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Legend:
CC = Vancouver Convention Centre   F = Fairmont Waterfront Vancouver
* = applied session       ! = JSM meeting theme

Activity Details


67 * !
Sun, 7/29/2018, 4:00 PM - 5:50 PM CC-West 118
Statistics Education for Future Military Leaders — Topic Contributed Panel
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security, Section on Statistical Education
Organizer(s): Matthew Hawks, US Naval Academy
Chair(s): Matthew Hawks, US Naval Academy
4:05 PM Statistics Education for Future Military Leaders
Presentation
Panelists: Robert Koyak, Naval Postgraduate School
Kenneth Horton, US Air Force Academy
David Ruth, US Naval Academy
Andrew Geyer, Air Force Institute of Technology
5:40 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

216827
Mon, 7/30/2018, 7:00 AM - 8:30 AM Off Site
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security Business Meeting — Other Continuing Education Course
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
Chair(s): Arthur Fries, Institute for Defense Analyses
 
 

139 * !
Mon, 7/30/2018, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-West 109
Competing Effectively: Hosting, Designing, and Participating in Kaggle-Style Competitions — Invited Papers
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Quality and Productivity Section
Organizer(s): Kary Myers, Los Alamos National Laboratory
Chair(s): Mike Grosskopf, Simon Fraser University
10:35 AM Effective Data Competition Hosting: Strategic Design and Analysis to Maximize Learning
Presentation
Christine M Anderson-Cook, Los Alamos National Laboratory; Kary Myers, Los Alamos National Laboratory
11:05 AM Bayesian Design of Experiments with Multiple Priors for Kaggle Competition Design
Presentation
Kevin Randal Quinlan, The Pennsylvania State University; Christine M Anderson-Cook, Los Alamos National Laboratory
11:35 AM General Techniques for Successful Data Science Competitions
Presentation
Ian Michael Mouzon, Iowa State University
12:05 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

160 *
Mon, 7/30/2018, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-West 304/305
Quantifying Uncertainty — Topic Contributed Papers
Uncertainty Quantification for Complex Systems Interest Group, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
Organizer(s): Earl Christopher Lawrence, Los Alamos National Laboratory
Chair(s): Earl Christopher Lawrence, Los Alamos National Laboratory
10:35 AM A Geometric Approach for Calibrating Computer Models with Misaligned Functional Output
Presentation
Lauren Hund; James Derek Tucker, Sandia National Laboratories; Justin Brown, Sandia National Laboratories
10:55 AM Bayesian Framework for Embedded Model Error Representation and Quantification
Presentation
Khachik Sargsyan, Sandia National Labs/California; Xun Huan, Sandia National Labs/California; Habib Najm, Sandia National Labs/California
11:15 AM Modeling Uncertainty in Physical Security Systems
Presentation
Aparna Huzurbazar, Los Alamos National Laboratory
11:35 AM Uncertainty Quantification of Injury Risk Measures
Dorin Drignei, Oakland University
11:55 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

232 *
Mon, 7/30/2018, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-West 117
Methods and Tools for DoD Test and Evaluation — Topic Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences
Organizer(s): Kelly M Avery, Institute for Defense Analyses
Chair(s): Jane Pinelis, IDA
2:05 PM Power Approximations for Reliability Test Designs
Presentation
Rebecca Dickinson
2:25 PM Planning a Missile Test Using Bayesian Sequential Design of Experiments
Presentation
Keyla Pagan-Rivera
2:45 PM Comparing MandS Output to Live Test Data: a Missile System Case Study
Presentation
Kelly M Avery, Institute for Defense Analyses
3:05 PM Latent Variable Modeling for Validating Custom Scales
Stephanie Lane, Institute For Defense Analyses
3:25 PM CiTools: Quantifying Uncertainty for Statistical Models in R
Matthew Avery
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

