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Activity Number:
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594
- Spatial Risk Assessment with Environmental Applications
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Type:
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Invited
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Date/Time:
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Thursday, August 3, 2017 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
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Sponsor:
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Section on Statistics and the Environment
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Abstract #324504
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View Presentation
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Title:
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A Causal Inference Analysis of the Effect of Wildland Fire Smoke on Ambient Air Pollution Levels and Health Burden
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Author(s):
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Ana Rappold* and Brian Reich and Alexandra Larsen
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Companies:
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US EPA and NCSU and North Carolina State University
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Keywords:
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spatio-temporal models ;
causal inference ;
interference ;
wildfire smoke
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Abstract:
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Wildfire smoke is a major contributor to ambient air pollution levels. In this talk, we develop a spatio-temporal model to estimate the contribution of fire smoke to overall air pollution in different regions of the country. We combine numerical model output with observational data within a causal inference framework. Our methods account for aggregation and potential bias of the numerical model simulation, and address uncertainty in the causal estimates. We apply the proposed method to estimation of ozone and fine particulate matter from wildland fires and the impact on health burden assessment.
Session ID 213813
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Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.
