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CC = Baltimore Convention Center,    H = Hilton Baltimore
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Activity Details


42 		Sun, 7/30/2017, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-348
A Cornecopia of Statistics — Contributed Papers
General Methodology , Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security , ENAR , WNAR , Section on Teaching of Statistics in the Health Sciences , Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences , Biometrics Section
Chair(s): Minge Xie, Rutgers University
2:05 PM Time Series Disaggregation for Simulation of Spare Parts Inventory Management — Thomas Willemain, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute ; Adam George Petrie, University of Tennessee
2:20 PM Variance Estimation for the Sample Mean of Dependent Data Stream — Lei Jin, Texas A&M University -Corpus Christi
2:35 PM Clustering Adult Cystic Fibrosis and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Patients Based on Lung Function Dynamics — Barbara Bailey, San Diego State University
2:50 PM Computation of Ancestry Scores with Mixed Families and Unrelated Individuals — Fred Wright, North Carolina State University ; Yi-Hui Zhou, North Carolina State University ; J. S. (Steve) Marron, University of North Carolina
3:05 PM Very High Energy Particle-Beam and Gamma Radiation Exposure and Familial Relatedness in Mice — Mark P Little, National Cancer Institute ; Pavel Chernyavskiy, National Cancer Institute ; Elijah Edmondson, Frederick National Laboratory for Cancer Research ; Michael Weil, Colorado State University
3:35 PM Estimation of the Variance of Nonparametric Trend Estimates from Time Series Replicates Using the Empirical Moment Generating Function — Sucharita Ghosh, Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL
 
 

214806 		Mon, 7/31/2017, 7:00 AM - 8:30 AM Offsite
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security Business Meeting — Other Cmte/Business
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
Chair(s): Laura Freeman, IDA
 
 

134 ! 		Mon, 7/31/2017, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-344
Edward Wegman: Contributions to Our Nation and Profession — Invited Papers
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
Organizer(s): Wendy Martinez, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Chair(s): Jane Pinelis, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab
10:35 AM Ed Wegman - Contributions to Visualization and Exploratory Data Analysis — Wendy Martinez, Bureau of Labor Statistics
11:00 AM From Text to Packet Headers: Ed's Contributions to Computer Security — David Marchette, Naval Surface Warfare Center
11:25 AM Ed Wegman: Contributions in Statistical Text Processing — Elizabeth Leeds Hohman, MITRE
11:50 AM Discussant: Barry Bodt
12:10 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

141 * ! 		Mon, 7/31/2017, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-342
Statistical Analysis of Cyber-Security Data — Invited Papers
Royal Statistical Society , Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security , Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science
Organizer(s): Marina Evangelou, Imperial College London
Chair(s): Niall Adams, Imperial College
10:35 AM Big Network Modeling and Anomaly Detection for Cyber-Security Applications — Patrick Rubin-Delanchy, University of Oxford
11:00 AM Adaptive Threshold Selection for Trust-Based Intrusion Detection Systems — Younghun Chae, University of Rhode Island ; Natallia V Katenka, University of Rhode Island ; Lisa DiPippo, University of Rhode Island
11:25 AM Modeling Computer Network Data Using Markov Modulated Poisson Processes — Mark Briers, Alan Turing Institute
11:50 AM Modelling User Behavior using Endpoint Host Data — Melissa Turcotte, Los Alamos National Laboratory
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

