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Sunday, 08/01/2010
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Multicriteria Prioritization and Partial Order in Environmental Statistics
Rainer Brüggemann, Leibniz Institute for Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries; Ganapati P. Patil, Penn State
2:05 PM
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Small-World MCMC with Tempering: Ergodicity, Spectral Gap, and Applications
Yongtao Guan, The University of Chicago; Matthew Stephens, The University of Chicago
2:20 PM
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Posterior Predictive Loss for Model Selection in Incomplete Longitudinal Data
Arkendu Sekhar Chatterjee, University of Florida; Michael J. Daniels, University of Florida
2:20 PM
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Application of Partial Order to Stream Channel Assessment and Bridge Infrastructure Management
Jessica T. Newlin, Bucknell University; Ganapati P. Patil, Penn State
2:35 PM
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On the Predictive Potential of Kernel Principal Components
Andreas Artemiou, Penn State; Bing Li, Penn State
2:35 PM
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Incorporating Evidence for Population Stratification Bias in Combined Analysis of Individual and Family Data
Lucia Mirea, Dalla Lana School of Public Health; Lei Sun, Dalla Lana School of Public Health; James Edward Stafford, Dalla Lana School of Public Health; Claire Infante-Rivard, McGill University; Shelley Brenda Bull, Samuel Lunenfeld Research Institute
2:45 PM
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Network--Specific Computer Traffic Modeling and Prediction
Joel Vaughan, University of Michigan; Stilian Stoev, University of Michigan; George Michailidis, University of Michigan
2:50 PM
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Predicting Long-Horizon Returns Using Historical Volatility: Statistical Significance and Modeling
Natalia Sizova, Rice University
2:50 PM
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Partial Order and Rank Range Runs for Compositional Complexes in Landscape Ecology and Image Analysis, with Applications to Restoration, Remediation, and Enhancement
Wayne Lawrence Myers, Penn State
3:05 PM
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Tests for Conditional Association Between an Ordinal Predictor and Continuous, Binomial, or Ordinal Outcomes
Bryan E. Shepherd, Vanderbilt University; Chun Li, Vanderbilt University
3:05 PM
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Bayesian Models Predicting the Return to Prison
Gail Blattenberger, The University of Utah; Richard Fowles, The University of Utah; John Krantz, The University of Utah
3:20 PM
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Tests of Trend Between Disease Outcomes and Ordinal Covariates
Naomi Brownstein, The University of North Carolina
3:20 PM
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Investigation of Data Release Rules for Medians and Zero Estimates for the American Community Survey
Karen Ellen King, U.S. Census Bureau
3:25 PM
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Social Network Analysis for Fraud Detection
John Clare Brocklebank, SAS Institute
3:25 PM
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Combining Indirect Evidence or Evidence from Independent Sources
Ingram Olkin, Stanford University
4:05 PM
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Development of the Logistic Regression with Factor Scores (LRFS) Method in Differential Item Functioning (DIF) Detection for Dichotomized Variables
Chengwu Yang, Penn State; Elizabeth Garrett-Mayer, Medical University of South Carolina; Barbara C. Tilley, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston; Jeanne A. Teresi, Columbia University Stroud Center; Richard N. Jones, Hebrew Rehabilitation Center for Aged; Rickey E. Carter, Mayo Clinic; Vanessa K. Hinson, Medical University of South Carolina
4:05 PM
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Follow-Up of Subjects in Event Rates for Periodic Safety Monitoring Reports in Open Enrollment Clinical Trials
Maria Carola Alfaro, Boston Scientific Corporation
4:05 PM
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A Novel Semiparametric Ratio Estimator: A Key to Predicting Long-Term Weight Loss in Obesity
Deborah Weissman-Miller, Dwbus & Assoc. Inc.
