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Keyword Search Criteria: Uncertainty returned 53 record(s)
Sunday, 07/29/2018
Uncertainty Quantification of Stochastic Computer Model for Binary Black Hole Formation
Luyao Lin, Simon Fraser University; Jim Barrett, University of Birmingham; Derek Bingham, Simon Fraser University; Ilya Mandel, University of Birmingham


Parameter Subset Selection for Mixed-Effects Models
Kathleen Schmidt, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory; Ralph C. Smith, North Carolina State University; Jason Bernstein, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory; Ana Kupresanin, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
2:05 PM

An Adaptive Test of Significance in the Presence of Uncertainty in the Timing of the Final Analysis
Jeremy Gorelick, Edwards Lifesciences
2:35 PM

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the Role of Statisticians
Francis William Zwiers, Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium, University of Victoria
4:05 PM

Applications of Extreme Value Methods in the IPCC and US National Assessment Reports
Michael F Wehner, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
4:55 PM

Monday, 07/30/2018
A Note on Managing Uncertainty About Source Release Height After an Accident
Ali Gargowm, United Arab Emirates Univ / College of Business & Economics


Uncertainty Quantification for Fission Product Yield Curves
Jason Bernstein, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory; Nicolas Schunck, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory


Computing Mean Partition and Assessing Uncertainty for Clustering Analysis
Beomseok Seo, Penn State University; Lin Lin, The Pennsylvania State University; Jia Li, Penn State University


Multi-Scale Uncertainty Quantification in the Physical Sciences and Engineering for Complex Models
K. Sham Bhat, Los Alamos National Laboratory


The Impact of Bias and Uncertainty of Weather Forecasts on Storm Events
Mary Frances Dorn, Los Alamos National Laboratory; Kimberly Kaufeld, Los Alamos National Laboratory


Uncertainty Quantification of Weather Forecasts
Yu Wang, University of British Columbia; Gong Zhang, University of British Columbia; Boyi Hu, University of British Columbia; Ho Yin Ho, University of British Columbia


Tools for Simulation-Based Uncertainty Quantification in Remote Sensing Inverse Problems
Jonathan Hobbs, Jet Propulsion Laboratory; Amy Braverman, Jet Propulsion Laboratory; Ali Behrangi, University of Arizona; Sandy Burden, University of Wollongong; Eric Fetzer, Jet Propulsion Laboratory; Kyo Lee, Jet Propulsion Laboratory; Hai Nguyen, Jet Propulsion Laboratory


Uncertainty in the Design Stage of Two-Stage Bayesian Propensity Score Analysis
Shirley Liao


Uncertainty in Probabilistic Weighted Multidimensional Scaling
Lata Kodali; Leanna House, Virginia Tech


Assessing the Uncertainty Due to Chemicals Below the Detection Limit in Chemical Mixture Estimation
Paul Hargarten, VCU; David C. Wheeler, Virginia Commonwealth University
9:05 AM

The Impact of Bias and Uncertainty of Weather Forecasts on Storm Events
Mary Frances Dorn, Los Alamos National Laboratory; Kimberly Kaufeld, Los Alamos National Laboratory
9:10 AM

Uncertainty Quantification of Weather Forecasts
Yu Wang, University of British Columbia; Gong Zhang, University of British Columbia; Boyi Hu, University of British Columbia; Ho Yin Ho, University of British Columbia
9:15 AM

Computer Model Calibration to Enable Disaggregation of Chemical Spectra
David Stenning, Imperial College London
9:35 AM

A Geometric Approach for Calibrating Computer Models with Misaligned Functional Output
Lauren Hund; James Derek Tucker, Sandia National Laboratories; Justin Brown, Sandia National Laboratories
10:35 AM

Tools for Simulation-Based Uncertainty Quantification in Remote Sensing Inverse Problems
Jonathan Hobbs, Jet Propulsion Laboratory; Amy Braverman, Jet Propulsion Laboratory; Ali Behrangi, University of Arizona; Sandy Burden, University of Wollongong; Eric Fetzer, Jet Propulsion Laboratory; Kyo Lee, Jet Propulsion Laboratory; Hai Nguyen, Jet Propulsion Laboratory
10:35 AM

Uncertainty in the Design Stage of Two-Stage Bayesian Propensity Score Analysis
Shirley Liao
10:50 AM

Bayesian Framework for Embedded Model Error Representation and Quantification
Khachik Sargsyan, Sandia National Labs/California; Xun Huan, Sandia National Labs/California; Habib Najm, Sandia National Labs/California
10:55 AM

Neuronized Priors for A Unified Sparsity Inference
Ismael Castillo, Universite Pierre et Marie Curie - Paris 6; Minsuk Shin, Harvard University
11:00 AM

Modeling Uncertainty in Physical Security Systems
Aparna Huzurbazar, Los Alamos National Laboratory
11:15 AM

Uncertainty Quantification of Injury Risk Measures
Dorin Drignei, Oakland University
11:35 AM

Uncertainty in Probabilistic Weighted Multidimensional Scaling
Lata Kodali; Leanna House, Virginia Tech
12:10 PM

