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Tuesday, January 7
Tue, Jan 7, 7:00 AM - 5:30 PM
Pacific Ballroom Prefunction
Conference Registration
ICHPS Hours

Tue, Jan 7, 7:45 AM - 8:45 AM
Pacific D
PS02 - Continental Breakfast & Poster Session II
Poster Presentation

0
WITHDRAWN - Integer-Valued Functional Data Analysis for Measles Forecasting
Daniel Kowal, Rice University
0
WITHDRAWN - The Influence of Research Evidence on Social Policy: A Systematic Review
Deirdre A. Quinn, Center for Health Equity Research and Promotion (CHERP)
0
WITHDRAWN - Association of individual socioeconomic status, regional deprivation and access to the Diabetes Pay-for-Performance Program with type 2 diabetes care
Chiachi Bonnie Lee, College of Public Health, China Medical University
1
Machine Learning Predictive Model on Substance Misuse in United States
Olajide Israel Ajayi, Blue Cross NC
2
Statistical Modeling of Setting Foods Healthy Index
Presentation Mason Chen, Stanford OHS
3
Analysis of Cervical Cancer Count Data: Copula-Based Approaches
Hadi Safari-Katesari, Southern Illinois University, Carbondale
4
Drug Overdose Deaths Among Adolescents
Turaj Vazifedan, Children Hospital of The King's Daughters
5
Association of Out-of-pocket Costs on Adherence to Common Neurologic Medications
Evan Lee Reynolds, University of Michigan
6
Seasonal Influenza Vaccine Selection Using Crossmatch Test
Presentation Vera Liu, University of Texas at Austin
7
Life’s Simple 7 for Cardiovascular and Total Health: How are we doing?
Jiexiang Li, College of Charleston
9
A Study of Relationship between Suicide Situation and GDP Growth based on Gender and Age in U.K. and U.S.A. Population
Feng Wang, University of Connecticut
10
Data Science Techniques for Aiding the Estimation of Models Allowing Heterogeneous effects of Accountable Care Organizations on patients’ hospital admissions
Guanqing Chen, Dartmouth College
11
Geographic Distribution, Seasonality, and Temporal Trend of Skin Bleaching Interest in the US: a surveillance proxy in the absence of national prevalence estimates
Steven Anthony Lawrence, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai
12
Meeting the New Federal Guidance to Conduct Medicaid Demonstration Waiver Evaluations: The Arkansas “Private Option” Evaluation Exemplar
Anthony Goudie, Arkansas Center for Health Improvement
13
Polypharmacy as a Predictor for Hospitalization in a National Longitudinal Study of Middle-aged Americans
Richie Chen, SUNY Downstate Medical Center
14
Vantage Point: A Likelihood-based Perspective on Reconciling Potentially Conflicting Self-report and Proxy Data
Presentation Crystal Shaw, UCLA
15
Learning Optimal Individualized Treatment Rules Among Ordinal Treatments with an Application to Recommended Intervals Between Blood Donations
Yuejia Xu, MRC Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge
17
Pseudo-clustering for Combining Data Sets with Multiple Hierarchies
Seho Park, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth
18
Antibiotic and Opioid Prescriptions (Rx) by Dentists in 2012: Variation According to County, Region, and Patient County-level Characteristics
Presentation Colin C. Hubbard, University of Illinois at Chicago
19
Comparison of missing data imputation methods in longitudinal study of ADRD patients
Yi Cao, Brown University
20
Exploring Inpatient Medication Patterns: A Big Data and Multi-level Approach
Figaro L Loresto, Children's Hospital Colorado
21
Monotonic Nonparametric Dose Response Model
Faten Alamri, Princess Nourah Bint Abdul Rahman University & Virginia Commonwealth University
22
Understanding the Tradeoffs between Travel Burden and Quality of Care for In-Center Hemodialysis Patients
Stephen Salerno, Kidney Epidemiology and Cost Center, University of Michigan
23
Association Between College Attendance and Lower Risk of Obesity in a Nationally Representative Sample of Mid-life Adults
Rachel D Radigan, SUNY Downstate Medical Center School of Public Health
24
Daily E-Cigarette Users Could Be More Likely to Smoke Indoors Than Other Tobacco Products Users.
Angella Sandra Namwase, Center for Public Health Systems Science,The Brown School,Washington University in St.Louis
25
EMBRACE: an EM-based Bias Reduction Approach through Copas-Model Estimation for Quantifying the Evidence of Selective Publishing in Network Meta-analysis
Arielle Kimberly Marks-Anglin, University of Pennsylvania
26
Minimally Important Difference in Cost savings: Is Effect Size a Good Benchmark
Mary Dooley, Medical University of South Carolina
27
Contextual Differences in Cancer Care Provider Networks and the Adoption of Novel Innovations
Presentation Ronnie Zipkin, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth – Dept. of Biomedical Data Science
28
Tools to Standardize Reporting of Patient-Reported Side Effects in Cancer Clinical Trials
Presentation Duke Butterfield, Mayo Clinic
29
Substance Abuse Related Self-inflicted Injuries: a 10-year National Trauma Data Bank Review
Demba Fofana, University of Texas Rio Grande valley
30
Inference Without Randomization or Ignorability: A Stability-controlled Quasi-experiment on the Prevention of Tuberculosis
David Amichai Wulf, UCLA Department of Statistics
31
Analysis of Electronic Health Records to Identify Contextual Factors Associated with Breast Cancer Screening Patterns
Benjamin Schumacher, San Diego State University
Tue, Jan 7, 9:00 AM - 10:45 AM
Pacific AB
CS01 - Emerging Lessons on Opioid Policy Evaluation Methods
Invited
Organizer(s): Beth Ann Griffin, RAND Corporation
Chair(s): Donna Coffman, Temple University