4:05 PM
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Issues of Missing Data in Orthopedic Implant Clinical Trials: A Regulatory Reviewer's Perspective
Jianxiong Chu, FDA
4:25 PM
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Hierarchical Spatial Models for Predicting Forest Variables Over Large Heterogeneous Domains
Sudipto Banerjee, University of Minnesota; Andrew Finley, Michigan State University
4:30 PM
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Developing New Capability Indices for the Positional Tolerance of a Multidimensional Machining Process
Chun-Yi Lee, National Chiayi University; Jeh-Nan Pan, National Cheng Kung University
4:35 PM
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Determining the Appropriate Implementation of a Repeated Measures Analysis Comparing Two Periodic Estimates on Economic Survey Data
Philip Steel, U.S. Census Bureau; Paul Ferrara, University of Virginia; Katherine Jenny Thompson, U.S. Census Bureau
4:35 PM
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Model Identification and Regression Estimation with a Diverging Number of Predictors
Zhan Wang, University of Minnesota; Yuhong Yang, University of Minnesota
4:35 PM
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Predictive Distribution Under Cox's Proportional Hazard Model
Yijie Liao, Southern Methodist University; Ron Butler, Southern Methodist University
4:35 PM
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Dimension Reduction with Categorical Predictors via Likelihood Approach
Xuerong Wen, Missouri University of Science and Technology
4:35 PM
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Using Logistic Regression of Sparse Data to Predict Influenza
Hector Lemus, San Diego State University
4:35 PM
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Process Capability Analysis Chart for a Product with Bilateral Specifications
Jose Alberto Vargas, Universidad Nacional de Colombia; Ruben D. Guevara, Universidad Nacional de Colombia
4:50 PM
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Semiparametric Estimation and Selection for Nonstationary Spatial Covariance Functions
Nan-Jung Hsu, National Tsing-Hua University; Hsin-Cheng Huang, Academia Sinica; Ya-Mei Chang, CSIRO
5:05 PM
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Reporting Meaningful Environmental Data
Barry D. Nussbaum, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
5:20 PM
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Design of Nonrandomized Medical Device Trials Based on Subclassification Using Propensity Score Quintiles
Greg Maislin, Biomedical Statistical Consulting; Donald B. Rubin, Harvard University
5:25 PM
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Monday, 08/02/2010
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Joint Modeling of Epigenetic Data, Transcription Factor Binding Data, and Expression Data
Guanghua Xiao, UT Southwestern Medical Center
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System of Statistical Indicators for the National Defense and Security Sector
Jhoner Perdomo, Universidad Central de Venezuela
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Erosion Prediction with USLE and RUSLE2
Yang Li, Iowa State University
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Methodology Used for Measuring Use of Electronic Medical Records in Physician Practices in 2008 and 2009 NAMCS
Iris Shimizu, National Center for Health Statistics
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Development of Imaging Biomarkers for Clinical Trials: Applications in Glioblastoma Multiforme
Hyun (Grace) Kim, University of California, Los Angeles; Jing Huo, University of California, Los Angeles; Matt Brown, University of California, Los Angeles; Jonathan Goldin, University of California, Los Angeles
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Time Series Analyses of Price Indices
MoonJung Cho, Bureau of Labor Statistics; John L. Eltinge, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Patrick A. Bobbitt, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Eungchun Cho, Kentucky State University
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Prediction of Pneumococcal Nonvaccination Among Persons Aged >= 65 Years
Fan Zhang, CDC; Wei Yu, CDC; Tiebin Liu, CDC; Peng-Jun Lu, CDC; Faruque Ahmed, CDC
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Harmonic Regression Analysis of Periodic Time Series Data from Clinical Trials
Michael T. Gaffney , Pfizer Inc.; Martin O. Carlsson, Pfizer Inc.; Kelly H. Zou, Pfizer Inc.
