JSM 2004 Online Program

Abstract #301245

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Activity Number:	410
Type:	Contributed
Date/Time:	Thursday, August 12, 2004 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor:	Section on Statistics in Sports
Abstract - #301245
Title:	Hybrid Paired Comparison Analysis
Author(s):	David H. Annis*+ and Bruce A. Craig
Companies:	Naval Postgraduate School and Purdue University
Address:	1221 Cambia Dr., Schaumburg, IL, 60193,
Keywords:	paired comparisons ; ranking ; football
Abstract:	Existing college football ranking procedures focus on either binary responses (wins and losses) or points (either via each team's point total or a margin of victory). While each is reasonable, each fails to produce satisfactory rankings in frequently arising situations due to its ignorance of additional data. A new, hybrid model incorporating both wins and constituent scores is proposed. It is seen to outperform its competitors based on a series of simulation studies. This new approach is illustrated using the results of the 2003 NCAA Division-IA college football season.

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