Legend:
CC = Vancouver Convention Centre
F = Fairmont Waterfront Vancouver
* = applied session ! = JSM meeting theme
Activity Details
24 * !
Sun, 7/29/2018,
2:00 PM -
3:50 PM
CC-West 117
Assisting Natural Resource Agencies with Improved Inferences on Ecological Processes — Topic Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics and the Environment , Survey Research Methods Section
Organizer(s): Brian R Gray, US Geological Survey
Chair(s): Katharine Banner, Montana State University
2:05 PM
Methods for Estimating Trend in Indicators Monitored with Complex Survey Designs
Presentation
Leigh Starcevich, Western EcoSystems Technology Inc. (WEST)
2:25 PM
Modeling Abundance of Multiple Species Using Latent Regression Tree Algorithms
Presentation
Haoyu Zhang, Kansas State University ; Trevor Hefley, Kansas State University; Brian R Gray, US Geological Survey; Kristin Bouska, USGS
2:45 PM
A Multiseason Site Occupancy Model for Use When Sites Are Not Revisited Among Seasons
Brian R Gray, US Geological Survey ; Darryl I MacKenzie, Proteus Wildlife Research Consultants; Richard A Erickson, US Geological Survey
3:05 PM
Examining the Trade-Off Between Computational Gains and Reduced Flexibility When Marginalizing Discrete Latent States in Bayesian Population Models
Charles Yackulic; Michael Dodrill, USGS
3:25 PM
Exploiting the Latent Beta Distribution for Modeling Plant Abundance
Presentation
Kathryn Irvine, US Geological Survey
3:45 PM
Floor Discussion
62 *
Sun, 7/29/2018,
4:00 PM -
5:50 PM
CC-West 205
Modeling and Inference Using Stochastic Differential Equations — Topic Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics and the Environment
Organizer(s): Ephraim Hanks, The Pennsylvania State University
Chair(s): Ephraim Hanks, The Pennsylvania State University
4:05 PM
Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Stochastic Differential Equations Using Sequential Gaussian-Process-Based Optimization
Presentation
Peter Craigmile, The Ohio State University ; Grant Schneider, Upstart Network; Radu Herbei, The Ohio State University
4:25 PM
Statistical Inference for Multivariate Stochastic Differential Equations via Data Imputation
Presentation
Ge Liu, Ohio State University ; Peter Craigmile, The Ohio State University; Radu Herbei, The Ohio State University
4:45 PM
Statistical Modeling of Disease in Ecological Communities Using Partial Differential Equations
Trevor Hefley, Kansas State University ; Haoyu Zhang, Kansas State University; Robin Russell, United States Geological Survey; Anne Ballmann, United States Geological Survey
5:05 PM
Stochastic Differential Equation to Model Movement Data in Ecology
Marie-Pierre Etienne
5:25 PM
Floor Discussion
80
Sun, 7/29/2018,
4:00 PM -
5:50 PM
CC-West 204
Advancement in Spatial and Spatiotemporal Point Process — Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics and the Environment
Chair(s): James Faulkner, University of Washington
4:05 PM
A Computationally Tractable Estimation Procedure for Self-Exciting Spatio-Temporal Point Process Models
Presentation
James Molyneux, UCLA Statistics ; Frederic Paik Schoenberg, UCLA
4:20 PM
Velocities for Point Patterns
Presentation
Erin Schliep, University of Missouri ; Alan E Gelfand, Duke University
4:35 PM
Inferring Spatial Point Intensity of Geomagnetic Anomalies from Transect Sampling
Presentation
Kenneth Flagg, Montana State University ; Andrew Hoegh, Montana State University; Megan Higgs, Montana State University; John Borkowski, Montana State University
4:50 PM
Extensions on Non-Parametric Hawkes Models for Applications in Crime and Disease Spread
Presentation
Junhyung Park, UCLA ; Frederic Paik Schoenberg, UCLA
5:05 PM
Assessing Current Temporal and Space-Time Anomalies of Disease Incidence
Presentation
Chih-Chieh Wu, National Cheng Kung University ; Chien-Hsiun Chen, Academia Sinica; Sanjay Shete, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center
5:20 PM
Combining Disease Surveillance and Animal Movement Data to Predict Infectious Disease Spread
Sahar Zarmehri, The Pennsylvania State University ; Ephraim Hanks, The Pennsylvania State University; Lin Lin, The Pennsylvania State University
5:35 PM
Exploring the Dynamics of Interprovincial Mobility in China, Evidence from Panel Data
Presentation
Xin Shi, Manchester Metropolitan University ; James Cheng, Manchester Metropolitan University
87
Sun, 7/29/2018,
8:30 PM -
10:30 PM
CC-West Hall B
Invited ePoster Session: a Statistical Smörgåsbord — Invited Poster Presentations
SSC , Section on Bayesian Statistical Science , Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science, Section on Nonparametric Statistics, Biometrics Section, Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section for Statistical Programmers and Analysts, Section on Statistics in Imaging, WNAR, Social Statistics Section, Astrostatistics Special Interest Group, Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR, Section on Risk Analysis, Section on Statistical Consulting
Chair(s): Paul McNicholas, McMaster University
1:
The LISA 2020 Program to Build Statistics Capacity in Developing Countries
Eric Vance, LISA-University of Colorado Boulder
2:
Conditions for the Uniqueness, Finiteness, and Possible Location of the Maximum Likelihood Estimate with a Log Binomial Model
Gurbakhshash Singh, University of Calgary ; Gordon Hilton Fick, University of Calgary
3:
Two Mixture-Based Clustering Approaches: Modeling an Automobile Insurance Portfolio
Tatjana Miljkovic, Miami University ; Daniel Fernandez, Victoria University of Wellington
4:
An Expectation Conditional Maximization Approach for Gaussian Graphical Models
Zehang Li, University of Washington ; Tyler McCormick, University of Washington
5:
A Bayesian Model for Multivariate Micro-Level Insurance Claims
Marie-Pier Côté, Universite Laval ; Christian Genest, McGill University; David A Stephens, McGill University
6:
Deep Learning for Statistical Inference in Infectious Disease Systems
Rob Deardon, University of Calgary ; Carolyn Augusta, University of Guelph; Graham Taylor, University of Guelph
7:
Flexible Accelerated Failure Time Model in Survival Analysis
Menglan Pang, McGill University ; Michal Abrahamowicz, McGill University; Robert W Platt, McGill University
8:
Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Children and Adolescents' Emergency Department Use for Mental Health Reasons in Alberta, Canada
Michelle Thiessen, Simon Fraser University ; Joan Hu, Simon Fraser University; Rhonda J. Rosychuk, University of Alberta
9:
Approximate Bayesian Computation with Complex High-Dimensional Data and Limited Simulations
Taylor Gene Pospisil, Carnegie Mellon University
10:
Zero Counts in Single Cell RNA-Seq Data
Hao Wu, Emory University; Zhijin Wu, Brown University
11:
Quasi-Oracle Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects
Xinkun Nie, Stanford University ; Stefan Wager, Stanford University
12:
Estimation of Fire Duration Distribution with Missing Start Time
Yi Xiong, Simon Fraser University ; John Braun, University of British Columbia ; Joan Hu, Simon Fraser University
13:
Bayesian Nonparametric Hierarchical Models for Lightcurve Classification and Observation Decisions
David Edward Jones, Duke University and SAMSI ; Sujit Ghosh, North Carolina State Univ.; Ana-Maria Staicu, NC State University; Ashish Mahabal, Caltech
14:
Approximate Bayesian Computation for the Stellar Initial Mass Function
Jessi Cisewski-Kehe, Yale University ; Chad Schafer, Carnegie Mellon University; Grant Weller, Savvysherpa; David Hogg, New York University
15:
A Novel Bayesian Framework to Probe Closed Box Nature of Galaxy Clusters
Arya Farahi, University of Michigan - Ann Arbor
16:
Statistical Approaches to Decreasing the Discrepancy of Non-Detects in QPCR Data
Valeriia Sherina, University of Rochester Medical Center; Love Tanzy, University of Rochester Medical Center ; Matthew N. McCall, University of Rochester Medical Center
17:
Generalized Statistical Inference for Astrophysical Discoveries
Sara Algeri, Imperial College London ; David A van Dyk, Imperial College London; Jan Conrad, Oskar Klein Centre for Cosmoparticle Physics
18:
Nonparametric Causal Effects Based on Incremental Propensity Score Interventions
Edward Kennedy, Carnegie Mellon University ; Matteo Bonvini, Carnegie Mellon University
19:
Addressing Overfitting in Mixtures of Factor Analyzers
Jeffrey L Andrews, University of British Columbia Okanagan
20:
Spatiotemporal Analysis of Environmental Health Risk
Renjun Ma, University of New Brunswick ; Edward Hughes, Edward Hughes Consulting
21:
Probabilistic Partial Least Squares Regression Applied to Longitudinal and Cross-Sectional Compositional Data
Peter A Tait, McMaster Univeristy ; Paul McNicholas, McMaster University
22:
Detection of Trend Onset in Environmental Time Series
Ying Zhang, Acadia University
23:
The Analysis of Face Perception MEG and EEG Data Using a Potts-Mixture Spatiotemporal Joint Model
Yin Song, University of Victoria ; Farouk Nathoo; Arif Babul, University of Victoria
24:
Infere
Steven Cumming, Université Laval
25:
Functional Partial Linear Quantile Regression Based on Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space
Peng Liu, University of Alberta ; Linglong KONG, University of Alberta; Bei JIANG, University of Alberta; Nan Zhang, Fudan University; Jianhua Z. Huang, Texas A&M University
26:
Gaussian Process Regression with Large Data Sets: Has the Problem Been Solved?