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Using Establishment Characteristics to Predict Respondent Mode Preferences in the Occupational Employment Statistics Survey
Carrie K. Jones, Bureau of Labor Statistics
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The Impact of Small Cluster Size on Multilevel Models: A Monte Carlo Examination of Two-Level Models with Binary and Continuous Predictors
Bethany A. Bell, University of South Carolina; Grant B. Morgan, University of South Carolina; Jeffrey D. Kromrey, University of South Florida; John M. Ferron, University of South Florida
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Classfication Using Matrix Predictors with Application in Toxicant Identification
Wenxuan Zhong, University of Illinois
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Improvements in Ability to Detect Undiagnosed Diabetes by Using Information on Family History Among Adults in the United States
Quanhe Yang, CDC; Tiebin Liu, CDC; Ramal Mooneshinghe, CDC; Rodolfo Valdez, CDC; Muin Khoury, CDC
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The Use of Contrast-Enhancing Lesions to Predict Imminent Relapse: Validating Cutter's Rule
Charity Johanna Morgan, The University of Alabama at Birmingham; Ashutosh Ranjan, The University of Alabama at Birmingham; Gary Cutter, University of Alabama at Birmingham
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Analysis of NHL Shot Location Data
Michael Schuckers, St. Lawrence University
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The Promise and Challenge of Benefit: Risk Analysis for Medical Products
Richard Forshee, FDA
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Risk Predictions from Genomewide Association Data
Hongyu Zhao, Yale University; Jia Kang, Yale University; Ruiyan Luo, Yale University; Judy Cho, Yale University
8:35 AM
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Efficient Kriging for Large Spatial Fields
Karl Pazdernik, Iowa State University; Ranjan Maitra, Iowa State University; Douglas Nychka, National Center for Atmospheric Research; Stephan Sain, National Center for Atmospheric Research
9:20 AM
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Conditional Power and Predictive Power Approaches to Interim Monitoring in Equivalence Trials
Xiaojiang Zhan, Merck & Co., Inc.
9:20 AM
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Comparison of Different Models for Predicting the Probability of Interview Completion in Complex Telephone Surveys
Robert Montgomery, NORC; Xian Tao , NORC; Zhen Zhao, CDC; Meena Khare, National Center for Health Statistics
9:20 AM
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Estimating the R-Indicator, Its Standard Error, and Other Related Statistics with SAS and SUDAAN
Michael Witt, RTI International
9:20 AM
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Predictive Recursion: Convergence Theory, Extensions, and Applications
Ryan Martin, Indiana University Purdue University Indianapolis; Surya Tokdar, Duke University
9:35 AM
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Modeling Log-Linear Restricted Conditional Probabilities for Prediction in Surveys
Yves Thibaudeau, U.S. Census Bureau; Eric Slud, U.S. Census Bureau; Alfred Gottschalck, U.S. Census Bureau
9:35 AM
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Nonparametric and Semiparametric Optimal Transformations of Markers
Chin-Tsang Chiang, National Taiwan University
9:35 AM
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A Multistate Modeling and Prediction of Survival Distribution Using Information on Subject's Tumor Response Over Time
Shengyan Hong, MedImmune; Iiya Lipkovich, Eli Lilly and Company; Yan Daniel Zhao, Eli Lilly and Company
9:50 AM
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Predictions in Generalized Linear Mixed Model
Chenghsueh Yang, University of California, Riverside
9:50 AM
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Clinical Trial Designs for Predictive Biomarker Validation: Theoretical Considerations and Practical Challenges
Daniel Sargent, Mayo Clinic; Sumithra Mandrekar, Mayo Clinic
10:35 AM
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Landmark Prediction of Survival
Layla Parast, Harvard University; Tianxi Cai, Harvard School of Public Health
10:35 AM
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Exploratory Longitudinal Graphical Summaries of Concomitant Medication Data
Chris Barker, Consultant
10:50 AM
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Geostatistical Model Averaging
Chun-Shu Chen, National Changhua University of Education; Hsin-Cheng Huang, Academia Sinica
10:50 AM
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Multivariate Spatial Factor Analysis Using Gaussian Predictive Processes
Qian Ren, University of Minnesota; Sudipto Banerjee, University of Minnesota
10:50 AM
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A Case Study of Using a Genomic Assay to Predict the Benefit of Chemotherapy in Treating Breast Cancer: Testing, Prediction, and Study Planning
William E. Barlow, Cancer Research and Biostatistics (CRAB); Carl Yoshizawa, Genomic Health, Inc.
11:00 AM
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Predictive Modeling of Weight Loss Curves
Shailaja Suryawanshi, Merck & Co., Inc.; Kaifeng Lu, Merck & Co., Inc.
11:05 AM
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Adaptive Gaussian Predictive Process Model for Large Spatial Data Sets
Rajarshi Guhaniyogi, University of Minnesota; Andrew Finley, Michigan State University; Sudipto Banerjee, University of Minnesota; Alan E. Gelfand, Duke University
11:05 AM
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What Can 179 Million Phone Calls Indicate About the Possibilities for the Future of Telephone Data Collection?
