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Activity Number: 58
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Sunday, July 31, 2016 : 4:00 PM to 5:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics and the Environment
Abstract #320492
Title: Compression and Conditional Emulation of Climate Model Output
Author(s): Joseph Guinness* and Dorit Hammerling
Companies: North Carolina State University and National Center for Atmospheric Research
Keywords: climate model ; conditional simulation ; gaussian process
Abstract:

Numerical climate model simulations run at high spatial and temporal resolutions generate massive quantities of data. As our computing capabilities continue to increase, storing all of the data is not sustainable, and thus is it important to develop methods for representing the full datasets by smaller compressed versions. We propose a statistical compression and decompression algorithm based on storing a set of summary statistics as well as a statistical model describing the conditional distribution of the full dataset given the summary statistics. The statistical model can be used to generate realizations representing the full dataset, along with characterizations of the uncertainties in the generated data. Thus, the methods are capable of both compression and conditional emulation of the climate models. Considerable attention is paid to accurately modeling the original dataset, particularly with regard to the inherent spatial nonstationarity in global temperature fields, and to determining the statistics to be stored, so that the variation in the original data can be closely captured, while allowing for fast decompression and conditional emulation on modest computers.


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