Online Program

Saturday, February 23
CS17 Theme 3: Prediction and Analytics #4 Sat, Feb 23, 10:45 AM - 12:15 PM
Napoleon D3

The Effectiveness of Display Ads (302541)

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*Tim C Hesterberg, Google 

Display ads proliferate on the web, but are they effective? Or are they irrelevant in light of all the other advertising that people see? We describe a way to answer these questions, quickly and accurately, without randomized experiments, surveys, focus groups or expert data analysts. Causal modeling protects against the selection bias that is inherent in observational data, and a nonparametric test that is based on decoy outcomes provides further defense. Computations are fast enough that all processing, from data retrieval through estimation, testing, validation and report generation, proceeds in an automated pipeline, without anyone needing to see the raw data.