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Activity Number: 31
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Sunday, July 31, 2016 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics and the Environment
Abstract #321477
Title: Spatio-Temporal Modeling of Rainfall in the Murray-Darling Basin
Author(s): Gen Nowak* and Alan Welsh and Terry O'Neill
Companies: and Australian National University and Bond University
Keywords: Spatio-temporal ; Rainfall ; Prediction
Abstract:

The Murray-Darling Basin (MDB) is a large geographical region in southeastern Australia that contains many rivers and creeks, including Australia's three longest rivers, the Murray, Murrumbidgee and Darling. Understanding how water levels in the MDB fluctuate is very important due the significant impact major climatic events such as droughts and floods have on agricultural and resource productivity. Further to this, we propose a model for spatio-temporal data that utilises geographical data and a combination of deterministic and data-derived components. The model is used for modelling a set of monthly rainfall data obtained from stations in the MDB and for producing predictions in both the spatial and temporal dimensions.


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