PM - 5:20 PM Virtual
40 Years of the Biopharmaceutical Section: Celebrating Our Past, Planning for Our Future — Topic-Contributed Panel
Biopharmaceutical Section, History of Statistics Interest Group
Organizer(s): Richard C. Zink, Lexitas Pharma Services, Inc.
Chair(s): Margaret Gamalo, Pfizer
3:35 PM 40 Years of the Biopharmaceutical Section: Celebrating Our Past, Planning for Our Future
Panelists: Anna Nevius, Retired
Bruce Binkowitz, Shionogi & Co., Ltd.
Dionne Price, US Food and Drug Administration
Karl Peace, Georgia Southern University
Ralph Buncher, Retired
Steve Snapinn, Seattle-Quilcene Biostatistics LLC
5:10 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

318
Wed, 8/11/2021, 3:30 PM - 5:20 PM Virtual
Adaptive (and Other) Clinical Trial Designs — Contributed Speed
Biopharmaceutical Section
Chair(s): Theodore Lystig, BridgeBio
3:35 PM Algorithms for Minimization Randomization and the Implementation with an R Package
Man (Mandy) Jin, AbbVie Inc
3:40 PM A Bayesian Adaptation Method for Clinical Trials Under Nonproportional Hazards
Li Yu, Merck & Co.; Yue Shentu, Merck Sharp & Dohme; Xieyang Jia, Merck & Co.
3:45 PM Changing Frequency of Analyses with Multiple Endpoints in Group-Sequential Clinical Trials
Koko Asakura, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center; Toshimitsu Hamasaki, George Washington University Biostatitics Center; Diane Uschner, George Washington University; Frank Bretz, Novartis AG
3:50 PM Evaluating Two-Stage Adaptive Designs with Data-Driven Biomarker Selection
Sarah E Johnston, OUHSC Hudson College of Public Health; Ilya Lipkovich, Eli Lilly; Daniel E Zhao, OUHSC Hudson College of Public Health
3:55 PM A Novel Statistical Test for Treatment Differences in Clinical Trials Using a Response Adaptive Forward Looking Gittins Index Rule
Sofia Villar, University of Cambridge; Thomas Jaki, Lancaster University; Helena Geys, Janssen Pharmaceutica; Helen Barnett, University of Cambridge
4:00 PM Inference for a Two-Stage Enrichment Design
Zhantao Lin, Eli Lilly and Company; William Rosenberger, George Mason University; Nancy Flournoy, University of Missouri
4:05 PM Application of Recursive Adaptive Design with Maximum Two Interim Analysis
Chuhan Zhou, Pacira Pharmaceuticals, Inc; Chao Li, Pacira Pharmaceuticals, Inc; Vincent Yu, Pacira Pharmaceuticals, Inc
4:10 PM Allocation-Blind Adaptive Analysis Strategies for Randomized Trials with Serial Assessments of a Normally-Distributed Outcome
Phillip Schulte, Mayo Clinic; Kent Bailey, Mayo Clinic
4:15 PM Faster and More Informative Phase 2b Dose-Ranging Trials Through Bayesian Uncertainty-Directed Designs with Model Averaging
Daniel Schwartz, University of Chicago; Yuan Ji, The University of Chicago
4:20 PM Two-Stage Enrichment Clinical Trial Designs with Survival Outcomes and Adjustment for Misclassification in Predictive Biomarkers
Yanping Chen, Bristol Myers Squibb; Yong Lin, Rutgers University; Shou-En Lu, Rutgers School of Public Health and Cancer Institute of New Jersey
4:30 PM Identifying Targeted Patients Population in Major Depressive Disorder by Enhanced Enrichment Design
Peter Zhang, Otsuka Pharmaceuticals Dev & Com, Inc.
4:35 PM Properties of Log-Rank Test Following Covariate-Adaptive Randomization in Multi-Center Oncology Trials
Jerry J Li, Daiichi Sankyo Inc.; Olga M Kuznetsova, Merck & Co., Inc.; Gang Han, Department of Statistics, Iowa State University
4:40 PM Bayesian Optimal Phase II Design for Basket Trials
Heng Zhou, Merck & Co., Inc; Tian He, Indiana University
4:45 PM A Bayesian Platform Trial Design to Simultaneously Evaluate Multiple Drugs in Multiple Indications with Mixed Endpoints
Yujie Zhao, Department of Biostatistics, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center ; Rui (Sammi) Tang, Servier Pharmaceuticals; Yeting Du, Servier Pharmaceuticals; Ying Yuan, Department of Biostatistics, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center
4:50 PM Elastic Meta-Analytic-Predictive Prior for Dynamically Borrowing Information from Historical Data with Application to Biosimilar Clinical Trials
Wen Zhang, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston; Ying Yuan, Department of Biostatistics, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center; Zhiying Pan, Amgen, Inc.
4:55 PM Adaptive Semiparametric Bayesian Borrowing Model in Basket Trials for Robust Inference and Decision-Making
Rachael Liu, Takeda Pharmaceuticals; Veronica Bunn, Takeda Pharmaceuticals; Jianchang Lin, Takeda Pharmaceuticals; Junjing Lin, Takeda Pharmaceuticals
5:00 PM The Benefits of Conducting Bayesian Adaptive Designs in Dose-Finding Studies for Healthy Volunteers in Non-Oncology Clinical Trials
Carl Di Casoli, Sunovion Pharmaceuticals ; Hailong Cheng, Sunovion Pharmaceuticals; HoiWun (Natalie) Au, Sunovion Pharmaceuticals
5:05 PM The Impact of Scientific Review on Early-Phase Clinical Trial Design
Bethany Jablonski Horton, University of Virginia
5:10 PM A Clustering-Based Information Borrowing Under Local Multisource Exchangeability Assumption
Yilin Liu, Yale University; Wei Wei, Yale University
 