9:05 AM
The landscape for evaluation of programs and policies to reduce the consequences of the opioid epidemic
Presentation Elizabeth Stuart, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
9:30 AM
Prescription drug monitoring programs: identifying local sources of variation in policy impact
Magdalena Cerdá, NYU Langone Health
9:55 AM
The state of the statistical science in opioid policy research
Megan S Schuler, RAND Corporation
10:20 AM
Using mixed-methods to inform synthetic control analysis of four types of state laws intended to curb high-risk opioid prescribing
Beth McGinty, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
10:40 AM
Floor Discussion
Tue, Jan 7, 9:00 AM - 10:45 AM
Pacific C
CS02 - Recent Advances in Bayesian Methods for Cost and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
Invited
Organizer(s): Andrew Justin Spieker, Vanderbilt University Medical Center
Chair(s): Andrew Justin Spieker, Vanderbilt University Medical Center

9:05 AM
Stochastic Analysis of the Cost-Effectiveness Frontier
Daniel F. Heitjan, Southern Methodist University
9:30 AM
A Second-Generation Cost-Effectiveness Acceptability Curve Based on a Bayesian Credible Interval for the Net Monetary Benefit
Andrew Justin Spieker, Vanderbilt University Medical Center
9:55 AM
An all-in-one Bayesian nonparametric model for medical cost prediction, clustering, and causal estimation
Arman Oganisian, University of Pennsylvania
10:20 AM
Discussant
Nandita Mitra, University of Pennsylvania
10:35 AM
Floor Discussion
Tue, Jan 7, 9:00 AM - 10:45 AM
East Coast Ballroom
CS03 - Innovations in Missing Data and Record Linkage
Contributed
Chair(s): Erinn Hade, The Ohio State University

9:00 AM
Measurement error correction in longitudinal dietary intervention studies in the presence of nonignorable missing data
Juned Siddique, Northwestern University
9:15 AM
Unified method for Markov chain transition model estimation using incomplete survey data
Duncan Ermini Leaf, USC Schaeffer Center for Health Policy and Economics
9:30 AM
WITHDRAWN - Buttressing: A Multiple Imputation Framework for Joining Available Background Covariate Data with Observed Outcomes for Precision Gains
Jay Jia Xu, University of California, Los Angeles
9:45 AM
Nonparametric Regression with Responses Missing Not at Random
Dipnil Chakraborty, The University of Texas at Dallas
10:00 AM
A Multiple Imputation Procedure for Record Linkage and Causal Inference to Estimate the Effects of Home-delivered Meals
Mingyang Shan, Brown University
10:15 AM
Using Synthetic Data to Replace Linkage Derived Elements, a Case Study
Dean M. Resnick, N.O.R.C. at the University of Chicago
10:30 AM
Population-based registry linkages to improve the validity of electronic health record-based cancer research
Caroline Thompson, San Diego State University
Tue, Jan 7, 9:00 AM - 10:45 AM
West Coast Ballroom
CS04 - Statistical Learning Methods for Health Care Innovation
Contributed
Chair(s): Jason Gerson, PCORI

