Name: 2021 Joint Statistical Meetings
Start: 2021-08-08T07:00:00+00:00
End: 2021-08-12

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* = applied session ! = JSM meeting theme

Activity Details

36 * !	Sun, 8/8/2021, 3:30 PM - 5:20 PM	Virtual
Spatial and Spatio-Temporal Modeling of the Demographic and Economic Data — Invited Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section, International Indian Statistical Association, Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Soutir Bandyopadhyay, Colorado School of Mines
Chair(s): Soumendra Lahiri, Washington University
3:35 PM	Joint Bayesian Analysis of Multiple Response Types Using the Hierarchical Generalized Transformation Model Jonathan R Bradley, Florida State University
3:55 PM	Spatial Analysis and Modeling of Urbanization-Related Population and Land Use Dynamics Jing Gao, University of Delaware
4:15 PM	Tensor-Based Anomaly Detection from Large Spatio-Temporal Data Taps Maiti, Michigan State University; Peide Li, Michigan State University
4:35 PM	Advantages of Model Misspecification for Block Data Soutir Bandyopadhyay, Colorado School of Mines; Douglas Nychka, Colorado School of Mines; Peter Simonson, CACI-BITS systems
4:55 PM	Discussant: Douglas Nychka, Colorado School of Mines
5:15 PM	Floor Discussion

50 * !	Sun, 8/8/2021, 3:30 PM - 5:20 PM	Virtual
Advances in Spatial Statistics for Survey Methodology and Official Statistics — Topic-Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Business and Economic Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Scott Holan, University of Missouri
Chair(s): Scott Holan, University of Missouri
3:35 PM	Bayesian Dasymetric Modeling Matthew Simpson, SAS Institute; Scott Holan, University of Missouri; Christopher Wikle, University of Missouri
3:55 PM	Hierarchical Bayesian Mixed Effect Models for Spatially Correlated Areal Count-Valued Data When Covariates Are Measured with Error Saikat Nandy, University of Missouri; Scott Holan, University of Missouri
4:15 PM	An Accurate Corset Methodology for Efficient Reduction of Spatial Data Ranadeep Daw, University of Missouri; Christopher Wikle, University of Missouri
4:35 PM	A Spatial Change of Support Model for Differentially Private Measurements, with Application to Estimation of Counts of Persons in AIAN Areas by Detailed Race Groups Ryan Janicki, US Census Bureau; Andrew Raim, U. S. Census Bureau; Kyle Irimata, U.S. Census Bureau; James A Livsey, U. S. Census Bureau; Scott Holan, University of Missouri
4:55 PM	A Bayesian Functional Data Model for Surveys Collected Under Informative Sampling with Application to Mortality Estimation Using NHANES Paul Parker, University of Missouri; Scott Holan, University of Missouri
5:15 PM	Floor Discussion

52 * !	Sun, 8/8/2021, 3:30 PM - 5:20 PM	Virtual
Statistically Accurate Interactive Displays for Educational and Government Reports — Topic-Contributed Panel
Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section, Section on Statistical Graphics
Organizer(s): Brian Habing, National Institute of Statistical Sciences
Chair(s): Brian Habing, National Institute of Statistical Sciences
3:35 PM	Statistically Accurate Interactive Displays for Educational and Government Reports
Panelists:	Andrew White, National Center for Education Statistics Lynne Stokes, Southern Methodist University Mark Wilson, University of California Berkeley Nola du Toit, NORC at the University of Chicago
5:10 PM	Floor Discussion

