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166 – Spatial Statistics for Very Large Environmental Data Sets

Local Spatial-Predictor Selection

Sponsor: Section on Statistics and the Environment
Keywords: information criteria, generalized degrees of freedom, best linear unbiased predictor, model averaging, model combination

Jonathan Bradley

The Ohio State University

Noel Cressie

The Ohio State University

Tao Shi

The Ohio State University

Consider the problem of spatial prediction of a random process from a spatial dataset. Global spatial-predictor selection provides a way to choose a single spatial predictor from a number of competing predictors. Instead, we consider local spatial-predictor selection at each spatial location in the domain of interest. This results in a hybrid predictor that could be considered global, since it takes the form of a combination of local predictors; we call this the locally selected spatial predictor. We pursue this idea here using the (empirical) deviance information as our criterion for (global and local) predictor selection. In a small simulation study, the relative performance of this combined predictor, relative to the individual predictors, is assessed.

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