Sonja Surjanovic, University of British Columbia ; William Welch, University of British Columbia
27:
Sparse Estimation for Functional Semiparametric Additive Model
Peijun Sang, Simon Fraser University ; Richard Lockhart, Simon Fraser University; Jiguo Cao, Simon Fraser University
28:
Analysis of Paired Binary Data Subject to Misclassification Using a Random Effect Model
Hua Shen, University of Calgary ; Richard John Cook, University of Waterloo
29:
A Grouped Weighted Quantile Regression Approach to Modeling Environmental Chemical Mixtures and Childhood Leukemia Risk
David C. Wheeler, Virginia Commonwealth University
30:
Efficient Robust Doubly Adaptive Regularized Regression with Application to fMRI Data
Wei Tu, University of Alberta
31:
A Model-Based Clustering to Identify Disease-Associated SNPs
Li Xing, University of Victoria ; Xuekui Zhang, University of Victoria; Yan Xu, University of Victoria; Weiliang Qiu, Brigham and Women's Hosptial/Harvard Medical School
32:
The Consequences of Requiring 'Greater Statistical Stringency' for Scientific Publication
Harlan Campbell, University of British Columbia ; Paul Gustafson, University of British Columbia
33:
Mixtures of Contaminated Shifted Asymmetric Laplace Factor Analyzers
Brian C Franczak, MacEwan University
34:
Uncertainty Quantification of Stochastic Computer Model for Binary Black Hole Formation
Luyao Lin, Simon Fraser University ; Jim Barrett, University of Birmingham; Derek Bingham, Simon Fraser University; Ilya Mandel, University of Birmingham
35:
Network Meta-Analysis of Disconnected Networks: How Dangerous Are Random Baseline Treatment Effects?
Audrey Béliveau, University of Waterloo ; Sarah Goring, SMG Outcomes Research; Robert W Platt, McGill University; Paul Gustafson, University of British Columbia
36:
Nonparametric Measures of Local Causality and Tests of Local Non-Causality in Time Series
Felix Camirand Lemyre, School of mathematics and statistics, University of Melbourne ; Taoufik Bouezmarni, Université de Sherbrooke; Jean-François Quessy, Université du Québec à Trois-Rivières
37:
Sparse Functional Principal Component Analysis in a New Regression Framework
YUNLONG NIE, Simon Fraser University ; Jiguo Cao, Simon Fraser University
38:
Inference of Introgressive Hybridization in Anopheles Mosquito Genomes
Jingxue(Grace) Feng, Simon Fraser University ; Liangliang Wang, Simon Fraser University; Cedric Chauve, Simon Fraser University
39:
Statistical Methods for Addressing Missing Data in HIV/AIDS Surveillance Systems
Sahar Zangeneh, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center ; Ying Qing Chen, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; Deborah Donnell, Fred Hutch
40:
Latent Mixtures of Functions to Characterize the Complex Exposure Relationships of Pesticides on Cancer Incidence
Sung Duk Kim, National Cancer Institute ; Paul S Albert, National Cancer Institute
96 * !
Mon, 7/30/2018,
8:30 AM -
10:20 AM
CC-East 10
Statistics at NCAR and the Emergence of the Atmospheric Science Statistics Community — Invited Papers
Section on Statistics and the Environment
Organizer(s): Dan Cooley, Colorado State University
Chair(s): Dan Cooley, Colorado State University
8:35 AM
Battle Royale: Machine Learning vs. Mechanistically Motivated Spatio-Temporal Models for Atmospheric and Oceanic Processes
Presentation
Christopher K. Wikle, University of Missouri
9:00 AM
Detection of Local Discrepancies Between Two Spatio-Temporal Random Fields
Bo Li, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign ; Xianyang Zhang, Texas A&M University; Sooin Yun, Univeristy of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
9:25 AM
Was It Raining the Day You Were Born?
William Kleiber, University of Colorado ; Gregory Benton, University of Colorado
9:50 AM
Discussant: Douglas William Nychka, NCAR
10:00 AM
Discussant: Dorit Hammerling, National Center for Atmospheric Research
10:10 AM
Floor Discussion
121
Mon, 7/30/2018,
8:30 AM -
10:20 AM
CC-West 212
SPEED: Data Expo — Contributed Speed
Section on Statistical Computing , Section on Statistical Graphics , Government Statistics Section , Section on Statistics and the Environment, Caucus for Women in Statistics
Chair(s): Wendy L Martinez, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Poster Presentations
for this session.
8:35 AM
Let's Talk About the Weather
Presentation
Jill Lundell, Utah State University ; Brennan Bean, Utah State University; Juergen Symanzik, Utah State University
8:40 AM
Modeling and Mapping Weather Forecast Accuracy
Queen Ikhelowa ; Darren Keeley, CSUEB
8:45 AM
Exploring Population Health with Fluctuations in Weather
Presentation
Brian Hochrein, IBM Watson Health
8:50 AM
Assessing Prediction Error in Traditional Weather Forecasts vs. a Data-Centric Approach
Presentation
Robert Garrett, Miami University ; Ryan Estep, Miami University; Nichole Rook, Miami University; Benjamin William Schweitzer, Miami University; Thomas Fisher, Miami University
8:55 AM
Verification, Diagnosis, and Adjustment of Current Temperature Forecasting System in the United States
Han-Yueh Lee, National Tsing Hua University ; Hsiao-Ting Lin, National Tsing Hua University
9:00 AM
Spatial Correlation in Weather Forecast Accuracy: A Functional Time Series Approach
Phillip Alexander Jang, Cornell University
9:05 AM
Should You Pay Attention to Daily Weather Forecast? An Exploration
Presentation
Dooti Roy, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals Inc. ; Gregory Vaughan, Bentley University; Jianan Hui, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals Inc.; Junxian Geng, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals Inc.