75	Mon, 8/9/2021, 10:00 AM - 11:50 AM	Virtual
SPEED: Data Challenge and SPAAC — Topic-Contributed Speed
Government Statistics Section, SPAA Committee, Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statistical Graphics
Chair(s): Wendy Martinez, Bureau of Labor Statistics
10:05 AM	Determine the Factors That Drive Social Distancing During COVID-19 Pandemic Zijian Huang, University of Connecticut; Simiao Gao, University of Connecticut
10:10 AM	Predicting the Impacts of a Pandemic: An Analysis of the Relationship Between Social Vulnerability and COVID-19 in the United States Coby Warkentin, Miami University; Lydia Carter, Miami University; Thomas J Fisher, Miami University
10:15 AM	WITHRAWN: Identifying County Demographics Most Affected by COVID-19 Eric Christopher Browne, University of Denver; Isabel Osgood, University of Denver
10:20 AM	The Effects of COVID-19-Related State-Level Restrictions on National and State Unemployment Richard Griffiths, mGTI Statistics; Clayton Perry, Self; Chrystine Tadler, Self
10:25 AM	Predict COVID-19 Cases by County-Level Socio-Economics Indicators Yue Yu, University of Michigan; Shiying Wang, Georgetown University
10:30 AM	Are We All in the Same Boat? How COVID-19 Affected Central Ohio Residents Betsy Ehmcke, Ohio State University; Liz Whelan-Jackson, Mid-Ohio Regional Planning Commission
10:35 AM	State Space Assessment on the Impact of COVID-19 on Housing Security for Young Adults in the United States Mingzhao Hu, University of California Santa Barbara
10:40 AM	Anxiety Prediction Before and After the COVID-19 Pandemic Krista Wurscher, The Ohio State University; Yue Yu, The Ohio State University
10:45 AM	Promoting Environmental Justice While Recovering from COVID-19 Victoria Anderson, Esri; Brady Ross, Esri
10:50 AM	Prediction of Anxiety Due to COVID-19 Across States from 2020 to 2021 Yifan Lu, Southern Methodist University; Stephen Frantz, Southern Methodist University; Duwani Katumullage, Southern Methodist University; Hon Keung Tony Ng, Southern Methodist University; Lynne Stokes, Southern Methodist University
11:00 AM	The Effect of County-Level Socioeconomic and Health Care Inequality on COVID-19 Infection and Mortality in the Southern and Southeastern United States Webb Williams, Southern Methodist University; Jackson Paul Barth, Southern Methodist University; Guanqing Cheng, Southern Methodist University; Ming Zhang, Southern Methodist University; Hon Keung Tony Ng, Southern Methodist University; Lynne Stokes, Southern Methodist University
11:05 AM	Predictors of US Government Spending on COVID-19 Relief Henry Dorsey, Southern Methodist University; MaryLena Bleile, Southern Methodist University; Mingzhe Fang, Southern Methodist University; Austin Hung, Southern Methodist University; Hon Keung Tony Ng, Southern Methodist University; Lynne Stokes, Southern Methodist University
11:10 AM	Forecasting the Potential Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Employment Opportunities in the North Carolina Textile Industry Using Time Series Models Lori Rothenberg, North Carolina State University; Sneha Rani, North Carolina State University; Helmut Hergeth, North Carolina State University; Lisa Chapman, North Carolina State University
11:15 AM	Measuring Systemic Risks and Inefficiency in Agriculture: The Indian Story Presentation Nimai Mehta, American University
11:20 AM	Estimation of Crash Type Frequencies on Individual Collector Roadway Segments Asif Mahmud, The Pennsylvania State University; Vikash V. Gayah, The Pennsylvania State University
11:25 AM	Bayesian Modeling of Spatial Transcriptomics Data via a Modified Ising Model Xi Jiang, Southern Methodist University; Qiwei Li, The University of Texas at Dallas; Guanghua Xiao, The University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center
11:30 AM	Gaussian Random Functional Dynamic Spatio-Temporal Modeling of Discrete-Time Spatial Time Series Data Presentation Suman Guha, Presidency University
11:35 AM	IVY Plots and Gaussian Interval Plots Jyotirmoy Sarkar, Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis; Mamunur Rashid, DePauw University
11:40 AM	Adaptive Enrichment Design with Multiple Interim Analysis for Clinical Trials with Biomarker Presentation Hao Zhang, Amgen Inc.; David Gold, Amgen Inc.

112 *	Mon, 8/9/2021, 1:30 PM - 3:20 PM	Virtual
Statistics and Legislative Redistricting — Invited Papers
Social Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section, Statistics and Public Policy
Organizer(s): Cory McCartan, Harvard University
Chair(s): Jonathan C. Mattingly, Duke University
1:35 PM	Monte Carlo Methods for Revealing Gerrymandering Gregory J Herschlag, Department of Mathematics; Jonathan C. Mattingly, Duke University
2:05 PM	Sequential Monte Carlo for Sampling Balanced and Compact Redistricting Plans Presentation Cory McCartan, Harvard University; Kosuke Imai, Harvard University
2:35 PM	Computational Methods for Assessing Political Redistricting Reforms Daryl DeFord, Washington State University
3:05 PM	Floor Discussion

124 *	Mon, 8/9/2021, 1:30 PM - 3:20 PM	Virtual
Algorithms for Threat Detection — Topic-Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security, Stats. Partnerships Among Academe Indust. & Govt. Committee, Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Abel Rodriguez, University of Washington
Chair(s): Abel Rodriguez, University of Washington
1:35 PM	Sequential Change-Point Detection for Hawkes Processes Over Networks Yao Xie, Georgia Institute of Technology; Haoyun Wang, Georgia Institute of Technology; Liyan Xie, Georgia Institute of Technology; Simon Mak, Duke University; Alex Cuozzo , Duke University
1:55 PM	Matérn Gaussian Fields on Graphs: Theory and Applications Daniel Sanz-Alonso, University of Chicago; Ruiyi Yang, University of Chicago
2:15 PM	Data-Dependent Distances for Hyperspectral Images James M. Murphy, Tufts University
2:35 PM	CHIP: A Hawkes Process Model for Continuous-Time Networks of Relational Events Subhadeep Paul, The Ohio State University; Kevin Xu, University of Toledo; Makan Arastuie, University of Toledo
2:55 PM	Topological Anomaly Detection on Complex Networks Dorcas Ofori-Boateng, Portland State University; Ignacio Segovia Dominguez, UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT DALLAS; Yulia R. Gel, UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT DALLAS; Murat R. Kantargioclu, UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT DALLAS; Cuneyt G Akcora, University of Manitoba
3:15 PM	Floor Discussion