 

332 *
Thu, 8/12/2021, 10:00 AM - 11:50 AM Virtual
Synthetic Clinical Trials Design to Accelerate FDA Approvals — Invited Papers
Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science
Organizer(s): Choudur Lakshminarayan, Teradata Labs/The University of Texas at Austin
Chair(s): Peter Mueller, University of Texas Austin
10:05 AM Machine Learning-Enabled Real-World Evidence in Synthetic Arms Trials
Prater Edmund, The University of Texas at Arlington; Kay-Yut Chen, The University of Texas at Arlington; Sridhar Nerur, The University of Texas at Arlington
10:30 AM Incorporating External Data into the Analysis of Clinical Trials via Bayesian Additive Regression Trees
Tianjian Zhou, Colorado State University; Yuan Ji, The University of Chicago
10:55 AM A Novel Bayesian Nonparametric Method to Use Real-World Data in Clinical Trials Presentation
Noirrit Kiran Chandra, University of Texas at Austin; Peter Mueller, University of Texas Austin
11:20 AM Discussant: Choudur Lakshminarayan, Teradata Labs/The University of Texas at Austin
11:40 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

351 * !
Thu, 8/12/2021, 10:00 AM - 11:50 AM Virtual
Statistical Modeling in Pre-Clinical Drug Proarrhythmic Assessment — Topic-Contributed Panel
Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science, Biometrics Section
Organizer(s): Dalong Huang, FDA
Chair(s): Dalong Huang, FDA
10:05 AM Statistical Modeling in Pre-Clinical Drug Proarrhythmic Assessment
Panelists: Yu-yi Hsu, FDA/CDER
Nan Xi, UCLA
11:40 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