Daniel Evan Williams, Western Wats; Edward Paul Johnson, Opinion Outpost
11:05 AM
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Using Bayesian Predictive Distributions to Identify Outbreaks of Influenza-Like Illness
Owen Devine, CDC; Howard Burkom, The Johns Hopkins University
11:15 AM
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Prediction Intervals for Discrete Random Variables
Hsiuying Wang, National Chiao Tung University
11:20 AM
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Measuring the Performance of Markers Used to Select Patient Treatment
Holly Janes, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center
11:25 AM
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Dynamic Model Averaging for Online Prediction of Continuous and Discrete Processes
Adrian E. Raftery, University of Washington
11:25 AM
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An Extension of the Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test for Complex Sample Survey Data
Sundareshwaran Natarajan, U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs; Stuart R. Lipsitz, Brigham and Women's Hospital; Debajyoti Sinha, Florida State University; Garrett Fitzmaurice, Harvard Medical School
11:35 AM
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Sample Surface Properties and Equivalence of Space-Time Gaussian Random Fields
Yun Xue, Michigan State University
11:50 AM
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Interaction Detection for Business Forecasting
Dan Steinberg, Salford Systems
11:50 AM
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Trait Well-Being Predicts Placebo Response in Healthy Controls
Hamdan Azhar, University of Michigan; Christian Stohler, University of Maryland; Jon-Kar Zubieta, University of Michigan
11:50 AM
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Diversity in a Sample and Large Number of Small Probabilities: The Case of Questionnaires
Estate V. Khmaladze, Victoria University of Wellington
2:05 PM
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Statistics in Biopharmaceutical Research: Application of Biomarkers in Drug Development
Aloka Chakravarty, FDA; Mark Rothmann, FDA; Rajeshwari Sridhara , FDA
2:05 PM
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Implementation of a Cost Quotation Tool for Statistical Consulting in an Academic Medical Setting: Preliminary Results
Rhonda J. Rosychuk, University of Alberta
2:05 PM
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Predicting Renal Graft Failure Using Multivariate Longitudinal Profiles
Geert Verbeke, I-Biostat; Steffen Fieuws, I-BioStat
2:05 PM
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Falling Into the Data Mine: Avoiding the Pitfalls
Sam Koslowsky, Harte Hanks, Inc.
2:05 PM
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Adaptive Design for Sample Size Re-estimation in a Medical Device Trial of Spinal Cord Stimulation
Nitzan Mekel-Bobrov, Boston Scientific Corporation
2:05 PM
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Modeling with Pairwise Comparisons
Jeffrey Leek, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; Leslie Cope, The Johns Hopkins University; Donald Geman, The Johns Hopkins University; Giovanni Parmigiani, Harvard University
2:05 PM
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Detecting a Cutoff Point for Predictive Biomarkers in Clinical Trials Using Contrast Tests
Jianliang Zhang, MedImmune
2:20 PM
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Prediction of Advertiser Churn for Google AdWords
Sangho Yoon, Google; Jim Koehler, Google; Adam Ghobarah, Google
2:20 PM
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Prediction of Individual Long-Term Outcomes from a Multivariate Cure-Mixture Frailty Model
Yimei Li, University of Pennsylvania; Daniel F. Heitjan, University of Pennsylvania; E. Paul Wileyto, University of Pennsylvania
2:30 PM
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Evaluating Medical Imaging Reader Performance in Clinical Trials
David L. Raunig, Pfizer Inc.; Patricia English, Pfizer Inc.