126 * !	Mon, 8/9/2021, 1:30 PM - 3:20 PM	Virtual
Interpreting Nonprobability Samples: Discoveries and Challenges — Topic-Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Michael Yang, NORC at the University of Chicago
Chair(s): Katherine Jenny Thompson, U.S. Census Bureau
1:35 PM	Exploring Nonprobability Methods with Simulations from a Common Data Source: Culture and Community in a Time of Crisis Jennifer Benoit-Bryan, Slover Linett Audience Research
1:55 PM	Combining Data from Probability and Non-Probability Samples Using Penalized Spline of Propensity Prediction Presentation Michael R. Elliott, University of Michigan; Ali Rafei, University of Michigan; Carol Flannagan, University of Michigan
2:15 PM	Estimators with Combined Probability and Nonprobability Samples Using Small Area Models Michael Yang, NORC at the University of Chicago; Nada Ganesh, NORC at the University of Chicago; Evan Herring-Nathan, NORC at the University of Chicago; Vicki Pineau, NORC at the University of Chicago
2:35 PM	Creating Statistically-Defensible Calibrated Weights for a Blended Sample and Measuring the Accuracy of the Resulting Estimates Presentation Phillip Kott, RTI International; Jamie Ridenhour, RTI International
2:55 PM	Discussant: Edward Mulrow, NORC at the University of Chicago
3:15 PM	Floor Discussion

130	Mon, 8/9/2021, 1:30 PM - 3:20 PM	Virtual
Statisticians and Mathematicians Supporting Evidence-Based Policymaking: Perspectives from Congressional Science Fellows During the 116th and 117th Congresses — Topic-Contributed Panel
Committee on Career Development, Government Statistics Section, Committee of Representatives to AAAS
Organizer(s): Daniel Elchert, ASA Congressional Science and Technology Policy Fellow
Chair(s): Erica Groshen, Bureau of Labor Statistics
1:35 PM	Statisticians and Mathematicians Supporting Evidence-Based Policy Making: Perspectives from Congressional Science Fellows
Panelists:	Daniel Elchert, ASA Congressional Science and Technology Policy Fellow Kristin Hook, American Statistical Association Rachel Levy, American Mathematical Society
3:15 PM	Floor Discussion

147 * !	Tue, 8/10/2021, 10:00 AM - 11:50 AM	Virtual
Producing Official Statistics During a Pandemic: Advances Under Adversity — Invited Papers
Government Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Linda J Young, USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service
Chair(s): Yang Cheng, USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service
10:05 AM	Methodological Innovations Behind the COVID-19 Household Pulse Survey Jason Fields, U.S. Census Bureau; Jennifer Hunter Childs, US Census Bureau; Anthony Tersine, U.S. Census Bureau
10:30 AM	Producing National Health Estimates During a Pandemic Morgan Earp, National Center for Health Statistics; Stephen Blumberg, National Center for Health Statistics; Carol DeFrances, National Center for Health Statistics; Ryne Paulose, National Center for Health Statistics
10:55 AM	BLS Business Surveys in the Wake of COVID-19: Changes to Data Collection, Imputation, and Estimation Kenneth W Robertson, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
11:20 AM	Discussant: Linda J Young, USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service
11:40 AM	Floor Discussion

160 * !	Tue, 8/10/2021, 10:00 AM - 11:50 AM	Virtual
Time Series Methodology: Modern Practices in Seasonal Adjustment and Software — Topic-Contributed Papers
Section for Statistical Programmers and Analysts, Government Statistics Section, Business and Economic Statistics Section
Organizer(s): James A Livsey, U. S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Vladas Pipiras, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
10:05 AM	Adapting the Seasonal Adjustment of Local Area Unemployment Statistics to the COVID-19 Pandemic Richard Tiller, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Jennifer Oh, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Lizhi Liu, Bureau of Labor Statistics
10:25 AM	New Seasonal Adjustment and Signal Extraction Methods in the Manufacturers’ Shipments, Inventories, and Orders (M3) Survey James A Livsey, U. S. Census Bureau; Colt Viehdorfer, US Census Bureau
10:45 AM	Toward a New Paradigm for Scanner Data Price Indices: Applying Big Data Techniques to Big Data Jens Mehrhoff, Deutsche Bundesbank
11:05 AM	Recent Advances in Count Time Series Models Stefanos Kechagias, SAS Institute; Vladas Pipiras, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; James A Livsey, U. S. Census Bureau; Robert Lund, UC Santa Cruz; Yisu Jia, University of North Florida
11:25 AM	Review of Available Programs for Seasonal Adjustment of Weekly Data Presentation Thomas Evans, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Brian C Monsell, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Michael Sverchkov, Bureau of Labor Statistics
11:45 AM	Floor Discussion