366 *
Thu, 8/12/2021, 12:00 PM - 1:50 PM Virtual
Trial Design and Analysis Methods for COVID-19 Treatment/Prevention — Invited Papers
ENAR, Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, Caucus for Women in Statistics
Organizer(s): Michael Rosenblum, Johns Hopkins University
Chair(s): Bingkai Wang, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
12:05 PM Improving Precision and Power in Randomized Trials for COVID-19 Treatments Using Covariate Adjustment for Binary, Ordinal, or Time-to-Event Outcomes
David Benkeser, Emory University; Ivan Diaz, Weill Cornell Medical College; Alex Luedtke, University of Washington; Daniel Scharfstein, University of Utah; Jodi Seagal, Johns Hopkins University; Michael Rosenblum, Johns Hopkins University
12:30 PM Clinical Trials Impacted by the COVID-19 Pandemic: Adaptive Designs to the Rescue?
Cornelia Kunz, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharma GmbH & Co. KG, Biberach, Germany ; Silke Jörgens, Janssen-Cilag GmbH, Neuss, Germany ; Frank Bretz, Novartis AG; Nigel Stallard, The University of Warwick, Coventry, UK; Kelly Van Lancker, Ghent University, Belgium; Dong Xi, Novartis Pharmaceuticals, East Hanover, New Jersey, USA ; Sarah Zohar, Sorbonne Université, Paris, France; Christoph Gerlinger, Statistics and Data Insights, Bayer AG, Berlin, Germany ; Tim Friede, University Medical Center Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany
12:55 PM Challenges in clinical trial design during a pandemic: Experiences from the UK and beyond
Thomas Jaki, University of Cambridge
1:20 PM Discussant: Laura Lee Johnson, Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, U.S. FDA
1:40 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

373 * !
Thu, 8/12/2021, 12:00 PM - 1:50 PM Virtual
Analysis of Duration Data, with Applications to the COVID-19 Pandemic — Topic-Contributed Papers
IMS, Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section
Organizer(s): Piet Groeneboom, Delft University
Chair(s): Geurt Jongbloed, Delft Institute of Applied Mathematics
12:05 PM The Generation Time Distribution: Problems with Estimating It and Consequences Thereof
Tom Britton, Stockholm University
12:25 PM Estimating the Generation Time and Relative Infectiousness from Contact Tracing Data
Hiroshi Nishiura, Kyoto University School of Public Health
12:45 PM Estimation of Incubation Time and Latency Time Distribution of SARS-CoV-2 Presentation
Ronald Geskus, Oxford University Clinical Research Unit
1:05 PM Estimation in the singly and doubly interval censored model Presentation
Piet Groeneboom, Delft University
1:25 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

374 * !
Thu, 8/12/2021, 12:00 PM - 1:50 PM Virtual
Statistical Approaches for Evidence Integration and Considerations to Communication in Product Labeling — Topic-Contributed Papers
Biopharmaceutical Section, Health Policy Statistics Section, Biometrics Section
Organizer(s): Jennifer Clark, FDA
Chair(s): Ross Bray, Eli Lilly and Company
12:05 PM Unified Framework of Meta-Analysis, Composite Likelihoods, and Bayesian Methods for Evidence Integration in Pediatric Extrapolation Development Archetypes
Margaret Gamalo-Siebers, Pfizer Inc.; Junjing Lin, Takeda Pharmaceuticals
12:25 PM Using Robust Bayesian Priors to Borrow Information from Historical Adult Trials for a Clinical Trial in Pediatric Multiple Sclerosis
Marius Thomas, Novartis; David Ohlssen, Novartis; Heinz Schmidli, Novartis; Dieter Haering, Novartis
12:45 PM Extrapolating Adult Efficacy Data to Pediatric Populations via Bayesian Hierarchical Models
Benjamin R Saville, Berry Consultants; Kert Viele, Berry Consultants
1:05 PM Partial Extrapolating of Efficacy from Adult to Pediatrics: A Case Study in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus
Juan Jose Abellan, GSK
1:25 PM Discussant: James Travis, FDA
1:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

378 *
Thu, 8/12/2021, 12:00 PM - 1:50 PM Virtual
Study Design and Statistical Challenges for AI/ML Based Medical Tests — Topic-Contributed Papers
Section on Medical Devices and Diagnostics, Biopharmaceutical Section
Organizer(s): Rajesh R Nair, CDRH/FDA
Chair(s): Sung Hee Kim, CDRH/FDA
12:05 PM Statistical Challenges in the Design and Validation of Medical Deep Learning Models
Andrew Beam, Harvard
12:25 PM Validation of a Breakthrough AI-Guided Echocardiography System: Overcoming Challenges in Testing AI-Based Medical Device
Ha Hong, Caption Health, Inc.; Samuel Surette, Caption Health, Inc.; Yngvil Thomas, Caption Health, Inc.; Charles Cadieu, Caption Health, Inc.; Ali Chaudhry, Caption Health, Inc.; Randolph Martin, Caption Health, Inc.
12:45 PM AI/ML Application and Challenges in Medical Diagnostic Tests
Bipasa Biswas, FDA
1:05 PM DADP: Dynamic Abnormality Detection and Progression for Longitudinal Knee Magnetic Resonance Images from the Osteoarthritis Initiative
Chao Huang, Florida State University
1:25 PM Statistical Consideration in Demonstrating Standalone Performance for AI/ML-Based Computer-Aided Detection Devices 
Jessie Moon, FDA
1:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

