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Activity Number: 413 - Analyses of Environmental Data
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Thursday, August 12, 2021 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics and the Environment
Abstract #317766
Title: A Basic Logistic Regression Approach to Analyzing Hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin
Author(s): Joy Marie D'Andrea*
Companies: USF
Keywords: Categories of Storms; Regression; Logisic Regression; Hurricances; Gulf of Mexico
Abstract:

Abstract: The formation of a hurricane on any given day is a dichotomous measure in that either there is a storm present or there is no storm present. The atmospheric conditions are the factors that drive such storm formation. Such relationship can be modeled using logistic regression. Logistic regression is a type of probabilistic statistical classification model that is used to estimate the log odds or probability of a storm being present as a function of the predictor variables. We are interested in determining the probabilistic outcomes of when a storm is present (also categorically) in the Atlantic Basin. In this paper we will present logistic regression model(s) that estimate the probability of a storm being present (also categorically) in the Atlantic Basin as a function of the atmospheric conditions are measured at a buoy in the Gulf of Mexico.


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