172	Tue, 8/10/2021, 12:00 PM - 1:20 PM	Virtual
Government Statistics Section P.M. Roundtable Discussion (Added Fee) — Roundtables PM Roundtable Discussion
Government Statistics Section
TL04:	Toward Developing Viable Missing Data Treatments for Short-Term Statistics During a Pandemic Stephen Kaputa, U.S. Census Bureau

185 *	Tue, 8/10/2021, 1:30 PM - 3:20 PM	Virtual
The Missing Puzzle Piece: Estimating Survey Data Collection Costs — Invited Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Stephanie Coffey, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Stephanie Coffey, U.S. Census Bureau
1:35 PM	Examining Variation in Survey Costs Across Surveys Kristen Olson, University of Nebraska-Lincoln; Jennifer Dykema, University of Wisconsin Survey Center; John Stevenson, University of Wisconsin Survey Center; Lindsey Witt-Swanson, Bureau of Sociological Research
2:00 PM	Is the Price Right? Predicting Future Survey Costs Using Previous Cycles Presentation Kayla Marie Varela, US Census Bureau
2:25 PM	Using Machine Learning and Statistical Models to Predict Survey Costs James Wagner, University of Michigan; Brady T. West, University of Michigan; Michael R. Elliott, University of Michigan; Stephanie Coffey, U.S. Census Bureau
2:50 PM	Discussant: John L Eltinge, U.S. Census Bureau
3:10 PM	Floor Discussion

196 * !	Tue, 8/10/2021, 1:30 PM - 3:20 PM	Virtual
How Statistical Auditing Tells Us About Life, the Universe, and Everything — Invited Panel
Statistical Auditing Interest Group, Government Statistics Section, Business and Economic Statistics Section
Organizer(s): John Hilton, Office of the Auditor General of Canada
Chair(s): Zac Rhyne, Ryan, LLC.
1:35 PM	How Statistical Auditing Tells Us About Life, the Universe, and Everything
Panelists:	Wendy Rotz, Grant Thornton LLP Nick Brouwer, Office of the Auditor General of Canada John Hilton, Office of the Auditor General of Canada James Ashley, U.S. Government Accountability Office
3:10 PM	Floor Discussion

199 * !	Tue, 8/10/2021, 1:30 PM - 3:20 PM	Virtual
Novel Time Series Approaches for Official Statistics in the Time of COVID-19 — Topic-Contributed Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Brian C Monsell, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Chair(s): James A Livsey, U. S. Census Bureau
1:35 PM	Novel Data Sources for Business Cycle Analysis and Seasonal Adjustment Presentation Daniel Ollech, Deutsche Bundesbank
1:55 PM	Seasonal Adjustment of High-Frequency Series in COVID Time Jean Palate, National Bank of Belgium
2:15 PM	Seasonal Adjustment and Modeling of Higher Frequency Time Series in UK Official Statistics During the COVID-19 Outbreak Duncan Elliott, Office for National Statistics
2:35 PM	Asymmetric Linear Filters for Seasonal Adjustment: Applications to the COVID-19 Impact in Monthly Time Series Presentation Alain Quartier-la-tente, ENSAE; Dominique Ladiray, Independant
2:55 PM	Time Series Responses to the COVID-19 Pandemic at BLS for Monthly and Weekly Series Presentation Brian C Monsell, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
3:15 PM	Floor Discussion

212	Tue, 8/10/2021, 1:30 PM - 3:20 PM	Virtual
GOVT CSpeed 1 — Contributed Speed
Government Statistics Section
Chair(s): William Everett Cecere, Westat
1:35 PM	Implementing Differentially Private Geometric Mechanism to Business Formation Statistics and Manufactured Housing Survey for Privacy Protection THAGENDRA PRASAD TIMSINA, CENSUS BUREAU
1:40 PM	Evidence Act Standard Application Process: Stakeholder Engagement and Observations Jon Desenberg, The MITRE Corporation; Heather Madray, U.S. Census Bureau; Sue Collin, The MITRE Corporation
1:45 PM	Disclosure Risk from Homogeneity Attack in Differentially Private Frequency Distribution Presentation Fang Liu, University of Notre Dame; Xingyuan Zhao, University of Notre Dame
1:50 PM	Sharing Student Data Across Organizational Boundaries Using Secure Multiparty Computation Presentation Stephanie Straus, Georgetown University, Massive Data Institute; Amy O'Hara, Georgetown University, Massive Data Institute; David Archer, Galois; Rawane Issa, Galois
1:55 PM	Application of Different Priors in Bayesian Logistic Regression Comparing Odds of Non-Response Among Strata in US Census of Horticulture Specialties in Two Selected States Bayazid Sarkar, NASS/USDA
2:00 PM	Using the American Community Survey to Construct a Labor Composition Measure Suitable for BLS MFP and the BEA-BLS Integrated Industry-Level Production Account Jerin Varghese, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Jon D. Samuels, Bureau of Economic Analysis; Michael Jadoo, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Andrew Kato, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Michael Sverchkov, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Corby Garner, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Justin Harper, Bureau of Labor Statistics
2:05 PM	Using Paradata and Machine Learning to Examine American Community Survey (ACS) Data Collection Effectiveness Caleb Floyd, United States Census Bureau; Deborah Delio, United States Census Bureau; Matthew Brooks , United States Census Bureau
2:10 PM	Modeling Survey Nonresponse Using Multiple Indicators of Survey Burden in a Household Survey John Dixon, Bureau of Labor Statistics
2:15 PM	Using Administrative Data to Conduct a Nonresponse Bias Analysis in the Survey of Occupational Injuries and Illnesses Ellen Galantucci, Bureau of Labor Statistics
2:20 PM	Multiple Imputation of Missing Data with Skip-Pattern Covariates Guangyu Zhang, CDC; Yulei He, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Bill Cai, NCHS; Chris Moriarity, NCHS; Hee-Choon Shin, National Center for Health Statistics; Van Parsons, CDC; Katherine Irimata, NCHS
2:30 PM	Influential Unit Treatment in the Annual Survey of Local Government Finances Noah Bassel, US Census Bureau
2:35 PM	Data Quality in the Consumer Expenditure Survey’s Large-Scale Online Diary Feasibility Test Presentation Laura Erhard, Bureau of Labor Statistics
2:40 PM	Mode Effects in the Research and Development Survey Presentation Bill Cai, NCHS
2:45 PM	Agent-Based Modeling of Residential Energy Demand Janice Lent, U.S. Energy Information Administration
2:50 PM	Projection of Argentina's Macroeconomic Aggregates Through a Constrained Adaptive Expectations Model Luis Frank, Universidad de Buenos Aires
2:55 PM	HODOR: Hold-Out Design for Network A/B Testing with Lurking Variables Nicholas Alfredo Larsen, North Carolina State University, Department of Statistics; Jon Stallrich, North Carolina State; Srijan Sengupta, North Carolina State University

