Activity Number:
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87
- Invited ePoster Session: a Statistical Smörgåsbord
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Type:
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Invited
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Date/Time:
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Sunday, July 29, 2018 : 8:30 PM to 10:30 PM
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Sponsor:
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SSC
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Abstract #327110
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Title:
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Estimation of Fire Duration Distribution with Missing Start Time
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Author(s):
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Yi Xiong* and John Braun and Joan Hu
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Companies:
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Simon Fraser University and University of British Columbia and Simon Fraser University
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Keywords:
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first-hitting-time model;
interval censoring;
longitudinal measures
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Abstract:
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To understand the distribution of fire duration is an important objective in many wildfire control studies. The exact start time of a wildfire, however, is never available and thus the full length of the fire duration is not recorded. We propose an estimation procedure for fire duration distribution using first-hitting-time model and the recorded longitudinal fire size information. We derive the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator and compare it with a few existing approaches by simulation. A collection of wildfire records is used to motivate and illustrate the proposed approach.
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Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.