237
Mon, 7/30/2018, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-West 208
SPEED: Missing Survey Data: Analysis, Imputation, Design, and Prevention — Contributed Speed
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
Chair(s): Stas Kolenikov, Abt Associates
Poster Presentations for this session.
2:05 PM Estimating Survey Attrition Phases Using Change-Point Models
Presentation
Camille Hochheimer, Virginia Commonwealth University; Roy T Sabo, Virginia Commonwealth University; Alex H Krist, Virginia Commonwealth University
2:10 PM Census Efforts to Reduce the Undercount of Young Children
Presentation
Gina Walejko, U.S. Census Bureau; Scott Konicki, U.S. Census Bureau
2:15 PM Is There a 'safe Area' Where the Nonresponse Rate Has Only a Modest Effect on Bias Despite Non-Ignorable Nonresponse?
Presentation
Dan Hedlin, Stockholm university
2:20 PM Design-Based Alternative Calibration Weighting Under Nonresponse in Survey Sampling
Presentation
Per Andersson, Stockholm University
2:25 PM A Simulation Study to Evaluate How Sample Weight Adjustment with Prevalence Calibration for the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) Affects Nonresponse Bias
Te-Ching Chen, CDC/NCHS; Jennifer Parker, CDC/NCHS; Tala Fakhouri, CDC/NCHS
2:30 PM Degrees of Freedom in Multiple Imputation: The Original vs. The Adjusted in 2015 National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey
Presentation
Qiyuan Pan, CDC/NCHS/DHCS; Rong Wei, National Center for Health Statistics
2:35 PM Nonresponse Bias Studies for Department of Defense Surveys
Presentation
Eric Falk, Department of Defense/Office of People Analytics
2:40 PM Exploring Reminder Calls Intended to Increase Interviewer Compliance with Data Collection Protocols
Presentation
Amanda Nagle, U.S. Census Bureau; Kevin Tolliver, U.S. Census Bureau
2:45 PM Effect of the Survey Name on Response Rates and Survey Estimates
David McGrath, Department of Defense Office of People Analytics
2:50 PM Early Bird Gets the Worm? Effects of Differential Incentives on Mode Choice and Response Rates
Presentation
Patricia LeBaron, RTI International; Nathaniel Taylor, RTI International; Leah Fiacco, RTI International; Melissa Helton, RTI International; Amy Henes, RTI International; Stephen King, RTI International
3:00 PM Nonresponse Bias Analysis for the Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey
Kirk Wolter, NORC at the University of Chicago; Ying Li, NORC at the University of Chicago; Whitney Murphy, NORC at the University of Chicago
3:05 PM Using Predictive Modeling in Survey Methodology to Identify Panel Nonresponse
Presentation
Bernd Weiss, GESIS - Leibniz-Institute for the Social Sciences; Jan-Philipp Kolb, GESIS - Leibniz-Institute for the Social Sciences; Christoph Kern, University of Mannheim
3:10 PM Does Sequence of Imputed Variables Matter in Hot Deck Imputation for Large-Scale Complex Survey Data?
Presentation
Amang Sukasih, RTI International; Peter Frechtel, RTI International; Karol Krotki, RTI International
3:15 PM Tree-Based Doubly-Robust Nonparametric Multiple Imputation
Presentation
Darryl Creel
3:20 PM Multiple Imputation Methods Addressing Planned Missingness in a Multi-Phase Survey
Irina Bondarenko, University of Michigan; Yun Li, University of Michigan; Paul Imbriano, University of Michigan
3:25 PM Outcomes of Suicide Risk Assessment and Safety Planning in a Longitudinal Mixed Mode Survey of Patients with Complex Psychiatric Disorders
Presentation
Danna Moore, Washington State University-Social & Economic Science Research Center; John Fortney, University of Washington, School of Medicine; Dan Vakoch, Washington State Univesity-Social and Economic Sciences Research Center
3:30 PM "You're Not from Around Here, Are You?": How Regional Accent Affects Survey Cooperation
Matt Jans, ICF; James Dayton, ICF; Matt McDonough, ICF
3:35 PM Imputation of Small Number of New Questions in the Large Survey
Di Xiong, UCLA SPH; Yan Wang, Field School of Public Health, UCLA; Honghu Liu, UCLA
 
 

291 * !
Tue, 7/31/2018, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-West 112
Statistical Applications in Forensic Evidence — Topic Contributed Papers
Advisory Committee on Forensic Science, Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
Organizer(s): Sam Tyner, Iowa State University
Chair(s): Sam Tyner, Iowa State University
8:35 AM A Comparison of Similarity Scores Between Bullet Casings: Forensic Analysts Versus an Algorithm
Presentation
Maria Cuellar, Carnegie Mellon University
8:55 AM Quantifying Association Between Discrete Event Time Series
Presentation
Christopher Galbraith, University of California, Irvine; Padhraic Smyth, University of California, Irvine; Hal Stern, University of California, Irvine
9:15 AM Approaches to Matching Darknet Market Seller
Presentation
Xiao Hui Tai, Carnegie Mellon University
9:35 AM Accounting for Individual Differences Among Latent Print Examiners Using Item Response Theory
Presentation
Amanda Luby, Carnegie Mellon University
9:55 AM A Bayesian Approach to the Analysis of Handwritten Evidence
Amy M Crawford, Iowa State University; Nicholas S Berry, Iowa State University; Alicia Carriquiry, Iowa State University
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