385
Thu, 8/12/2021, 12:00 PM - 1:50 PM Virtual
Biomarkers, Endpoint Validation and Other Topics — Contributed Speed
Biopharmaceutical Section
Chair(s): Susan Wang, Boehringer Ingelheim
12:05 PM Statistical Design and Methodology for Validating a Multiplex Electrochemiluminescent Assay Detecting Multiple Endpoints in Human Sera Samples
Mohammad Lutfur Rahman, Sanofi Pasteur; Lingyi Zheng, Sanofi Pasteur
12:10 PM Validating Surrogate Endpoints with Longitudinal Outcomes
Emily Roberts, University of Michigan; Michael R. Elliott, University of Michigan; Jeremy M.G. Taylor, University of Michigan
12:15 PM A Generalized Linear Mixed Model Framework for Calculating Inter-Rater Reliability
Jonathan D Mahnken, The University of Kansas Medical Center; Katelyn A McKenzie, The University of Kansas Medical Center
12:20 PM On Appropriate Use of Fold Change in Immunogenicity Studies
Ting Zeng, University of Kentucky; Kerry W Go, Sanofi Pasteur; Anthony Homer, Medtronic
12:25 PM Digital Endpoints and Digital Therapeutics in RCTs, PCTs, and RWE
Kelly H. Zou, Viatris
12:30 PM Using Statistical Methods to Modify and Repurpose the Composite Assessment of Index Lesion Severity Scoring System in Cutaneous Lichen Planus
Nan Zhang, Mayo Clinic; Caitlin Brumfiel, Mayo Clinic; Meera Patel, Mayo Clinic; Amylou Dueck, Mayo Clinic; Mark Pittelkow, Mayo Clinic; Aaron Mangold, Mayo Clinic
12:35 PM A Simulation-Based Evaluation of Statistical Methods for Hybrid Real-World Control Arms in Clinical Trials
Mingyang Shan, Eli Lilly and Company; Douglas Faries, Eli Lilly and Company; Andy Dang, Eli Lilly and Company; Zhanglin Cui, Eli Lilly and Company; Xiang Zhang, CSL Behring; Kristin Sheffield, Eli Lilly and Company
12:40 PM Standardized mortality ratio-weighted power prior approach for covariate-adjusted borrowing of historical control data
Ryo Sawamoto, The University of Tokyo; Yutaka Matsuyama, The University of Tokyo
12:45 PM Statistical Design and Data Analysis for the Effect of the Multiple Doses of a Treatment on Renal Functions Using a Pharmacodynamic Biomarker
Meiyu Shen, Office of Biostatistics CDER, FDA; Kimberly Smith, FDA
12:50 PM Integrated Propensity Score-Power Prior Approach for Augmenting the Control Arm of a Randomized Controlled Trial
Yeonil Kim, Merck & Co., Inc.; Erina Paul, Merck & Co., Inc.; Santosh Sutradhar, Merck & Co., Inc.
1:00 PM P-Value Distribution with Historical Data Borrowing
Jasmine Zhang, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign
1:05 PM Up-Front Matching: An Ongoing Recruitment Method for Prospective Observational Studies That Mimics Randomization for Selected Baseline Covariates
Ibrahim Turkoz, Janssen Research and Development, LLC; William H Olson, WHO Statistical Consulting, LLC
1:10 PM Optimal Dose Finding Using Bayesian Utility with Toxicity and Efficacy Endpoints
Haolun Shi, Simon Fraser University; Ruitao Lin, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center; Ying Yuan, Department of Biostatistics, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center; Jiguo Cao, Simon Fraser University
1:15 PM Flexible Use of Copula-Type Model for Dose-Finding in Drug Combination Clinical Trials
Koichi Hashizume, Graduate School of Engineering, Tokyo University of Science; Jun Tsuchida, Doshisha University; Takashi Sozu, Faculty of Engineering, Tokyo University of Science
1:20 PM Using a Piecewise Model to Account for Treatment Gaps When Evaluating Continuous Outcomes
Xiaolei Zhou, RTI Health Solutions
1:25 PM Impact of Informative Follow-Up Visits on Longitudinal Real-World Data and Evidence Studies of Comparative Effectiveness: An Application in Multiple Sclerosis
Paramita Saha Chaudhuri, University of Vermont; Gabrielle Simoneau, Biogen; Shirley Liao, Biogen; Changyu Shen, Biogen; Fabio Pellegrini, Biogen; Carl de Moor, Biogen
1:30 PM Statistical Consideration of Extrapolation of Adult Efficacy Data to Pediatric Population
Cassie Dong, Takeda; Yulia Sidi, Takeda
1:35 PM Practical Guidance for Successful BLA Submissions from a Statistician’s Perspective
tulin shekar, Merck
 
