Legend: 
    CC  =  Vancouver Convention Centre   
F  = Fairmont Waterfront Vancouver
		
		* = applied session       ! = JSM meeting theme
	
 
Activity Details 
    
        
                    
                        
            27 
             
         
        
             Sun, 7/29/2018,
                2:00 PM -
                3:50 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 213 
         
     
    
        
            SPEED: Survival Analysis — Contributed Speed 
         
     
    
        
            Biometrics Section , Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Risk Analysis 
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Xiaoxuan  Cai, Yale University 
         
     
    
            
                
                     Poster Presentations
  for this session. 
                  
             
        
                    
                        
                            2:05 PM 
                         
                        
                            Regression Calibration to Address Error Prone Time-To-Event Outcomes 
                            
                            Eric  Oh, University of Pennsylvania ; Pamela A Shaw, University of Pennsylvania 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:10 PM 
                         
                        
                            A Gaussian Copula Approach for Dynamic Prediction of Survival with a Longitudinally Measured Marker 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Krithika  Suresh, University of Michigan ; Jeremy M.G. Taylor, University of Michigan; Alexander  Tsodikov, University of Michigan 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:15 PM 
                         
                        
                            Adjusting for Covariate Measurement Error in Failure Time Analysis Under Competing Risks 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Carrie  Caswell, University of Pennsylvania ; Sharon X Xie, University of Pennsylvania 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:25 PM 
                         
                        
                            Dependence Modeling for Recurrent Event Times Subject to Right-Censoring with D-Vine Copulas 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Nicole  Barthel, Technical University Munich ; Candida  Geerdens, Hasselt University; Claudia  Czado, Technical University Munich; Paul  Janssen, Hasselt University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:30 PM 
                         
                        
                            Flexible and Interpretable Models for Survival Data 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Jiacheng  Wu, Univesity of Washington ; Daniela  Witten, University of Washington 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:35 PM 
                         
                        
                            Estimation in the Nested Case-Control Design Under Model Misspecification 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Michelle  Nuno ; Daniel  L. Gillen, University of California, Irvine 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:45 PM 
                         
                        
                            Temporally Dependent Accelerated Failure Time Model for Capturing the Impact of Events That Alter Survival in Disease Mapping 
                            
                            Rachel  Carroll, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences ; Andrew B Lawson, Medical University of South Carolina ; Shanshan  Zhao, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:50 PM 
                         
                        
                            An Innovative Approach to Identify Biomarker Signatures for Cancer Genetic Data with Survival Endpoints 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Ming  Wang, Pennsylvania State University ; Zheng  Li, Penn State Unviersity 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            3:00 PM 
                         
                        
                            Survival Analysis Methods for Characterizing B-Cell Mutation Processes 
                            
                            David A. Shaw, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center ; Jean  Feng, University of Washington; Vladimir N. Minin, University of California, Irvine; Noah  Simon, University of Washington; Erick A. Matsen, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            3:05 PM 
                         
                        
                            Competing Risks Matter in the Analysis of Public Health Data: When and How? 
                            
                            Dahhay  Lee, National Cancer Center ; Hyunsoon  Cho, National Cancer Center 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            3:15 PM 
                         
                        
                             Inference for Fine-Gray Competing Risks Model with High-Dimensional Covariates 
                            
                            Jue  Hou, UCSD Biostatistics ; Jelena  Bradic, UC San Diego; Ronghui  Xu, UC San Diego 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            3:20 PM 
                         
                        
                            Semiparametric Regression Analysis of Length-Biased Interval-Censored Data 
                            
                            Fei  Gao, University of Washington ; Kwun Chuen Gary  Chan, University of Washington 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            3:25 PM 
                         
                        
                            Sample Size Calculations for Non-Inferiority Trials Using the Concept of Proportional Time  
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Milind A Phadnis, University of Kansas Medical Center  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            3:35 PM 
                         
                        
                            Regression Analysis of Recurrent Event Data with Measurement Error 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Yixin  Ren, University of Maryland, College Park ; Xin  He, University of Maryland, College Park 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            3:40 PM 
                         
                        
                            Monitoring Rare Events During an Ongoing Clinical Trial 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Haley  Hedlin, Stanford University ; Victoria  Ding, Quantitative Sciences Unit, Stanford School of Medicine 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            3:45 PM 
                         
                        
                            Matching Methods for Evaluating the Effect of a Time-Dependent Treatment on the Survival Function 
                            
                            Danting  Zhu, University of Michigan ; Douglas E. Schaubel, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor 
                         
                     
                
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            36 
             
         
        
             Sun, 7/29/2018,
                2:00 PM -
                3:50 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 221 
         
     
    
        
            Methods for Cancer Epidemiology — Contributed Papers 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Epidemiology  
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Chengjie  Xiong, Washington University in St Louis 
         
     
    
                    
                        
                            2:05 PM 
                         
                        
                            Bayesian Joinpoint Regression Model to Study the Effect of Smoking on Lung Cancer Incidence 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Ram C. Kafle, Sam Houston State University ; Melinda M. Holt, Sam Houston State University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:20 PM 
                         
                        
                            Statistical Interactions from a Growth Curve Perspective 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Jaya M Satagopan, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center ; Sean  Devlin, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:35 PM 
                         
                        
                            Evaluating Discriminatory Accuracy of Models Using Partial Risk Scores in Two-Phase Studies 
                            
                            Parichoy  Pal Choudhury, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health ; Anil  Chaturvedi, National Cancer Institute; Nilanjan  Chatterjee, Johns Hopkins University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:50 PM 
                         
                        
                            An Analysis of Systematic Correlation Between Food Preferences and Causes of Death in Public Applying the Age-Environment Model to Age-By-Period Data 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Nobutane  Hanayama, Shobi University  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            3:05 PM 
                         
                        
                            Leukemia and Myeloid Malignancy Among Cohorts of Persons Exposed to Low Dose (<100 mSv) of Ionizing Radiation in Childhood. 
                            
                            Mark P Little, National Cancer Institute ; David  Borrego, National Cancer Institute; Ben  French, Radiation Effects Research Foundation; Lydia B Zablotska, University of California San Francisco; Jacob  Adams, University of Rochester School of Medicine and Dentistry; Rodrigue  Allodji, Equipe d'Epidémiologie des radiations, Unité 1018 INSERM; Florent  de Vathaire, Equipe d'Epidémiologie des radiations, Unité 1018 INSERM; Choonsik  Lee, National Cancer Institute; Alina V Brenner, Radiation Effects Research Foundation; Martha S Linet, National Cancer Institute; Marie  Lundell, Karolinska University Hospital; Siegal  Sadetzki, Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research; Richard  Wakeford, Centre for Occupational and Environmental Health, Institute of Population Health; Amy  Berrington de Gonzalez, National Cancer Institute; Erik  Holmberg, Sahlgrenska University Hospital; Mark  Pearce, University of Newcastle upon Tyne, Sir James Spence Institute of Child Health; Michele M Doody, National Cancer Institute; Jeremy  Miller, Information Management Services; David  Campbell, Information Management Services 
                         
                     
                
    
        
            3:20 PM
         
        
            Floor Discussion 
         
     
    
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            45 *  ! 
             
         
        
             Sun, 7/29/2018,
                4:00 PM -
                5:50 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 224 
         
     
    
        
            Statistical Models for Estimating and Testing Causal Effects in Biomedical Studies — Invited Papers 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Epidemiology , Section on Statistics in Genomics and Genetics, Caucus for Women in Statistics 
         
     
    
    
        
            Organizer(s): Shili  Lin, The Ohio State University 
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Shili  Lin, The Ohio State University 
         
     
    
                    
                        
                            4:05 PM 
                         
                        
                            Tilted Covariate and Mediator Balancing 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Kwun Chuen Gary  Chan, University of Washington  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            4:30 PM 
                         
                        
                            Hypothesis Tests of Mediation Under a Composite Null Hypothesis 
                            
                            Yen-Tsung  Huang, Academia Sinica  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            4:55 PM 
                         
                        
                            Understanding Associations Among Multi-Omic Data via Integrative Modeling 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Asuman Seda Turkmen, The Ohio State University ; Hancong  Tang, The Ohio State University; Shili  Lin, The Ohio State University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            5:20 PM 
                         
                        
                            Causal Organic Direct and Indirect Effects: Closer to Baron and Kenny 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Judith  Lok, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health  
                         
                     
                
    
        
            5:45 PM
         
        
            Floor Discussion 
         
     
    
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            51 *  ! 
             
         
        
             Sun, 7/29/2018,
                4:00 PM -
                5:50 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 214 
         
     
    
        
            EHR Data + X: Expanding the Reach of EHR Data Through Data Integration — Invited Papers 
         
     
    
        
            Biometrics Section , Health Policy Statistics Section, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology 
         
     
    
    
        
            Organizer(s): Yong  Chen, University of Pennsylvania 
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Rui  Duan, University of Pennsylvania 
         
     
    
                    
                        
                            4:05 PM 
                         
                        
                            Perils and Possibilities of EHR Data Linked to Population Disease Registries: The Example of Cancer Registry Linkage 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Rebecca  Hubbard, University of Pennsylvania  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            4:30 PM 
                         
                        
                            Integrating Observational Data with Prior Knowledge: Wikipedia-Informed Priors for Predicting Health Outcomes 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Martijn Jeroen Schuemie, Janssen R&D  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            4:55 PM 
                         
                        
                            Methods to Utilize Longitudinal EHR and Address Data Connected to the Built Environment to Assess If Moving to a Different Environment Affects Health 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Jennifer  Bobb, Kaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute ; Andrea J. Cook, Kaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            5:20 PM 
                         
                        
                            Risk Prediction Through Temporal Phenotyping and Incorporation of MedDRA Information 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Yong  Chen, University of Pennsylvania ; Rui  Duan, University of Pennsylvania 
                         
                     
                
    
        
            5:45 PM
         
        
            Floor Discussion 
         
     
    
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            83 
             
         
        
             Sun, 7/29/2018,
                4:00 PM -
                4:45 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West Hall B 
         
     
    
        
            SPEED: Survival Analysis — Contributed Poster Presentations 
         
     
    
        
            Biometrics Section , Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Risk Analysis 
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Paul  McNicholas, McMaster University 
         
     
    
            
                
                     Oral Presentations
  for this session. 
                  
             
        
                    
                        
                            1:
                              
                         
                        
                            Regression Calibration to Address Error Prone Time-To-Event Outcomes 
                            
                            Eric  Oh, University of Pennsylvania ; Pamela A Shaw, University of Pennsylvania 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:
                              
                         
                        
                            A Gaussian Copula Approach for Dynamic Prediction of Survival with a Longitudinally Measured Marker 
                            
                            Krithika  Suresh, University of Michigan ; Jeremy M.G. Taylor, University of Michigan; Alexander  Tsodikov, University of Michigan 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            3:
                              
                         
                        
                            Adjusting for Covariate Measurement Error in Failure Time Analysis Under Competing Risks 
                            
                            Carrie  Caswell, University of Pennsylvania ; Sharon X Xie, University of Pennsylvania 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            5:
                              
                         
                        
                            Dependence Modeling for Recurrent Event Times Subject to Right-Censoring with D-Vine Copulas 
                            
                            Nicole  Barthel, Technical University Munich ; Candida  Geerdens, Hasselt University; Claudia  Czado, Technical University Munich; Paul  Janssen, Hasselt University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            6:
                              
                         
                        
                            Flexible and Interpretable Models for Survival Data 
                            
                            Jiacheng  Wu, Univesity of Washington ; Daniela  Witten, University of Washington 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            7:
                              
                         
                        
                            Estimation in the Nested Case-Control Design Under Model Misspecification 
                            
                            Michelle  Nuno ; Daniel  L. Gillen, University of California, Irvine 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:
                              
                         
                        
                            Temporally Dependent Accelerated Failure Time Model for Capturing the Impact of Events That Alter Survival in Disease Mapping 
                            
                            Rachel  Carroll, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences ; Andrew B Lawson, Medical University of South Carolina ; Shanshan  Zhao, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:
                              
                         
                        
                            An Innovative Approach to Identify Biomarker Signatures for Cancer Genetic Data with Survival Endpoints 
                            
                            Ming  Wang, Pennsylvania State University ; Zheng  Li, Penn State Unviersity 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:
                              
                         
                        
                            Survival Analysis Methods for Characterizing B-Cell Mutation Processes 
                            
                            David A. Shaw, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center ; Jean  Feng, University of Washington; Vladimir N. Minin, University of California, Irvine; Noah  Simon, University of Washington; Erick A. Matsen, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            12:
                              
                         
                        
                            Competing Risks Matter in the Analysis of Public Health Data: When and How? 
                            
                            Dahhay  Lee, National Cancer Center ; Hyunsoon  Cho, National Cancer Center 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            14:
                              
                         
                        
                             Inference for Fine-Gray Competing Risks Model with High-Dimensional Covariates 
                            
                            Jue  Hou, UCSD Biostatistics ; Jelena  Bradic, UC San Diego; Ronghui  Xu, UC San Diego 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            15:
                              
                         
                        
                            Semiparametric Regression Analysis of Length-Biased Interval-Censored Data 
                            
                            Fei  Gao, University of Washington ; Kwun Chuen Gary  Chan, University of Washington 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            16:
                              
                         
                        
                            Sample Size Calculations for Non-Inferiority Trials Using the Concept of Proportional Time  
                            
                            Milind A Phadnis, University of Kansas Medical Center  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            18:
                              
                         
                        
                            Regression Analysis of Recurrent Event Data with Measurement Error 
                            
                            Yixin  Ren, University of Maryland, College Park ; Xin  He, University of Maryland, College Park 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            19:
                              
                         
                        
                            Monitoring Rare Events During an Ongoing Clinical Trial 
                            
                            Haley  Hedlin, Stanford University ; Victoria  Ding, Quantitative Sciences Unit, Stanford School of Medicine 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            20:
                              
                         
                        
                            Matching Methods for Evaluating the Effect of a Time-Dependent Treatment on the Survival Function 
                            
                            Danting  Zhu, University of Michigan ; Douglas E. Schaubel, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor 
                         
                     
                
            
                
                     Oral Presentations
  for this session. 
                  