9:10 AM
The Impact of Bias and Uncertainty of Weather Forecasts on Storm Events
Presentation
Mary Frances Dorn, Los Alamos National Laboratory ; Kimberly Kaufeld, Los Alamos National Laboratory
9:15 AM
Uncertainty Quantification of Weather Forecasts
Yu Wang, University of British Columbia ; Gong Zhang, University of British Columbia; Boyi Hu, University of British Columbia; Ho Yin Ho, University of British Columbia
9:20 AM
Weather Forecasts: How Reliable Are They?
Presentation
Xuemao Zhang, East Stroudsburg University
9:30 AM
An Analysis on the Accuracy of Weather Forecasts
Presentation
Benjamin William Schweitzer, Miami University ; Nichole Rook, Miami University; Ryan Estep, Miami University; Robert Garrett, Miami University; Thomas Fisher, Miami University
9:35 AM
Do I Really Need a Jacket?
Presentation
Joe Watson, UBC ; Qiong Zhang, UBC; Daniel Dinsdale, The University of British Columbia
9:40 AM
The Myths About Weather Forecasting
Presentation
Yifan Wu, Simon Fraser University; Ying (Daisy) Yu, Simon Fraser University ; Chuyuan (Cherlane) Lin, Simon Fraser University
9:45 AM
Do I Need to Check the Weather Forecast, or Is Yesterday's Weather a Reasonable Prediction?
Presentation
Rachel Harter, RTI International ; Kayla Nowak, RTI International; Nicole Mack, RTI International
9:50 AM
BENCHMARKING the EFFECTIVENESS of CATEGORICAL RESPONSE VARIABLE MODELS and THEIR VISUALIZATIONS on WEATHER DATA
Kristen Bystrom ; Zhi Yuh Ou Yang, Simon Fraser University; Lei Chen, Simon Fraser University
9:55 AM
Analysis of Weather Forecasting Data for Data Expo 2018
Presentation
Jordan Rodu, University of Virginia
10:00 AM
Exploring Spatiotemporal Patterns in Forecast Data
Presentation
Erin Howard, Oregon State University ; Matthew Higham
144 * !
Mon, 7/30/2018,
10:30 AM -
12:20 PM
CC-East 9
Statistical Methods in Detection and Attribution of Changes in Climate Extremes — Invited Papers
Section on Statistics and the Environment , Section on Risk Analysis, The International Environmetrics Society
Organizer(s): Jun Yan, University of Connecticut
Chair(s): Kun Chen, University of Connecticut
10:35 AM
Fingerprinting Changes in Climate Extremes with Joint Modeling of Observations and Climate Model Simulation
Jun Yan, University of Connecticut ; Yujing Jiang, Colorado State University; Zhuo Wang, Shenzhen University, China; Xuebin Zhang, Environment and Climate Change Canada
11:00 AM
Exploring Extreme Weather Phenomena by Decomposing Extremal Dependence
Presentation
Dan Cooley, Colorado State University ; Yujing Jiang, Colorado State University
11:25 AM
Probabilities of Causation of Climate Changes
Alexis Hannart, Ouranos
11:50 AM
Discussant: Xuebin Zhang, Environment and Climate Change Canada
12:15 PM
Floor Discussion
165
Mon, 7/30/2018,
10:30 AM -
12:20 PM
CC-West 208
SPEED: Environmetrics: Spatio-Temporal and Other Models — Contributed Speed
Section on Statistics and the Environment , Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences
Chair(s): Rodrigue Ngueyep, IBM Research
Poster Presentations
for this session.
10:35 AM
Tools for Simulation-Based Uncertainty Quantification in Remote Sensing Inverse Problems
Jonathan Hobbs, Jet Propulsion Laboratory ; Amy Braverman, Jet Propulsion Laboratory; Ali Behrangi, University of Arizona; Sandy Burden, University of Wollongong; Eric Fetzer, Jet Propulsion Laboratory; Kyo Lee, Jet Propulsion Laboratory; Hai Nguyen, Jet Propulsion Laboratory
10:40 AM
A Bayesian Approach to Trend Filtering for Spatially Confounded Data
Presentation
Adam Walder
10:45 AM
Evaluating Proxy Influence and Reconstruction Skill in Data Assimilation Based Climate Field Reconstructions Using Extremal Depth
Trevor Harris, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Statistics ; Bo Li, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Nathan Steiger, Columbia University, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory; Jason Smerdon, Columbia University, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory; Justin Jacobs, Sandia National Laboratories
10:50 AM
Addressing Time of Measurement Bias in Records of Daily Temperature Extrema: A Spatio-Temporal Imputation Strategy
Presentation
Maxime Rischard, Harvard Statistics ; Natesh Pillai, Harvard Statistics; Karen A. McKinnon, National Center for Atmospheric Research; Descartes Labs
10:55 AM
Preferential Sampling in Geostatistics
Daniel Dinsdale, The University of British Columbia ; Matias British Salibian-Barrera, The University of British Columbia
11:00 AM
Spline Smoothing in Dendrochronology
Nicholas Bussberg, Indiana University ; Justin Maxwell, Indiana University; Scott Robeson, Indiana University; Chunfeng Huang, Indiana University
11:05 AM
Discriminant Analysis for High-Dimensional Spatio-Temporal Data
Presentation
Rejaul Karim, Michigan State University ; Taps Maiti, Michigan State University; Chae Young Lim, Seoul National University
11:10 AM
Combining Satellite Imagery and Numerical Model Simulation to Estimate Ambient Air Pollution: An Ensemble Averaging Approach
Presentation 1
Presentation 2
Nancy Murray, Emory University ; Howard Chang, Emory University; Heather Holmes, University of Nevada, Reno; Yang Liu, Emory University
11:15 AM
Identifying Epigenetic Regions Exhibiting Critical Windows of Susceptibility to Air Pollution
Presentation
Michele Zemplenyi, Harvard University ; Mark J Meyer, Georgetown University; Brent A. Coull, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health
11:35 AM
Nonstationarity in Spatiotemporal Fisheries Models
Presentation
John Best, School of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences, University of Washington
11:40 AM
Covariate-Adjusted Recurrent Processes on Network and an Application to Geyser Eruption Prediction
Zhongnan Jin, Virginia Tech ; Yili Hong, Virginia Tech
11:45 AM
Bayesian Estimation of Toluene and Trichloroethylene Biodegradation Kinetic Parameters
Presentation
Feng Yu, RTI International ; Breda Munoz, RTI International
11:50 AM
An Application of Monothetic Clustering to Data with Circular Variables
Presentation
Tan V Tran, Montana State University ; John C Priscu, Montana State University; Mark Greenwood, Montana State University; Marie Sabacká, University of South Bohemia
11:55 AM
Evaluating the Impact of Using Residential Histories When Estimating Environmental Exposure Effects
Anny-Claude Joseph, Virginia Commonwealth University ; David C. Wheeler, Virginia Commonwealth University
192
Mon, 7/30/2018,
10:30 AM -
12:20 PM
CC-West Hall B
Contributed Poster Presentations: Section on Statistics and the Environment — Contributed Poster Presentations
Section on Statistics and the Environment
Chair(s): Paul McNicholas, McMaster University
52:
Different Methods and Comparisons Dealing with Censored Count Data
Xiao Yu, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houson ; Lung-Chang Chien, University of Nevada, Las Vegas; Kai Zhang, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houson
54:
Inferential Techniques for Persistent Homology
Richard Ross, University of Georgia ; Nicole Lazar, University of Georgia; Lynne Seymour, University of Georgia; Thomas Mote, University of Georgia
56:
Improving Spatial Occupancy Model Parameter Estimation Using Citizen Science Data
David Huberman, North Carolina State University ; Brian Reich, North Carolina State University; Krishna Pacifici, North Carolina State University
57:
Bayesian Bivariate Extreme Value Analysis with Application in Environmental Statistics
Yuan Tian, North Carolina State University ; Brian Reich, North Carolina State University
58:
Determining Whether Mixtures of Environmental Chemicals Are Sufficiently Similar via Dimension-Reduction and Clustering
David Umbach, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences ; Caroll A. Co, Social & Scientific Systems, Inc.; Gregg E Dinse, Social & Scientific Systems, Inc.; Grace E Kissling, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences; Keith R. Shockley, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences; Marjo V. Smith, Social & Scientific Systems, Inc.