 

390 * !
Thu, 8/12/2021, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM Virtual
Scalable Bayes for Large Multi-Omics Data Integration and Inference — Invited Papers
Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section
Organizer(s): Himel Mallick, Merck Research Laboratories
Chair(s): Richard Baumgartner, Merck Research Laboratories
2:05 PM Bayesian Integrative Approaches to Enable Precision Medicine
Veerabhadran Baladandayuthapani, University of Michigan
2:30 PM Models for Microbial Community Multi-Omics
Curtis Huttenhower, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health
2:55 PM Integrating Gene Networks and Multi-Omics Data to Understand Genetic Mechanisms of Human Complex Diseases
Bingshan Li, Vanderbilt University
3:20 PM Scalable Bayesian Inference of Networks and Covariate Effects
Christine B. Peterson, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

394 * !
Thu, 8/12/2021, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM Virtual
Population Diversity Considerations in Clinical Trials — Invited Papers
Health Policy Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section, Caucus for Women in Statistics
Organizer(s): Freda Cooner, Amgen
Chair(s): Freda Cooner, Amgen
2:05 PM Digitizing Clinical Trials to Enhance Diversity
Demissie Alemayehu, Pfizer; Kannan Natarajan, Pfizer Inc.; Satrajit Roychoudhury, Pfizer Inc.
2:25 PM Diversity and Inclusion in Clinical Trials
Rajaa Nahra, AstraZeneca; Claudia Cabrera, AstraZeneca
2:45 PM Enrollment Disparities by Demographic Subgroups in Oncology Clinical Trials Submitted to the US FDA
Laura Fernandes, FDA
3:05 PM Leveraging Real-World Evidence to Increase Diversity of Populations in Clinical Trials
Cody Chiuzan, Columbia University
3:25 PM Discussant: Ruthanna Davi, Medidata Solutions
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

406 !
Thu, 8/12/2021, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM Virtual
Novel Approaches for Handling Complex Data in Treatment Diagnosis and Evaluation — Topic-Contributed Papers
Biometrics Section, Mental Health Statistics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section
Organizer(s): Thaddeus Tarpey, NYU
Chair(s): Hyung Park, NYU
2:05 PM An Imputation Approach for Estimating Confidence in Personalized Treatment Decisions
Nina Orwitz, NYU Grossman School of Medicine; Eva Petkova, New York University School of Medicine; Thaddeus Tarpey, NYU
2:25 PM Prospective Individual Patient Data Meta-Analysis: Evaluating Convalescent Plasma for COVID-19
Danni Wu, NYU Grossman School of Medicine; Eva Petkova, New York University School of Medicine; Keith Goldfeld, NYU Grossman School of Medicine; Thaddeus Tarpey, NYU
2:45 PM Extracting Scalar Measures from Functional Data with Missingness
Lanqiu Yao, New York University; Thaddeus Tarpey, NYU
3:05 PM Optimal Linear Transformations of Functional Data for Clustering Methods
Hanchao Zhang, New York University Grossman School of Medicine
3:25 PM Discussant: Thaddeus Tarpey, NYU
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

