Activity Number:
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251
- Spatial and Spatiotemporal Modeling in Climate and Meteorology
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Type:
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Contributed
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Date/Time:
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Monday, July 30, 2018 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
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Sponsor:
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Section on Statistics and the Environment
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Abstract #329021
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Presentation
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Title:
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Interval-Valued Kriging and Application in Climate Related Predictions
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Author(s):
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Brennan Bean* and Yan Sun
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Companies:
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Utah State University and Utah State University
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Keywords:
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spatial;
climate;
kriging
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Abstract:
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Many climate-related measurements are best characterized as intervals rather than single values. Such interval-valued measurements are a result of limitations in sensor technology or other uncertainties in the climate measurement process. While much work has been devoted to the development of interval-valued regression, little has been done to extend the use of interval-valued inputs to traditional spatial methods. This paper proposes and develops interval-valued kriging models based on the theory of random sets and a generalized L2 distance. Numerical implementation of our interval-valued kriging is provided using a penalty-based constrained optimization algorithm. The methodology is then applied to a dataset containing interval-valued snow water equivalent (SWE) measurements in Utah and the results are compared to predictions made using traditional (point-valued) kriging. This application demonstrates the advantages of our interval-valued kriging in climate research, and motivates further developments of interval-valued kriging and other spatial methods
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Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.