59:
Spatiotemporal Data Fusion of Remote Sensing Data Using Space-Time Dynamic Linear Models
Maggie Johnson, SAMSI ; Brian Reich, North Carolina State University; Marschall Furman, North Carolina State University; Joshua Gray, North Carolina State University
60:
Statistical Methods for Evaluating the Correlation Between Timeline Follow-Back Data and Daily Process Data: Results from a Randomized Controlled Trial
Wanjun Liu, Penn State University
61:
Identification of Contiguous Hours' Climatological Wind Modes Utilizing K-Means Clustering Analysis Combined with the V-Fold Cross-Validation Algorithm
Charles Fisk
62:
A Note on Managing Uncertainty About Source Release Height After an Accident
Ali Gargowm, United Arab Emirates Univ / College of Business & Economics
63:
Unearthing Correlations Between Crop Yields and Uncontrollable Factors
Tyler Netherly, Purdue University ; Elizabeth Bell, Purdue University; Madison Trout, Purdue University; Professor Dennis Buckmaster, Purdue University
64:
Optimal Sampling Regime for Estimating Population Dynamics
Rebecca Bergee ; Edward L Boone, Virginia Commonwealth University; Ryad Ghanam, Virginia Commonwealth University
65:
Risk Analysis of Human Health Among Artisanal Small-Scale Gold Mining Area in Indonesia
Koji Kanefuji, Institute of Statistical Mathematics ; Koyomi Nakazawa, Fukuoka Institute of Technology; Osamu Nagafuchi, Fukuoka Institute of Technology
66:
Depth-Based Clustering for Multivariate Time Series with Applications in Wind Energy
Laura L. Tupper, Williams College
199
Mon, 7/30/2018,
11:35 AM -
12:20 PM
CC-West Hall B
SPEED: Data Expo — Contributed Poster Presentations
Section on Statistical Computing , Section on Statistical Graphics , Government Statistics Section , Section on Statistics and the Environment
Chair(s): Paul McNicholas, McMaster University
Oral Presentations
for this session.
21:
Let's Talk About the Weather
Jill Lundell, Utah State University ; Brennan Bean, Utah State University; Juergen Symanzik, Utah State University
22:
Modeling and Mapping Weather Forecast Accuracy
Queen Ikhelowa ; Darren Keeley, CSUEB
23:
Exploring Population Health with Fluctuations in Weather
Brian Hochrein, IBM Watson Health
24:
Assessing Prediction Error in Traditional Weather Forecasts vs. a Data-Centric Approach
Robert Garrett, Miami University ; Ryan Estep, Miami University; Nichole Rook, Miami University; Benjamin William Schweitzer, Miami University; Thomas Fisher, Miami University
25:
Verification, Diagnosis, and Adjustment of Current Temperature Forecasting System in the United States
Han-Yueh Lee, National Tsing Hua University ; Hsiao-Ting Lin, National Tsing Hua University
26:
Spatial Correlation in Weather Forecast Accuracy: A Functional Time Series Approach
Phillip Alexander Jang, Cornell University
27:
Should You Pay Attention to Daily Weather Forecast? An Exploration
Dooti Roy, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals Inc. ; Gregory Vaughan, Bentley University; Jianan Hui, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals Inc.; Junxian Geng, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals Inc.
28:
The Impact of Bias and Uncertainty of Weather Forecasts on Storm Events
Mary Frances Dorn, Los Alamos National Laboratory ; Kimberly Kaufeld, Los Alamos National Laboratory
29:
Uncertainty Quantification of Weather Forecasts
Yu Wang, University of British Columbia ; Gong Zhang, University of British Columbia; Boyi Hu, University of British Columbia; Ho Yin Ho, University of British Columbia
30:
Weather Forecasts: How Reliable Are They?
Xuemao Zhang, East Stroudsburg University
31:
An Analysis on the Accuracy of Weather Forecasts
Benjamin William Schweitzer, Miami University ; Nichole Rook, Miami University; Ryan Estep, Miami University; Robert Garrett, Miami University; Thomas Fisher, Miami University
32:
Do I Really Need a Jacket?
Joe Watson, UBC ; Qiong Zhang, UBC; Daniel Dinsdale, The University of British Columbia
33:
Applying functional data analysis and clustering methods on weather forecast data in the U.S.
Yifan Wu, Simon Fraser University; Ying (Daisy) Yu, Simon Fraser University ; Chuyuan (Cherlane) Lin, Simon Fraser University
34:
Do I Need to Check the Weather Forecast, or Is Yesterday's Weather a Reasonable Prediction?
Rachel Harter, RTI International ; Kayla Nowak, RTI International; Nicole Mack, RTI International
35:
BENCHMARKING the EFFECTIVENESS of CATEGORICAL RESPONSE VARIABLE MODELS and THEIR VISUALIZATIONS on WEATHER DATA
Kristen Bystrom ; Zhi Yuh Ou Yang, Simon Fraser University; Lei Chen, Simon Fraser University
36:
Analysis of Weather Forecasting Data for Data Expo 2018
Jordan Rodu, University of Virginia
37:
Exploring Spatiotemporal Patterns in Forecast Data
Erin Howard, Oregon State University ; Matthew Higham
Oral Presentations
for this session.
216 * !