162 		Mon, 7/31/2017, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-326
SPEED: Government Statistics, Health Policy, and Marketing — Contributed Speed
Government Statistics Section , Health Policy Statistics Section , Section on Statistics in Marketing , Section on Bayesian Statistical Science , Social Statistics Section , Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
Chair(s): Cynthia Rush, Columbia University
10:35 AM Using Interrupted Time Series to Examine the Validity of the Surveillance Definition of Catheter-Associated Urinary Tract Infection in U.S. Hospitals — Minn Soe, Surveillance Branch, DHQP, NCEZID, CDC
10:40 AM Comparisons of Calibration Methods for the RECS Engineering End-Use Estimates — Shaofen Grace Deng, U.S. Energy Information Administration ; Greg Lawson , U.S. Energy Information Administration ; Chrishelle Lawrence, U.S. Energy Information Administration
10:45 AM Demonstrating the Usefulness of the National Hospital Care Survey to Track Patients Who Used Outpatient Department and Other Hospital Services Over Time — Geoffrey Jackson, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC ; Margaret Hall, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC ; Alexander Schwartzman, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC
10:50 AM Imputing Water Consumption in Large Commercial Buildings in the 2012 CBECS — Jay Olsen, EIA Dept of Energy
10:55 AM Methodologies for Clinical Trials Using Historical Control — Yeh-Fong Chen, US Food and Drug Administration
11:00 AM Forced Migration: Visualizing Patterns of Refugee Movements — Jacquelyn Neal, Vanderbilt University ; Hannah E Weeks, Vanderbilt University
11:05 AM Raking Weighting Methodology: Reweight Combined Multiple Years of Child Data, the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) Asthma Call-Back Survey — Xiaoting Qin, Center for Disease Control Prevention ; Hatice S Zahran, Center for Disease Control Prevention ; Cathy M Bailey, Center for Disease Control Prevention
11:10 AM Beneath the Veneer of Healthcare Quality Measurement: Sample Size Estimation — Adeline Wilcox, Retired
11:20 AM Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Disability Among Medicare Beneficiaries in Rural Communities: ACS 2012-2015 — Loida Tamayo, CMS Office of Minortiy Health ; Shondelle Wilson-Frederick, CMS Office of Minority Health ; Elsa Haile, CMS Office of Minority Health ; Cara James, CMS Office of Minority Health
11:25 AM Child Abuse on Trial: a Statistical Analysis of Shaken Baby Syndrome — Maria Cuellar, Carnegie Mellon University
11:30 AM A Terminal Trend Model for Longitudinal Medical Cost Data and Survival — Qian Yang, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Lebanon, New Hampshire ; Tor D. Tosteson, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Lebanon, New Hampshire ; Anna N. A. Tosteson, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Lebanon, New Hampshire ; Jeffrey C. Munson, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Lebanon, New Hampshire ; Zhigang Li, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Lebanon, New Hampshire
11:35 AM Quantifying the Value of Research: Identifying and Measuring Treatment Effect Modifiers — Katherine Lofgren, Harvard University ; Daniel Kramer, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center ; Joshua Salomon, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health ; Laura Anne Hatfield, Harvard Medical School
11:40 AM A Case Study in Adaptive LASSO Logistic Regression: Factors Related to Cyclist Death When Drivers Are Distracted — Lysbeth Floden, University of Arizona ; Patrick Anthony O'Connor, University of Arizona ; Melanie Bell, University of Arizona
11:45 AM Biomarker-Based Cross-Sectional Incidence Estimation with Incomplete Data — Douglas Ezra Morrison, UCLA ; Ron Brookmeyer, UCLA ; Oliver Laeyendecker, Johns Hopkins University ; Jacob Konikoff
11:50 AM An Integrated Analysis and Reporting System for Data Science Teams — Iyue Sung, Press Ganey ; David Klotz, Press Ganey ; Jacob Cheng, Press Ganey ; Wei-Han Chen, Press Ganey ; Nikolas Matthes, Press Ganey ; Peggy Miller, Press Ganey
11:55 AM A Community and Node Attribute-Corrected Stochastic Blockmodel — Kristen M. Altenburger, Stanford University ; W. Philip Kegelmeyer, Sandia National Laboratories ; Ali Pinar, Sandia National Laboratories ; Jeremy D. Wendt, Sandia National Laboratorie ; Cliff Anderson-Bergman, Sandia National Laboratories
12:00 PM Analysis of the Australian Election Study Using Bayesian Quantile Regression Models — Charles Au, University of Sydney ; S. T. Boris Choy, University of Sydney
12:05 PM AARP 2016 Master Model Building and Validation — Renting Xu, AARP ; Jared Weiss, AARP, Inc ; Paul Maiste, Lityx,LLC ; Jerrod Begora, Lityx,LLC ; Roger Marcus, Lityx,LLC
12:10 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

