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Activity Number: 515 - Statistical Modeling for Sports Science and Applications
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 2, 2017 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics in Sports
Abstract #322564
Title: Modeling and Simulation of UEFA Champions League
Author(s): Saman Muthukumarana* and Ninad Khargonkar
Companies: University of Manitoba and Indian Institute of Technology - Kanpur
Keywords: Bayesian networks ; Football ; Simulation ; Sports Statistics

In this paper, we discuss two network simulation models for predicting outcomes of matches in UEFA Euro 2016. The two models differ in the way they assign the probabilities for each match as they take different kinds of past records of teams. Through simulations, the approach can be used to answer questions on impact of result of first group stage match, relative strength of groups and analyzing the bias in cup format.

Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

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