Mon, 7/30/2018,
2:00 PM -
3:50 PM
CC-West 206/207
Modern Bayesian Computing in Ecology — Invited Papers
ENAR , Section on Statistics and the Environment
Organizer(s): Mevin Hooten, Colorado State University
Chair(s): Perry Williams, Colorado State University
2:05 PM
Beyond the Black Box: Flexible Algorithm Programming for Ecological Models in NIMBLE
Presentation
Christopher Paciorek, University of California, Berkeley ; Colin Lewis-Beck, Iowa State University; Perry de Valpine, UC Berkeley; Daniel B. Turek, Williams College; Lauren Ponisio, UC Riverside; Nick Michaud, UC Berkeley
2:25 PM
Exact Inference in Functional Regression: Estimating Hydrological Controls on Ecosystem Dynamics in an Antarctic Lake
Presentation
Radu Herbei, The Ohio State University ; Corey J. Smith, The Ohio State University
2:45 PM
Hierarchical Computing for Hierarchical Models in Ecology
Mevin Hooten, Colorado State University
3:05 PM
Modeling Your Way Out of Hierarchical Models in Ecology
Presentation
Ephraim Hanks, The Pennsylvania State University
3:25 PM
Not All Hierarchical Models Are Created Equal: Interpretation, Model Adequacy and Statistical Computation
Presentation
Matthew Schofield, University of Otago ; Richard Barker, University of Otago
3:45 PM
Floor Discussion
251
Mon, 7/30/2018,
2:00 PM -
3:50 PM
CC-East 14
Spatial and Spatiotemporal Modeling in Climate and Meteorology — Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics and the Environment
Chair(s): Joshua Hewitt, Colorado State University
2:05 PM
Bias Correction of Arctic Sea Ice Contours
Presentation
Hannah Director, University of Washington ; Adrian Raftery, University of Washington; Cecilia Bitz, University of Washington
2:20 PM
Spatial Modeling of Rainfall Accumulated Over Short Periods of Time
Presentation
Victor De Oliveira, The University of Texas at San Antonio ; Binbin Wang, The University of Texas at San Antonio; Eric V. Slud, University of Maryland--College Park
2:35 PM
Multivariate Functional Quantile Envelopes with Application to Radiosonde Wind Data
Presentation
Gaurav Agarwal, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST) ; Ying Sun, KAUST
2:50 PM
Interval-Valued Kriging and Application in Climate Related Predictions
Presentation
Brennan Bean, Utah State University ; Yan Sun, Utah State University
3:05 PM
Latent Variable Modeling for Extracting Consensus Estimates of Precipitation in High Mountain Asia
Presentation
William F. Christensen, Brigham Young University ; Shane Reese, Brigham Young University; Summer Rupper, University of Utah; Michael F. Christensen, Brigham Young University; Brenton Mabey, Brigham Young University; Katie Larson, Brigham Young University
3:20 PM
Spatio-Temporal Models for Probabilistic Wind Vector Forecasting in Saudi Arabia
Amanda Lenzi, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology ; Marc G Genton, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology
3:35 PM
Space-Time Characterization of Sub-Grid Air-Sea Flux Variability
Presentation
Julie Bessac, Argonne National Laboratory ; Hannah Christensen , National Center for Atmospheric Research ; Adam Monahan, University of Victoria; Aneesh Subramanian, Scripps Institution of Oceanography; Nils Weitzel, Meteorological Institute of the University of Bonn
259
Mon, 7/30/2018,
3:05 PM -
3:50 PM
CC-West Hall B
SPEED: Environmetrics: Spatio-Temporal and Other Models — Contributed Poster Presentations
Section on Statistics and the Environment , Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences
Chair(s): Paul McNicholas, McMaster University
Oral Presentations
for this session.
1:
Tools for Simulation-Based Uncertainty Quantification in Remote Sensing Inverse Problems
Jonathan Hobbs, Jet Propulsion Laboratory ; Amy Braverman, Jet Propulsion Laboratory; Ali Behrangi, University of Arizona; Sandy Burden, University of Wollongong; Eric Fetzer, Jet Propulsion Laboratory; Kyo Lee, Jet Propulsion Laboratory; Hai Nguyen, Jet Propulsion Laboratory
2:
A Bayesian Approach to Trend Filtering for Spatially Confounded Data
Adam Walder
3:
Evaluating Proxy Influence and Reconstruction Skill in Data Assimilation Based Climate Field Reconstructions Using Extremal Depth
Trevor Harris, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Statistics ; Bo Li, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Nathan Steiger, Columbia University, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory; Jason Smerdon, Columbia University, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory; Justin Jacobs, Sandia National Laboratories
4:
Addressing Time of Measurement Bias in Records of Daily Temperature Extrema: A Spatio-Temporal Imputation Strategy
Maxime Rischard, Harvard Statistics ; Natesh Pillai, Harvard Statistics; Karen A. McKinnon, National Center for Atmospheric Research; Descartes Labs
5:
Preferential Sampling in Geostatistics
Daniel Dinsdale, The University of British Columbia ; Matias British Salibian-Barrera, The University of British Columbia
6:
Spline Smoothing in Dendrochronology
Nicholas Bussberg, Indiana University ; Justin Maxwell, Indiana University; Scott Robeson, Indiana University; Chunfeng Huang, Indiana University
7:
Discriminant Analysis for High-Dimensional Spatio-Temporal Data
Rejaul Karim, Michigan State University ; Taps Maiti, Michigan State University; Chae Young Lim, Seoul National University
8:
Combining Satellite Imagery and Numerical Model Simulation to Estimate Ambient Air Pollution: An Ensemble Averaging Approach
Nancy Murray, Emory University ; Howard Chang, Emory University; Heather Holmes, University of Nevada, Reno; Yang Liu, Emory University
9:
Identifying Epigenetic Regions Exhibiting Critical Windows of Susceptibility to Air Pollution
Michele Zemplenyi, Harvard University ; Mark J Meyer, Georgetown University; Brent A. Coull, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health
12:
Nonstationarity in Spatiotemporal Fisheries Models
John Best, School of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences, University of Washington
13:
Covariate-Adjusted Recurrent Processes on Network and an Application to Geyser Eruption Prediction
Zhongnan Jin, Virginia Tech ; Yili Hong, Virginia Tech
14:
Bayesian Estimation of Toluene and Trichloroethylene Biodegradation Kinetic Parameters
Feng Yu, RTI International ; Breda Munoz, RTI International
15:
An Application of Monothetic Clustering to Data with Circular Variables
Tan V Tran, Montana State University ; John C Priscu, Montana State University; Mark Greenwood, Montana State University; Marie Sabacká, University of South Bohemia
16:
Evaluating the Impact of Using Residential Histories When Estimating Environmental Exposure Effects
Anny-Claude Joseph, Virginia Commonwealth University ; David C. Wheeler, Virginia Commonwealth University
Oral Presentations
for this session.
296 *
Tue, 7/31/2018,
8:30 AM -
10:20 AM
CC-West 121
Advances in Inference for Massive Spatio-Temporal Environmental Data with Applications in Remote Sensing — Topic Contributed Papers
ENAR , Section on Statistics and the Environment
Organizer(s): Jonathan Hobbs, Jet Propulsion Laboratory
Chair(s): Anirban Mondal, Case Western Reserve University
8:35 AM
Multi-Resolution Approximations of Gaussian Processes for Multivariate Spatial Data
Wenlong Gong, Texas A&M University
8:55 AM
Multi-Resolution Filters for Massive Spatio-Temporal Data
Marcin Jurek, Texas A&M University ; Matthias Katzfuss, Texas A&M University
9:15 AM
Coupling Forest In-Situ and Spaced-Based Lidar Samples to Improve National-Scale Forest Inventory: a Joint Spatial Modeling Framework for Forest and Lidar Variable Prediction Lever
Chad Babcock, University of Washington ; Andrew Oliver Finley, Michigan State University; Hans-Erik Andersen, USDA Forest Service; Bruce Douglas Cook, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; Douglas C Morton, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center
9:35 AM
A Parametric Unmixing Model for Satellite Data
Presentation
Colin Lewis-Beck, Iowa State University
9:55 AM
Dynamic Fused Gaussian Process for Massive Sea Surface Temperature Data from MODIS and AMSR-E Instruments
Emily L. Kang, University of Cincinnati ; Pulong Ma, University of Cincinnati
10:15 AM
Floor Discussion
311
Tue, 7/31/2018,
8:30 AM -
10:20 AM
CC-West 114
Statistical Models in Ecology — Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics and the Environment
Chair(s): Henry Scharf, Colorado State University
8:35 AM
Survey Design Tools and Considerations for Sustaining Large-Scale Monitoring Programs Aimed to Characterize Species Distributions
Katharine Banner, Montana State University ; Kathryn Irvine, US Geological Survey; Thomas Rodhouse, National Park Service; Andrea Litt, Montana State University
8:50 AM
Spatio-Temporally Explicit Model Averaging for Forecasting of Alaskan Groundfish Catch
Hannah Correia, Auburn University
9:05 AM
Estimating Behavioral Transition Probabilities of Greater White-Fronted Geese Using Non-Homogenous Markov Models
Presentation
Toryn Schafer, University of Missouri ; Christopher K. Wikle, University of Missouri; Mitchell Weegman, University of Missouri
9:20 AM
Functional Analysis of Spatial Aggregation Regions of Jeffrey Pine Beetle-Attack Within the Lake Tahoe Basin
Presentation
Ekaterina Smirnova, University of Montana ; Omid Khormali, University of Montana; Joel M Egan, Forest Health Protection
9:35 AM
Machine Learning Methods for Animal Movement
Presentation
Dhanushi A Wijeyakulasuriya, Pennsylvania State University ; Ephraim Hanks, The Pennsylvania State University; Benjamin Shaby, Penn State University
9:50 AM
A Dynamic Individual-Based Model of Ant Interaction Events
Presentation
Nathan Wikle ; Ephraim Hanks, The Pennsylvania State University; David Hughes, Pennsylvania State University
10:05 AM
2018 National Bald Eagle Dual-Frame Survey Using an Eroding Nest List Frame
Presentation
Mark Otto, Fish and Wildlife Service
317 * !