2:30 PM
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Prediction via Sparse Kernel PCA
Tianxi Cai, Harvard School of Public Health
2:35 PM
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Extracting U.S. Credit Cycle Using Dynamic Linear Model
Jie Chen, Bank of America; Agus Sudjianto, Bank of America
2:35 PM
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Estimating model-adjusted prevalence ratios through predicted marginal ratios with complex sample survey data
Zhen Zhao, CDC
2:35 PM
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Statistical Analyses of Correlated Medical Cost Data
Lei Liu, University of Virginia
2:45 PM
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Regression Calibration for Nonlinear Functions of Mismeasured Predictors
David Yanez, University of Washington; Quenna Wong, Collaborative Health Studies Coordinating Center; Jeffrey R. Wilson, The University of Utah
2:50 PM
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Complete and Incomplete Bayesian Models for Financial Time Series
John Geweke, University of Technology, Sydney
2:55 PM
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Understanding Diffusion of Innovative Treatments for Kidney Cancer Using Trees
Mousumi Banerjee, University of Michigan
3:05 PM
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A Time-Saving SAS Macro to Facilitate Data Import from Excel
Alan C. Elliott, UT Southwestern Medical Center; Linda S. Hynan, UT Southwestern Medical Center
3:05 PM
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Selection Biases in Repeated Measures Analysis of Treatment Effects for Recurrent Episodic Conditions
Richard J. Cook, University of Waterloo
3:20 PM
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Hot-Deck Multiple Imputation via Predictive Moment Matching
Chia-Ning Wang, University of Michigan; Roderick Joseph Little, University of Michigan
3:20 PM
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Issues on Threshold Selection in Predictive Biomarker Analysis
Li-an Xu, Bristol-Myers Squibb
3:20 PM
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Tuesday, 08/03/2010
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A Consistent Estimator of the Absolute Deviation Between Predicted and Observed Survival Functions
Matthias Schmid, University of Erlangen-Nuremberg
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Does a Hybrid Regression Provide the Optimal Prediction Equation?
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Statistical Programmers in the Pharmaceutical Industry
Chengying (Nancy) Wu, sanofi-aventis
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Statistical Issues in Designing Active Control Studies with an Emphasis on Veterinary Medical Issues
Anna B. Nevius, FDA/CVM
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Impact of Relying on Sample Variance-Covariance Estimate on Prediction Accuracy and Statistical Power of Hypothesis Testing When n << p
Peter H. Hu, Merck & Co., Inc.; Yue Wang, Merck & Co., Inc.; Jared Lunceford, Merck & Co., Inc.
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Instrument Variable Analysis of Prostate Cancer Treatments for Clustered Binary Data
Anjun Cao, NovoNordisk; Dirk F. Moore, University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey
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A Statistical Model for Concentrations of Haemoglobin A1c Over Time in Response to a Treatment Intervention for Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus
Larry Z. Shen, Amylin Pharmaceuticals; Ping Yan, Amylin Pharmaceuticals
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Generalized Exponential Weighted Moving Average for Time Series Forecasting
Lu Wang, University of California, Davis
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Balancing Informativeness and Ethics in Clinical Trial Design
Valerii Fedorov, GlaxoSmithKline
8:35 AM
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Providing Double Protection for Unit Nonresponse with a Nonlinear Calibration Routine
George Gordon Brown, RTI International
8:35 AM
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Neural Networks for Time Series Prediction: Practical Implications of Theoretical Results
Melinda F. Thielbar, North Carolina State University; David A. Dickey, North Carolina State University
8:35 AM
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The Variability of p-Values
Dennis D. Boos, North Carolina State University
8:35 AM
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Methodological Comparison of Estimates of Ambulatory Health Care Use from the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey and Other Data Sources
Jeff Rhoades, AHRQ; Joel Cohen, AHRQ; Steven Machlin, AHRQ
8:35 AM
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Generalizations of Length-Biased Sampling: Novel Applications
Marvin Zelen, Harvard School of Public Health
8:35 AM
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Functional Data Analysis of the Trends and Predictors of Climate in BC
Simon Joseph Bonner, The University of British Columbia; Nathaniel Kenneth Newlands, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada; Budong Qian, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada; Nancy Heckman, The University of British Columbia
8:35 AM
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Forecasting Emergency Medical Service Call Arrival Rates
David S. Matteson, Cornell University; Mathew W. McLean , Cornell University; Dawn B. Woodard, Cornell University; Shane Henderson, Cornell University
8:35 AM
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Improving the Preliminary Values of the Chained CPI-U
John Shearer Greenlees, Bureau of Labor Statistics
8:50 AM
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Predicting Crop Yield in the Canadian Prairies
