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Activity Number: 340 - SPEED: Applications of Advanced Statistical Techniques in Complex Survey Data Analysis: Small Area Estimation, Propensity Scores, Multilevel Models, and More
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Tuesday, July 31, 2018 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Survey Research Methods Section
Abstract #329929 Presentation
Title: Producing Subnational Estimates from the National Crime Victimization Survey
Author(s): Andrew Moore* and Marcus Berzofsky and George Couzens and Stephanie Zimmer and Caroline Scruggs
Companies: RTI International and RTI International and RTI International and RTI International and RTI International
Keywords: NCVS; Recalibration
Abstract:

This paper discusses issues related to producing subnational estimates based on a national level survey. The National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) is the premier source of information on reported and unreported nonfatal criminal victimization in the U.S. Because the NCVS was designed and weighted solely to produce national level estimates prior to 2016, crime information in subnational areas has traditionally relied upon statistics generated from police activity. However, with a large proportion of crimes going unreported, these statistics may fail to accurately reflect local crime conditions. To bridge this gap, the Bureau of Justice Statistics (BJS) has initiated a subnational estimation program to provide stakeholders with estimates of criminal victimization in more localized areas. We discuss the challenges faced with using a nationally representative sample to generate direct subnational estimates including efforts to ensure that respondents are representative of the population in these smaller areas, accounting for changes in area definitions over time, ensuring adequate precision of estimates, and guidelines developed to assist researchers with subnational analyses.


Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

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