Tue, 7/31/2018,
10:30 AM -
12:20 PM
CC-West 301
The Future of Spatial and Spatio-Temporal Statistics: Perspectives for the Next Generation of Leaders — Invited Papers
Section on Statistics and the Environment , Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, The International Environmetrics Society
Organizer(s): Christopher K. Wikle, University of Missouri
Chair(s): Christopher K. Wikle, University of Missouri
10:35 AM
How Application Will Drive Future Spatial and Spatio-Temporal Research
Presentation
Alan E Gelfand, Duke University
11:00 AM
Traversing the Space-Time Cube
Presentation
Noel Cressie, University of Wollongong
11:25 AM
Horse for Courses: Empirical Vs Mechanistic Modeling for Spatio-Temporal Point Process Data
Presentation
Peter John Diggle, Lancaster University
11:50 AM
Discussant: Jim Zidek, University of British Columbia
12:15 PM
Floor Discussion
384 *
Tue, 7/31/2018,
2:00 PM -
3:50 PM
CC-West 222
Advances in Animal Movement Modeling — Invited Papers
JABES-Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics , Section on Statistics and the Environment
Organizer(s): Mevin Hooten, Colorado State University
Chair(s): Mevin Hooten, Colorado State University
2:05 PM
Imputation Approaches for Animal Movement Modeling
Presentation
Henry Scharf, Colorado State University ; Mevin Hooten, Colorado State University; Devin Johnson, Alaska Fisheries Science Center (NOAA)
2:30 PM
Multi-Scale Modeling of Animal Movement and General Behavior Data Using Hidden Markov Models with Hierarchical Structures
Presentation
Vianey Leos Barajas, Iowa State University ; Eric Gangloff, Station d'Ecologie Théorique et Expérimentale du CNRS; Timo Adam, Bielefeld University; Roland Langrock, Bielefeld University; Juan Morales, INIBIOMA-CRUB CONICET
2:55 PM
Bayesian Inference for Multistate Step-and-Turn Animal Movement in Continuous Time
Presentation
Alison Parton, University of Sheffield ; Paul G Blackwell, University of Sheffield
3:20 PM
Hierarchical Nonlinear Spatio-Temporal Agent-Based Models for Collective Animal Movement
Presentation
Patrick McDermott, Univeristy of Missouri ; Christopher K. Wikle, University of Missouri; Joshua Millspaugh, University of Montana
3:45 PM
Floor Discussion
391 * !
Tue, 7/31/2018,
2:00 PM -
3:50 PM
CC-West 224
Statistical Advancements in Forestry, Ecology and Climate Modeling — Invited Papers
International Indian Statistical Association , Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Statistical Computing
Organizer(s): Abhi Datta, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
Chair(s): Joshua Keller, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
2:05 PM
Hierarchical Spatial Model for Creating Global Maps of Plant Trait Distribution
Abhi Datta, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
2:30 PM
A Stochastic Generator of Global Monthly Wind Energy with Tukey G-and-H Autoregressive Processes
Marc G Genton, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology ; Jaehong Jeong, KAUST; Yuan Yan, KAUST; Stefano Castruccio, University of Notre Dame
2:55 PM
Bayesian Spatial Process Models for High-Dimensional Finite Population Sampling
Sudipto Banerjee, UCLA School of Public Health ; Alec Goldstein-Chan, University of California Los Angeles
3:20 PM
Large and Non-Stationary Spatial Fields: Quantifying Uncertainty in the Pattern Scaling of Climate Models
Douglas William Nychka, NCAR
3:45 PM
Floor Discussion
395 * !
Tue, 7/31/2018,
2:00 PM -
3:50 PM
CC-West 304/305
Statistical Models for High-Dimensional Computer Output — Topic Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics and the Environment , Section on Statistical Computing
Organizer(s): Stefano Castruccio, University of Notre Dame
Chair(s): Joseph Guinness, NC State University
2:05 PM
A Stochastic Approach for Downscaling Solar Irradiance Data Products
Presentation
Wenqi Zhang, University of Colorado at Boulder ; William Kleiber, University of Colorado
2:25 PM
Computer Model Calibration of Static Systems Using Sequential Monte Carlo Methods
Presentation
Murali Haran, Penn State University ; Ben Seiyon Lee, Penn State University; Klaus Keller, Penn State University
2:45 PM
Changes in Spatiotemporal Precipitation Patterns in Changing Climate Conditions
Presentation
Won Chang, University of Cincinnati ; Michael Stein, University of Chicago, Dept. of Statistics; Jiali Wang, Argonne National Laboratory; V. Rao Kotamarthi, Argonne National Laboratory; Elisabeth J. Moyer, University of Chicago
3:05 PM
Fusing Multiple Existing Space-Time Land Cover Products
Presentation
Amanda Hering, Baylor University ; Nicolás Rodríguez-Jeangros, Colorado School of Mines; John McCray, Colorado School of Mines; Timothy Kaiser, Colorado School of Mines
3:25 PM
Compressing Scientific Data: Reducing Storage While Preserving Information
Presentation
Dorit Hammerling, National Center for Atmospheric Research ; Joseph Guinness, NC State University; Allison Baker, National Center for Atmospheric Research
3:45 PM
Floor Discussion
423
Tue, 7/31/2018,
2:00 PM -
3:50 PM
CC-West 221
Recent Advancements in the Analysis of Extremes — Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics and the Environment
Chair(s): Matthew Heaton, Brigham Young University
2:05 PM
Improved Return Level Estimation via a Weighted Likelihood Latent Spatial Extremes Model
Joshua Hewitt, Colorado State University ; Miranda Fix, Colorado State University; Jennifer A Hoeting, Colorado State University
2:20 PM
A Max-Infinitely Divisible Process for Sub-Asymptotic Modeling of Spatial Extremes
Gregory Bopp, Pennsylvania State University ; Benjamin Shaby, Penn State University; Raphaël Huser, KAUST
2:35 PM
Extreme Wind Speed Forecasting Using INLA
Presentation
Daniela Castro, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology ; Raphaël Huser, KAUST
2:50 PM
Probabilistic Prediction of the State of Discarded Underwater Marine Munitions
Presentation
Jonathan Gillmore Ligo, Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory ; Sarah Rennie, Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory; Alan Brandt, Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory
3:05 PM
Spatial Semiparametric Spectral Density Estimation for Multivariate Extremes
Presentation
Mauricio Nascimento, Pennsylvania State University ; Benjamin Shaby, Penn State University
3:20 PM
Scale Mixture for Extremal Dependence Model
Likun Zhang, Penn State University ; Benjamin Shaby, Penn State University
3:35 PM
Statistical Identification of Climate Hotspots
Presentation
Joshua French, University of Colorado Denver
457 *
Wed, 8/1/2018,
8:30 AM -
10:20 AM
CC-West 224
Statistical Methods for Remote Sensing Data — Invited Papers
Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences , Section on Statistics and the Environment, ENAR, Quality and Productivity Section
Organizer(s): Jonathan Hobbs, Jet Propulsion Laboratory
Chair(s): Maggie Johnson, SAMSI
8:35 AM
Simulation-Based Uncertainty Quantification for Optimal Estimation Remote Sensing Retrievals
Presentation
Amy Braverman, Jet Propulsion Laboratory ; Jonathan Hobbs, Jet Propulsion Laboratory
9:05 AM
A General Framework for Vecchia Approximations of Gaussian Processes