9:00 AM
A dynamic optimization screening system for mild cognitive impairment based on machine learning model
Guohong LI, Shanghai JiaoTong University School of Medicine
9:15 AM
Artificial Intelligence (AI) Innovations in Clinical Research
Sanjeeva reddy thalla, genpro life sciences india limited
9:30 AM
Machine Learning for Medical Coding in Health Care Surveys
Presentation Emily Hadley, RTI International
9:45 AM
WITHDRAWN - Using Machine Learning to Identify Factors Affecting Neighborhood Cardiovascular Health
Yan Li, The New York Academy of Medicine
10:00 AM
Approval policies for modifications to Machine Learning-Based Software as a Medical Device
Presentation Jean Feng, University of Washington
10:15 AM
WITHDRAWN - An Informative Stacking of Learner with Disjoint Predictor
Siamak Noorbaloochi, CCDOR/University of Minnesota
10:30 AM
Fast track innovations in estimation and analytics for large national health surveys
Presentation Steven B Cohen, RTI International
Tue, Jan 7, 9:00 AM - 10:45 AM
Porthole
CS05 - Patient-Centered Outcomes
Contributed
Chair(s): Laura Anne Hatfield, Harvard Medical School

WITHDRAWN - Using Bayesian Rasch analysis to develop a new breast cancer-specific preference instrument
Teresa Tsui, Toronto Health Economics and Technology Assessment (THETA) Collaborative
9:05 AM
Understanding patients’ feedback through natural language processing and machine learning
Presentation Yuhao Liu, Center for Helath Workforce Studies
9:25 AM
Propensity scores for proxy reports of care experience and quality: are they useful?
Jessica Roydhouse, Brown University
9:45 AM
Scale Trimming and Validating: An Effective Short-form of the UCLA Loneliness Scale
Presentation Jinyuan Liu, University of California, San Diego
10:05 AM
Item-Level Response Shift Detection using Item Response Theory Analyses with the Graded Response Model
Olawale Fatai Fatai Ayilara, Department of Community Health Sciences, University of Manitoba
10:25 AM
Understanding Patients’ perspectives of healthcare: Trends from hospitals in Accra
Kwadwo Agyei Nyantakyi, Ghana Institute of Management and Public Administration
Tue, Jan 7, 11:00 AM - 12:45 PM
Pacific AB
CS06 - Leveraging existing data on the opioid epidemic to quantify risk and inform policy
Invited
Organizer(s): David Kline, The Ohio State University
Chair(s): Erinn Hade, The Ohio State University

11:05 AM
A multivariate spatio-temporal model of the opioid epidemic in Ohio: A factor model approach
David Kline, The Ohio State University
11:30 AM
A multivariate spatio-temporal model of opioid overdose deaths in Ohio
Staci Hepler, Wake Forest University
11:55 AM
Using Risk Maps to Pre-Deploy Services for Overdose, HIV and Hepatitis C Among People Who Inject Drugs
Gregg S Gonsalves, Yale School of Public Health
12:20 PM
Community-level indicators of risk or resiliency in opioid-related mortality
Lance Waller, Emory University
Discussant(s): Elizabeth Stuart, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
Tue, Jan 7, 11:00 AM - 12:45 PM
Pacific C
CS07 - Leveraging Real-World Data Using Novel Statistical Approaches for Regulatory Decision-making
Invited
Organizer(s): Adrijo Chakraborty, US Food and Drug Administration - CDRH
Chair(s): Arianna Simonetti, US Food and Drug Administration - CDRH

11:05 AM
A Novel Statistical Approach for Leveraging Real-World Data in Regulatory Clinical Studies
Lilly Q. Yue, U.S. FDA
11:30 AM
A Bayesian Non-Parametric Causal Inference Model for Synthesizing Randomized Clinical Trial and Real World Evidence
Chenguang Wang, Johns Hopkins University
11:55 AM
Industry experience in applying the discount power prior
Presentation Theodore Lystig, Medtronic
12:20 PM
Discussant: Adrijo Chakraborty, US Food and Drug Administration - CDRH
12:35 PM
Floor Discussion
Discussant(s): Adrijo Chakraborty, US Food and Drug Administration - CDRH
Tue, Jan 7, 11:00 AM - 12:45 PM
East Coast Ballroom
CS08 - Causal Inference: Matching and Beyond
Contributed
Chair(s): Thomas Love, Case Western Reserve University at MetroHealth Medical Center