241 * 		Mon, 7/31/2017, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-348
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security CPapers 1 — Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
Chair(s): Jane Pinelis, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab
2:05 PM Modeling and Estimation for Self-Exciting Models of Terrorist Activity — Nicholas Clark ; Philip M Dixon, Iowa State University
2:20 PM Prediction Uncertainty for Autocorrelated Lognormal Data with Random Effects — Matthew Avery
2:35 PM Bayesian Analysis of Explosive Safety Scenarios — David Collins ; Eric M. Heatwole, Los Alamos National Laboratory
2:50 PM Users Are Part of the System: How to Account for Human Factors When Designing Operational Tests for Software Systems — Kelly McGinnity, Institute for Defense Analyses ; Heather Wojton, Institute for Defense Analyses
3:05 PM Did We Commit a Type III Error?: Understanding the Hypothesis Test in Relation to the Experimental Objective — Rebecca Dickinson, IDA ; Tom Johnson, IDA
3:20 PM Interval Confidence Distributions for Tracking the North Korean 'Regression' — Robert Shumway, Univ Of California
3:35 PM Cooperative Search Strategies for Pursuing Adversarial Evaders — Nicholas Meyer, North Carolina State University ; Eric Laber, North Carolina State University ; Robert Brigantic, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory ; Nick Kapur, North Carolina State University ; Alyson Wilson, North Carolina State University ; Casey Perkins, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory ; Samrat Chatterjee, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
 
 

253 		Mon, 7/31/2017, 3:05 PM - 3:50 PM CC-Halls A&B
SPEED: Government Statistics, Health Policy, and Marketing — Contributed Poster Presentations
Government Statistics Section , Health Policy Statistics Section , Section on Statistics in Marketing , Section on Bayesian Statistical Science , Social Statistics Section , Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
Chair(s): Jessi Cisewski, Yale University
15: Using Interrupted Time Series to Examine the Validity of the Surveillance Definition of Catheter-Associated Urinary Tract Infection in U.S. Hospitals — Minn Soe, Surveillance Branch, DHQP, NCEZID, CDC
16: Comparisons of Calibration Methods for the RECS Engineering End-Use Estimates — Shaofen Grace Deng, U.S. Energy Information Administration ; Greg Lawson , U.S. Energy Information Administration ; Chrishelle Lawrence, U.S. Energy Information Administration
17: Demonstrating the Usefulness of the National Hospital Care Survey to Track Patients Who Used Outpatient Department and Other Hospital Services Over Time — Geoffrey Jackson, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC ; Margaret Hall, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC ; Alexander Schwartzman, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC
18: Imputing Water Consumption in Large Commercial Buildings in the 2012 CBECS — Jay Olsen, EIA Dept of Energy
19: Methodologies for Clinical Trials Using Historical Control — Yeh-Fong Chen, US Food and Drug Administration
20: Forced Migration: Visualizing Patterns of Refugee Movements — Jacquelyn Neal, Vanderbilt University ; Hannah E Weeks, Vanderbilt University
21: Raking Weighting Methodology: Reweight Combined Multiple Years of Child Data, the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) Asthma Call-Back Survey — Xiaoting Qin, Center for Disease Control Prevention ; Hatice S Zahran, Center for Disease Control Prevention ; Cathy M Bailey, Center for Disease Control Prevention
22: Beneath the Veneer of Healthcare Quality Measurement: Sample Size Estimation — Adeline Wilcox, Retired
23: Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Disability Among Medicare Beneficiaries in Rural Communities: ACS 2012-2015 — Loida Tamayo, CMS Office of Minortiy Health ; Shondelle Wilson-Frederick, CMS Office of Minority Health ; Elsa Haile, CMS Office of Minority Health ; Cara James, CMS Office of Minority Health
24: Child Abuse on Trial: a Statistical Analysis of Shaken Baby Syndrome — Maria Cuellar, Carnegie Mellon University
25: A Terminal Trend Model for Longitudinal Medical Cost Data and Survival — Qian Yang, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Lebanon, New Hampshire ; Tor D. Tosteson, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Lebanon, New Hampshire ; Anna N. A. Tosteson, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Lebanon, New Hampshire ; Jeffrey C. Munson, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Lebanon, New Hampshire ; Zhigang Li, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Lebanon, New Hampshire
26: Quantifying the Value of Research: Identifying and Measuring Treatment Effect Modifiers — Katherine Lofgren, Harvard University ; Daniel Kramer, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center ; Joshua Salomon, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health ; Laura Anne Hatfield, Harvard Medical School
27: A Case Study in Adaptive LASSO Logistic Regression: Factors Related to Cyclist Death When Drivers Are Distracted — Lysbeth Floden, University of Arizona ; Patrick Anthony O'Connor, University of Arizona ; Melanie Bell, University of Arizona
28: Biomarker-Based Cross-Sectional Incidence Estimation with Incomplete Data — Douglas Ezra Morrison, UCLA ; Ron Brookmeyer, UCLA ; Oliver Laeyendecker, Johns Hopkins University ; Jacob Konikoff
29: An Integrated Analysis and Reporting System for Data Science Teams — Iyue Sung, Press Ganey ; David Klotz, Press Ganey ; Jacob Cheng, Press Ganey ; Wei-Han Chen, Press Ganey ; Nikolas Matthes, Press Ganey ; Peggy Miller, Press Ganey
30: A Community and Node Attribute-Corrected Stochastic Blockmodel — Kristen M. Altenburger, Stanford University ; W. Philip Kegelmeyer, Sandia National Laboratories ; Ali Pinar, Sandia National Laboratories ; Jeremy D. Wendt, Sandia National Laboratorie ; Cliff Anderson-Bergman, Sandia National Laboratories
31: Analysis of the Australian Election Study Using Bayesian Quantile Regression Models — Charles Au, University of Sydney ; S. T. Boris Choy, University of Sydney
32: AARP 2016 Master Model Building and Validation — Renting Xu, AARP ; Jared Weiss, AARP, Inc ; Paul Maiste, Lityx,LLC ; Jerrod Begora, Lityx,LLC ; Roger Marcus, Lityx,LLC
The Speed portion will take place during Session 214530
 