             
        
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            87 
             
         
        
             Sun, 7/29/2018,
                8:30 PM -
                10:30 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West Hall B 
         
     
    
        
            Invited ePoster Session: a Statistical Smörgåsbord — Invited Poster Presentations 
         
     
    
        
            SSC , Section on Bayesian Statistical Science , Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science, Section on Nonparametric Statistics, Biometrics Section, Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section for Statistical Programmers and Analysts, Section on Statistics in Imaging, WNAR, Social Statistics Section, Astrostatistics Special Interest Group, Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR, Section on Risk Analysis, Section on Statistical Consulting 
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Paul  McNicholas, McMaster University 
         
     
    
                    
                        
                            1:
                              
                         
                        
                            The LISA 2020 Program to Build Statistics Capacity in Developing Countries 
                            
                            Eric  Vance, LISA-University of Colorado Boulder  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:
                              
                         
                        
                            Conditions for the Uniqueness, Finiteness, and Possible Location of the Maximum Likelihood Estimate with a Log Binomial Model 
                            
                            Gurbakhshash  Singh, University of Calgary ; Gordon Hilton Fick, University of Calgary 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            3:
                              
                         
                        
                            Two Mixture-Based Clustering Approaches: Modeling an Automobile Insurance Portfolio 
                            
                            Tatjana  Miljkovic, Miami University ; Daniel   Fernandez, Victoria University of Wellington 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            4:
                              
                         
                        
                            An Expectation Conditional Maximization Approach for Gaussian Graphical Models 
                            
                            Zehang  Li, University of Washington ; Tyler  McCormick, University of Washington 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            5:
                              
                         
                        
                            A Bayesian Model for Multivariate Micro-Level Insurance Claims 
                            
                            Marie-Pier  Côté, Universite Laval ; Christian  Genest, McGill University; David A Stephens, McGill University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            6:
                              
                         
                        
                            Deep Learning for Statistical Inference in Infectious Disease Systems 
                            
                            Rob  Deardon, University of Calgary ; Carolyn  Augusta, University of Guelph; Graham  Taylor, University of Guelph 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            7:
                              
                         
                        
                            Flexible Accelerated Failure Time Model in Survival Analysis 
                            
                            Menglan  Pang, McGill University ; Michal  Abrahamowicz, McGill University; Robert W Platt, McGill University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            8:
                              
                         
                        
                            Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Children and Adolescents' Emergency Department Use for Mental Health Reasons in Alberta, Canada 
                            
                            Michelle  Thiessen, Simon Fraser University ; Joan  Hu, Simon Fraser University; Rhonda J. Rosychuk, University of Alberta 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:
                              
                         
                        
                            Approximate Bayesian Computation with Complex High-Dimensional Data and Limited Simulations 
                            
                            Taylor Gene Pospisil, Carnegie Mellon University  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:
                              
                         
                        
                            Zero Counts in Single Cell RNA-Seq Data  
                            
                            Zhijin  Wu, Brown University  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:
                              
                         
                        
                            Quasi-Oracle Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects 
                            
                            Xinkun  Nie, Stanford University ; Stefan  Wager, Stanford University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            12:
                              
                         
                        
                            Estimation of Fire Duration Distribution with Missing Start Time 
                            
                            Yi  Xiong, Simon Fraser University ; John  Braun, University of British Columbia ; Joan  Hu, Simon Fraser University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            13:
                              
                         
                        
                            Bayesian Nonparametric Hierarchical Models for Lightcurve Classification and Observation Decisions 
                            
                            David Edward Jones, Duke University and SAMSI ; Sujit  Ghosh, North Carolina State Univ.; Ana-Maria  Staicu, NC State University; Ashish  Mahabal, Caltech 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            14:
                              
                         
                        
                            Approximate Bayesian Computation for the Stellar Initial Mass Function 
                            
                            Jessi  Cisewski-Kehe, Yale University ; Chad  Schafer, Carnegie Mellon University; Grant   Weller, Savvysherpa; David  Hogg, New York University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            15:
                              
                         
                        
                            A Novel Bayesian Framework to Probe Closed Box Nature of Galaxy Clusters 
                            
                            Arya  Farahi, University of Michigan - Ann Arbor  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            16:
                              
                         
                        
                            Statistical Approaches to Decreasing the Discrepancy of Non-Detects in QPCR Data 
                            
                            Love  Tanzy, University of Rochester Medical Center ; Matthew N. McCall, University of Rochester Medical Center 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            17:
                              
                         
                        
                            Generalized Statistical Inference for Astrophysical Discoveries 
                            
                            Sara  Algeri, Imperial College London ; David A van Dyk, Imperial College London; Jan   Conrad, Oskar Klein Centre for Cosmoparticle Physics 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            18:
                              
                         
                        
                            Nonparametric Causal Effects Based on Incremental Propensity Score Interventions 
                            
                            Edward  Kennedy, Carnegie Mellon University ; Matteo  Bonvini, Carnegie Mellon University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            19:
                              
                         
                        
                            Addressing Overfitting in Mixtures of Factor Analyzers 
                            
                            Jeffrey L Andrews, University of British Columbia Okanagan  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            20:
                              
                         
                        
                            Spatiotemporal Analysis of Environmental Health Risk 
                            
                            Renjun  Ma, University of New Brunswick ; Edward  Hughes, Edward Hughes Consulting 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            21:
                              
                         
                        
                            Probabilistic Partial Least Squares Regression Applied to Longitudinal and Cross-Sectional Compositional Data 
                            
                            Peter A Tait, McMaster Univeristy ; Paul  McNicholas, McMaster University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            22:
                              
                         
                        
                            Detection of Trend Onset in Environmental Time Series 
                            
                            Ying  Zhang, Acadia University  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            23:
                              
                         
                        
                            The Analysis of Face Perception MEG and EEG Data Using a Potts-Mixture Spatiotemporal Joint Model 
                            
                            Yin  Song, University of Victoria ; Farouk  Nathoo; Arif  Babul, University of Victoria 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            24:
                              
                         
                        
                            Infere 
                            
                            Steven  Cumming, Université Laval  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            25:
                              
                         
                        
                            Functional Partial Linear Quantile Regression Based on Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space 
                            
                            Peng  Liu, University of Alberta ; Linglong  KONG, University of Alberta; Bei  JIANG, University of Alberta; Nan  Zhang, Fudan University; Jianhua Z.  Huang, Texas A&M University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            26:
                              
                         
                        
                            Gaussian Process Regression with Large Data Sets: Has the Problem Been Solved? 
                            
                            Sonja  Surjanovic, University of British Columbia ; William  Welch, University of British Columbia 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            27:
                              
                         
                        
                            Sparse Estimation for Functional Semiparametric Additive Model 
                            
                            Peijun  Sang, Simon Fraser University ; Richard  Lockhart, Simon Fraser University; Jiguo  Cao, Simon Fraser University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            28:
                              
                         
                        
                            Analysis of Paired Binary Data Subject to Misclassification Using a Random Effect Model  
                            
                            Hua  Shen, University of Calgary  ; Richard John Cook, University of Waterloo 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            29:
                              
                         
                        
                            A Grouped Weighted Quantile Regression Approach to Modeling Environmental Chemical Mixtures and Childhood Leukemia Risk 
                            
                            David C. Wheeler, Virginia Commonwealth University  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            30:
                              
                         
                        
                            Efficient Robust Doubly Adaptive Regularized Regression with Application to fMRI Data 
                            
                            Wei  Tu, University of Alberta  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            31:
                              
                         
                        
                            A Model-Based Clustering to Identify Disease-Associated SNPs 
                            
                            Li  Xing, University of Victoria ; Xuekui  Zhang, University of Victoria; Yan  Xu, University of Victoria; Weiliang  Qiu,  Brigham and Women's Hosptial/Harvard Medical School 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            32:
                              
                         
                        
                            The Consequences of Requiring 'Greater Statistical Stringency' for Scientific Publication 
                            
                            Harlan  Campbell, University of British Columbia ; Paul  Gustafson, University of British Columbia 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            33:
                              
                         
                        
                            Mixtures of Contaminated Shifted Asymmetric Laplace Factor Analyzers 
                            
                            Brian C Franczak, MacEwan University  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            34:
                              
                         
                        
                            Uncertainty Quantification of Stochastic Computer Model for Binary Black Hole Formation 
                            
                            Luyao   Lin, Simon Fraser University ; Jim  Barrett, University of Birmingham; Derek  Bingham, Simon Fraser University; Ilya  Mandel, University of Birmingham 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            35:
                              
                         
                        
                            Network Meta-Analysis of Disconnected Networks: How Dangerous Are Random Baseline Treatment Effects? 
                            
                            Audrey  Béliveau, University of Waterloo ; Sarah  Goring, SMG Outcomes Research; Robert W Platt, McGill University; Paul  Gustafson, University of British Columbia 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            36:
                              
                         
                        
                            Nonparametric Measures of Local Causality and Tests of Local Non-Causality in Time Series 
                            
                            Felix  Camirand Lemyre, School of mathematics and statistics, University of Melbourne ; Taoufik  Bouezmarni, Université de Sherbrooke; Jean-François  Quessy, Université du Québec à Trois-Rivières 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            37:
                              
                         
                        
                            Sparse Functional Principal Component Analysis in a New Regression Framework 
                            
                            YUNLONG  NIE, Simon Fraser University ; Jiguo  Cao, Simon Fraser University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            38:
                              
                         
                        
                            Inference of Introgressive Hybridization in Anopheles Mosquito Genomes 
                            
                            Jingxue(Grace)  Feng, Simon Fraser University ; Liangliang  Wang, Simon Fraser University; Cedric  Chauve, Simon Fraser University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            39:
                              
                         
                        
                            Statistical Methods for Addressing Missing Data in HIV/AIDS Surveillance Systems 
                            
                            Sahar  Zangeneh, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center ; Ying Qing  Chen, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; Deborah  Donnell, Fred Hutch 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            40:
                              
                         
                        
                            Latent Mixtures of Functions to Characterize the Complex Exposure Relationships of Pesticides on Cancer Incidence 
                            
                            Sung Duk  Kim, National Cancer Institute ; Paul  S Albert, National Cancer Institute 
                         
                     
                
            
                
                    
                 
             
        
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            105 *  ! 
             
         
        
             Mon, 7/30/2018,
                8:30 AM -
                10:20 AM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 206/207 
         
     
    
        
            Novel Development of Matching Designs for Complex Observational Studies — Invited Papers 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Epidemiology , Health Policy Statistics Section, Mental Health Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section 
         
     
    
    
        
            Organizer(s): Bo  Lu, The Ohio State University 
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Dylan  Small, University of Pennsylvania 
         
     
    
                    
                        
                            8:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            Building Representative Matched Samples in Large-Scale Observational Studies with Multivalued Treatments 
                            
                            Jose  Zubizarreta, Harvard University  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:00 AM 
                         
                        
                            Optimal Tradeoffs Between Generalized Design Goals in Multivariate Matching 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Samuel David Pimentel, University of California, Berkeley ; Rachel R. Kelz, University of Pennsylvania 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:25 AM 
                         
                        
                            Poly-Matching for Observational Studies: A Comparative Trauma Care Study 
                            
                            Bo  Lu, The Ohio State University  
                         
                     
                
        
            
                9:50 AM
             
            
                Discussant:  Paul  Rosenbaum, University of Pennsylvania
             
         
    
    
        
            10:15 AM
         
        
            Floor Discussion 
         
     
    
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            163 
             
         
        
             Mon, 7/30/2018,
                10:30 AM -
                12:20 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 212 
         
     
    
        
            SPEED: Longitudinal/Correlated Data — Contributed Speed 
         
     
    
        
            Biometrics Section , Health Policy Statistics Section, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, ENAR 
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Jonathan  Gelfond, University of Texas Health San Antonio 
         
     
    
            
                
                     Poster Presentations
  for this session. 
                  
             
        
                    
                        
                            10:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            Effect of Longitudinal Intracranial Pressure on Ordinal Glasgow Outcome Scale Using a Joint Model Approach 
                            
                            Maria Laura Rubin, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center ; Wenyaw  Chan, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston; Jose-Miguel  Yamal, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston; Claudia Sue Robertson, Baylor College of Medicine 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:40 AM 
                         
                        
                            Mixed Latent Markov Models for Longitudinal Multiple Diagnostics Data with an Application to Salmonella in Malawi 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Marc  Henrion, Malawi Liverpool Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme ; Angeziwa  Chirambo, Malawi Liverpool Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme; Tonney C. Nyirenda, College of Medicine; Melita  Gordon, Malawi Liverpool Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:45 AM 
                         
                        
                            Modeling a Longitudinal Covariate as Continuous Time Markov Chain in a Survival Framework 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Ting-Yu  Chen, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston ; Wenyaw  Chan, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston; Qiuling  Shi, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center; Xin Shelley Wang, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center; Charles  Cleeland, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:50 AM 
                         
                        
                            Horizontal and Vertical Effects in a Logistic Regression Model 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Diana  Gonzalez, Arizona State University  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:55 AM 
                         
                        
                            An R2 Statistic for Covariance Model Selection in the Linear Mixed Model 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Byron  Jaeger, University of Alabama at Birmingham ; Lloyd  Edwards, University of Alabama at Birmingham; Matthew   Gurka, University of Florida 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:00 AM 
                         
                        
                            Using Multitrajectory Modeling in Latent Class Growth Analysis to Identify Multi-Symptom Trajectories Over Time 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Wei  Pan, Duke University ; Mary  C Hooke, University of Minnesota School of Nursing; Cheryl   Rodgers, Duke University School of Nursing; Marilyn   Hockenberry, Duke University School of Nursing 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:10 AM 
                         
                        
                            A Novel Robust Approach for Analysis of Longitudinal Data 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Yuexia  Zhang, Fudan University ; Guoyou   Qin, Fudan University; Zhongyi  Zhu, Fudan University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:15 AM 
                         
                        
                            Comparisons of Modeling Methods on Longitudinal and Survival Data: Identifying Use of Repeat Biomarker Measurements to Predict Time-To-Event Outcome in Cancer Research 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Meng  Ru, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai ; Erin  Moshier, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai; Madhu  Mazumdar, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:20 AM 
                         
                        
                            Sampling Studies for Longitudinal Functional Data Analysis 
                            
                                                Presentation 1
                                             
                                            
                                            
