Key:

- Conducting Research in the 21st Century

- Using Research in the 21st Century

- Sponsoring, Disseminating, and Replicating Research in the 21st Century

Wednesday, October 11

Wed, Oct 11, 7:30 AM - 8:30 AM
Regency Foyer

CB1 - Continental Breakfast
Other

Wed, Oct 11, 7:30 AM - 6:30 PM
Regency Foyer

Registration
Other

Wed, Oct 11, 8:30 AM - 10:00 AM
Regency Ballroom I/II

P1 - Opening Plenary Session
Plenary

Chair(s): Lisa LaVange, FDA

Why is Eliminating P-values so Hard? Reflections on Science and Statistics
Steve Goodman, Stanford University

What Have We (Not) Learnt from Millions of Scientific Papers with p-values?

View Presentation John Ioannidis, Stanford University

Wed, Oct 11, 10:00 AM - 10:30 AM
Regency Foyer

Coffee Break
Other

Wed, Oct 11, 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM
Regency Ballroom IV

1-1 - Understanding Needs for Statistical Evidence of Decision Makers in Social Policy
Concurrent Session

Chair(s): Allen Schirm, Mathematica Policy Research, retired

10:30 AM

Understanding Needs for Statistical Evidence of Decision Makers in Social Policy

View Presentation Naomi Goldstein, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services; Ron Haskins, The Brookings Institution; Tim Day, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services; Sarah Marsh-Leopold, Colorado Office of Economic Security

Wed, Oct 11, 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM
Regency Ballroom III

1-2 - Can Bayesian Methods Offer a Practical Alternative to P-Values?
Concurrent Session

Chair(s): Bradley Carlin, University of Minnesota

10:30 AM

Can Bayesian Methods Offer a Practical Alternative to P-Values?

View Presentation Bhramar Mukherjee, University of Michigan; Merlise Clyde, Duke University; Valen Johnson, Texas A&M University

Wed, Oct 11, 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM
Regency Ballroom I/II

1-3 - A 'Strawman' Proposal for a Post P<.05 World
Concurrent Session

Chair(s): Dan Jeske, University of California, Riverside

10:30 AM

A 'Strawman' Proposal for a Post P<.05 World

View Presentation Douglas W. Hubbard, Hubbard Decision Research; Alicia Carriquiry, Iowa State University

Wed, Oct 11, 12:00 PM - 1:30 PM

Lunch (On Own)
Other

Wed, Oct 11, 1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Regency Ballroom I

2-1 - Understanding the Needs for Statistical Evidence of Decision Makers in Medicine
Concurrent Session

Chair(s): Harrison Schramm, CANA Advisors, LLC

1:30 PM

Understanding the Needs for Statistical Evidence of Decision Makers in Medicine

View Presentation Elizabeth Garrett-Mayer, American Society of Clinical Oncology; Madhu Mazumdar, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai; Keren Osman, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai

Wed, Oct 11, 1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Regency Ballroom III

2-2 - Alternatives to P-Values, Part 1
Concurrent Session

Chair(s): Ken Kelley, University of Notre Dame

1:30 PM

Alternatives to P-Values, Part 1

View Presentation Stanley Pogrow, San Francisco State University; Michael Lavine, University of Massachusetts-Amherst; Raymond Hubbard, Drake University, Emeritus; Murray Lindsay, University of Lethbridge

Wed, Oct 11, 1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Regency Ballroom IV

2-3 - What Must Change in the Teaching of Statistical Inference in Introductory Courses?
Concurrent Session

Chair(s): Beth Chance, California Polytechnic State University

1:30 PM

What Must Change in the Teaching of Statistical Inference in Introductory Courses?