 

Register 261 		Tue, 8/1/2017, 7:00 AM - 8:15 AM CC-Ballroom II
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security A.M. Roundtable Discussion (Added Fee) — Roundtables AM Roundtable Discussion
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
Organizer(s): Robert Gramacy, Virginia Tech Department of Statistics
TL06: Advances and Challenges in Disease Surveillance — Ronald Fricker, Virginia Tech
 
 

276 * ! 		Tue, 8/1/2017, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-303
The Role of Statistics and Social Media in Combating Terrorism — Invited Papers
Section on Risk Analysis , Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security , Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Iliyan R. Iliev, University of Southern Mississippi
Chair(s): Yulia R. Gel, University of Texas at Dallas
8:35 AM The Deadliness of Twitter Followers: Evidence from Terrorist Groups — Bo Jiang, University of Maryland
9:00 AM Using Ego Network Analysis to Analyze ISIL Social Media — Rob Schroeder, Naval Postgraduate School
9:25 AM Dynamic Models of Leaders and Factional Networks in Social Media — Iliyan R. Iliev, University of Southern Mississippi
9:50 AM Statistical Modeling of Crowdsourced Content for the Prediction of Crime — Matthew Gerber, University of Virginia
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

214730 		Tue, 8/1/2017, 6:30 PM - 8:30 PM H-Key Ballroom 7
Joint Section Mixer - SPES, Q&P, Statistical Consulting, Statistics in Defense and National Security — Other Cmte/Business
Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences , Quality and Productivity Section , Section on Statistical Consulting , Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
Chair(s): Laura Freeman, IDA, Charles Kincaid, Experis, Ming Li, Amazon and TAMU - Commerce, James Wendelberger, Los Alamos National Laboratory and University of New Mexico
 
 

439 * ! 		Wed, 8/2/2017, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-329
Scan Statistics in Networks and Graphs — Invited Papers
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security , Section on Statistics in Epidemiology , Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences
Organizer(s): Joseph Naus, Rutgers University
Chair(s): Joseph Naus, Rutgers University
8:35 AM Network Matched Filters — Vince Lyzinski, Johns Hopkins University ; Sussman L Daniel, Boston University ; Carey E Priebe, Johns Hopkins University
9:00 AM Efficient Pattern Detection in Web-Scale Graphs by Subcore-Tree Decomposition and Subset Scanning — Daniel Bertrand Neill, Carnegie Mellon University ; Chunpai Wang, University at Albany ; Feng Chen, University at Albany ; Daniel Hono, University at Albany
9:25 AM Detecting Cut Constrained Patterns in Networks — James Sharpnack, UC Davis Statistics
9:50 AM Discussant: Nancy Ruonan Zhang, Wharton School , University of Pennsylvania
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