3:15 PM	Floor Discussion

239 *	Wed, 8/11/2021, 10:00 AM - 11:50 AM	Virtual
The 2020 FCSM Data Quality Framework: Future Directions — Topic-Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section
Organizer(s): Jennifer D Parker, NCHS
Chair(s): Linda J Young, USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service
10:05 AM	'Ask US' About Coverage Error: An Investigation from a New Inter-Agency Online Panel Emilia Peytcheva, RTI International; Jennifer Hunter Childs, US Census Bureau
10:25 AM	Expanding Data Linkage Opportunities and Measuring Quality Lisa B. Mirel, CDC/NCHS/DAE; Dean Resnick, NORC; Christine Cox, NORC; Jonathan Aram, CDC/NCHS/DAE
10:45 AM	Visual and Interactive Tools for Assessing Data Quality Presentation Zachary H. Seeskin, NORC at the University of Chicago; Kiegan Rice, NORC at the University of Chicago
11:05 AM	Transportation Data for Decision-Making During the COVID-19 Pandemic Presentation Rolf Schmitt, Bureau of Transportation Statistics
11:25 AM	Discussant: Jennifer D Parker, NCHS
11:45 AM	Floor Discussion

277	Wed, 8/11/2021, 1:30 PM - 3:20 PM	Virtual
ASA Student Paper Competition Winners — Topic-Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Stephen Campbell, NIST
Chair(s): Elizabeth Petraglia, Westat
1:35 PM	Inference from Non-Random Samples Using Bayesian Machine Learning Yutao Liu, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Andrew Gelman, Columbia University; Qixuan Chen, Columbia University
1:55 PM	Individual and Community-Level Risks for COVID-19 Mortality in the US Neha Agarwala, University of Maryland, Baltimore County; Prosenjit Kundu, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University; Jin Jin, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University; Nilanjan Chatterjee, Johns Hopkins University; Yuqi Zhang, Johns Hopkins University; Benjamin Harvey, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University; Eliza Wallace, 4PolicyMap, Inc.
2:15 PM	A Two-Stage Cox Process Model with Spatial and Nonspatial Covariates Claire Kelling, Penn State; Murali Haran, Pennsylvania State University
2:35 PM	Varying Impacts of Letters of Recommendation on College Admissions: Approximate Balancing Weights for Subgroup Effects in Observational Studies Eli Ben-Michael, Harvard University; Avi Feller, UC Berkeley; Jesse Rothstein, UC Berkeley
2:55 PM	Refinement: Measuring Informativeness of Ratings in the Absence of a Gold Standard Sheridan Lloyd Grant, University of Washington; Marina Meila, University of Washington; Elena Erosheva, University of Washington; Carole Lee, University of Washington
	Discussant: Michael Messner, retired
3:15 PM	Floor Discussion

303 *	Wed, 8/11/2021, 3:30 PM - 5:20 PM	Virtual
Imputation Vis-a-Vis Research Standards in Clearinghouses — Invited Panel
Social Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section
Organizer(s): David Ross Judkins, Abt Associates
Chair(s): David Ross Judkins, Abt Associates
3:35 PM	Imputation Vis-a-Vis Research Standards in Clearinghouses
Panelists:	Rebecca R Andridge, The Ohio State University College of Public Health Elias Walsh, Mathematica Joshua Polanin, American Institutes for Research Paul T von Hippel, University of Texas, Austin Joerg Drechsler, Institute for Employment Research (Germany) Ryan Williams
5:15 PM	Floor Discussion