                                                Presentation 2
                                             
                                            
                            Toni  Jassel ; Andrada E Ivanescu, Montclair State University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:30 AM 
                         
                        
                            Power and Sample Size Requirements for GEE Analyzes of Cluster Randomized Crossover Trials 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Fan  Li, Duke Univeristy ; Andrew  Forbes, Monash University; Elizabeth L. Turner, Duke Global Health Institutes; John S. Preisser, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            Evaluating Quantile Estimation Methods for Setting Normal Values for Longitudinal Measures 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Jeffrey  Slezak, Kaiser Permanente ; Steven J Jacobsen, Kaiser Permanente; Stephanie  Reading, Kaiser Permanente 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:40 AM 
                         
                        
                            Survival Analysis Using Intensive Longitudinal Data and Irregular Moments of Reporting 
                            
                            Trent  Lalonde, Applied Statistics Program, University of Northern Colorado ; Kristina T Phillips, University of Northern Colorado; Michael M Phillips, University of Northern Colorado 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:45 AM 
                         
                        
                            Coherence-Based Time Series Clustering for Brain Connectivity Visualization 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Carolina  Euan Campos, KAUST ; Ying  Sun, KAUST; Hernando  Ombao, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:50 AM 
                         
                        
                            Interrupted Time Series Analysis to Evaluate the Effect of a Multicenter Collaborative Effort to Improve Care for Adult Intensive Care Patients 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Alai  Tan, Ohio State University College of Nursing ; Michele C. Balas, Ohio State University  College of Nursing 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:55 AM 
                         
                        
                            A Comparison of Modeling Approaches for Stepped-Wedge Cluster Randomized Trials That Include Multilevel Clustering, Confounding by Time, and Effect Modification 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Lance  Ford, University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center ; Julie A Stoner, University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center; Daniel  Zhao, OU Health Sciences Center; Tabitha   Garwe, University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center; Ann  Chou, University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center; Daniel  Duffy, University of Oklahoma-Tulsa 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            12:00 PM 
                         
                        
                            Unified Mediation Analysis Approach to Complex Data of Mixed Types via Copula Models 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Wei  Hao, University of Michigan ; Peter X.-K. Song, University of Michigan 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            12:05 PM 
                         
                        
                            Vine Copula Models for Family Data Analysis 
                            
                            Yihao  Deng, Purdue University Fort Wayne ; N. Rao Chaganty, Old Dominion University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            12:10 PM 
                         
                        
                            The Implementation of Moderated T-Tests in Linear Mixed-Effects Models 
                            
                            Lianbo  Yu, Ohio State University ; Jianying  Zhang, Ohio State University; Guy  Brock, Ohio State University College of Medicine; Soledad  Fernandez, The Ohio State University 
                         
                     
                
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            164 
             
         
        
             Mon, 7/30/2018,
                10:30 AM -
                12:20 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 209 
         
     
    
        
            SPEED: Causal Inference and Related Methodology — Contributed Speed 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Epidemiology  
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Miguel  Hernan, Harvard School of Public Health 
         
     
    
            
                
                     Poster Presentations
  for this session. 
                  
             
        
                    
                        
                            10:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            Estimating Average Causal Treatment Effects Utilizing Fractional Imputation When Confounders Are Subject to Missingness 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Nathaniel  Corder, North Carolina State University ; Shu  Yang, North Carolina State University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:45 AM 
                         
                        
                            A Comparison of Methods to Estimate Survival Curves Under Time-Varying Treatments 
                            
                            Lucia C. Petito, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health ; Sonja A. Swanson, Erasmus Medical Center; Miguel  Hernan, Harvard School of Public Health 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:50 AM 
                         
                        
                            Sufficient Cause Interaction for Ordinal and Categorical Outcomes 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Jaffer  Zaidi ; Tyler   VanderWeele, Harvard University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:55 AM 
                         
                        
                            Combining Inverse Probability Weighting and Multiple Imputation to Adjust for Selection Bias in Electronic Health Records-Based Research 
                            
                            Tanayott  Thaweethai, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health ; Sebastien  Haneuse, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; David  Arterburn, Kaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:00 AM 
                         
                        
                            Efficient Design and Analysis of Cluster Randomized Trials 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Hengshi  Yu, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor ; Fan  Li, Duke Univeristy; John A.  Gallis, Duke University; Elizabeth L. Turner, Duke Global Health Institutes 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:05 AM 
                         
                        
                            Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the K Parameter in the Poly-K Trend Test for Time-to-Event Data 
                            
                            Anna  Korpak, VA ERIC ; Barbara  McKnight, University of Washington 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:10 AM 
                         
                        
                            A Bayesian Nonparametric Approach to Estimate Causal Effects of Mediation in the Presence of Nonignorable Missingness 
                            
                            Dandan  Xu, US Food and Drug Administration ; Michael  Daniels, University of Florida 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:15 AM 
                         
                        
                            Multivariate Mediation Analysis with a Multi-Categorical Exposure Variable: An Application to Explore Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Obesity 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Qingzhao  Yu, Louisiana State University Health Sciences Ctr ; Lin  Zhu, Louisiana State University Health Sciences Ctr; Bin  Li, Louisiana State University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:20 AM 
                         
                        
                            Balancing Scores Weighing Methods and Sensitivity Analysis to Unfold Health Disparity 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Chen-Pin  Wang, University of Texas Health San Antonio  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:30 AM 
                         
                        
                            Power Evaluation for Covariate Balancing Propensity Score Methods 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Byeong Yeob  Choi, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio ; Chen-Pin  Wang, University of Texas Health San Antonio; Joel  Michalek, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio; Jonathan  Gelfond, University of Texas Health San Antonio 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            Embedding Observational Studies into Hypothetical Fractional-Factorial Experiments 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Nicole  Pashley, Harvard University ; Marie-Abele  Bind, Harvard University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:40 AM 
                         
                        
                            Using Validation Data to Adjust the Inverse Probability Weighting Treatment Effect Estimator for Misclassified Treatment 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Danielle  Braun, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health ; Corwin  Zigler, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; Francesca  Dominici, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health; Malka  Gorfine, Tel Aviv University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:45 AM 
                         
                        
                            Leveraging Multiple Study Designs and Statistical Methods to Evaluate Comparative Effectiveness of Asthma Medications  
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Tebeb  Gebretsadik, Vanderbilt University Medical Center ; Pingsheng  Wu, Vanderbilt University; Rees L Lee, U. S. Navy; Amber M Evans, Health ResearchTX LLC; Tan   Ding, Vanderbilt University Medical Center; Nicholas  M Sicignano, Health Research Tx ; Ann  Wu, Harvard Medical School; Carlos  Iribarren, Kaiser Permanente Division of Research; Butler  Melissa, Kaiser Permanente; Chang  Yu, Vanderbilt University Medical Center; William   Dupont, Vanderbilt University Medical Center; Christina  Fox, Health ResearchTx; Tina V Hartert, Vanderbilt University Medical Center 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:50 AM 
                         
                        
                            Gaussian Process Propensity Scores for Multiple Treatment Regimes 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Brian  Vegetabile, UC Irvine ; Daniel  L. Gillen, University of California, Irvine; Hal  Stern, University of California, Irvine 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            12:00 PM 
                         
                        
                            Accounting for Variation in Instrumental Effect Estimates Leads to More Precise Estimates of Causal Effects in MR Studies 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Richard  Barfield, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center ; Li  Hsu, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, USA 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            12:05 PM 
                         
                        
                            Estimating Causal Effect by Difference in Difference via Random Forest 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Tomoshige  Nakamura, Graduate School of Science and Technology, Keio University ; Mihoko  Minami, Keio University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            12:10 PM 
                         
                        
                            Assessing Therapeutic Equivalence of Brand and Generic Drugs Using Observational Data 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Lamar  Hunt, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg SPH & OptumLabs Visiting Fellows ; Daniel  Scharfstein, Johns Hopkins University; Irene  Murimi, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg SPH & OptumLabs Visiting Fellows; Jodi  Segal, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg SPH & OptumLabs Visiting Fellows; Ravi  Varadhan, Johns Hopkins University; Ramin  Mojtabai, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg SPH 
                         
                     
                
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            179 
             
         
        
             Mon, 7/30/2018,
                10:30 AM -
                12:20 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 222 
         
     
    
        
            Emerging Methods for Complex Biomedical Data — Contributed Papers 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Epidemiology  
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Wenzhu  Mowrey, Albert Einstein College of Medicine 
         
     
    
                    
                        
                            10:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            ESTIMATING TREATMENT IMPORTANCE in MULTIDRUG-RESISTANT TUBERCULOSIS USING TARGETED LEARNING: AN OBSERVATIONAL INDIVIDUAL PATIENT DATA NETWORK META-ANALYSIS 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Guanbo  Wang, McGill University ; Mireille  Schnitzer, University of Montreal; Andrea  Benedetti, Respiratory Epidemiology and Clinical Research Unit, McGill University Health Centre 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:50 AM 
                         
                        
                            Design and Analysis Considerations for Studies Involving Pooled Biomarker Data 
                            
                            Abigail  Sloan, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health ; Molin   Wang, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; Mitchell H. Gail, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, NCI, NIH 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:05 AM 
                         
                        
                            Improved Doubly Robust Estimation in Learning Individualized Treatment Rules 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Yinghao  Pan, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center ; Yingqi  Zhao, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:20 AM 
                         
                        
                            Statistical Methods for Pooling Categorical Biomarkers from Multiple Studies 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Xiao  Wu, Harvard University ; Molin   Wang, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            Developing Biomarker Combinations in Multicenter Studies via Direct Maximization and Penalization 
                            
                            Allison  Meisner, Johns Hopkins University ; Kathleen F. Kerr, University of Washington; Chirag  Parikh, Yale University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:50 AM 
                         
                        
                            Identifying Disease Progression Dynamics Using Electronic Medical Records 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Xiaochen  Wang ; Hongyu  Zhao, Yale 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            12:05 PM 
                         
                        
                            Bessel Functions and the Ordering of Changes in Biomarkers, with Application to the Hypothesized Biomarker Model in Preclinical Alzheimer Disease 
                            
                            Chengjie  Xiong, Washington University in St Louis ; Jingqin  Luo, Washington University; John  Morris, Washington University 
                         
                     
                
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            218 *  ! 
             
         
        
             Mon, 7/30/2018,
                2:00 PM -
                3:50 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 213 
         
     
    
        
            Statistical Advances in the Design and Analysis of Sequence-Based Genetic Association Studies — Invited Papers 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Genomics and Genetics , International Indian Statistical Association, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, SSC 
         
     
    
    
        
            Organizer(s): Debashree  Ray, Johns Hopkins University 
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Haoyu  Zhang, Johns Hopkins University 
         
     
    
                    
                        
                            2:05 PM 
                         
                        
                            Statistical Issues in the Design and Analysis of Sequencing Studies 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Danyu  Lin, University of North Carolina  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:30 PM 
                         
                        
                            Analysis of Quantitative Traits in Sequencing Studies with Outcome-Dependent Sampling 
                            
                            SAONLI  BASU, University of Minnesota  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:55 PM 
                         
                        
                            Post-Selection Estimation and Testing Following Aggregated Association Tests 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Nilanjan  Chatterjee, Johns Hopkins University  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            3:20 PM 
                         
                        
                            On the Design of Sequence-Based Case-Control Studies with External Controls 
                            
                            Debashree  Ray, Johns Hopkins University ; Pranav  Yajnik, University of Michigan; Michael Lee Boehnke, University of Michigan 
                         
                     
                
    
        
            3:45 PM
         
        
            Floor Discussion 
         
     
    
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            222 *  
             
         
        
             Mon, 7/30/2018,
                2:00 PM -
                3:50 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 116 
         
     
    
        
            New Advances in Statistical Methods for Complex Data — Invited Papers 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Risk Analysis , Biometrics Section, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, SSC 
         
     
    
    
        
            Organizer(s): Rajeshwari   Sundaram, Eunice Kennedy SHriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development 
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Ling  Ma, Clemson University 
         
     
    
                    
                        
                            2:05 PM 
                         
                        
                            Complexity in Simple Regression Models with Binary Disease Outcome 
                            
                            Mei-Cheng  Wang, Johns Hopkins University  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:30 PM 
                         
                        
                            Regression Analysis of Mixed Recurrent Event and Panel Count Data 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            (Tony) Jianguo   Sun, University of Missouri  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:55 PM 
                         
                        
                            Independence Conditions and Intermittent Observation in Life History Studies  
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Richard John Cook, University of Waterloo ; Jerald  Lawless, University of Waterloo 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            3:20 PM 
                         
                        
                            Joint Modeling of Length-Biased and Competing Risks Survival Times with View Toward Individualized Prediction: An Application to Spontaneous Labor 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Rajeshwari   Sundaram, Eunice Kennedy SHriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development ; Ling  Ma, Clemson University 
                         
                     
                
    
        
            3:45 PM
         
        
            Floor Discussion 
         
     
    
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            227 *  ! 
             
