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Activity Number: 444 - Recent Advances in Statistical Methodology for Big Data
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Thursday, August 12, 2021 : 4:00 PM to 5:50 PM
Sponsor: IMS
Abstract #318384
Title: Bayesian Generalized Linear Model for Difference of Over or Under Dispersed Counts
Author(s): Andrew W Swift* and Kimberly Sellers
Companies: University of Nebraska at Omaha and Georgetown University / U.S. Census Bureau
Keywords: Count Data; Overdispersion; Underdispersion; Conway-Maxwell Skellam; Bayesian; Metropolis-Hastings
Abstract:

Modelling the difference of two counts has many practical uses in statistics. The Skellam distribution can be used for such a model, however since the Skellam distribution is constructed as the difference of two Poisson distributions it is potentially unsuitable for modelling data that suffers from under or over dispersion. We take a first look at constructing a Bayesian generalized linear model for the difference of counts that can handle both under and over dispersion based on the difference of two Conway-Maxwell Poisson distribution (that is, a Conway-Maxwell Skellam distribution). The focus of this paper is on providing an explicit demonstration using the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm.


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