JSM 2004 - Toronto

Abstract #301442

This is the preliminary program for the 2004 Joint Statistical Meetings in Toronto, Canada. Currently included in this program is the "technical" program, schedule of invited, topic contributed, regular contributed and poster sessions; Continuing Education courses (August 7-10, 2004); and Committee and Business Meetings. This on-line program will be updated frequently to reflect the most current revisions.

To View the Program:
You may choose to view all activities of the program or just parts of it at any one time. All activities are arranged by date and time.

The views expressed here are those of the individual authors
and not necessarily those of the ASA or its board, officers, or staff.

Back to main JSM 2004 Program page
Activity Number: 410
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Thursday, August 12, 2004 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics in Sports
Abstract - #301442
Title: Where Have You Gone, Carl Yastrzemski? Multivariate Analysis of Baseball and the Triple Crown
Author(s): John E. Daniels*+
Companies: Central Michigan University
Address: , Mt. Pleasant, MI, 48859,
Keywords: multivariate simulation ; baseball ; Triple Crown ; SAS simulation
Abstract:

In the sport of baseball, a batter who wins the league batting average, home run, and RBI (runs batted in) titles all in the same year is awarded the Triple Crown. This is a rare, but not impossible event. In 104 years of baseball (The Modern Era), there have been 14 baseball players (nine American League and five National League) who have won the Triple Crown. The last man to win the Triple Crown was Carl Yastrzemski (Boston Red Sox) in 1967. Why have 36 years passed by without another Triple Crown winner? Prior to 1967, the longest period without a Triple Crown winner was 10 years. Has the game of baseball been fundamentally changed, or is it simply that the right athlete hasn't come along? Is there perhaps another explanation for this drought of Triple Crown winners? Using multivariate statistics and a little common sense, we will explore these issues along with some interesting facts about the history of our national pastime.

  • The address information is for the authors that have a + after their name.
  • Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

Back to the full JSM 2004 program

JSM 2004 For information, contact jsm@amstat.org or phone (888) 231-3473. If you have questions about the Continuing Education program, please contact the Education Department.
Revised March 2004