Register 544 		Wed, 8/2/2017, 12:30 PM - 1:50 PM CC-Ballroom II
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security P.M. Roundtable Discussion (Added Fee) — Roundtables PM Roundtable Discussion
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
Organizer(s): Robert Gramacy, Virginia Tech Department of Statistics
WL24: Statistical Design and Analysis in DoD Test and Evaluation — Laura Freeman, IDA
 
 

572 * ! 		Wed, 8/2/2017, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-338
Statistics in National Security Policy — Topic Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
Organizer(s): Jane Pinelis, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab
Chair(s): Alyson Wilson, North Carolina State University
2:05 PM Does the Nuclear Balance Matter? — Jane Pinelis, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab ; James Scouras, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory
2:25 PM Measuring the Relationship Between Navy Recruiting Difficulty and Civilian Economic Conditions — Jared Huff, The CNA Corporation
2:45 PM Estimating the Impact of Budget Cuts on Operational Readiness Using Logistic Regression — Maryann Shane
3:05 PM Implementing a Policy of Statistical Rigor in Defense Testing — Laura Freeman, IDA
3:25 PM Variable Selection for the Dynamic Logistic Regression Model — Jordan Bakerman, North Carolina State University ; Karl Pazdernik, North Carolina State University ; Alyson Wilson, North Carolina State University
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

214808 		Wed, 8/2/2017, 6:30 PM - 8:00 PM Offsite
SDNS Distinguished Achievement Awards Banquet — Other Cmte/Business
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
Chair(s): Laura Freeman, IDA
 
 

596 * ! 		Thu, 8/3/2017, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-315
Novel Statistical Approaches to Essential Cybersecurity Problems — Invited Papers
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security , Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science , Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Natallia V Katenka, University of Rhode Island
Chair(s): Gavino Puggioni, University of Rhode Island
8:35 AM Statistical Anomaly Detection Framework for Cyber-Security — Marina Evangelou, Imperial College London ; Niall Adams, Imperial College
9:05 AM Discussant: Natallia V Katenka, University of Rhode Island
9:35 AM Discussant: Andrey Lokhov, Theoretical Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory
10:05 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

633 * ! 		Thu, 8/3/2017, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-331/332
Analysis of Complex Random Networks on the Guard of National Security — Invited Papers
SSC , Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security , Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science
Organizer(s): Yulia R. Gel, University of Texas at Dallas, Vyacheslav Lyubchich, University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science
Chair(s): Vyacheslav Lyubchich, University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science
10:35 AM Dynamic Text Networks: An Application to Political Blogs — David Banks, Duke University
11:05 AM Inference and Analysis on Social Networks from Newswire Content — William Campbell, MIT Lincoln Laboratory ; Lin Li, MIT Lincoln Laboratory ; Joel Acevedo-Aviles, MIT Lincoln Laboratory
11:35 AM Supervised Community Detection in Dark Networks — Yulia R. Gel, University of Texas at Dallas ; Yahui Tian, University of Texas at Dallas
12:05 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

647 * ! 		Thu, 8/3/2017, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-313
Ernest Seglie's Many Contributions to the Use of Statistics in Operational Tests — Topic Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
Organizer(s): Michael Lee Cohen, Committee on National Statistics
Chair(s): Laura Freeman, IDA
10:35 AM Ernest Seglie's Many Contributions to the Use of Statistics in Operational Test — Michael Lee Cohen, Committee on National Statistics
10:55 AM Dr. Ernest Seglie's Career at DoD — Nancy Spruill, US Office of the Secretary of Defense
11:15 AM Ernest Seglie's Statistical Contributions to DOD TandE — Arthur Fries, IDA
11:35 AM Recent Changes in DOTandE Resulting from Work Initiated by Ernest Seglie — Catherine Warner, Director, Operational Test & Evaluation ; David Duma, DOT&E
11:55 AM Ernest Seglie's Contributions to DOTandE Policy — Thomas Philip Christie
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 
 
 
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