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312 * ! Wed, 8/11/2021, 3:30 PM - 5:20 PM Virtual
Macroeconomic Forecasting in Theory and Practice — Topic-Contributed Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science
Organizer(s): Andrew B Martinez, US Department of the Treasury
Chair(s): Jennifer Castle, Magdalen College
3:35 PM Selecting a Model for Forecasting
Jennifer Castle, Magdalen College; Jurgen A Doornik, Climate Econometrics, University of Oxford; David F. Hendry, University of Oxford
3:55 PM Smooth Robust Multi-Horizon Forecasts
Andrew B Martinez, US Department of the Treasury; Jennifer Castle, Magdalen College; David F. Hendry, University of Oxford
4:15 PM Forecasting US Inflation in Real Time
Kirstin Hubrich, Federal Reserve Board; Chad Fulton, Federal Reserve Board
4:35 PM Forecasting FOMC Forecasts
Jaime Marquez, Johns Hopkins University; S. Yanki Kalfa, Rady School of Managment University of California @ San Diego
4:55 PM Evaluating the Federal Reserve’s Tealbook Forecasts
Neil R Ericsson, Federal Reserve Board
5:15 PM Floor Discussion