Matthias Katzfuss, Texas A&M University ; Joseph Guinness, North Carolina State University
9:35 AM
Joint Hierarchical Models for Sparsely Sampled High-Dimensional LiDAR and Forest Variables
Presentation
Andrew Oliver Finley, Michigan State University ; Hans-Erik Andersen, USDA Forest Service; Sudipto Banerjee, UCLA School of Public Health; Bruce Douglas Cook, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; Abhi Datta, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; Douglas C Morton, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center
10:05 AM
Floor Discussion
488
Wed, 8/1/2018,
8:30 AM -
10:20 AM
CC-West 218
Nonstationary and Anisotropic Spatial Processes — Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics and the Environment
Chair(s): Mark Risser, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
8:35 AM
Approximate Bayesian Inference for Big Spatial Data Using Non-Stationary Spectral Simulation
Presentation
Hou-Cheng Yang
8:50 AM
Flexible Characterizations of Nonstationary Space-Time Covariance Functions
Presentation
Christopher J Geoga, Argonne National Laboratory ; Charlotte Haley, Argonne National Lab; Michael Stein, University of Chicago, Dept. of Statistics; Mihai Anitescu, Argonne National Laboratory
9:05 AM
Estimation of Spatial Deformation for Nonstationary Processes via Variogram Alignment
Ghulam Qadir, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST) ; Ying Sun, KAUST; Sebastian Kurtek, The Ohio State University
9:20 AM
Exploring Departures from Stationarity Using Locally Stationary Time Series
Presentation
Shreyan Ganguly, The Ohio State University ; Peter Craigmile, The Ohio State University
9:35 AM
Bayesian Inference for Geometrically Anisotropic Spatial Random Fields on Regular Lattice
Presentation
Fan Dai ; Somak Dutta, Iowa State University
9:50 AM
Nonstationary Flood Frequency Analysis: a Mixed and Pooled Approach
Presentation
Philip Yates, DePaul University ; John Grego, University of South Carolina
10:05 AM
Examining Non-Stationarity in Spatial Processes via an M-RA and Mixture Priors
Presentation
Veronica J. Berrocal, University of Michigan
509 * !
Wed, 8/1/2018,
10:30 AM -
12:20 PM
CC-West 203
New Approaches to Modeling and Inference for Complex Space-Time Data — Topic Contributed Papers
Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences , Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science, Section on Statistics and the Environment, Quality and Productivity Section
Organizer(s): Ta-Hsin Li, IBM T. J. Watson Research Center
Chair(s): Hakmook Kang, Vanderbilt
10:35 AM
Testing One Hypothesis Multiple Times: The Multidimensional Case
Sara Algeri, Imperial College London ; David A van Dyk, Imperial College London
10:55 AM
A Scalable Multi-Resolution Spatio-Temporal Model for Brain Activation and Connectivity in fMRI Data
Presentation
Stefano Castruccio, University of Notre Dame ; Hernando Ombao, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology; Marc G Genton, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology
11:15 AM
Flexible Dynamic Modeling of Correlation and Covariance Matrices for Spatio-Temporal Data Analysis
Presentation
Babak Shahbaba, UCI ; Andrew James Holbrook, UC Irvine; Gabriel Elias, UC Irvine; Norbert J. Fortin, UC Irvine; Hernando Ombao, UC Irvine; Shiweil Lan, CalTech
11:35 AM
Automatic Anomaly Detection in Modeling Real-Time Sensor Data
Bei Chen, IBM Research ; Beat Buesser, IBM Research
11:55 AM
Identification of Management Zone Using a Spatial Clustering Time-Varying Lattice Models
Presentation
Youngdeok Hwang, Sungkyunkwan University ; Huijing Jiang, IBM Research; Rodrigue Ngueyep, IBM Research
12:15 PM
Floor Discussion
513
Wed, 8/1/2018,
10:30 AM -
12:20 PM
CC-West 204
ENVR Student Paper Awards — Topic Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics and the Environment
Organizer(s): Edward L Boone, Virginia Commonwealth University
Chair(s): Edward L Boone, Virginia Commonwealth University
10:35 AM
A Bayesian Spatial-Temporal Model with Latent Multivariate Log-Gamma Random Processes with Application to Earthquake Magnitudes
Presentation
Guanyu Hu, University of Connecticut ; Jonathan R Bradley, Florida State University
10:55 AM
Spatial Statistical Downscaling for Constructing High-Resolution Nature Runs in Global Observing System Simulation Experiments
Pulong Ma, University of Cincinnati ; Emily L. Kang, University of Cincinnati; Amy Braverman, Jet Propulsion Laboratory; Hai Nguyen, Jet Propulsion Laboratory
11:15 AM
A Test for Isotropy on a Sphere Using Spherical Harmonic Functions
Indranil Sahoo, North Carolina State University ; Joseph Guinness, NC State University; Brian Reich, North Carolina State University
11:35 AM
Efficient Estimation for Non-Stationary Spatial Covariance Functions with Application to High-Resolution Climate Model Emulation
Presentation
Yuxiao Li, KAUST ; Ying Sun, KAUST
11:55 AM
Floor Discussion
559 *
Wed, 8/1/2018,
2:00 PM -
3:50 PM
CC-West 208
Preferential Sampling of Environmental and Ecological Processes — Invited Papers
Section on Statistics and the Environment , The International Environmetrics Society, JABES-Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics, Survey Research Methods Section
Organizer(s): Trevor Hefley, Kansas State University
Chair(s): Trevor Hefley, Kansas State University
2:05 PM
Modeling Imperfect Presence Data Obtained by Citizen Science
Presentation
Kerrie Mengersen, Queensland University of Technology
2:30 PM
Integrating Auxiliary Data in Optimal Spatial Design for Species Distribution Mapping
Presentation
Jonathan Stallings, North Carolina State University; Brian Reich, North Carolina State University ; Krishna Pacifici, North Carolina State University
2:55 PM
Using Joint Models of Fisher Targeting and Resource Abundance to Account for Preferential Sampling in Fisheries
Presentation
James Turner Thorson, Northwest Fisheries Science Center, National Marine Fisheries Service, NOAA ; Paul Conn, Marine Mammal Laboratory, Alaska Fisheries Science Center, NOAA, NMFS; Devin Johnson, Alaska Fisheries Science Center (NOAA); John Best, School of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences, University of Washington
3:20 PM
Model-Based Sampling Design for Multivariate Spatial Prediction on a Stream Network
Presentation
Dale Zimmerman, American Statistical Association
3:45 PM
Floor Discussion
600
Thu, 8/2/2018,
8:30 AM -
10:20 AM
CC-West 121
Spatial Statistics When Sampling Is Informative — Invited Papers
SSC , Canadian Statistical Sciences Institute, Section on Statistics and the Environment, Survey Research Methods Section
Organizer(s): Patrick E Brown, University of Toronto
Chair(s): Patrick E Brown, University of Toronto
8:35 AM
Modeling Preferential Site Selection in Networks Used to Monitor Environmental Spatio-Temporal Processes
Presentation
Jim Zidek, University of British Columbia ; Joe Watson, UBC; Gavin Shaddick , University of Exeter
9:00 AM
Real Time PM2.5 Mapping and Anomaly Detection from AirBoxes in Taiwan
Guowen Huang, National Tsing Hua University
9:25 AM
Spatial Modeling for Ecological Surveys - Contributions from and to Point Process Modeling
Presentation
Janine Illian, University of St Andrews
