JSM 2004 - Toronto

Abstract #302150

This is the preliminary program for the 2004 Joint Statistical Meetings in Toronto, Canada. Currently included in this program is the "technical" program, schedule of invited, topic contributed, regular contributed and poster sessions; Continuing Education courses (August 7-10, 2004); and Committee and Business Meetings. This on-line program will be updated frequently to reflect the most current revisions.

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Activity Number: 442
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Thursday, August 12, 2004 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistical Education
Abstract - #302150
Title: Visualizing Confidence Intervals
Author(s): Ronald L. Tracy*+
Companies: Oakland University
Address: Dept. of Economics, Rochester Hills, MI, 48309,
Keywords: graphics ; computers ; teaching ; mean ; standard deviation ; variance
Abstract:

Students have difficulty understanding confidence intervals. They often mistakenly think that P(Xl< =mu< =Xu) = 0.95 means that there is a 0.95 probability that the parameter mu lies in the interval [Xl, Xu]. Although textbooks and instructors valiantly try to correct this interpretation, the notation does nothing to discourage it. The software Visualizing Confidence Intervals illustrates the correct interpretation of a confidence interval through simulation. The software allows the user to create confidence intervals for m using either the known standard deviation s or the estimated standard deviation s. It also enables students to create a confidence interval for the population variance s2. By changing the sample size the user can investigate its affect on a confidence interval. Although the default distribution of the X's is normal, the distribution can be changed to uniform or a variety of skewed distributions. This feature enables the user to investigate the effect the underlying distribution has on the interpretation of a confidence interval. Other features include a help system with search capability and "hot text."


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Revised March 2004