         
        
             Mon, 7/30/2018,
                2:00 PM -
                3:50 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 203 
         
     
    
        
            Bayesian Variable Selection and Shrinkage in Epidemiology Studies — Topic Contributed Papers 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Epidemiology , International Indian Statistical Association, WNAR 
         
     
    
    
        
            Organizer(s): Jaya M Satagopan, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center 
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Sujata M Patil, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center 
         
     
    
                    
                        
                            2:05 PM 
                         
                        
                            A Bayesian Hierarchical Framework for Pathway Analysis in Genome-Wide Association Studies 
                            
                            Swati  Biswas, University of Texas at Dallas ; Lei  Zhang, University of Texas at Dallas; Pankaj  Choudhary, University of Texas at Dallas 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:25 PM 
                         
                        
                            A Default Prior for the Intercept Parameter in Logistic Regression 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Philip  Boonstra, University of Michigan ; Ananda  Sen, University of Michigan 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:45 PM 
                         
                        
                            Dynamic Variable Selection with Spike-And-Slab Process Priors 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Kenichiro  McAlinn, University of Chicago ; Veronika  Rockova, University of Chicago 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            3:05 PM 
                         
                        
                            Multiethnic Joint Analysis of Marginal SNP Effects 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            David  Conti, University of Southern California ; Kan  Wang, University of Southern California; Chris  Haiman, University of Southern California; Paul  Newcombe, MRC Biostatistics Unit 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            3:25 PM 
                         
                        
                            Penalized Shrinkage Estimation in Reduced-Rank Time-To-Event Data 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Ananda  Sen, University of Michigan  
                         
                     
                
    
        
            3:45 PM
         
        
            Floor Discussion 
         
     
    
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            244 
             
         
        
             Mon, 7/30/2018,
                2:00 PM -
                3:50 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 202 
         
     
    
        
            Missing Data; Causal Inference — Contributed Papers 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Epidemiology , Survey Research Methods Section 
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Shankar  Viswanathan, Albert Einstein College of Medicine 
         
     
    
                    
                        
                            2:20 PM 
                         
                        
                            Estimate Cognitive Decline in Presence of Non-Random Missing Data and Ceiling Effect 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Cuiling  Wang, Albert Einstein College of Medicine ; Charles B Hall, Albert Einstein College of Medicine; Richard B Lipton, Albert Einstein College of Medicine; Joe  Verghese, Albert Einstein College of Medicine; Mindy J Katz, Albert Einstein College of Medicine 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:35 PM 
                         
                        
                            Characterising for Sensitivity Analyzes the Participant Attrition in a Childhood Cohort with Large Initial Drop-Out 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Petr  Otahal, Menzies Institute for Medical Research University of Tasmania ; Leigh  Blizzard, Menzies Institute of Medical Research, University of Tasmania; David W  Hosmer, University of Massachusetts; Jim  Stankovich, School of Medicine, University of Tasmania; Alison  Venn, Menzies Institute for Medical Research University of Tasmania 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:50 PM 
                         
                        
                            Strategies for Analyzing Summary Variables in the Presence of Partially Missing Longitudinal Data 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Jennifer  Thompson, Vanderbilt University ; Rameela  Chandrasekhar, Vanderbilt University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            3:05 PM 
                         
                        
                            Multiple Imputation Strategies for Handling Missing Data When Generalizing Randomized Clinical Trial Findings Through Propensity Score-Based Methodologies 
                            
                                                Presentation 1
                                             
                                            
                                            
                                                Presentation 2
                                             
                                            
                            Albee  Ling, Stanford University ; Maya  Mathur, Stanford University; Kris  Kapphahn, Stanford University; Maria  Montez-Rath, Stanford University; Manisha  Desai, Stanford University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            3:20 PM 
                         
                        
                            Cluster Mean Centering in Hierarchical Linear Models 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Noa  Molshatzki, University of Southern California ; Sandrah P.   Eckel, University of Southern California 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            3:35 PM 
                         
                        
                            Assessing Indirect Effect in a Mediation Model with a Censored Mediator 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Jian  Wang, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center ; Sanjay  Shete, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center 
                         
                     
                
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            257 
             
         
        
             Mon, 7/30/2018,
                2:00 PM -
                2:45 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West Hall B 
         
     
    
        
            SPEED: Longitudinal/Correlated Data — Contributed Poster Presentations 
         
     
    
        
            Biometrics Section , Health Policy Statistics Section, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, ENAR 
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Paul  McNicholas, McMaster University 
         
     
    
            
                
                     Oral Presentations
  for this session. 
                  
             
        
                    
                        
                            1:
                              
                         
                        
                            Effect of Longitudinal Intracranial Pressure on Ordinal Glasgow Outcome Scale Using a Joint Model Approach 
                            
                            Maria Laura Rubin, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center ; Wenyaw  Chan, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston; Jose-Miguel  Yamal, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston; Claudia Sue Robertson, Baylor College of Medicine 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:
                              
                         
                        
                            Mixed Latent Markov Models for Longitudinal Multiple Diagnostics Data with an Application to Salmonella in Malawi 
                            
                            Marc  Henrion, Malawi Liverpool Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme ; Angeziwa  Chirambo, Malawi Liverpool Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme; Tonney C. Nyirenda, College of Medicine; Melita  Gordon, Malawi Liverpool Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            3:
                              
                         
                        
                            Modeling a Longitudinal Covariate as Continuous Time Markov Chain in a Survival Framework 
                            
                            Ting-Yu  Chen, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston ; Wenyaw  Chan, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston; Qiuling  Shi, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center; Xin Shelley Wang, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center; Charles  Cleeland, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            4:
                              
                         
                        
                            Horizontal and Vertical Effects in a Logistic Regression Model 
                            
                            Diana  Gonzalez, Arizona State University  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            5:
                              
                         
                        
                            An R2 Statistic for Covariance Model Selection in the Linear Mixed Model 
                            
                            Byron  Jaeger, University of Alabama at Birmingham ; Lloyd  Edwards, University of Alabama at Birmingham; Matthew   Gurka, University of Florida 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            6:
                              
                         
                        
                            Using Multitrajectory Modeling in Latent Class Growth Analysis to Identify Multi-Symptom Trajectories Over Time 
                            
                            Wei  Pan, Duke University ; Mary  C Hooke, University of Minnesota School of Nursing; Cheryl   Rodgers, Duke University School of Nursing; Marilyn   Hockenberry, Duke University School of Nursing 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            8:
                              
                         
                        
                            A Novel Robust Approach for Analysis of Longitudinal Data 
                            
                            Yuexia  Zhang, Fudan University ; Guoyou   Qin, Fudan University; Zhongyi  Zhu, Fudan University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:
                              
                         
                        
                            Comparisons of Modeling Methods on Longitudinal and Survival Data: Identifying Use of Repeat Biomarker Measurements to Predict Time-To-Event Outcome in Cancer Research 
                            
                            Meng  Ru, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai ; Erin  Moshier, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai; Madhu  Mazumdar, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:
                              
                         
                        
                            Sampling Studies for Longitudinal Functional Data Analysis 
                            
                            Toni  Jassel ; Andrada E Ivanescu, Montclair State University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:
                              
                         
                        
                            Power and Sample Size Requirements for GEE Analyzes of Cluster Randomized Crossover Trials 
                            
                            Fan  Li, Duke Univeristy ; Andrew  Forbes, Monash University; Elizabeth L. Turner, Duke Global Health Institutes; John S. Preisser, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            12:
                              
                         
                        
                            Evaluating Quantile Estimation Methods for Setting Normal Values for Longitudinal Measures 
                            
                            Jeffrey  Slezak, Kaiser Permanente ; Steven J Jacobsen, Kaiser Permanente; Stephanie  Reading, Kaiser Permanente 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            13:
                              
                         
                        
                            Survival Analysis Using Intensive Longitudinal Data and Irregular Moments of Reporting 
                            
                            Trent  Lalonde, Applied Statistics Program, University of Northern Colorado ; Kristina T Phillips, University of Northern Colorado; Michael M Phillips, University of Northern Colorado 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            14:
                              
                         
                        
                            Coherence-Based Time Series Clustering for Brain Connectivity Visualization 
                            
                            Carolina  Euan Campos, KAUST ; Ying  Sun, KAUST; Hernando  Ombao, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            15:
                              
                         
                        
                            Interrupted Time Series Analysis to Evaluate the Effect of a Multicenter Collaborative Effort to Improve Care for Adult Intensive Care Patients 
                            
                            Alai  Tan, Ohio State University College of Nursing ; Michele C. Balas, Ohio State University  College of Nursing 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            16:
                              
                         
                        
                            A Comparison of Modeling Approaches for Stepped-Wedge Cluster Randomized Trials That Include Multilevel Clustering, Confounding by Time, and Effect Modification 
                            
                            Lance  Ford, University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center ; Julie A Stoner, University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center; Daniel  Zhao, OU Health Sciences Center; Tabitha   Garwe, University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center; Ann  Chou, University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center; Daniel  Duffy, University of Oklahoma-Tulsa 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            17:
                              
                         
                        
                            Unified Mediation Analysis Approach to Complex Data of Mixed Types via Copula Models 
                            
                            Wei  Hao, University of Michigan ; Peter X.-K. Song, University of Michigan 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            18:
                              
                         
                        
                            Vine Copula Models for Family Data Analysis 
                            
                            Yihao  Deng, Purdue University Fort Wayne ; N. Rao Chaganty, Old Dominion University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            19:
                              
                         
                        
                            The Implementation of Moderated T-Tests in Linear Mixed-Effects Models 
                            
                            Lianbo  Yu, Ohio State University ; Jianying  Zhang, Ohio State University; Guy  Brock, Ohio State University College of Medicine; Soledad  Fernandez, The Ohio State University 
                         
                     
                
            
                
                     Oral Presentations
  for this session. 
                  
             
        
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            258 
             
         
        
             Mon, 7/30/2018,
                2:00 PM -
                2:45 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West Hall B 
         
     
    
        
            SPEED: Causal Inference and Related Methodology — Contributed Poster Presentations 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Epidemiology  
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Paul  McNicholas, McMaster University 
         
     
    
            
                
                     Oral Presentations
  for this session. 
                  
             
        
                    
                        
                            21:
                              
                         
                        
                            Estimating Average Causal Treatment Effects Utilizing Fractional Imputation When Confounders Are Subject to Missingness 
                            
                            Nathaniel  Corder, North Carolina State University ; Shu  Yang, North Carolina State University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            23:
                              
                         
                        
                            A Comparison of Methods to Estimate Survival Curves Under Time-Varying Treatments 
                            
                            Lucia C. Petito, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health ; Sonja A. Swanson, Erasmus Medical Center; Miguel  Hernan, Harvard School of Public Health 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            24:
                              
                         
                        
                            Sufficient Cause Interaction for Ordinal and Categorical Outcomes 
                            
                            Jaffer  Zaidi ; Tyler   VanderWeele, Harvard University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            25:
                              
                         
                        
                            Combining Inverse Probability Weighting and Multiple Imputation to Adjust for Selection Bias in Electronic Health Records-Based Research 
                            
                            Tanayott  Thaweethai, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health ; Sebastien  Haneuse, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; David  Arterburn, Kaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            26:
                              
                         
                        
                            Efficient Design and Analysis of Cluster Randomized Trials 
                            
                            Hengshi  Yu, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor ; Fan  Li, Duke Univeristy; John A.  Gallis, Duke University; Elizabeth L. Turner, Duke Global Health Institutes 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            27:
                              
                         
                        
                            Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the K Parameter in the Poly-K Trend Test for Time-to-Event Data 
                            
                            Anna  Korpak, VA ERIC ; Barbara  McKnight, University of Washington 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            28:
                              
                         
                        
                            A Bayesian Nonparametric Approach to Estimate Causal Effects of Mediation in the Presence of Nonignorable Missingness 
                            
                            Dandan  Xu, US Food and Drug Administration ; Michael  Daniels, University of Florida 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            29:
                              
                         
                        
                            Multivariate Mediation Analysis with a Multi-Categorical Exposure Variable: An Application to Explore Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Obesity 
                            
                            Qingzhao  Yu, Louisiana State University Health Sciences Ctr ; Lin  Zhu, Louisiana State University Health Sciences Ctr; Bin  Li, Louisiana State University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            30:
                              
                         
                        
                            Balancing Scores Weighing Methods and Sensitivity Analysis to Unfold Health Disparity 
                            
                            Chen-Pin  Wang, University of Texas Health San Antonio  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            31:
                              
                         
                        
                            Power Evaluation for Covariate Balancing Propensity Score Methods 
                            
                            Byeong Yeob  Choi, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio ; Chen-Pin  Wang, University of Texas Health San Antonio; Joel  Michalek, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio; Jonathan  Gelfond, University of Texas Health San Antonio 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            32:
                              
                         
                        
                            Embedding Observational Studies into Hypothetical Fractional-Factorial Experiments 
                            
                            Nicole  Pashley, Harvard University ; Marie-Abele  Bind, Harvard University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            33:
                              
                         
                        
                            Using Validation Data to Adjust the Inverse Probability Weighting Treatment Effect Estimator for Misclassified Treatment 
                            
                            Danielle  Braun, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health ; Corwin  Zigler, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; Francesca  Dominici, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health; Malka  Gorfine, Tel Aviv University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            34:
                              
                         
                        
                            Leveraging Multiple Study Designs and Statistical Methods to Evaluate Comparative Effectiveness of Asthma Medications  
                            
                            Tebeb  Gebretsadik, Vanderbilt University Medical Center ; Pingsheng  Wu, Vanderbilt University; Rees L Lee, U. S. Navy; Amber M Evans, Health ResearchTX LLC; Tan   Ding, Vanderbilt University Medical Center; Nicholas  M Sicignano, Health Research Tx ; Ann  Wu, Harvard Medical School; Carlos  Iribarren, Kaiser Permanente Division of Research; Butler  Melissa, Kaiser Permanente; Chang  Yu, Vanderbilt University Medical Center; William   Dupont, Vanderbilt University Medical Center; Christina  Fox, Health ResearchTx; Tina V Hartert, Vanderbilt University Medical Center 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            36:
                              
                         
                        
                            Gaussian Process Propensity Scores for Multiple Treatment Regimes 
                            
                            Brian  Vegetabile, UC Irvine ; Daniel  L. Gillen, University of California, Irvine; Hal  Stern, University of California, Irvine 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            37:
                              
                         
                        
                            Accounting for Variation in Instrumental Effect Estimates Leads to More Precise Estimates of Causal Effects in MR Studies 
                            
                            Richard  Barfield, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center ; Li  Hsu, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, USA 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            38:
                              
                         
                        
                            Estimating Causal Effect by Difference in Difference via Random Forest 
                            
                            Tomoshige  Nakamura, Graduate School of Science and Technology, Keio University ; Mihoko  Minami, Keio University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            39:
                              
                         
                        
                            Assessing Therapeutic Equivalence of Brand and Generic Drugs Using Observational Data 
                            
                            Lamar  Hunt, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg SPH & OptumLabs Visiting Fellows ; Daniel  Scharfstein, Johns Hopkins University; Irene  Murimi, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg SPH & OptumLabs Visiting Fellows; Jodi  Segal, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg SPH & OptumLabs Visiting Fellows; Ravi  Varadhan, Johns Hopkins University; Ramin  Mojtabai, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg SPH 
                         
                     
                
            
                
                     Oral Presentations
  for this session. 
                  
             
        
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            294 *  ! 
             
