Online Program Home
My Program

Abstract Details

Activity Number: 232 - Methods and Tools for DoD Test and Evaluation
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, July 30, 2018 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
Abstract #329696 Presentation
Title: Planning a Missile Test Using Bayesian Sequential Design of Experiments
Author(s): Keyla Pagan-Rivera*
Keywords: Bayesian; Sequential DOE; Defense

Design of experiments (DOE) is a useful tool when planning tests of military systems. Complications arise when the test cannot be completed all at once and, rather, it needs to be performed in multiple phases. For these cases, sequential DOE could be used either by planning an open loop or close loop design. Bayesian techniques can be used when planning the latter. By doing so, prior information might be incorporated in the design of the first phase, and the information gained from a previous run or test phase could be incorporated in the design of the following phase. Consequently, the analyst could obtain as much information as possible from each run. This talk will present a case study example of a missile system where the test runs are limited and, therefore, a sequential Bayesian DOE is valuable.

Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

Back to the full JSM 2018 program