9:50 AM
EM, EMS, and a Root Gaussian Cox Process for Aggregated Spatio-Temporal Data
Presentation
Jamie Stafford, University of Toronto
10:15 AM
Floor Discussion
619
Thu, 8/2/2018,
8:30 AM -
10:20 AM
CC-East 19
Spatial and Spatial-Temporal Statistics — Topic Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics and the Environment
Organizer(s): Jonathan Stroud, Georgetown University
Chair(s): Gabriel Huerta, University of New Mexico
8:35 AM
Spatial Statistics for Improving Collective Estimates of Extreme Precipitation at Weather Stations
Mark Risser, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory ; Christopher Paciorek, University of California, Berkeley; Michael F Wehner, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
8:55 AM
Non-Gaussian Translation Processes in Dynamic Space-Time Modeling
Presentation
Robert Richardson, Brigham Young University
9:15 AM
Extended Ensemble Kalman Filters for High-Dimensional Hierarchical State-Space Models
Jonathan Stroud, Georgetown University ; Matthias Katzfuss, Texas A&M University; Christopher K. Wikle, University of Missouri
9:35 AM
A Non-Collapsing Particle Filter for a High-Dimensional Cellular Automata Model of Traffic Flow
Thomas Bengtsson, Genentech
9:55 AM
Bayesian Filtering and Model Calibration Approaches to Model an Epidemic Over Space and Time
Presentation
David Higdon, Virginia Tech ; Arindam Fadikar, Virginia Tech; Jonathan Stroud, Georgetown University
10:15 AM
Floor Discussion
636
Thu, 8/2/2018,
8:30 AM -
10:20 AM
CC-East 17
Statistical Methods of Air Quality and Exposure — Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics and the Environment
Chair(s): Whitney Huang, Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute
8:35 AM
Automatic Wildfire Smoke Plume Identification from Satellite Imagery with Machine Learning
Presentation
Alexandra Larsen, North Carolina State University ; Ana Rappold, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Yi Qin, The Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation; Martin Cope, The Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation; Geoffrey Morgan, The University of Sydney; Ivan Hannigan, The University of Sydney; Brian J. Reich, North Carolina State University
8:50 AM
A Data-Driven Approach to Source-Receptor Mapping of Power Plant Emissions to Exposed Populations
Presentation
Kevin Cummiskey, United States Military Academy ; Christine Choirat, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; Chanmin Kim, Boston University School of Public Health; Lucas Henneman, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; Corwin Zigler, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health
9:05 AM
Wind as an Instrumental Variable in Air Pollution Epidemiology
Keith Zirkle, Virginia Commonwealth University ; David C. Wheeler, Virginia Commonwealth University; Marie-Abele Bind, Harvard University
9:20 AM
Regional Air Quality Assessment That Adjusts for Meterological Confounding
Shuyi Zhang, Peking University ; Song Xi Chen, Peking University; Bin Guo, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics; Wei Lin, Peking University; Hengfang Wang, Iowa State University
9:35 AM
Probabilistic Predictive Principal Component Analysis for Spatially-Misaligned and High-Dimensional Air Pollution Data with Missing Observations
Presentation
Phuong T Vu, University of Washington ; Adam A Szpiro, University of Washington
9:50 AM
A Generalized Weighted Quantile Sums Approach That Accounts for Interactions Between Highly Correlated Exposures and Other Factors
Presentation
MinJae Lee, University of Texas McGovern Medical School ; Maureen Samms-Vaughan, The University of the West Indies; Jan Bressler, University of Texas School of Public Health at Houston; MacKinsey Christian, University of Texas School of Public Health at Houston; Manouchehr Hessabi, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston; Megan Grove, University of Texas School of Public Health at Houston; Sydonnie Shakespeare-Pellington, The University of the West Indies; Charlene Coore Desai, The University of the West Indies; Jody-Ann Reece, The University of the West Indies; Katherine Loveland, University of Texas McGovern Medical School; Eric Boerwinkle, University of Texas School of Public Health at Houston; Mohammad H. Rahbar, University of Texas McGovern Medical School
10:05 AM
Short-Term Forecasting of Seasonal Environmental Time Series
Presentation
Kimihiro Noguchi, Western Washington University ; Benjamin Hansen, University of Groningen
661 * !
Thu, 8/2/2018,
10:30 AM -
12:20 PM
CC-West 222
The Climate Extremes Program at SAMSI — Topic Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics and the Environment
Organizer(s): Whitney Huang, Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute
Chair(s): Brian Reich, North Carolina State University
10:35 AM
A Data-Retaining Method for Tail Estimation
Presentation
Erika Cunningham, Duke University
10:55 AM
Some Thoughts on Joint Probability Method (JPM) for Estimating Storm Surges
Whitney Huang, Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute
11:15 AM
Characterizing Precipitation Extremes in the US Gulf Coast Through the Use of a Multivariate Spatial Hierarchical Model
Brook Russell, Clemson University ; Mark Risser, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory; Kenneth Kunkel, North Carolina State University; Richard Smith, Statistical Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute
11:35 AM
Sub-Asymptotic Models for Spatial Extremes Using Random Effects
Presentation
Benjamin Shaby, Penn State University
11:50 AM
Discussant: Richard Smith, Statistical Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute
12:05 PM
Floor Discussion
678
Thu, 8/2/2018,
10:30 AM -
12:20 PM
CC-West 223
New Methods in Spatial and Spatiotemporal Modeling and Assessment — Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics and the Environment
Chair(s): Lynne Seymour, University of Georgia
10:35 AM
Spatial Cluster Detection of Regression Coefficients in a Mixed Effect Model
Presentation
Junho Lee, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology ; Ying Sun, KAUST; Howard Chang, Emory University
10:50 AM
Parametric Variogram Matrices Spanning from Weak to Intrinsic Stationarity
Presentation
Wanfang Chen, KAUST ; Marc G Genton, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology
11:05 AM
A Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Continental-Scale Prediction of Water Quality in US Lakes
Meridith Bartley, Penn State University ; Ephraim Hanks, The Pennsylvania State University
11:20 AM
Penalized Local Polynomial Regression for Spatial Data
Wu Wang, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology ; Ying Sun, KAUST
11:35 AM
Distance Correlation as a Measure for Dependence of Distance Matrices with Complex Spatial Patterns: An Alternative to Mantel Test
Presentation
Deniz Yenigun, Istanbul Bilgi University ; Maria Rizzo, Bowling Green State University
11:50 AM
Fast Maximum Likelihood Inference for Spatial Generalized Linear Mixed Models
Presentation
Yawen Guan, The Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute ; Murali Haran, Penn State University
12:05 PM
Floor Discussion