         
        
             Tue, 7/31/2018,
                8:30 AM -
                10:20 AM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 122 
         
     
    
        
            Epidemiologic Methods for the Re-Use of Existing Data  — Topic Contributed Papers 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Epidemiology  
         
     
    
    
        
            Organizer(s): Erinn  Hade, Ohio State University 
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Sarah  Janse, The Ohio State University 
         
     
    
                    
                        
                            8:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            Genetic Association Testing with Imperfect Phenotypes Derived from Electronic Health Records 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Jennifer  Sinnott, Ohio State University  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            8:55 AM 
                         
                        
                            Data Integration for the Simultaneous Estimation of Normal Means 
                            
                            Sihai Dave Zhao, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:15 AM 
                         
                        
                            Spatiotemporal Trends in Heart Disease Mortality Rates by Age, Race, and Sex 
                            
                            Harrison  Quick, Drexel University ; Adam  Vaughan, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Michele  Casper, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Linda  Schieb, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Michael  Kramer, Emory University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            Re-Use of Multiple Nested Case Control Studies from the Women's Health Initiative 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Erinn  Hade, Ohio State University ; Theodore  M. Brasky, The Ohio State University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:55 AM 
                         
                        
                            Regression Splines and Multi-Group Propensity Score Weighting for the Study of Surgical Volume-Outcome Relationships 
                            
                            Jennifer  Cooper, Nationwide Children's Hospital  
                         
                     
                
    
        
            10:15 AM
         
        
            Floor Discussion 
         
     
    
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            300 
             
         
        
             Tue, 7/31/2018,
                8:30 AM -
                10:20 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 209 
         
     
    
        
            SPEED: Statistical Epidemiology — Contributed Speed 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Epidemiology , Section on Teaching of Statistics in the Health Sciences, Section on Medical Devices and Diagnostics 
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Jimmy  Efird, University of Newcastle 
         
     
    
            
                
                     Poster Presentations
  for this session. 
                  
             
        
                    
                        
                            8:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            Meta-Analysis of the Difference of Medians 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Sean  McGrath, McGill University ; Andrea  Benedetti, Respiratory Epidemiology and Clinical Research Unit, McGill University Health Centre; Russell  Steele, McGill University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            8:40 AM 
                         
                        
                            Model Validation of Time-To-Event Analyzes via the Concordance Statistic 
                            
                            Samantha-Jo  Caetano, McMaster University  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            8:45 AM 
                         
                        
                            A Comparative Longitudinal Study of the Distributions of Observed Versus Estimated Untreated Natural Blood Pressures 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Saryet  Kucukemiroglu  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            8:50 AM 
                         
                        
                            Meta-Analysis of Depression on the Risk of Fracture and Bone Loss in Prospective Cohort Studies 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Qing  Wu, University of Nevada, Las Vegas ; Baowen  Liu, University of Nevada, Las Vegas; Sajib  Tonmoy, University of Nevada, Las Vegas 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            8:55 AM 
                         
                        
                            Expected Versus Observed Effects on Conditional Probability for Clinical Trial Futility Assessment  
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Zhibao  Mi, VA CSPCC Perry Point ; Kelsey A.L. Alexovitz, VA Cooperative Studies Program Coordinating Center; Xiaoli   Lu, VA Cooperative Studies Program Coordinating Center; Kousick  Biswas, VA Cooperative Studies Program Coordinating Center; Joseph  F Collins, VA Cooperative Studies Program Coordinating Center 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:00 AM 
                         
                        
                            Logistic Regression with a Right-Skewed Exposure Variable Measured in Pools and Subject to Errors 
                            
                            Dane R Van Domelen, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University ; Emily M Mitchell, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality; Enrique F Schisterman, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development; Neil  Perkins, DIPHR/NICHD/NIH; Robert  Lyles, Emory University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:05 AM 
                         
                        
                            Invalid Statistical Inference Due to Social Network Dependence 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Youjin  Lee, Johns Hopkins School of Public Health ; Elizabeth   Ogburn, Johns Hopkins School of Public Health 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:10 AM 
                         
                        
                            Compatible Estimates for the Risk Ratio, Odds Ratio, and Risk Difference 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Charles  Rose, CDC  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:15 AM 
                         
                        
                            A Joint Model of Opioid Treatment Admissions and Deaths for Adults and Adolescents in Ohio Counties  
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            David  Kline, Ohio State University ; Staci  Hepler, Wake Forest University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:20 AM 
                         
                        
                            A Comparison of Some Propensity Score Methods 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Yuping  Wu, Cleveland State University ; Amgad Mohammed Alajlan, Cleveland State University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:30 AM 
                         
                        
                            Comparison of Group Testing Algorithms for Clustered Data 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Ana  Best, NIH NCI DCEG Biostatistics Branch ; Paul  S Albert, National Cancer Institute; Yaakov  Malinovsky, University of Maryland Baltimore County Dept. of Mathematics and Statistics 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            Incorporating Genetic Network into Case-Control Association Studies with High-Dimensional DNA Methylation Data 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Hokeun  Sun, Pusan National University  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:40 AM 
                         
                        
                            Application of External Concordance Method  
                            
                            Wenliang  Yao, Astrazeneca ; Pralay  Mukhopadhyay, Astrazeneca 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:45 AM 
                         
                        
                            Estimating Memory Decline Among Nondemented Older Adults 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Wenzhu  Mowrey, Albert Einstein College of Medicine ; Ellen  Grober, Albert Einstein College of Medicine; Molly E Zimmerman, Albert Einstein College of Medicine; Mindy J Katz, Albert Einstein College of Medicine; Charles B Hall, Albert Einstein College of Medicine; Martin J Sliwinski, Pennsylvania State University; Richard B Lipton, Albert Einstein College of Medicine 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:50 AM 
                         
                        
                            A Probabilistic Linkage Approach for Combining VA and State Prescription Drug Databases for Evaluating Veterans' Receipt of Long-Term Opioid Therapy Across Multiple Systems 
                            
                            Larry  Cook, University of Utah ; Tess A Gilbert, HSR&D Center to Improve Veteran Involvement in Care ; Kathleen F Carlson, HSR&D Center to Improve Veteran Involvement in Care 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:55 AM 
                         
                        
                            Application of a Method for Identifying Disease Subtypes That Are Etiologically Heterogeneous 
                            
                            Emily  Zabor, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center ; Colin B Begg, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center 
                         
                     
                
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            306 
             
         
        
             Tue, 7/31/2018,
                8:30 AM -
                10:20 AM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 119 
         
     
    
        
            Disease Prediction — Contributed Papers 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Epidemiology  
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Brenda  Kurland, University of Pittsburgh 
         
     
    
                    
                        
                            8:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            Uncertainty Estimates for Population Attributable Fractions 
                            
                            Breda  Munoz, RTI International  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            8:50 AM 
                         
                        
                            Age-Related Variations in Cancer Mortality Rates 
                            
                            Keshav  Pokhrel, University of Michigan-Dearborn  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:05 AM 
                         
                        
                            Grouping Trajectories of Unbalanced Longitudinal Data: a Comparison Between Growth Curve Mixture Models and Clustering BLUPs from Mixed Effects Models  
                            
                            Md  Hossain, Nemours Biomedical Research, A.I. DuPont Children's Hospital ; Benjamin  Leiby, Thomas Jefferson University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:20 AM 
                         
                        
                            A Statistical Approach Based on NHANES 1963-2016 Data to Track Severe Obesity in Children Aged 2-20 Years  
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Rong  Wei, National Center for Health Statistics ; David S Freedman, Division of Nutrition, Physical Activity and Obesity, CDC 
                         
                     
                
    
        
            9:35 AM
         
        
            Floor Discussion 
         
     
    
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            342 
             
         
        
             Tue, 7/31/2018,
                10:30 AM -
                12:20 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 209 
         
     
    
        
            SPEED: Sports to Fire: Fascinating Applications of Statistics — Contributed Speed 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Sports , SSC , Section on Statistics in Imaging, Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statistical Consulting, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Statistical Auditing Interest Group, Transportation Statistics Interest Group, Section on Teaching of Statistics in the Health Sciences, Section for Statistical Programmers and Analysts 
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Bo  Chen, University of Toronto 
         
     
    
            
                
                     Poster Presentations
  for this session. 
                  
             
        
                    
                        
                            10:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            Claim-Level Models Using Statistical Learning Techniques and Risk Analysis 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Mathieu  Pigeon, Université du Québec à Montréal ; Francis  Duval, Université du Québec à Montréal 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:40 AM 
                         
                        
                            Beach Volleyball Team Optimization 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Matthew  Oehler, BYU  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:45 AM 
                         
                        
                            Distributions of Time to First Spot Fire 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Trevor  Thomson, Simon Fraser University  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:50 AM 
                         
                        
                            Rao-Blackwellizing Field Goal Percentage in the NBA 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Daniel  Daly-Grafstein, Simon Fraser University ; Luke  Bornn, Sacramento Kings and Simon Fraser University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:55 AM 
                         
                        
                            Estimating Attendance at Non-Ticketed Non-Gated Events 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Carl  Schwarz, Simon Fraser University  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:10 AM 
                         
                        
                            Teaching Statistics Graduate Students the Importance of Reproducible Research 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Kristen  McQuerry, University of Kentucky  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:15 AM 
                         
                        
                            Shared and Study-Specific Dietary Patterns: a Novel Approach to Replicability and Validity 
                            
                            Roberta  De Vito ; Carlo  La Vecchia, Università degli Studi di Milano; Giovanni  Parmigiani , Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health / Dana-Farber Cancer Institute; Valeria  Edefonti, Università degli Studi di Milano 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:20 AM 
                         
                        
                            Statistical Ethics and Challenging Substantial Errors in Statistical Methods and Results in a Prominent Peer Reviewed Economics Journal  
                            
                            Chris  Barker, Statistical Planning and Analysis Services, Inc.  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:30 AM 
                         
                        
                            To Bet or Not to Bet - the Modified Kelly Criteria  
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Dani  Chu, SFU Sports Analytics Club ; Yifan  Wu, Simon Fraser University; Tim  Swartz, Simon Fraser University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            The Home Run Spike of MLB 2017: Drop in Quality of Pitch (QOP) Is a Missing Factor 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Jason  Wilson, Biola University  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:40 AM 
                         
                        
                            An Application of Machine Learning for 3D IC Defect Detection 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Meihui  Guo, National Sun Yat-Sen University ; Yu-Jung  Huang, I-Shou University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:50 AM 
                         
                        
                            The Simple Story of Advanced NBA Metrics 
                            
                            Zach  Fulker, University of Pittsburgh ; Tyler  Folta, University of Pittsburgh; Lucas  Mentch, University of Pittsburgh 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:55 AM 
                         
                        
                            Application of Email Spam Filtering Algorithms to SMS Data 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Yishu  Xue, University Of Connecticut  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            12:00 PM 
                         
                        
                            MLB Rule IV Draft: Valuing Draft Pick Slots 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Anthony  Cacchione, City College of New York  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            12:05 PM 
                         
                        
                            Assessing the Impact of Practice Restriction Rules on Injury Rates in the National Football League (NFL) 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Zachary  Binney, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University ; Cecile  Janssens, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University; Kyle E Hammond, Emory University School of Medicine; Mitchel  Klein, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University; Michael  Goodman, Emory University 
                         
                     
                
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            349 
             
         
        
             Tue, 7/31/2018,
                10:30 AM -
                12:20 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 202 
         
     
    
        
            Longitudinal, Spatial, and Bayesian Methods — Contributed Papers 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Epidemiology  
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Veronica J. Berrocal, University of Michigan 
         
     
    
                    
                        
                            10:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            The Relationship Between Moderate to Vigorous Physical Activity and Metabolic Syndrome: a Bayesian Measurement Error Approach  
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Daniel  Ries, Sandia National Laboratories ; Alicia  Carriquiry, Iowa State University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:50 AM 
                         
                        
                            Relationship Between Caffeine Intake and Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease Progression 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Katelyn  McKenzie, University of Kansas Medical Center ; Jonathan D Mahnken, University of Kansas Medical Center; Mirelle  El Ters, Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, Mayo Clinic; Vicente E Torres, Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, Mayo Clinic; Peter C Harris, Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, Mayo Clinic; Arlene B Chapman, Section of Nephrology, University of Chicago School of Medicine; Michal  Mrug, Division of Nephrology, University of Alabama; Frederic F. Rahbari-Oskoui, Emory University School of Medicine; Kyongtae Ty Bae, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine; Douglas P Landsittel, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine; William M Bennett, Legacy Good Samaritan Hospital; Alan S. L. Yu, Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, and the Jared Grantham Kidney Institute, KUMC 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:05 AM 
                         
                        
                            Estimating Small Area Life Expectancy Using Hellinger Distance Spatial Correlation 
                            
                            Robert E. Johnson, Vanderbilt University ; Sarah  Lotspeich, Vanderbilt University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:20 AM 
                         
                        
                            Spatial Statistics Vs Machine Learning: Evaluating Air Pollution Exposure Prediction Models 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Gregory  Watson, UCLA ; Donatello  Telesca, UCLA 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            Time-Stratified LOESS Smoothers for Estimating and Testing Temporal Heterogeneity in Spatial Risk Patterns 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Yannan  Tang, UCI  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:50 AM 
                         
                        
                            Estimating Gestational Age from Maternal and Neonatal Anthropometry 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Ana Maria  Ortega-Villa, National Institutes of Health ; Paul  S Albert, National Cancer Institute 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            12:05 PM 
                         
                        
                            Application of Bayesian Analysis on Blood Lead Level Data for Children 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Shailendra  Banerjee, Centers for Disease Control  
                         
                     
                
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            367 
             
         
        
             Tue, 7/31/2018,
                11:35 AM -
                12:20 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West Hall B 
         
     
    
        
            SPEED: Statistical Epidemiology — Contributed Poster Presentations 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Epidemiology , Section on Teaching of Statistics in the Health Sciences, Section on Medical Devices and Diagnostics 
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Paul  McNicholas, McMaster University 
         
     
    
            
                
                     Oral Presentations
  for this session. 
                  
