Abstract #300298


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JSM 2002 Abstract #300298
Activity Number: 194
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 13, 2002 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics and Marketing
Abstract - #300298
Title: A Multivariate Negative Binomial Distribution Model for Internet Reach and Frequency Estimation
Author(s): Peter Danaher*+
Affiliation(s): University of Auckland
Address: Private Bag, 92019, Auckland, , 92019, New Zealand
Keywords: advertising ; NBD ; internet ; Sarmanov
Abstract:

A multivariate media exposure model is developed for estimating exposure to an internet advertising campaign. Rather than adapting models previously used in traditional media, a new model is derived that is tailored to the internet environment. This new model is a multivariate generalization of the negative binomial distribution. For very large internet advertising schedules a simple approximation to the multivariate model is also derived. In a test of over 1000 internet advertising schedules, the two new models are compared with models previously used for internet advertising and are shown to be significantly more accurate.


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