11:00 AM
A comparison of synthetic control approaches to control for unobserved confounding using observational data: Evaluating the impact of redesigning urgent and emergency care in Northumberland, England
Geraldine M Clarke, The Health Foundation
11:15 AM
Propensity score stratification: new insights to an old problem.
Presentation Roland Albert Matsouaka, Duke University
11:30 AM
Estimating the effects of medical interventions: a framework for the design and analysis of longitudinal studies with treatment by indication
Presentation Reagan Mozer, Bentley University
11:45 AM
Optimal matching approaches in health policy evaluations under rolling enrollment
Presentation Samuel D. Pimentel, University of California, Berkeley
12:00 PM
Matched or unmatched analyses with propensity-score–matched data?
Fei Wan, Division of Public Health Sciences, Washington University in St. Louis
12:15 PM
The Impact of Bolsa Família Participation on Unhealthy Consumption
Fernanda Araujo Maciel, Bentley University
12:30 PM
Floor Discussion
Tue, Jan 7, 11:00 AM - 12:45 PM
West Coast Ballroom
CS09 - Epidemiologic Modeling
Contributed
Chair(s): Ruth Etzioni, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center

11:00 AM
Effect of Changes in International Classification of Diseases (ICD) Versions on Measurement of Time-Varying Covariates in Disease Risk Prediction Models
Presentation Lisa M Lix, University of Manitoba
11:15 AM
Statistical methods in microsimulation – a systematic review of models for lung cancer
Stavroula Chrysanthopoulou, Brown University
11:30 AM
Estimating Hospital Acquired Infection Rates Using Prevalence Data
Presentation Micha Mandel, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem
11:45 AM
The investigation of Acute Kidney Injury in a South African ICU
Sisa Pazi, Nelson Mandela University
12:00 PM
Interval-Censored Survival Analysis to Reduce Detection Bias in a Study of Family History, Race, and Cancer Risk
Serge Aleshin-Guendel, University of Washington
12:15 PM
The Role of Body Mass Index at Diagnosis of Colorectal Cancer on Black-White Disparities in Survival: A Density Regression Mediation Approach
Katrina L Devick, Mayo Clinic
12:30 PM
Floor Discussion
Tue, Jan 7, 11:00 AM - 12:45 PM
Porthole
CS10 - Health Policy Methods for Medicare and Medicaid
Contributed
Chair(s): Jimmy Thomas Efrid, Cooperative Studies Program Epidemiology Center, DVAHCS

11:00 AM
Using Marginal Structural Models to Estimate the Effect of the Maryland Medicaid Health Home Waiver on Health Care Utilization Among Individuals with Serious Mental Illness
Sachini Bandara, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
11:15 AM
An Evaluation of Dynamic Linear Models in Predicting Monthly Medicare Payment per Capita
Maria L. Joseph-King, General Dynamics Information Technology
11:30 AM
Exploring Use of Medicare Advantage Encounter Data to Improve Estimation for the Population of Medicare Beneficiaries
Nicholas D Davis, NORC at the University of Chicago
11:45 AM
WITHDRAWN - A Comparison Study on Quality of Care and Practice Patterns of Primary Care Physicians, Nurse Practitioners, and Physician Assistants for Medicaid Patients in New York
Shen Wang, Center for Health Workforce Studies
12:00 PM
How do supplemental items affect HCAHPS response rates and scores?
Marc Nathan Elliott, RAND Corporation
12:15 PM
The System Dynamics of Medicaid Enrollment: A New Approach to Inform Policy
Presentation Marian Frazier, College of Wooster
12:30 PM
Measuring Value-Added Quality in Medicare Advantage
Matthew Brault, Harvard University
Tue, Jan 7, 12:45 PM - 2:00 PM
Lunch (on own)
ICHPS Hours

Tue, Jan 7, 2:00 PM - 3:45 PM
Pacific AB
CS11 - Who’s There? Missing codes, records, and people in administrative data
Invited
Organizer(s): Laura Anne Hatfield, Harvard Medical School
Chair(s): Benjamin Ackerman, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health

2:05 PM
Missing diagnoses, uncovering hidden groups, and going beyond ‘encounters’ to assess health
Sherri Rose, Harvard Medical School
2:25 PM
Missing details in Administrative data and impact on phenotyping and cohort identification
Presentation Casey Ta, Columbia University
2:45 PM
Handling silently missing data in Medicare Advantage encounter data
Presentation Laura Anne Hatfield, Harvard Medical School
3:05 PM
Benefit design implications for claims data missingness
Jeanne Madden, Northeastern University School of Pharmacy
3:25 PM
Floor Discussion
Tue, Jan 7, 2:00 PM - 3:45 PM
Pacific C
CS12 - New Avenues for Network Analysis in Health Policy Research: Social networks in the context of selection, peer influence and mediation
Invited
Organizer(s): Samrachana Adhikari, New York University School of Medicine
Chair(s): Rui Wang, Harvard Medical School, Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institut