407 *
Thu, 8/12/2021, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM Virtual
Toward a Regulatory Guidance for the Use of Bayesian Methods in Nonclinical CMC Statistics — Topic-Contributed Papers
Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biopharmaceutical Section, Quality and Productivity Section
Organizer(s): Paul Faya, Eli Lilly and Compnay
Chair(s): Paul Faya, Eli Lilly and Compnay
2:05 PM Toward a Regulatory Guidance for Bayesian Statistics in CMC Studies
Dave LeBlond, Consultant
2:25 PM Gaussian Process Modeling for Dissolution Curve Comparisons
Tony Pourmohamad, Genentech, Inc.; Cristian Oliva Aviles, Genentech, Inc.; Robert Richardson, Brigham Young University
2:45 PM Informative Priors for Formal Stability Studies
Percy Sondag, Merck Center for Mathematical Sciences
3:05 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

409 * !
Thu, 8/12/2021, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM Virtual
Estimands in Oncology: Papers from an Industry Working Group — Topic-Contributed Papers
Biopharmaceutical Section, Lifetime Data Science Section, Biometrics Section, Caucus for Women in Statistics
Organizer(s): Jonathan Siegel, Bayer US
Chair(s): Jonathan Siegel, Bayer US
2:05 PM Utilizing Surrogate Endpoints in Adaptive Designs with Delayed Treatment Effect
Jianchang Lin, Takeda Pharmaceuticals; Qing Li, Takeda Pharmaceuticals; Mengya Liu, Takeda Pharmaceuticals; Liwen Wu, University of Pittsburgh
2:25 PM Use of Estimand Framework in Hematology Oncology Trials: Practical Implementation Presentation
Steven C Sun, Janssen; Satrajit Roychoudhury, Pfizer Inc.
2:45 PM Logic-Respecting Efficacy Measures in the Presence of Prognostic or Predictive Biomarker Subgroups
Yi Liu, Nektar Therapeutic
3:05 PM Treatment Switching and Estimands for Overall Survival in Oncology Clinical Trials: Issues and Controversies
Natalia Kan-Dobrosky, PPD Inc
3:25 PM Discussant: Satrajit Roychoudhury, Pfizer Inc.
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

412
Thu, 8/12/2021, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM Virtual
The People, Project, and Particulars of Joining Biopharma as a Biostatistician — Topic-Contributed Panel
Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, Section on Teaching of Statistics in the Health Sciences
Organizer(s): Glen Laird, Vertex Pharmaceuticals
Chair(s): Glen Laird, Vertex Pharmaceuticals
2:05 PM The People, Projects, and Particulars of Joining Biopharma as a Biostatistician
Panelists: Bo Yang, Vertex Pharmaceuticals
Prabhu Bhagavatheeswaran, Daichi Sankyo
Darcy Hille, Merck
Ina Jazic, Vertex Pharmaceuticals
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

421 * !
Thu, 8/12/2021, 4:00 PM - 5:50 PM Virtual
Statistical Challenges Linked to Estimands of Interest: Leaving No Stone Unturned — Invited Papers
Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR, Biometrics Section
Organizer(s): Pilar Lim, Janssen Research & Development, LLC; Elena Polverejan, Janssen Research & Development, LLC
Chair(s): Elena Polverejan, Janssen Research & Development, LLC
4:05 PM The Only Missing Data Left in Town? Study Withdrawals and the Treatment Policy Approach
Siying Sylvia Li, IQVIA; Michael O'Kelly, IQVIA
4:30 PM The Role of Hypothetical Estimand Strategies in Clinical Trials
Frank Bretz, Novartis AG; Mouna Akacha, Novartis
4:55 PM Does This Treatment Cause That Outcome?
Stephen J Ruberg, Analytix Thinking, LLC
5:20 PM Discussant: H. M. James Hung, U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA)
5:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