304 !	Wed, 8/11/2021, 3:30 PM - 5:20 PM	Virtual
The Independence of Federal Statistical Agencies — Invited Panel
Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Mark M Pierzchala, MMP Survey Services, LLC
Chair(s): Katherine Kersten Wallman, US Office of Management (Ret)
3:35 PM	The Independence of Federal Statistical Agencies
Panelists:	John M Abowd, US Census Bureau Susan Offutt, US Government Accountability Office (Ret) Sally Thompson, Bureau of Economic Analysis (Ret) Connie Forbes Citro, Committee on National Statistics
5:15 PM	Floor Discussion

312 * !	Wed, 8/11/2021, 3:30 PM - 5:20 PM	Virtual
Macroeconomic Forecasting in Theory and Practice — Topic-Contributed Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science
Organizer(s): Andrew B Martinez, US Department of the Treasury
Chair(s): Jennifer Castle, Magdalen College
3:35 PM	Selecting a Model for Forecasting Jennifer Castle, Magdalen College; Jurgen A Doornik, Climate Econometrics, University of Oxford; David F. Hendry, University of Oxford
3:55 PM	Smooth Robust Multi-Horizon Forecasts Andrew B Martinez, US Department of the Treasury; Jennifer Castle, Magdalen College; David F. Hendry, University of Oxford
4:15 PM	Forecasting US Inflation in Real Time Kirstin Hubrich, Federal Reserve Board; Chad Fulton, Federal Reserve Board
4:35 PM	Forecasting FOMC Forecasts Presentation Jaime Marquez, Johns Hopkins University; S. Yanki Kalfa, Rady School of Managment University of California @ San Diego
4:55 PM	Evaluating the Federal Reserve’s Tealbook Forecasts Neil R Ericsson, Federal Reserve Board
5:15 PM	Floor Discussion

326 * !	Thu, 8/12/2021, 10:00 AM - 11:50 AM	Virtual
Recent Developments in Probabilistic Record Linkage, Multiple Systems Estimation, and Entity Resolution — Invited Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Social Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Ansu Chatterjee, University of Minnesota
Chair(s): Yang Cheng, USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service
10:05 AM	High-Dimensional, Robust, Unsupervised Record Linkage Ansu Chatterjee, University of Minnesota; Sabyasachi Bera, University of Minnesota
10:30 AM	Multiple Systems Estimation for the Quantification of Modern Slavery: A Comparative Study Regarding the Accuracy of Current Methods Olivier Binette, Duke University ; Rebecca C. Steorts, Duke University
10:55 AM	Bayesian one-inflated models for population size estimation Tiziana Tuoto, Italian National Institute for Statistics; Davide Di Cecco, Sapienza University of Rome; Andrea Tancredi, Sapienza University of Rome
11:20 AM	A Theoretical Framework for Probabilistic Record Linkage in Multiple-Frame Surveys Takumi Saegusa, University of Maryland, College Park; Partha Lahiri, University of Maryland, College Park
11:45 AM	Floor Discussion

337 * !	Thu, 8/12/2021, 10:00 AM - 11:50 AM	Virtual
Building the Infrastructure for the Future of Official Statistics — Invited Panel
Government Statistics Section, Committee on National Statistics; NAS, Business and Economic Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Arthur B Kennickell, Stone Center, CUNY Graduate Center
Chair(s): Arthur B Kennickell, Stone Center, CUNY Graduate Center
10:05 AM	Building the Infrastructure for the Future of Official Statistics
Panelists:	Julia Lane, NYU Frauke Kreuter, University of Maryland and University of Mannheim Nancy Potok, NAPx Consulting Daniel Goroff, Alfred P. Sloan Foundation Nick Hart, Data Coalition Barry Johnson, Statistics of Income, IRS
11:40 AM	Floor Discussion

345 * !	Thu, 8/12/2021, 10:00 AM - 11:50 AM	Virtual
Advances in Macroeconomic Nowcasting and Forecasting: Role of Traditional and Nontraditional Indicators and Big Data — Topic-Contributed Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section, International Statistical Institute, Text Analysis Interest Group
Organizer(s): Baoline Chen, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
Chair(s): Peter Zadrozny, Bureau of Labor Statistics
10:05 AM	Back to the Present: Learning About the Euro Area Through a Now-Casting Model Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia, Federal Reserve Board; Thiago R.T. Ferreira, Federal Reserve Board; Domenico Giannone, Amazon.com; Michele Modugno, Federal Reserve Board
10:25 AM	Nowcasting of Advanced Estimates of Quarterly US Private Consumption of Services with Traditional Indicators and Credit Card Payments Data Baoline Chen, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis; Kyle Hood, Bureau of Economic Analysis
10:45 AM	Using Cross-Temporal Hierarchies to Improve Forecasts from Large Data Sets Tommaso Di Fonzo, University of Padua; Daniele Girolimetto, University of Padua
11:05 AM	Are conflict and uncertainty measures useful for macroeconomic nowcasting? An application for Latin America Presentation Javier J. Perez, Bank of Spain; Hannes Mueller, Barcelona GSE; Marina Diakonova, Bank of Spain; Luis Molina, Bank of Spain; Christopher Rauh, University of Cambridge
11:25 AM	Nowcasting GDP in Real Time with a Tone-Adjusted, Time-Varying Layered Topic Model Jasper de Winter, De Nederlansche Bank
11:45 AM	Floor Discussion