View Presentation Daniel Kaplan, Macalester College; John Bailer, Miami University; Dalene Stangl, Duke University

Wed, Oct 11, 3:00 PM - 3:30 PM
Regency Foyer

Refreshment Break
Other

Wed, Oct 11, 3:30 PM - 5:00 PM
Regency Ballroom I

3-1 - Using Statistical Inference to Support Decision-Making
Concurrent Session

Chair(s): Wendy Martinez, Bureau of Labor Statistics

3:30 PM

Using Statistical Inference to Support Decision-Making

View Presentation Tony Cox, Cox Associates; Max Henrion, Lumina Decision Systems

Wed, Oct 11, 3:30 PM - 5:00 PM
Regency Ballroom II

3-2 - Alternative Methods with Strong Frequentist Foundations
Concurrent Session

Chair(s): Erin Tanenbaum, NORC at the University of Chicago

3:30 PM

Alternative Methods with Strong Frequentist Foundations

View Presentation Jeffrey Blume, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine; Roderick Little, University of Michigan; James Berger, Duke University

Wed, Oct 11, 3:30 PM - 5:00 PM
Regency Ballroom III

3-3 - What Should Be the Role of Expert Opinion and Judgment in Statistical Inference and Evidence-Based Decision-Making?
Concurrent Session

Chair(s): Naomi Brownstein, Florida State University

3:30 PM

What Should Be the Role of Expert Opinion and Judgment in Statistical Inference and Evidence-Based Decision-Making?

View Presentation Tom Louis, The Johns Hopkins University; Tony O’Hagan, University of Sheffield; Jane Pendergast, Duke University

Wed, Oct 11, 3:30 PM - 5:00 PM
Regency Ballroom IV

3-4 - Framing and Communicating Scientific Knowledge
Concurrent Session

Chair(s): Barry Nussbaum, 2017 ASA President

3:30 PM

Framing and Communicating Scientific Knowledge

View Presentation Emily Vraga, George Mason University; Paaige Turner, National Communication Association; Regina Nuzzo, Gallaudet University

Wed, Oct 11, 5:00 PM - 6:00 PM
Regency Foyer

Opening Reception
Other

Thursday, October 12

Thu, Oct 12, 7:30 AM - 8:30 AM
Regency Foyer

Continental Breakfast
Other

Thu, Oct 12, 7:30 AM - 5:30 PM
Regency Foyer

Registration
Other

Thu, Oct 12, 8:30 AM - 10:00 AM
Regency Ballroom III

4-1 - Communicating Statistical Uncertainty
Concurrent Session

Chair(s): Wendy Lou, University of Toronto

8:30 AM

Communicating Statistical Uncertainty

View Presentation Laura Lazzeroni, Stanford University; Eric-Jan Wagenmakers, University of Amsterdam; Mark Hansen, Columbia University

Thu, Oct 12, 8:30 AM - 10:00 AM
Regency Ballroom II

4-2 - Alternatives to P-Values, Part 2
Concurrent Session

Chair(s): Telba Irony, Food and Drug Administration

8:30 AM

Alternatives to P-Values, Part 2

View Presentation Robert Calin-Jageman, Dominican University; Cristobal Young, Stanford University; John Kmetz, University of Delaware (emeritus)

Thu, Oct 12, 8:30 AM - 10:00 AM
Regency Ballroom I

4-3 - Inference for 21st-Century Drug Development
Concurrent Session

Chair(s): Steve Ruberg, Eli Lilly and Co.

8:30 AM

Inference for 21st-Century Drug Development

View Presentation Meg Gamalo, Eli Lilly & Co.; Frank Harrell, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine; Lisa LaVange, FDA

Thu, Oct 12, 8:30 AM - 10:00 AM
Regency Ballroom IV

4-4 - Statistical Training Needs to Address Cognitive Limitations and Biases
Concurrent Session

Chair(s): Ron Fricker, Virginia Tech

8:30 AM

Statistical Training Needs to Address Cognitive Limitations and Biases

View Presentation Sander Greenland, University of California, Los Angeles; Blake McShane, Northwestern University

Thu, Oct 12, 10:00 AM - 10:30 AM
Regency Foyer

Coffee Break
Other

Thu, Oct 12, 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM
Regency Ballroom IV