             
        
                    
                        
                            1:
                              
                         
                        
                            Meta-Analysis of the Difference of Medians 
                            
                            Sean  McGrath, McGill University ; Andrea  Benedetti, Respiratory Epidemiology and Clinical Research Unit, McGill University Health Centre; Russell  Steele, McGill University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:
                              
                         
                        
                            Model Validation of Time-To-Event Analyzes via the Concordance Statistic 
                            
                            Samantha-Jo  Caetano, McMaster University  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            3:
                              
                         
                        
                            A Comparative Longitudinal Study of the Distributions of Observed Versus Estimated Untreated Natural Blood Pressures 
                            
                            Saryet  Kucukemiroglu  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            4:
                              
                         
                        
                            Meta-Analysis of Depression on the Risk of Fracture and Bone Loss in Prospective Cohort Studies 
                            
                            Qing  Wu, University of Nevada, Las Vegas ; Baowen  Liu, University of Nevada, Las Vegas; Sajib  Tonmoy, University of Nevada, Las Vegas 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            5:
                              
                         
                        
                            Expected Versus Observed Effects on Conditional Probability for Clinical Trial Futility Assessment  
                            
                            Zhibao  Mi, VA CSPCC Perry Point ; Kelsey A.L. Alexovitz, VA Cooperative Studies Program Coordinating Center; Xiaoli   Lu, VA Cooperative Studies Program Coordinating Center; Kousick  Biswas, VA Cooperative Studies Program Coordinating Center; Joseph  F Collins, VA Cooperative Studies Program Coordinating Center 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            6:
                              
                         
                        
                            Logistic Regression with a Right-Skewed Exposure Variable Measured in Pools and Subject to Errors 
                            
                            Dane R Van Domelen, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University ; Emily M Mitchell, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality; Enrique F Schisterman, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development; Neil  Perkins, DIPHR/NICHD/NIH; Robert  Lyles, Emory University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            7:
                              
                         
                        
                            Invalid Statistical Inference Due to Social Network Dependence 
                            
                            Youjin  Lee, Johns Hopkins School of Public Health ; Elizabeth   Ogburn, Johns Hopkins School of Public Health 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            8:
                              
                         
                        
                            Compatible Estimates for the Risk Ratio, Odds Ratio, and Risk Difference 
                            
                            Charles  Rose, CDC  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:
                              
                         
                        
                            A Joint Model of Opioid Treatment Admissions and Deaths for Adults and Adolescents in Ohio Counties  
                            
                            David  Kline, Ohio State University ; Staci  Hepler, Wake Forest University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:
                              
                         
                        
                            A Comparison of Some Propensity Score Methods 
                            
                            Yuping  Wu, Cleveland State University ; Amgad Mohammed Alajlan, Cleveland State University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:
                              
                         
                        
                            Comparison of Group Testing Algorithms for Clustered Data 
                            
                            Ana  Best, NIH NCI DCEG Biostatistics Branch ; Paul  S Albert, National Cancer Institute; Yaakov  Malinovsky, University of Maryland Baltimore County Dept. of Mathematics and Statistics 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            12:
                              
                         
                        
                            Incorporating Genetic Network into Case-Control Association Studies with High-Dimensional DNA Methylation Data 
                            
                            Hokeun  Sun, Pusan National University  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            13:
                              
                         
                        
                            Application of External Concordance Method  
                            
                            Wenliang  Yao, Astrazeneca ; Pralay  Mukhopadhyay, Astrazeneca 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            14:
                              
                         
                        
                            Estimating Memory Decline Among Nondemented Older Adults 
                            
                            Wenzhu  Mowrey, Albert Einstein College of Medicine ; Ellen  Grober, Albert Einstein College of Medicine; Molly E Zimmerman, Albert Einstein College of Medicine; Mindy J Katz, Albert Einstein College of Medicine; Charles B Hall, Albert Einstein College of Medicine; Martin J Sliwinski, Pennsylvania State University; Richard B Lipton, Albert Einstein College of Medicine 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            15:
                              
                         
                        
                            A Probabilistic Linkage Approach for Combining VA and State Prescription Drug Databases for Evaluating Veterans' Receipt of Long-Term Opioid Therapy Across Multiple Systems 
                            
                            Larry  Cook, University of Utah ; Tess A Gilbert, HSR&D Center to Improve Veteran Involvement in Care ; Kathleen F Carlson, HSR&D Center to Improve Veteran Involvement in Care 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            16:
                              
                         
                        
                            Application of a Method for Identifying Disease Subtypes That Are Etiologically Heterogeneous 
                            
                            Emily  Zabor, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center ; Colin B Begg, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center 
                         
                     
                
            
                
                     Oral Presentations
  for this session. 
                  
             
        
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            383 *  ! 
             
         
        
             Tue, 7/31/2018,
                2:00 PM -
                3:50 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 109 
         
     
    
        
            New Developments in Sensitivity Analysis for Unmeasured Confounding — Invited Papers 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Epidemiology , ENAR, Health Policy Statistics Section 
         
     
    
    
        
            Organizer(s): Liangyuan  Hu, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai 
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Chenyang   Gu, Harvard Medical School 
         
     
    
                    
                        
                            2:05 PM 
                         
                        
                            Sensitivity Analysis in Multilevel Models 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Nicole Bohme Carnegie, Montana State University ; Jennifer L Hill, New York University; Masataka  Harada, Fukuoka University; Vincent  Dorie, New York University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:30 PM 
                         
                        
                            Assessing Sensitivity to Unmeasured Confounding with Multiple Treatments and a Binary or Survival Outcome: A Bayesian Approach 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Liangyuan  Hu, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai ; Chenyang   Gu, Harvard Medical School; Michael   Lopez , Skidmore College 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:55 PM 
                         
                        
                            A Comparison of Bayesian and Monte Carlo Sensitivity Analysis for Unmeasured Confounding 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Lawrence  McCandless, Simon Fraser University ; Paul  Gustafson, University of British Columbia 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            3:20 PM 
                         
                        
                            Causal Inference Using a Bayesian Nonparametric Model with Informative Priors on Sensitivity Parameters 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Jason  Roy, University of Pennsylvania  
                         
                     
                
    
        
            3:45 PM
         
        
            Floor Discussion 
         
     
    
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            435 
             
         
        
             Tue, 7/31/2018,
                3:05 PM -
                3:50 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West Hall B 
         
     
    
        
            SPEED: Sports to Fire: Fascinating Applications of Statistics — Contributed Poster Presentations 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Sports , SSC , Section on Statistics in Imaging, Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statistical Consulting, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Statistical Auditing Interest Group, Transportation Statistics Interest Group, Section on Teaching of Statistics in the Health Sciences, Section for Statistical Programmers and Analysts 
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Paul  McNicholas, McMaster University 
         
     
    
            
                
                     Oral Presentations
  for this session. 
                  
             
        
                    
                        
                            1:
                              
                         
                        
                            Claim-Level Models Using Statistical Learning Techniques and Risk Analysis 
                            
                            Mathieu  Pigeon, Université du Québec à Montréal ; Francis  Duval, Université du Québec à Montréal 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:
                              
                         
                        
                            Beach Volleyball Team Optimization 
                            
                            Matthew  Oehler, BYU  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            3:
                              
                         
                        
                            Distributions of Time to First Spot Fire 
                            
                            Trevor  Thomson, Simon Fraser University  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            4:
                              
                         
                        
                            Rao-Blackwellizing Field Goal Percentage in the NBA 
                            
                            Daniel  Daly-Grafstein, Simon Fraser University ; Luke  Bornn, Sacramento Kings and Simon Fraser University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            5:
                              
                         
                        
                            Estimating Attendance at Non-Ticketed Non-Gated Events 
                            
                            Carl  Schwarz, Simon Fraser University  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            8:
                              
                         
                        
                            Teaching Statistics Graduate Students the Importance of Reproducible Research 
                            
                            Kristen  McQuerry, University of Kentucky  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:
                              
                         
                        
                            Shared and Study-Specific Dietary Patterns: a Novel Approach to Replicability and Validity 
                            
                            Roberta  De Vito ; Carlo  La Vecchia, Università degli Studi di Milano; Giovanni  Parmigiani , Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health / Dana-Farber Cancer Institute; Valeria  Edefonti, Università degli Studi di Milano 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:
                              
                         
                        
                            Statistical Ethics and Challenging Substantial Errors in Statistical Methods and Results in a Prominent Peer Reviewed Economics Journal  
                            
                            Chris  Barker, Statistical Planning and Analysis Services, Inc.  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:
                              
                         
                        
                            To Bet or Not to Bet - the Modified Kelly Criteria  
                            
                            Dani  Chu, SFU Sports Analytics Club ; Yifan  Wu, Simon Fraser University; Tim  Swartz, Simon Fraser University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            12:
                              
                         
                        
                            The Home Run Spike of MLB 2017: Drop in Quality of Pitch (QOP) Is a Missing Factor 
                            
                            Jason  Wilson, Biola University  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            13:
                              
                         
                        
                            An Application of Machine Learning for 3D IC Defect Detection 
                            
                            Meihui  Guo, National Sun Yat-Sen University ; Yu-Jung  Huang, I-Shou University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            15:
                              
                         
                        
                            The Simple Story of Advanced NBA Metrics 
                            
                            Zach  Fulker, University of Pittsburgh ; Tyler  Folta, University of Pittsburgh; Lucas  Mentch, University of Pittsburgh 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            16:
                              
                         
                        
                            Application of Email Spam Filtering Algorithms to SMS Data 
                            
                            Yishu  Xue, University Of Connecticut  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            17:
                              
                         
                        
                            MLB Rule IV Draft: Valuing Draft Pick Slots 
                            
                            Anthony  Cacchione, City College of New York  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            18:
                              
                         
                        
                            Assessing the Impact of Practice Restriction Rules on Injury Rates in the National Football League (NFL) 
                            
                            Zachary  Binney, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University ; Cecile  Janssens, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University; Kyle E Hammond, Emory University School of Medicine; Mitchel  Klein, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University; Michael  Goodman, Emory University 
                         
                     
                
            
                
                     Oral Presentations
  for this session. 
                  
             
        
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            474 
             
         
        
             Wed, 8/1/2018,
                8:30 AM -
                10:20 AM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 209 
         
     
    
        
            SPEED: Infectious Disease, Environmental Epidemiology, and Diet — Contributed Speed 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Epidemiology , Biometrics Section, Section for Statistical Programmers and Analysts 
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Kathleen  Jablonski, George Washington University 
         
     
    
            
                
                     Poster Presentations
  for this session. 
                  
             
        
                    
                        
                            8:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            A Weighted Kernel Machine Regression Approach to Environmental Pollutants and Infertility 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Zhen  Chen, NICHD/NIH ; Wei  Zhang, BBB/DIPHR/NICHD; Aiyi  Liu, BBB/DIPHR/NICHD; Germaine Buck Louis, George Mason University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            8:40 AM 
                         
                        
                            Multi-Frame Sampling Design for WTCHR  
                            
                            Sukhminder  Osahan, NYC DOHMH  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            8:45 AM 
                         
                        
                            Application of Principal Components Analysis to Urine Metal and Metalloid Exposures in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) Data 
                            
                            Po-Yung  Cheng, CDC ; Robert L Jones, CDC; Kathleen L Caldwell, CDC 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            8:50 AM 
                         
                        
                            Statistical Approaches to Assess Early Life Exposure to Complex Mixtures and Associations with Latent Patterns of Neurodevelopmental Trajectories 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Shelley H. Liu, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai ; Brent A. Coull, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health; Robert  Wright, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            8:55 AM 
                         
                        
                            A Data-Driven Approach for Assessing the Risk of Dengue Transmission Using High-Resolution Weather Data 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Chathurika  Hettiarachchige, IBM Research - Australia ; Roslyn   Hickson, IBM Research - Australia; Stefan  von Cavallar, IBM Research - Australia; Timothy  Lynar, IBM Research - Australia; Manoj  Gambhir, IBM Research - Australia 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:00 AM 
                         
                        
                            Trends of Influenza Vaccination Coverage Among Adult Populations, United States, 2010-2016  
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Pengjun  Lu, CDC/NCIRD/ISD/AB ; Mei-Chuan  Hung, CDC; Alissa   O'Halloran, CDC; Helen   Ding, CDC; Walter  Williams, CDC; James   Singleton , CDC 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:05 AM 
                         
                        
                            Longitudinal Regression Trees: An Application to Environmental Exposure and Growth 
                            
                            Brianna  Heggeseth, Macalester College ; Anna  Neufeld, Williams College 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:10 AM 
                         
                        
                            Modeling Vertical Transmission of Canine Visceral Leishmaniasis in Foxhounds in the United States 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Marie  Ozanne, University of Iowa  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:15 AM 
                         
                        
                            Comparison Between HIV Routine Testing Data and Sentinel Surveillance Data 
                            
                            Ben  Sheng, Pennsylvania State University ; Jeffrey  Eaton, Imperial College London; Kimberly  Marsh, UNAIDS; Mary  Mahy, UNAIDS; Le  Le Bao, Penn State University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:20 AM 
                         
                        
                            Estimating Efficacies of Supplementary Immunization Activities via Discrete Time Modeling of Disease Incidence Time Series 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Qi  Dong, University of Washington ; Jon  Wakefield, Univ of Washington; Kevin  McCarthy, Institute for Disease Modeling; Niket  Thakkar, Institute for Disease Modeling; Kurt  Frey, Institute for Disease Modeling 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:30 AM 
                         
                        
                            Causal Inference for Infectious Disease Interventions in Networks  
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Xiaoxuan  Cai, Yale University ; Forrest W Crawford, Yale School of Public Health 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            Online Sequential Monitoring of Disease Incidence Rates with an Application to the Florida Influenza-Like Illness Data  
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Kai  Yang, University of Florida ; Peihua   Qiu, University of Florida 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:40 AM 
                         
                        
                            Incidence, Latency, and Survival of Cancer After World Trade Center Exposure: Implementing a Large Epidemiologic Study Involving Many Data Sources 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Charles B Hall, Albert Einstein College of Medicine ; Rachel  Zeig-Owens, Albert Einstein College of Medicine; Amy R. Kahn, Bureau of Cancer Epidemiology, New York State Department of Health; James  Cone, World Trade Center Health Registry, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene; Jiehui  Li, World Trade Center Health Registry, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene; Mark  Farfel, World Trade Center Health Registry, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene; Robert  Brackbill, World Trade Center Health Registry, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene; Paolo  Boffetta, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:45 AM 
                         