381 !	Thu, 8/12/2021, 12:00 PM - 1:50 PM	Virtual
Being Agile During a Pandemic: The American Community Survey Approach — Topic-Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Sandra L. Clark, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Andrew D. Keller, US Census Bureau
12:05 PM	Data Collection for the American Community Survey During the 2020 Pandemic Dameka Reese, Census Bureau
12:25 PM	Response to the American Community Survey During the 2020 Pandemic Stephanie Baumgardner, US Census Bureau; Sandra L. Clark, U.S. Census Bureau
12:45 PM	Prisons Shut Down, Too: Using Administrative Records to Replace In-Person Interviews of the Federally Incarcerated R. Chase Sawyer, U.S. Census Bureau; Sandra L. Clark, U.S. Census Bureau
1:05 PM	Survey Isolation During COVID-19: The Effects of Suddenly Relying on Address-Matched Phone Numbers for Interviewing Households Jonathan Eggleston, U.S. Census Bureau; John Voorheis, U.S. Census Bureau; Tim Trudell, U.S. Census Bureau; Yarissa Gonzalez, U.S. Census Bureau
1:25 PM	Census Data for COVID Presentation Andrew Hait, US Census Bureau
1:45 PM	Floor Discussion

399 * !	Thu, 8/12/2021, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM	Virtual
Collecting, Protecting, and Sharing COVID-19 Data and the Stories They Tell — Invited Papers
Government Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, Committee on Privacy and Confidentiality
Organizer(s): Lars Vilhuber, Cornell University
Chair(s): Lars Vilhuber, Cornell University
2:05 PM	Using Anonymized Data to Help Public Health Officials Combat COVID-19 Damien Desfontaines, Google
2:20 PM	Protecting Privacy in Facebook Mobility Data During the COVID-19 Response Amaç Herda?delen, Facebook; P. Alex Dow, Facebook; Payman Mohassel, Facebook; Alex Pompe, Facebook; Bogdan State, Victoria University of Wellington
2:35 PM	Privacy by Design When Launching a Global COVID Symptom Survey Frauke Kreuter, University of Maryland and University of Mannheim; Sarah LaRocca, Facebook Research; Katherine Morris, Facebook Research; Adrianne Bradford, University of Maryland; Samantha Lee-Ming Chiu, University of Maryland
2:50 PM	Privacy Attitudes in Times of Crisis: Acceptance of Data Sharing for Public Health? Frederic Gerdon, University of Mannheim; Helen Nissenbaum, Cornell Tech; Ruben Bach, University of Mannheim; Frauke Kreuter, University of Maryland and University of Mannheim; Stefan Zins, Institute for Employment Research (IAB) Nuremberg
3:05 PM	Privacy and Confidentiality Views Toward Surveys Collected in the Era of COVID-19 Jennifer Hunter Childs, US Census Bureau; Aleia Clark Fobia, US Census Bureau; Casey Eggleston, US Census Bureau; Yazmin Garcia Trejo, US Census Bureau; Shaun S. Genter, U.S. Census Bureau
3:20 PM	Discussant: Alan F Karr, AFK Analytics
3:35 PM	Discussant: Aleksandra Slavkovic, Penn State University

411 * !	Thu, 8/12/2021, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM	Virtual
Time Series Methods for Maintaining Official Statistics in the Face of COVID-19 — Topic-Contributed Panel
Government Statistics Section, Business and Economic Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Kathleen M McDonald-Johnson, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Richard Penny, Statistics New Zealand
2:05 PM	Time Series Methods for Maintaining Official Statistics in the Face of COVID-19
Panelists:	Kathleen M McDonald-Johnson, U.S. Census Bureau Steve Matthews, Statistics Canada Craig McLaren, Office for National Statistics Jay Mousa, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Rodrigo Mariscal Paredes, Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público Yingfu Xie, Statistics Sweden
3:45 PM	Floor Discussion

434	Thu, 8/12/2021, 4:00 PM - 5:50 PM	Virtual
Recent Advances in Unlinked and Permuted Regression — Topic-Contributed Papers
IMS, Government Statistics Section, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science
Organizer(s): Charles Raouf Doss, University of Minnesota
Chair(s): Guangwei Weng, University of Minnesota
4:05 PM	Multivariate Regression with Unknown Permutation Martin Slawski, George Mason University; Bodhisattva Sen, Columbia University
4:25 PM	Isotonic Regression with Unknown Permutations: Statistics, Computation, and Adaptation Ashwin Pananjady, Georgia Tech; Richard J. Samworth, University of Cambridge
4:45 PM	Optimal Permutation Recovery in Permuted Monotone Matrix Model Rong Ma, University of Pennsylvania; Tony Cai, University of Pennsylvania; Hongzhe Li, University of Pennsylvania
5:05 PM	Discussant: Charles Raouf Doss, University of Minnesota
5:25 PM	Floor Discussion