5-1 - Scientific v. Statistical Inference
Concurrent Session

Chair(s): Michael Lew, University of Melbourne

10:30 AM

Scientific v. Statistical Inference

View Presentation Raymond Hubbard, Drake University, Emeritus; Brian Haig, University of Canterbury; Rahul Parsa, Iowa State University; Francesca Dominici, Harvard University

Thu, Oct 12, 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM
Regency Ballroom III

5-2 - Bayesian Methods in Regulatory Science
Concurrent Session

Chair(s): Bradley Carlin, University of Minnesota

10:30 AM

Bayesian Methods in Regulatory Science

View Presentation Joe Ibrahim, The University of North Carolina; John Scott, FDA; Gary Rosner, The Johns Hopkins University

Thu, Oct 12, 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM
Regency Ballroom II

5-3 - Overcoming Confirmation Bias and P-Hacking
Concurrent Session

Chair(s): Ron S. Kenett, The KPA Group, Israel, University of Turin, Italy

10:30 AM

Overcoming Confirmation Bias and P-Hacking

View Presentation Tony Cox, Cox Associates; Cristobal Young, Stanford University

Thu, Oct 12, 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM
Regency Ballroom I

5-4 - Statisticians: Sex Symbols, Liars, Both, or Neither?
Concurrent Session

Chair(s): Rebecca Goldin, George Mason University

10:30 AM

Statisticians: Sex Symbols, Liars, Both, or Neither?

View Presentation Christie Aschwanden, FiveThirtyEight; Laura Helmuth, The Washington Post and President, National Association of Science Writers; Aviva Hope Rutkin, The Conversation

Thu, Oct 12, 12:00 PM - 1:30 PM

Lunch (On Own)
Other

Thu, Oct 12, 1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Regency Ballroom III

6-1 - What Are the Best Uses for P-Values?
Concurrent Session

Chair(s): Nalini Ravishanker, University of Connecticut

1:30 PM

What Are the Best Uses for P-Values?

View Presentation David H. Robinson, Stack Overflow; Deborah G. Mayo, Virginia Tech; Yoav Benjamini, Tel Aviv University

Thu, Oct 12, 1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Cabinet Suite

6-2 - Inferential Perspectives, Challenges, and Approaches
Concurrent Session

Chair(s): David Mundel, Consultant

1:30 PM

Inferential Perspectives, Challenges, and Approaches

View Presentation Robert Matthews, Aston University; Eric Loken, University of Connecticut; Joachim Krueger, Brown University

Thu, Oct 12, 1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Regency Ballroom IV

6-3 - What Needs to Change in Editorial-Reviewer Decision-Making in a Post P<0.05 World?
Concurrent Session

Chair(s): James Nicholson, Durham University

1:30 PM

What Needs to Change in Editorial-Reviewer Decision-Making in a Post P<0.05 World?

View Presentation David Trafimow, New Mexico State University; Dawn Teare, University of Sheffield; Lisa Harlowe, University of Rhode Island

Thu, Oct 12, 1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Regency Ballroom I/II

6-4 - Training Researchers in a Post P<0.05 World
Concurrent Session

Chair(s): Jodi Lapidus, Oregon Health Sciences University

1:30 PM

Training Researchers in a Post P<0.05 World

View Presentation Meredith Wallace, University of Pittsburg Medical Center; Xihong Lin, Harvard University TH Chan School of Public Health; Emery Brown, MIT and Massachusetts General Hospital

Thu, Oct 12, 3:00 PM - 3:30 PM
Regency Foyer

Refreshment Break
Other

Thu, Oct 12, 3:30 PM - 5:00 PM
Regency Ballroom I/II

P2 - Closing Plenary Session
Plenary

Chair(s): Allen Schirm, Mathematica Policy Research, retired

3:30 PM

The Radical Prescription for Change

View Presentation Andrew Gelman, Columbia University; Marcia McNutt, National Academy of Sciences; Xiao-Li Meng, Harvard University

Thu, Oct 12, 5:15 PM - 6:15 PM
Regency Ballroom I/II

P3 - Closing Session: Take the Mic
Plenary

Chair(s): Ron Wasserstein, American Statistical Association

Online Program

Key:

American Statistical Association

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