                        
                            Estimation of Outcome Trajectory Using Inverse Probability of Censoring Weighting When Data Are Missing Not at Random 
                            
                            Dustin  Rabideau, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health ; Constantin T. Yiannoutsos, Indiana University Fairbanks School of Public Health; Ronald J. Bosch, Center for Biostatistics in AIDS Research, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; Judith  Lok, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:50 AM 
                         
                        
                            Impact of Distance Calculation Methods on Geospatial Analysis of Healthcare Access 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Sarah  Lotspeich, Vanderbilt University ; Robert E. Johnson, Vanderbilt University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:55 AM 
                         
                        
                            Creating a Composite Score for Physical Activity Using Shape Constrained Additive Model 
                            
                            Eli  Kravitz, Texas A&M Statistics ; Raymond J. Carroll, Texas A & M University; Sarah  Keadle, California Polytechnic State University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:00 AM 
                         
                        
                            Supervised Robust Profile Clustering 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Briana  Stephenson, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill ; Amy H Herring, Duke University Statistical Science; Andrew  Olshan, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:05 AM 
                         
                        
                            On the Impact of Empty Clusters in Transgenerational Studies 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Glen  McGee, Harvard University ; Marianthi-Anna   Kioumourtzoglou, Columbia University; Marc  Weisskopf, Harvard University; Sebastien  Haneuse, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; Brent A. Coull, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health 
                         
                     
                
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            482 
             
         
        
             Wed, 8/1/2018,
                8:30 AM -
                10:20 AM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 114 
         
     
    
        
            Causal Inference and Related Methods — Contributed Papers 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Epidemiology  
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Breda  Munoz, RTI International 
         
     
    
                    
                        
                            8:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            A Nonparametric Estimator for the Probability of Causation 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Maria  Cuellar, Carnegie Mellon University ; Edward  Kennedy, Carnegie Mellon University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            8:50 AM 
                         
                        
                            A Powerful Approach to the Study of Moderate Effect Modification in Observational Studies 
                            
                            Kwonsang  Lee, Harvard University ; Dylan  Small, University of Pennsylvania; Paul  Rosenbaum, University of Pennsylvania 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:05 AM 
                         
                        
                            Multiply Imputing Missing Values Arising by Design in Transplant Survival Data 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Robin  Mitra, University of Lancaster  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:20 AM 
                         
                        
                            Can We Train Machine Learning Methods to Outperform the High-Dimensional Propensity Score Algorithm? 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Mohammad Ehsanul Karim, University of British Columbia ; Robert W Platt, McGill University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            EXTENDED SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS for HETEROGENEOUS UNMEASURED CONFOUNDING with an APPLICATION to SIBLING STUDIES of RETURNS to EDUCATION 
                            
                            Raiden  Hasegawa, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania ; Colin  Fogarty, Massachusetts Institute of Technology 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:50 AM 
                         
                        
                            When Confounders Are Confounded: Naive Benchmarking in Sensitivity Analysis 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Carlos Leonardo  Kulnig Cinelli, UCLA ; Judea  Pearl, UCLA; Bryant  Chen, IBM 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:05 AM 
                         
                        
                            Principal Stratification for Longitudinal Data in Environmental Trials 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Joshua  Keller, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health ; Roger D Peng, Johns Hopkins University 
                         
                     
                
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            505 *  
             
         
        
             Wed, 8/1/2018,
                10:30 AM -
                12:20 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 206/207 
         
     
    
        
            Flexible Methods for Causality Research — Topic Contributed Papers 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Epidemiology , Biometrics Section, Health Policy Statistics Section 
         
     
    
    
        
            Organizer(s): Zhiwei  Zhang, University of California at Riverside 
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Zhiwei  Zhang, University of California at Riverside 
         
     
    
                    
                        
                            10:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            Sharp Instruments for Classifying Compliers and Generalizing Causal Effects 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Edward  Kennedy, Carnegie Mellon University  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:55 AM 
                         
                        
                            Matching Using Sufficient Dimension Reduction for Causal Inference 
                            
                            Yeying  Zhu, University of Waterloo ; Wei  Luo, Baruch College 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:15 AM 
                         
                        
                            A Robust and Efficient Approach to Causal Inference Based on Sparse Sufficient Dimension Reduction 
                            
                            Shujie  Ma, UC Riverside-Dept of Statistics  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            Generalizability of Causal Inference in Observational Studies Under Retrospective Convenience Sampling 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Zonghui  Hu, National Institute of Health ; Jing  Qin, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, NIH 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:55 AM 
                         
                        
                            A Novel Result on Collaborative Double Robustness 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Ivan  Diaz, Weill Cornell Medicine  
                         
                     
                
    
        
            12:15 PM
         
        
            Floor Discussion 
         
     
    
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            534 
             
         
        
             Wed, 8/1/2018,
                10:30 AM -
                12:20 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West Hall B 
         
     
    
        
            Contributed Poster Presentations: Section on Statistics in Epidemiology — Contributed Poster Presentations 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Epidemiology  
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Paul  McNicholas, McMaster University 
         
     
    
                    
                        
                            1:
                              
                         
                        
                            Behaviors and Exposures Associated with Pathogen Carriage at a Large Community Gathering 
                            
                            Ruby  Bayliss, St. Catherine University ; Meghan  Mason, St. Catherine University; Bozena  Morawski, University of Minnesota; James  Johnson, University of Miinesota; Connie  Clabots, Minneapolis VA Health Care System 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:
                              
                         
                        
                            Propensity Score Methods for Merging Observational and Experimental Data Sets 
                            
                            Evan Taylor Ragosa Rosenman, Stanford University ; Art  Owen, Stanford University; Michael  Baiocchi, Stanford University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            3:
                              
                         
                        
                            False Positives and Population Stratification 
                            
                            Renfang  Jiang, Michigan Tech University ; Jianping  Dong, Michigan Technological Universityu 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            4:
                              
                         
                        
                            Distance-Weighted Predictor Models to Estimate the Spatial Scale of Built Environment Health Effects 
                            
                            Adam  Peterson, University of Michigan ; Brisa N. Sanchez, University of Michigan; Emma V Sanchez-Vaznaugh, San Francisco State University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            5:
                              
                         
                        
                            Pairwise Comparisons for Ethnic Race Disparity in Reporting Sexually Transmitted Disease Among U.S. Male and Female Active Duty Military Members 
                            
                            Tzu-Cheg  Kao, Uniformed Services University ; Brian  Agan, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences; Yu-Han  Cheng, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences; Eric  Garges, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            6:
                              
                         
                        
                            A Nonlinear Mixed Effects Model to Estimate Declines in Mycobacterium Tuberculosis DNA Burden from Viable Bacteria During Tuberculosis Treatment 
                            
                            Camille  Moore, National Jewish Health ; Nicholas  Walter, University of Colorado Denver 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            7:
                              
                         
                        
                            Reliability-Adjusted Composite Measures for the Prevention of Healthcare-Associated Infections (HAIs) 
                            
                            Mathew  Sapiano, CDC ; Jonathan R Edwards, Center for Disease Control & Prevention 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            8:
                              
                         
                        
                            Estimating the Causal Effect of Antidepressant Use on Time-To-Dementia for Incident MCI Patients Using Marginal Structural Fine-Gray Model 
                            
                            Ran  Duan, University of Kentucky  ; Erin L Abner, University of Kentucky; Daniela  Moga, University of Kentucky 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:
                              
                         
                        
                            Modeling the Progression of HIV/AIDS by a Hidden Markov Model(HMM) 
                            
                            Sanam  Sanei, Penn State ; Shanglun  Li, Penn State; Le  Le Bao, Penn State University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:
                              
                         
                        
                            Deriving and Validating New "Outcome" Variables in Patient Reported Epidemiological Data 
                            
                            Futoshi  Yumoto, Resonate ; Rochelle  Tractenberg, Georgetown University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            12:
                              
                         
                        
                            State-, County-, and Individual-Level Factors Associated with Influenza Vaccination Coverage Among Adults Based on a Multilevel Modeling Approach, BRFSS 2015 
                            
                            Alissa   O'Halloran, CDC ; Pengjun  Lu, CDC/NCIRD/ISD/AB; Anup  Srivastav, Leidos; David  Yankey, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Walter  Williams, CDC; James   Singleton , CDC 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            13:
                              
                         
                        
                            Using Twin Study Data to Identify Causal Effects Under Latent Confounding 
                            
                            Yige  Li, Harvard School of Public Health ; Zhichao   Jiang, Princeton University; Zhi  Geng, Peking University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            15:
                              
                         
                        
                            Catalyst: Agents of Change -- Comparing Compartment and Agent-Based Models 
                            
                            Shannon  Gallagher  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            16:
                              
                         
                        
                            On Causal Inference in the Presence of Limited Overlap 
                            
                            Tingting  Zhou, University of Michigan ; Michael  Elliott, University of Michigan; Roderick J  Little, University of Michigan 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            17:
                              
                         
                        
                            The Impact of Analysis Method and Model Specification for Handling Missing Covariate Data in Survival Analysis: a Case Study 
                            
                            Evon  Okidi, Brown University ; Joseph W Hogan, Brown University School of Public Health; Chanelle  Howe, Brown University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            18:
                              
                         
                        
                            Ggdag and Confoundr: R Packages for Causal Inference with DAGs and Data 
                            
                            Malcolm  Barrett  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            20:
                              
                         
                        
                            Estimation of HIV Prevalence and Covariance within High Risk Groups with Bayesian hierarchical modeling 
                            
                            Amy  Zhang, Pennsylvania State University ; Le  Bao, Pennsylvania State University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            21:
                              
                         
                        
                            Influence of Highly Correlated Cross-Basis Functions in the Distributed Lag Nonlinear Model 
                            
                            Lung-Chang  Chien, University of Nevada, Las Vegas ; Yunqi Vicky Liao, University of Texas Health Science Center (UTHealth) School of Public Health at Houston; Michael  Swartz, University of Texas Health Science Center (UTHealth) School of Public Health at Houston; Kristina  Whitworth, University of Texas Health Science Center (UTHealth) School of Public Health at Houston 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            22:
                              
                         
                        
                            Mediation with Latent Variables 
                            
                            Joshua  Sampson, National Cancer Institute ; Andriy  Derkach, National Cancer Institute; Ruth   Pfeiffer , National Cancer Institute 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            23:
                              
                         
                        
                            Quantifying Geographic Regions of Excess Stillbirth Risk in the Presence of Spatio-Temporal Heterogeneity 
                            
                            David  Zahrieh, Mayo Clinic Rochester ; Jacob J Oleson, The University of Iowa; Paul A Romitti, The University of Iowa 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            24:
                              
                         
                        
                            Exploring Treatment Heterogeneity Using Propensity Scores 
                            
                            Maozhu  Dai, University of California, Irvine ; Hal  Stern, University of California, Irvine 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            25:
                              
                         
                        
                            Representativeness of the Spinal Cord Injury Model Systems National Database 
                            
                            Jessica McKinney Ketchum, Craig Hospital  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            27:
                              
                         
                        
                            Bias Analysis of Current Approaches to Estimating Combined Population Attributable Risk for Multiple Risk Factors 
                            
                            Yibing  Ruan, Alberta Health Services ; Stephen D. Walter, McMaster University; Darren R. Brenner, Alberta Health Services; Christine M. Friedenreich, Alberta Health Services; on behalf of  ComPARe Study Team, Alberta Health Services 
                         
                     
                
            
                
                    
                 
             
        
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            537 
             
         
        
             Wed, 8/1/2018,
                10:30 AM -
                11:15 AM  
         
        
            
            CC-West Hall B 
         
     
    
        
            SPEED: Infectious Disease, Environmental Epidemiology, and Diet — Contributed Poster Presentations 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Epidemiology , Biometrics Section, Section for Statistical Programmers and Analysts 
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Paul  McNicholas, McMaster University 
         
     
    
            
                
                     Oral Presentations
  for this session. 
                  
             
        
                    
                        
                            1:
                              
                         
                        
                            A Weighted Kernel Machine Regression Approach to Environmental Pollutants and Infertility 
                            
                            Zhen  Chen, NICHD/NIH ; Wei  Zhang, BBB/DIPHR/NICHD; Aiyi  Liu, BBB/DIPHR/NICHD; Germaine Buck Louis, George Mason University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:
                              
                         
                        
                            Multi-Frame Sampling Design for WTCHR  
                            
                            Sukhminder  Osahan, NYC DOHMH  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            3:
                              
                         
                        
                            Application of Principal Components Analysis to Urine Metal and Metalloid Exposures in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) Data 
                            
                            Po-Yung  Cheng, CDC ; Robert L Jones, CDC; Kathleen L Caldwell, CDC 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            4:
                              
                         
                        
                            Statistical Approaches to Assess Early Life Exposure to Complex Mixtures and Associations with Latent Patterns of Neurodevelopmental Trajectories 
                            
                            Shelley H. Liu, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai ; Brent A. Coull, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health; Robert  Wright, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            5:
                              
                         
                        
                            A Data-Driven Approach for Assessing the Risk of Dengue Transmission Using High-Resolution Weather Data 
                            
                            Chathurika  Hettiarachchige, IBM Research - Australia ; Roslyn   Hickson, IBM Research - Australia; Stefan  von Cavallar, IBM Research - Australia; Timothy  Lynar, IBM Research - Australia; Manoj  Gambhir, IBM Research - Australia 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            6:
                              
                         
                        
                            Trends of Influenza Vaccination Coverage Among Adult Populations, United States, 2010-2016  
                            
                            Pengjun  Lu, CDC/NCIRD/ISD/AB ; Mei-Chuan  Hung, CDC; Alissa   O'Halloran, CDC; Helen   Ding, CDC; Walter  Williams, CDC; James   Singleton , CDC 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            7:
                              
                         
                        
                            Longitudinal Regression Trees: An Application to Environmental Exposure and Growth 
                            
                            Brianna  Heggeseth, Macalester College ; Anna  Neufeld, Williams College 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            8:
                              
                         
                        
                            Modeling Vertical Transmission of Canine Visceral Leishmaniasis in Foxhounds in the United States 
                            