441
Thu, 8/12/2021, 4:00 PM - 5:50 PM Virtual
Bayesian (and Other) Clinical Trials Designs — Contributed Speed
Biopharmaceutical Section
Chair(s): Madan G Kundu, Daiichi Sankyo, Inc.
4:05 PM Statistical Properties of Phase 3 Randomized 3-Arm Umbrella Trials
Yixin Ren, Merck & Co., Inc.; Xiaoyun (Nicole) Li, Merck & Co.; Cong Chen, Merck & Co., Inc.
4:10 PM Operational Characteristics of Generalized Pairwise Comparisons for Hierarchically Ordered Endpoints
Vaiva Deltuvaite-Thomas, IDDI; Tomasz Burzykowski, IDDI
4:15 PM R Package Development for Evaluating Misclassification Effects on Single Sequential Treatment and Dynamic Treatment Regimens in Sequential Multiple Assignment Randomized Trial
Jun He, The Mayo Clinic; Jason Sinnwell, The Mayo Clinic; Abraham D. Eyman Casey, The Mayo Clinic; Donna K McClish, Virginia Commonwealth University; Roy T Sabo, Virginia Commonwealth University
4:20 PM WITHDRAWN: Data-Driven Design of Targeted Gene Panels for Estimating Immunotherapy Biomarkers
Jacob Richard Bradley, University of Edinburgh; Timothy Cannings, University of Edinburgh
4:25 PM A Review of Dynamic Bayesian Borrowing of Individual Patient Data (IPD) in Survival Analysis
Mohamad Hasan, Johnson & Johnson
4:30 PM Bayesian Design of Superiority Trials: Methods and Applications
Wenlin Yuan, University of Connecticut; Ming-Hui Chen, UCONN; John Zhong, REGENXBIO Inc.
4:35 PM Bayesian Logistic Regression with Covariates in Oncology Dose Escalation
Arnab Kumar Maity, Pfizer; MARZIEH GOLMAKANI, PFIZER; LADA ALEKSANDROVNA MARKOVTSOVA, PFIZER
4:40 PM Bayesian Multi-Regional Clinical Trials Using Model Averaging
Nathan Bean, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Joseph G Ibrahim, UNC; Matthew Psioda, UNC Chapel Hill
4:45 PM WITHDRAWN: Dynamic Borrowing Design for Randomized Study with Time-to-Event Endpoint
Zangdong He, GlaxoSmithKline; Wei Guo, GlaxoSmithKline (former employee); Ilker Yalcin, Adagio Therapeutics
4:50 PM Could Simulation Enrich Power Analysis and Sample Size Justification? A Case of Survival Analysis for Illustration
Dung-Tsa Chen, Moffitt Cancer Center
5:00 PM Dampening Placebo Effect with Enriched Run-In Design in Randomized Clinical Trials
Ping Xu, Merck & Co.; qing li, Merck & co., Inc.; Richard Entsuah, Merck & Co.
5:05 PM Replicate Testing Strategies in Vaccine Efficacy Trials Can Prevent No-Go Decisions for Beneficial Vaccines
Radha A Railkar, Biostatistics and Research Decision Sciences, Merck & Co., Inc.; Jeffrey Sachs, Merck & Co.; Daniel Rosenbloom, Merck & Co.
5:10 PM Facilitating go/no-go decision in early phase study with Average Distance to Decision threshold (ADD) Presentation
Danni Yu, Nektar Therapeutics
5:15 PM An Updated Pick-the-Winner Design Allowing a Flexible Allocation Ratio at Stage Two
Bing Liu, University of Kansas, Medical Center; Jianghua He, University of Kansas Medical Center
5:20 PM Pediatric Trial with Partial Extrapolation
Madhuja Mallick, Abbvie
5:25 PM Multi-Arm, Multi-Stage Clinical Trials for Time-to-Event Outcomes
Vaidehi Ulhas Dixit, North Carolina State University; Priyam Mitra, Bristol Myers Squibb; Katy Simonsen, Bristol Myers Squibb
5:30 PM Have the Stories Changed? Clinical Trial Data Analysis During a Pandemic
Nicole C Close, EmpiriStat, Inc.
5:35 PM Adjustment of Alpha for Final Analysis per Actual Number of Events in Event-Driven Clinical Trials Using Group Sequential Testing Procedure
Li Wei, Bristol Myers Squibb; Stephen Lane, Bristol Myers Squibb
5:40 PM Treatment Response vs. Treatment Effect
Lev S Sverdlov, Redmond Analytics LLC