Phase I Designs That Allow for Uncertainty in the Attribution of Adverse Events
Alexia Iasonos, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center; John O'Quigley, Universit'e Pierre et Marie Curie,
2:35 PM

Design of Experiments for the Calibration of Computational Models
David Woods, University of Southampton; Yiolanda Englezou, University of Southampton; Timothy Waite, University of Manchester
2:55 PM

CiTools: Quantifying Uncertainty for Statistical Models in R
Matthew Avery
3:25 PM

Tuesday, 07/31/2018
Uncertainty vs. Ambiguity in Structured Benefit-Risk (BR) Assessment Decisions
Shahrul Mt-Isa, Merck


Interpretable Statistical Machine Learning for Validation and Uncertainty Quantification of Complex Models
Ana Kupresanin, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory


Phase I Designs That Allow for Uncertainty in the Attribution of Adverse Events
Alexia Iasonos, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center; John O'Quigley, Universit'e Pierre et Marie Curie,


Uncertainty Estimates for Population Attributable Fractions
Breda Munoz, RTI International
8:35 AM

Bayesian Probabilistic Numerical Methods
Jonathan Cockayne
8:55 AM

Data-Driven Modeling and Forecast of Noisy Nonlinear Dynamics
Kyongmin Yeo, IBM T.J. Watson Research Center; Youngdeok Hwang, Sungkyunkwan University; Eun Kyung Lee, IBM T.J. Watson Research Center
10:35 AM

Uncertainty in the Design Stage of Observational Studies
Matthew Cefalu, RAND Corporation; Corwin Zigler, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health
10:55 AM

Hierarchical Spatial Model for Creating Global Maps of Plant Trait Distribution
Abhi Datta, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
2:05 PM

Large and Non-Stationary Spatial Fields: Quantifying Uncertainty in the Pattern Scaling of Climate Models
Douglas William Nychka, NCAR
3:20 PM

Wednesday, 08/01/2018
A Latent Class Analysis to Identify Subgroups of Heart Failure Under Missingness And/Or Uncertainty in the Indicator Variables
Wendimagegn Alemayehu, University of Alberta; Cynthia M Westerhout, University of Alberta; Jason R Dyck, University of Alberta; Todd Anderson, University of Calgary; Justin A Ezekowitz, University of Alberta


Visualizing Uncertainty for the General Public
Edward Mulrow, NORC at the University of Chicago


Calibrating a Stochastic Agent Based Model Using Quantile-Based Emulation
Arindam Fadikar, Virginia Tech; David Higdon, Virginia Tech


Simulation-Based Uncertainty Quantification for Optimal Estimation Remote Sensing Retrievals
Amy Braverman, Jet Propulsion Laboratory; Jonathan Hobbs, Jet Propulsion Laboratory
8:35 AM

Accounting for Gene Expression Quantification Uncertainty Leads to Improved Performance in Differential Splicing Analysis
Scott Van Buren, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Naim Rashid, UNC Chapel Hill
8:50 AM

Improving Probabilistic Record Linkage: Accurate Links, Probabilities, and Measures of Uncertainty
Bradley Spahn, Stanford University; Brendan McVeigh, Carnegie Mellon University; Jared S Murray, University of Texas at Austin
9:15 AM

Calibrating a Stochastic Agent Based Model Using Quantile-Based Emulation
Arindam Fadikar, Virginia Tech; David Higdon, Virginia Tech
9:20 AM

Exploring Departures from Stationarity Using Locally Stationary Time Series
Shreyan Ganguly, The Ohio State University; Peter Craigmile, The Ohio State University
9:20 AM

Bayesian Uncertainty Directed Trial Designs
Lorenzo Trippa, Harvard
11:05 AM

Astrophysical Deconvolution When the Convolution Function Is Imprecise
David A van Dyk, Imperial College London
2:25 PM

Thursday, 08/02/2018
Uncertainty Quantification of Treatment Regime in Precision Medicine by Confidence Distributions
Minge Xie, Rutgers University; Yilei Zhan, Rutgers University; Sijian Wang, Rutgers University
9:00 AM

A Mathematical Framework for Uncertainty Quantification in Multimodal Image Analysis via Probabilistic Clustering Models
Maximillian Chen, Sandia National Laboratories; David John Stracuzzi, Sandia National Laboratories; Michael Christopher Darling, Sandia National Laboratories
9:20 AM

Visualizing Clustering and Uncertainty Analysis of Multivariate Time-Series Data
Kristin Divis, Sandia National Laboratories; Maximillian Chen, Sandia National Laboratories; Laura A McNamara, Sandia National Laboratories; Dan Morrow, Sandia National Laboratories
9:35 AM

Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification for CO2 Retrieval from Satellite Remote Sensing Data
Anirban Mondal, Case Western Reserve University; Jonathan Hobbs, Jet Propulsion Laboratory
9:35 AM

Some Thoughts on Joint Probability Method (JPM) for Estimating Storm Surges
Whitney Huang, Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute
10:55 AM