                            Marie  Ozanne, University of Iowa  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:
                              
                         
                        
                            Comparison Between HIV Routine Testing Data and Sentinel Surveillance Data 
                            
                            Ben  Sheng, Pennsylvania State University ; Jeffrey  Eaton, Imperial College London; Kimberly  Marsh, UNAIDS; Mary  Mahy, UNAIDS; Le  Le Bao, Penn State University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:
                              
                         
                        
                            Estimating Efficacies of Supplementary Immunization Activities via Discrete Time Modeling of Disease Incidence Time Series 
                            
                            Qi  Dong, University of Washington ; Jon  Wakefield, Univ of Washington; Kevin  McCarthy, Institute for Disease Modeling; Niket  Thakkar, Institute for Disease Modeling; Kurt  Frey, Institute for Disease Modeling 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:
                              
                         
                        
                            Causal Inference for Infectious Disease Interventions in Networks  
                            
                            Xiaoxuan  Cai, Yale University ; Forrest W Crawford, Yale School of Public Health 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            12:
                              
                         
                        
                            Online Sequential Monitoring of Disease Incidence Rates with an Application to the Florida Influenza-Like Illness Data  
                            
                            Kai  Yang, University of Florida ; Peihua   Qiu, University of Florida 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            13:
                              
                         
                        
                            Incidence, Latency, and Survival of Cancer After World Trade Center Exposure: Implementing a Large Epidemiologic Study Involving Many Data Sources 
                            
                            Charles B Hall, Albert Einstein College of Medicine ; Rachel  Zeig-Owens, Albert Einstein College of Medicine; Amy R. Kahn, Bureau of Cancer Epidemiology, New York State Department of Health; James  Cone, World Trade Center Health Registry, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene; Jiehui  Li, World Trade Center Health Registry, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene; Mark  Farfel, World Trade Center Health Registry, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene; Robert  Brackbill, World Trade Center Health Registry, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene; Paolo  Boffetta, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            14:
                              
                         
                        
                            Estimation of Outcome Trajectory Using Inverse Probability of Censoring Weighting When Data Are Missing Not at Random 
                            
                            Dustin  Rabideau, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health ; Constantin T. Yiannoutsos, Indiana University Fairbanks School of Public Health; Ronald J. Bosch, Center for Biostatistics in AIDS Research, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; Judith  Lok, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            15:
                              
                         
                        
                            Impact of Distance Calculation Methods on Geospatial Analysis of Healthcare Access 
                            
                            Sarah  Lotspeich, Vanderbilt University ; Robert E. Johnson, Vanderbilt University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            16:
                              
                         
                        
                            Creating a Composite Score for Physical Activity Using Shape Constrained Additive Model 
                            
                            Eli  Kravitz, Texas A&M Statistics ; Raymond J. Carroll, Texas A & M University; Sarah  Keadle, California Polytechnic State University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            17:
                              
                         
                        
                            Supervised Robust Profile Clustering 
                            
                            Briana  Stephenson, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill ; Amy H Herring, Duke University Statistical Science; Andrew  Olshan, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            18:
                              
                         
                        
                            On the Impact of Empty Clusters in Transgenerational Studies 
                            
                            Glen  McGee, Harvard University ; Marianthi-Anna   Kioumourtzoglou, Columbia University; Marc  Weisskopf, Harvard University; Sebastien  Haneuse, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; Brent A. Coull, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health 
                         
                     
                
            
                
                     Oral Presentations
  for this session. 
                  
             
        
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            555 *  ! 
             
         
        
             Wed, 8/1/2018,
                2:00 PM -
                3:50 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 224 
         
     
    
        
            Using Surveys to Improve the Representativeness of Nonprobability Samples in Epidemiologic Studies — Invited Papers 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Epidemiology , Survey Research Methods Section, Biometrics Section 
         
     
    
    
        
            Organizer(s): Yan  Li, University of Maryland at College Park 
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Yan  Li, University of Maryland at College Park 
         
     
    
                    
                        
                            2:05 PM 
                         
                        
                            Combining Probability and Non-Probability Samples: Theory and Practice 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Michael  Elliott, University of Michigan ; Richard  Valliant, University of Michigan; Jack  Chen, SurveyMonkey 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:30 PM 
                         
                        
                            A Kernel Weighting Approach to Improve Population Representativeness of Epidemiological Cohort in the Analysis 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Lingxiao  Wang, The Joint Program in Survey Methodology, University of Maryland, College Park ; Barry Ira Graubard, National Cancer Institute; Hormuzd  A. Katki, Biostatistics Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology & Genetics, National Cancer Institute; Yan  Li, University of Maryland at College Park 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            2:55 PM 
                         
                        
                            Evaluating Disease Prediction Models Using a Cohort Whose Covariate Distribution Differs from That of the Target Population 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Alice S Whittemore, Stanford University  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            3:20 PM 
                         
                        
                            Population-Based Disease Risk Prediction Modeling Using National Survey, Clinical, and Registry Data: Application to Risk Prediction for Oropharyngeal Cancer in the US Population 
                            
                            Barry Ira Graubard, National Cancer Institute ; Anil  Chaturvedi, National Cancer Institute; Joseph  Tota, National Cancer Institute; Hormuzd  A. Katki, Biostatistics Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology & Genetics, National Cancer Institute 
                         
                     
                
    
        
            3:45 PM
         
        
            Floor Discussion 
         
     
    
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            606 *  ! 
             
         
        
             Thu, 8/2/2018,
                8:30 AM -
                10:20 AM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 212 
         
     
    
        
            Genetic Data for Epidemiologic Inference During an Outbreak: Statistical Challenges and Solutions — Invited Papers 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Epidemiology , Biometrics Section, Section on Statistics in Genomics and Genetics 
         
     
    
    
        
            Organizer(s): Forrest W Crawford, Yale School of Public Health 
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Forrest W Crawford, Yale School of Public Health 
         
     
    
                    
                        
                            8:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            Informing HIV Prevention and Surveillance Efforts Using Large-Scale Molecular Transmission Cluster Inference 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Sergei  Pond, Temple University ; Joel  Wertheim, University of California San Diego 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            8:55 AM 
                         
                        
                            Those Who Escaped Must Be Captured: Deconstructing Phylogenies and Transmission Trees in Infectious Disease Epidemiology 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Eben  Kenah, The Ohio State University School of Public Health  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            9:15 AM 
                         
                        
                            Estimation and Comparison of Transmission Trees Using Sequence Data 
                            
                            Caroline  Colijn, Simon Fraser University  
                         
                     
                
        
            
                9:55 AM
             
            
                Discussant:  Jacco  Wallinga, Leiden University Medical Center and National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (NL)
             
         
    
    
        
            10:15 AM
         
        
            Floor Discussion 
         
     
    
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            639 *  ! 
             
         
        
             Thu, 8/2/2018,
                10:30 AM -
                12:20 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 224 
         
     
    
        
            Causal Inference Meets Statistical Learning with Complex Data — Invited Papers 
         
     
    
        
            ENAR , Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Social Statistics Section, SSC 
         
     
    
    
        
            Organizer(s): Zhiqiang  Tan, Rutgers University 
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Michael  Elliott, University of Michigan 
         
     
    
                    
                        
                            10:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            Augmented Minimax Linear Estimation 
                            
                            Stefan  Wager, Stanford University ; David  Hirshberg, Columbia University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:00 AM 
                         
                        
                            Targeted Learning for Causal Inference 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Mark  van der Laan, UC Berkeley  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:25 AM 
                         
                        
                            Regularized Calibrated Estimation of Propensity Scores with Model Misspecification and High-Dimensional Data 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Zhiqiang  Tan, Rutgers University  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:50 AM 
                         
                        
                            Discovering Effect Modification in Observational Studies  
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Dylan  Small, University of Pennsylvania ; Jesse Yenchih Hsu, University of Pennsylvania; Paul  Rosenbaum, University of Pennsylvania; Kwonsang  Lee, Harvard University; Jose  Zubizarreta, Harvard University; Jeffrey  Silber, University of Pennsylvania 
                         
                     
                
    
        
            12:15 PM
         
        
            Floor Discussion 
         
     
    
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            648 *  
             
         
        
             Thu, 8/2/2018,
                10:30 AM -
                12:20 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 215/216 
         
     
    
        
            Statistical Challenges in the Analysis of EHR Data — Invited Papers 
         
     
    
        
            Health Policy Statistics Section , Section on Risk Analysis, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology 
         
     
    
    
        
            Organizer(s): Elizabeth   Sweeney, Flatiron Health  
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Brian  Segal, Flatiron Health 
         
     
    
                    
                        
                            10:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            Risk Prediction Using Longitudinal Predictors: An Application to Electronic Health Records Data 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Benjamin A Goldstein, Duke University ; Michael  Pencina, Duke University; Gina-Maria  Pomann, Duke University; Wolfgang  Winkelmayer, Baylor University 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:55 AM 
                         
                        
                            Utilizing Statistical Methods for Pre-Processing EHR Data for Analysis 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Alex  Milinovich, Cleveland Clinic  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:15 AM 
                         
                        
                            Deriving and Analyzing Endpoints from Electronic Health Record Data: a Case Study from Clinical Oncology 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Sandra  Griffith, Flatiron Health ; Ariel  Bourla, Flatiron Health; Bryan  Bowser, Flatiron Health ; Geoff  Calkins, Flatiron Health; Joe  Chang, Flatiron Health; Rebecca   Miksad , Flatiron Health ; Brian  Segal, Flatiron Health; Elizabeth   Sweeney, Flatiron Health ; Erin   Williams, Flatiron Health  ; Paul   You , Flatiron Health ; Amy  Abernethy, Flatiron Health 
                         
                     
                
    
        
            11:35 AM
         
        
            Floor Discussion 
         
     
    
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            652 *  ! 
             
         
        
             Thu, 8/2/2018,
                10:30 AM -
                12:20 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 109 
         
     
    
        
            Recent Innovation in Generalized Evidence Synthesis — Topic Contributed Papers 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Epidemiology , Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, International Chinese Statistical Association 
         
     
    
    
        
            Organizer(s): Jing   Zhang, University of Maryland College Park 
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Qiqi  Deng, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals 
         
     
    
                    
                        
                            10:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            A Bayesian Hierarchical Summary Receiver Operating Characteristic Model for Network Meta-Analysis of Diagnostic Tests 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Haitao  Chu, University of Minnesota Twin Cities ; Qinshu  Lian, University of Minnesota; James S. Hodges, University of Minnesota 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:55 AM 
                         
                        
                            Bayesian Hierarchical Methods for Meta-Analysis Combining Randomized-Controlled and Single-Arm Studies 
                            
                            Jing   Zhang, University of Maryland College Park ; Chia-Wen  Ko, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Lei   Nie, Division of Biometrics V, office of Biostatistics, CDER/FDA; Yong  Chen, University of Pennsylvania; Ram   Tiwari, Center for Devices and Radiologica Health, FDA 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:15 AM 
                         
                        
                            Bayesian Network Meta-Regression Models Using Heavy-Tailed Multivariate Random Effects with Covariate-Dependent Variances 
                            
                            Ming-Hui  Chen, University of Connecticut ; Hao  Li, University of Connecticut; Joseph G Ibrahim, University of North Carolina Chapel Hill; Sung Duk  Kim, National Cancer Institute; Arvind  K. Shah, MRL, Merck & Co., Inc.; Jianxin   Lin, MRL, Merck & Co., Inc.; Andrew  M. Tershakovec, MRL, Merck & Co., Inc. 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            Marginal Meta-Analysis for Combining Multiple Randomized Clinical Trials with Rare Events  
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Yi  Huang, University of Maryland, Baltimore County ; Elande  Baro, US FDA; Yun-Ju   Cheng, University of Maryland, Baltimore County; Guoxing  Song, US FDA 
                         
                     
                
        
            
                11:55 AM
             
            
                Discussant:  Chi  Song, Ohio State University
             
         
    
    
        
            12:15 PM
         
        
            Floor Discussion 
         
     
    
    
          
     
    
          
     
    
        
                    
                        
            672 
             
         
        
             Thu, 8/2/2018,
                10:30 AM -
                12:20 PM  
         
        
            
            CC-West 115 
         
     
    
        
            Methods for Infectious Disease Epidemiology — Contributed Papers 
         
     
    
        
            Section on Statistics in Epidemiology  
         
     
    
    
        
            Chair(s): Tao  Wang, Albert Einstein College of Medicine 
         
     
    
                    
                        
                            10:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            Pairwise Accelerated Failure Time Models for Infectious Disease Transmission Within and Between Households 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Yushuf  Sharker, Yale University ; Eben  Kenah, The Ohio State University School of Public Health 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            10:50 AM 
                         
                        
                            Are Zero-Modified Models the Panacea for Epidemiological Data with Excess Zeroes? 
                            
                            Ali  Arab, Georgetown University ; Frederic  Mortier, CIRAD, UPR Forests and Societies/Forests and Societies, Univ Montpellier, CIRAD 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:05 AM 
                         
                        
                            Model Choice and Future Prediction Accuracy in Time Series for Disease Incidence 
                            
                            Yew-Meng  Koh, Hope College  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:20 AM 
                         
                        
                            Modeling Social Contact Networks in Niakhar, Senegal 
                            
                            Gail  Potter, The Emmes Corporation ; Jimmy  Wong, FDA; Jonathan  Sugimoto, Fred Hutch; Aldiouma  Diallo, IRD; John Chris Victor , PATH; Kathleen  Neuzil, University of Maryland ; M Elizabeth  Halloran, Fred Hutch , University of Washington 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:35 AM 
                         
                        
                            A Bayesian Approach to Sequential Analysis in Post-Licensure Vaccine Safety Surveillance 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Rongxia  Li, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention  
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            11:50 AM 
                         
                        
                            Trends in Hepatitis B Birth Dose Vaccination Coverage Disparities by Birth Year Cohort for Children in the United States, 2005-2014 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Zhen  Zhao, CDC ; Holly A Hill, CDC 
                         
                     
                
                    
                        
                            12:05 PM 
                         
                        
                            A Unified Probability Model for Pathogenic Etiology of Infectious Diseases 
                            
                                                Presentation 
                                             
                                            
                            Nong  Shang, CDC