JSM 2004 - Toronto

Abstract #301305

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Activity Number: 431
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Thursday, August 12, 2004 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Business and Economics Statistics Section
Abstract - #301305
Title: Regional Mobility and Unemployment in Germany--An Analysis with District-level Data
Author(s): Anette Haas*+
Companies: Institute for Employment Research
Address: Regensburger Str. 104, D - 90478 Nuernberg, , Germany
Keywords: regional mobility ; labor mobility ; unemployment
Abstract:

The role of mobility is central to the debate on reducing unemployment. A further question is to what extent a lack of mobility enforces regional disparities. Using a micro dataset containing information about two cohorts we analyse the impact of regional unemployment (district-level) to regional employment duration. As an alternative to the frequently used logit analysis approach we focus to duration time analyses. We use Cox Regression (Breslow Method for ties) and piecewise constant models to find out the impact of regional unemployment rate for duration working in a special region. Additionally, we could differentiate between voluntary and involuntary mobility. The results of this comparison show a contrary influence of the regional unemployment rate. Our results confirm the lower mobility of women and that the younger cohort exhibits higher mobility rates. We also compare downward/upward moves (defined as wage losses/gains after mobility) and could not find evidence for influence of regional unemployment rate to wage growth. This yields us to the conclusion that high levels of regional unemployment inhibit mobility because of a lack of vacancies.


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