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Xiao Zhong

Missouri University of Science and Technology



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V. A. Samaranayake

Missouri University of Science & Technology



246 – Contributed Oral Poster Presentations: Business and Economic Statistics Section

Bootstrap-Based Unit Root Tests for Higher Order Autoregressive Models with GARCH (1, 1) Errors

Sponsor: Business and Economic Statistics Section
Keywords: Non-stationary, Conditional volatility, Residual bootstrap, Time series

Xiao Zhong

Missouri University of Science and Technology

V. A. Samaranayake

Missouri University of Science & Technology

Bootstrap-based unit root tests are a viable alternative to asymptotic distribution-based tests and, in some cases, are preferable because of the serious size distortions the latter tests display under certain situations. While several bootstrap-based unit root tests exist for ARMA processes with homoscedastic errors, only one such test is available when the innovations are conditionally heteroskedastic. The utility of this test is limited because it is restricted to autoregressive processes of order one. We extend this test to autoregressive processes of higher orders and study the finite sample performance of the test using Monte-Carlo simulation. Results show that the proposed tests have reasonable power and size properties.

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