216572
Tue, 7/31/2018, 6:30 PM - 8:30 PM F-Waterfront Ballroom A
Joint SPES, Q&P, Risk, and SDNS Business Meetings and Mixer — Other Cmte/Business
Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Quality and Productivity Section, Section on Risk Analysis, Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
Chair(s): Peter Hovey, University of Dayton
 
 

589 *
Wed, 8/1/2018, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-West 116
Topics in Data Mining, Forecasting, and Bayesian Inference for National Security — Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security, IMS
Chair(s): Kevin Cummiskey, United States Military Academy
2:05 PM A Solution to the Forensic Identification of Source Problems Using Fiducial Inference
Presentation
Danica Ommen, Iowa State University; Jan Hannig, University of North Carolina; Jonathan Williams, University of North Carolina
2:20 PM Context Modeling by Discriminative Random Fields for Robust Target Identification from Multi-Modal Sensors
Presentation
Pranab Banerjee, Boston Fusion Corp.
2:35 PM Optimization of Decision Trees by Delaying the Split Decision
Kyle Caudle, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology; Larry Pyeatt, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology; Christer Karlsson, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology; Randy Hoover, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology
2:50 PM Text Mining Unstructured Data in the Electronic Medical Record
Edwin D'Souza, Leidos; James Zouris, NHRC; Vern F Wing, Leidos
3:05 PM Consistent Estimation of the Spectrum of Trace Class Data Augmentation Algorithms
Saptarshi Chakraborty, University of Florida; Kshitij Khare, University of Florida
3:20 PM A Classification Framework for Forecast Model Selection
Presentation
Thiyanga Talagala, Monash University; Rob J Hyndman, Monash University; George Athanasopoulos, Monash University
3:35 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

598 * !
Thu, 8/2/2018, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-West 306
Statistical Partnerships in Excellence: Featuring SPAIG Award Winning Collaborations — Invited Papers
Stats. Partnerships Among Academe Indust. & Govt. Committee, Government Statistics Section, Health Policy Statistics Section, Section on Statistical Consulting, Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
Organizer(s): Kelly H Zou, Pfizer Inc
Chair(s): John E Kolassa, Rutgers, the State University of New Jersey
8:35 AM SPAIG Award Collaboration: Laboratory for Analytic Sciences
Presentation
Alyson Wilson, North Carolina State University
9:00 AM SPAIG Award Collaboration: The National Science Foundation-Census Research Network (NCRN)
Presentation
Daniel H Weinberg, Consultant; Lars Vilhuber, Cornell University
9:25 AM Soft Skills for Effective Collaborations and Communications
Presentation
Nancy Ann Bates, US Census Bureau
9:50 AM Discussant: David Banks, Duke University
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

630 *
Thu, 8/2/2018, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-East 9
Uncertainty Quantification, Reliability and Robust Inference — Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security, Quality and Productivity Section, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences
Chair(s): Brian Groves, Raytheon
8:35 AM Measure Specific Mixture Model (MSM2) for Change Detection
Presentation
Fairul Mohd-Zaid, Air Force Research Lab; Christine Schubert Kabban, Air Force Institute of Technology
8:50 AM Multivariate Methods and Data Integration in Social Media for Anomaly Detection
Presentation
Karl Pazdernik, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; Kellie MacPhee, University of Washington; Bryan Stanfill, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; Lisa Bramer, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
9:05 AM Emulating Satellite Drag from Large Simulation Experiments
Furong Sun, Virginia Tech; Robert Gramacy, Virginia Tech; Benjamin Haaland, Population Health Sciences, University of Utah; Earl Christopher Lawrence, Los Alamos National Laboratory; Andrew Walker, Space Science and Applications, Los Alamos National Laboratory
9:20 AM A Mathematical Framework for Uncertainty Quantification in Multimodal Image Analysis via Probabilistic Clustering Models
Presentation
Maximillian Chen, Sandia National Laboratories; David John Stracuzzi, Sandia National Laboratories; Michael Christopher Darling, Sandia National Laboratories
9:35 AM Visualizing Clustering and Uncertainty Analysis of Multivariate Time-Series Data
Presentation
Kristin Divis, Sandia National Laboratories; Maximillian Chen, Sandia National Laboratories; Laura A McNamara, Sandia National Laboratories; Dan Morrow, Sandia National Laboratories
9:50 AM Signal Aliasing in Gaussian Random Fields for Experiments with Qualitative Factors
Ming-Chung Chang; Shao-Wei Cheng, National Tsing Hua University; Ching-Shui Cheng, Academia Sinica
10:05 AM Floor Discussion