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164
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Tue, 8/10/2021,
10:00 AM -
11:50 AM
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Virtual
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Social Statistics Speed Session — Contributed Speed
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Social Statistics Section, Text Analysis Interest Group
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Chair(s): Robin Mejia, Carnegie Mellon University
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10:05 AM
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Retrospective Causal Inference via Matrix Completion, with an Evaluation of the Effect of European Integration on Cross-Border Employment
Jason Poulos, Duke University and SAMSI; Andrea Albanese, Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research (LISER); Andrea Mercatanti, Bank of Italy; Fan Li, Duke University
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10:10 AM
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Multivariate Small Area Estimation for Continuous and Binary Outcomes: Mapping Collective Efficacy and Crime Prevalence in London
Angelo Moretti, Manchester Metropolitan University; David Buil-Gil, University of Manchester
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10:15 AM
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A Spatio-Temporal Analysis of College Crime in the USA
Fatih Gezer, University of Leeds; Xiaoke Zhang, George Washington University
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10:20 AM
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Embedding Regression: Models for Context-Specific Description and Inference in Political Science
Arthur Spirling, New York University; Pedro Rodriguez, Vanderbilt University; Brandon Stewart, Princeton University
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10:25 AM
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On the Causal Effect of Flipping the Party Order of Candidates in North Carolina’s Nonpartisan Elections
Alessandro Arlotto, Duke University; Alexandre Belloni, Duke University; Fei Fang, Duke University; saša peke?, Duke University
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10:30 AM
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Modeling and Understanding Polarization in News Media Using Dynamic Topic Models
Shane Dakota Bookhultz, Virginia Tech; Scotland Leman, Virginia Tech; Shyam Ranganathan, Virginia Tech; James Hawdon, Virginia Tech
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10:35 AM
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Polling Errors and Election Forecasting: A Not-So-Hidden Markov Model
Graham Tierney, Duke Univeristy; Alexander Volfovsky, Duke University
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10:40 AM
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Investigating Similarities and Differences Across States in DVC Scores for Evaluating Redistricting Plans
Thomas R. Belin, UCLA FSPH; Cameron T. Rider, C-FIT Redistricting (Coalition for Fairness, Integrity, and Transparency in Redistricting)
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10:45 AM
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Robustness of DVC Scores to Alternative Density-Variation and Compactness Measures in Evaluating Redistricting Plans
Cameron T. Rider, C-FIT Redistricting (Coalition for Fairness, Integrity, and Transparency in Redistricting); Thomas R. Belin, UCLA FSPH
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10:50 AM
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Modeling Popular Music Genre Preferences Over Time
Aimée M. Petitbon, University of South Carolina; David B. Hitchcock, University of South Carolina
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11:00 AM
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Is Automated Driving Safer? An Application of Survival Analysis in Automated Vehicle Safety Evaluation
Soheil Sohrabi, Texas A&M University; Bahar Dadashova, Texas A&M Transportation Institute; Dominique Lord, Texas A&M University
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11:05 AM
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A Hybrid Approach for Traffic Crash Identification Using Deep Learning and Xgboost
Liang Shi, Virginia Tech; Chen Qian, Virginia Tech; Yanran Wei, Virginia Tech; Feng Guo, Virginia Tech
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11:10 AM
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Evaluating Risk of Eye Glance Patterns by Embedding Based Kernel Two Sample Test
Chen Qian, Virginia Tech; Jingbin Xu, Virginia Tech; Feng Guo, Virginia Tech
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11:15 AM
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Disparities in Ride-Hailing Usage in the US
Wenjian Jia, University of Virginia; Donna Chen, University of Virginia
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11:20 AM
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Bayesian Criterion-Based Assessments of Recurrent Event Models with Applications to Commercial Truck Driver Behavior Studies
Yiming Zhang, University of Connecticut; Ming-Hui Chen, UCONN; Feng Guo, Virginia Tech
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11:25 AM
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Unified Latent Class Modeling of Score and Rank Data Applied to Grant Panel Review
Michael Pearce, University of Washington; Elena Erosheva, University of Washington; Steven Gallo, American Institute of Biological Sciences
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11:30 AM
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Causal Effect Modification: A Case Study with BPS Data
Bryan Keller, Teachers College, Columbia University
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11:35 AM
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Exact Privacy Guarantees for Sampling Algorithms Implementing the Exponential Mechanism
Jeremy Seeman, Penn State University; Matthew Reimherr, Penn State University; Aleksandra Slavkovic, Penn State University
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11:40 AM
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Unbiased Statistical Estimation and Valid Confidence Intervals Under Differential Privacy
Christian Covington, University of Waterloo; Xi He, University of Waterloo; Gautam Kamath, University of Waterloo; James Honaker, Facebook and Harvard University
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11:45 AM
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Bayesian Estimation of Program-Specific Impacts in the HPOG Program
Stas Kolenikov, Abt Associates; David Ross Judkins, Abt Associates
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