445	Thu, 8/12/2021, 4:00 PM - 5:50 PM	Virtual
GOVT CSpeed 2 — Contributed Speed
Government Statistics Section
Chair(s): Betsy Ehmcke, Ohio State University
4:05 PM	Using COVID-19 Data as Input for Planning 2020 Census Field Operations Robin A A Pennington, U.S. Census Bureau; Paul Krutsch, U.S. Census Bureau
4:10 PM	Is Homeownership Actually Rising and Vacancy Falling? Assessing Housing Vacancy Survey Estimates for 2020 Jonathan Spader, U.S. Census Bureau; Daniel Truver, U.S. Census Bureau; Peter Mateyka, U.S. Census Bureau; Patricia Holley, U.S. Census Bureau; Robert Callis, U.S. Census Bureau
4:15 PM	Mitigating the Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Seasonally Adjusted Price Indexes Jonathan Weinhagen, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Steven Muri, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Marie Rogers, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Jeffrey Wilson, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Blake Hoarty, Bureau of Labor Statistics ; Daniel Pollotta, Bureau of Labor Statistics
4:20 PM	Test of Equivalence: Challenges Selecting the Margin Given Real-World Constraints Tammy Massie, Consumer Product Safety Commission
4:25 PM	Adapting Federal Survey Data to Report on the Impact of COVID-19 on Hospitals Geoff Jackson, National Center for Health Statistics; Donielle White, National Center for Health Statistics
4:30 PM	Integrating Multiple Sources of Data: Results of Linking Survey and Housing Data Presentation Carla E Zelaya, CDC/NCHS; Lisa B. Mirel, CDC/NCHS/DAE
4:35 PM	Quantile Regression for Classification in Large Data Sets Using the Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers Algorithm Scott Samuel Coggeshall, VA Puget Sound Health Services Research and Development; Xiao-Hua Zhou, Peking University; Lan Wang, University of Miami Herbert Business School
4:40 PM	Mining Federal RePORTER Using Machine Learning: Selected Case Studies on the Popularity of Concept-Related Topics Kathryn Linehan, University of Virginia, Biocomplexity Institute ; Eric Oh, Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia; Joel Thurston, University of Virginia, Biocomplexity Institute ; Stephanie S. Shipp, University of Virginia, Biocomplexity Institute ; Sallie Keller, Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia; John Jankowski, National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics; Audrey Kindlon, National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics
4:45 PM	Approaches to Estimating Childhood Obesity Prevalence from Electronic Health Records Erin Tanenbaum, NORC at the University of Chicago; Raymond King, CDC; Dawn Heisey-Grove, MITRE; Samantha Lange, CDC; Devi Chelluri, NORC at the University of Chicago; Susan Paddock, NORC at the University of Chicago; Scott Campbell, NORC at the University of Chicago; Jason Boim, NORC at the University of Chicago; Peter Mork, MITRE; Andy Gregorowicz , MITRE
4:55 PM	Design and Analysis of Grant Proposals Ratings Presentation Mark C. Otto, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
5:00 PM	Implications of the COVID-19 Recession for Charges of Discrimination Filed with the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission Mark Leach, Equal Employment Opportunity Commission; Michelle Barro, Equal Employment Opportunity Commission
5:05 PM	Smoothing 3D Drug Overdose Mortality Rates and Displaying Patterns with SAS/JMP Software Nancy Han, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC; Rong Wei, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC
5:10 PM	Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Community Supervision Sanctions David Schwager, Multnomah County Department of Criminal Justice
5:15 PM	Estimation of Power Transformations in Capture-Recapture Models Luca Sartore, NISS; Habtamu Benecha, USDA NASS; Clifford Spiegelman, Texas A&M
5:20 PM	Evaluation of Broadband Subsidy Programs: Combining Spatial Regression Discontinuity Designs and Bayesian Wombling Joshua Randall Goldstein, Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia; Aritra Halder, University of Virginia, Biocomplexity Institute ; John Pender, USDA-ERS; Aaron D. Schroeder, University of Virginia, Biocomplexity Institute ; Devika Mahoney-Nair, Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia; Neil Kattampallil, Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia; Stephanie S. Shipp, University of Virginia, Biocomplexity Institute ; Sallie Keller, Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia
5:25 PM	Alcohol Consumption in Association with Spatial Accessibility to On-Premise Alcohol Outlets: A Multilevel Analysis Presentation Amy Z. Fan, National Institute of Health; Aaron Z. White, National Institute of Health

5:30 PM	Floor Discussion

JSM 2021 Online Program

Activity Details

American Statistical Association