2:05 PM
Bayesian Model Selection for Networks: Application to Patient-Sharing Networks
Ravi Goyal, Mathematica Policy Research
2:35 PM
Modeling Peer Effects and their Modification by an Actor’s Structural Prominence in a Social Network
James O'Malley, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth
3:05 PM
Modeling Social Networks as Mediators
Tracy M Sweet, University of Maryland
3:35 PM
Floor Discussion
Tue, Jan 7, 2:00 PM - 3:45 PM
West Coast Ballroom
CS14 - Advances in Health Economics
Contributed
Chair(s): Adrijo Chakraborty, US Food and Drug Administration - CDRH

WITHDRAWN - Statistical Modeling of Longitudinal Medical Cost Trajectory
Shikun Wang, MD Anderson Cancer Center
WITHDRAWN - Using real-world data and multistate modeling to inform a health economic model of late stage prostate cancer
Nicholas Mitsakakis, Biostatistics Research Unit, University Health Network
2:05 PM
Yay or Nay? Picking Optimal Essential Health Benefits
Katherine Lofgren, Harvard University
2:25 PM
Rising cancer costs and steadily improving outcomes: how are they related?
Renee L Gennarelli, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center
2:45 PM
Evaluation of health policy interventions for contagious outcomes
Presentation Olga Morozova, Yale University
3:05 PM
Price Sensitivity and Substitution among Prescription Medications: Evidence from the Medicare Part D Donut Hole Closure
Cameron Kaplan, University of Southern California
3:25 PM
Wartime Procurement and the Direction of Prosthetic Device Innovation (with Jeffrey Clemens)
Presentation Parker Rogers, UC San Diego
Tue, Jan 7, 4:00 PM - 5:45 PM
Porthole
CS16 - Public Health Challenges and Statistical Solutions for Today and Tomorrow
Invited
Organizer(s): Ruth Etzioni, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center
Chair(s): Ruth Etzioni, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center

WITHDRAWN - Using Difference-in-Difference Cross Temporal Matching Approach to Evaluate Evolving Hospice Payment Policy in Aging Population
Joan M Teno, OHSU
4:05 PM
The Evolving Role of Causal Inference Methods for Informing Air Quality Policy
Presentation Corwin M Zigler, University of Texas at Austin
4:25 PM
Challenges and opportunities in statistical methods for studies of aging and dementia
Presentation Rebecca Hubbard, University of Pennsylvania
4:45 PM
Statistical questions, and challenges, for estimating the effects of opioid-related policies and programs
Presentation Elizabeth Stuart, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
5:05 PM
Human health effects of air pollution: Statistics and Public Policy
Presentation C. Arden Pope, Brigham Young University
5:25 PM
Integrating and Utilizing Diverse Data in Tennessee's Public Health Response to the Opioid Overdose Epidemic
Benjamin Dylan Tyndall, Tennessee Department of Health
Tue, Jan 7, 4:00 PM - 5:45 PM
Pacific C
CS17 - Town Hall - The Critical Role of Sex, Gender, Race, Ethnicity, and Sexual Orientation in Health Policy Research
Invited
Organizer(s): Lauren Ruth Samuels, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine
Chair(s): Kim Hart, Vanderbilt University Medical Center; Lauren Ruth Samuels, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine

4:05 PM
The Critical Role of Sex, Gender, Race, Ethnicity, and Sexual Orientation in Health Policy Research
Rachel R. Hardeman, University of Minnesota School of Public Health; Kim Hart, Vanderbilt University Medical Center; Lauren Ruth Samuels, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine; Maya Taylor, Vanderbilt
Tue, Jan 7, 4:00 PM - 5:45 PM
East Coast Ballroom
CS18 - Using Data to Inform the ASA’s Policy on Sexual Misconduct
Invited
Organizer(s): Leslie Ain McClure, Drexel University
Chair(s): Leslie Ain McClure, Drexel University

4:05 PM
Using data to inform the ASA’s policy on sexual misconduct
Emma Benn, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinia; Maryclare Griffin, University of Massachusetts Amherst; Sally Morton, Virginia Tech
Tue, Jan 7, 4:00 PM - 5:45 PM
West Coast Ballroom
CS29 - Teaching health policy statistics: What should we be teaching?
Invited
Organizer(s): Kate Crespi, University of California, Los Angeles
Chair(s): Thomas Belin, University of California, Los Angeles

4:05 PM
Teaching health policy statistics: What should we be teaching?
Anirban Basu, The Comparative Health Outcomes, Policy, and Economics (CHOICE) Institute, University of Washington; Laura Lee Johnson, U.S. Food and Drug Administration, CDER; Norma Padron, American Hospital Association; Florin Vaida, University of California San Diego; Alan Zaslavsky, Harvard Medical School
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