Luke Bornn, The University of British Columbia; Jim Zidek, The University of British Columbia
8:55 AM
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How Statisticians Can Help Bring on Personalized Medicine
Terence (Terry) Paul Speed, Walter & Eliza Hall Institute of Medical Research
9:00 AM
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Personalized Medicine Trials in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer
Michael Kosorok, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Yufan Zhao, Amgen Inc.; Donglin Zeng, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Mark Socinski, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
9:00 AM
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Estimating Colorectal Cancer Screening in the Presence of Missing Data in a Population with a Resistant Subset and Multiple Observations
Yolanda Cecile Hagar, University of California, Davis; Laurel Beckett, University of California, Davis; Danielle Harvey, University of California, Davis School of Medicine; Joshua Fenton, University of California, Davis School of Medicine
9:05 AM
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A Case Study of Issues with Subgroup Analysis for Medical Devices
Yao Huang, FDA/CDRH; Yunling Xu, FDA/CDRH
9:15 AM
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Weights, Double Protection, and Multiple Imputation
Phillip S. Kott, RTI International ; Ralph E. Folsom, RTI International
9:25 AM
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Reference and Prediction Regions in Medical and Pharmaceutical Research
Robb Muirhead, Statistical Scientist
9:25 AM
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Classification and Regression Tree Analysis as an Alternative for Multivariate Regression Modeling: An Application to Medical Device Trials
Jian Huang, Boston Scientific Corporation
9:35 AM
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Bayesian Model Averaging for Improved Prediction of Soil Moisture and Crop Yield from Agro-Ecosystem Models
Reza Hosseini, Simon Fraser University; Gabriela Espino-Hernandez, The University of British Columbia; Nathaniel Kenneth Newlands, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada
9:35 AM
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Application of Small-Area Estimation Methods to Emergency Department Data from the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey
Vladislav M. Beresovsky, National Center for Health Statistics; Cathy Burt, National Center for Health Statistics; Van Parsons, National Center for Health Statistics; Nathaniel Schenker, National Center for Health Statistics
9:35 AM
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Robust Inference in Predictive Regressions
Paulo M.M. Rodrigues, Banco de Portugal; Antonio Rubia, University of Alicante
9:50 AM
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Assessing the Accuracy of Prescription Drug Data for Medicare Beneficiaries in the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey
Marc Zodet, AHRQ; Samuel Zuvekas, AHRQ; Steven Hill, AHRQ; Edward Miller, AHRQ
9:55 AM
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Modeling the Dynamics of Corporate Credit Ratings: Creating a Predictive Ratings Model
Meghan Rachel Kent, North Carolina State University; Terri Anna Johnson, North Carolina State University; Nicole Bader, North Carolina State University; Jenna Rice, North Carolina State University
10:05 AM
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Assessing the Impact of Missing Data on Variance Estimates for the Medical Expenditures Panel Survey: Insurance Component (MEPS-IC)
Matthew Thompson, U.S. Census Bureau; Anne Kearney, U.S. Census Bureau
10:05 AM
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A Generalized Bayesian Spatial Prediction Method
Jim Zidek, The University of British Columbia; Yiping Dou, The University of British Columbia; Nhu Le, BC Cancer Agency
10:35 AM
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Network-Based Auto-Probit Modeling for Protein Function Prediction
Xiaoyu Jiang, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; David Gold, State University of New York at Buffalo; Eric Kolaczyk, Boston University
10:35 AM
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A Bayesian Adaptive Design with Biomarkers for Targeted Therapies
Jens C. Eickhoff, Colorado State University; KyungMann Kim, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Jill M. Kolesar, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Jason R. Gee, Lahey Clinic Medical Center
10:35 AM
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An Improved Genetic Algorithm for Boosting in the Presence of Outliers
Dong-Yop Oh, The University of Alabama; J. Brian Gray, The University of Alabama
10:50 AM
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A Unified Probabilistic Scoring Function Incorporating Multiple Sources of Information for Near-Native Discrimination of High-Resolution Protein Models
Yian Ann Chen, Moffitt Cancer Center; Hyun Joo, University of the Pacific; Xiaotao Qu, Moffitt Cancer Center ; Ryan Day, University of the Pacific; Marina Vannucci, Rice University; Jerry Tsai, University of the Pacific
10:50 AM
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Predicting the Coverage of Address-Based Sampling Frames Prior to Sample Selection
Joseph P. McMichael, RTI International; Vincent G. Iannacchione, RTI International; Bonnie Shook-Sa, RTI International; Jamie L. Ridenhour, RTI International; Katherine Morton, RTI International; James R. Chromy, RTI International
10:50 AM
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Applying Covariate-Adjusted, Response-Adaptive Randomization to Medical Device Studies
Thomas E. Gwise, FDA; Gene Anthony Pennello, FDA
10:55 AM
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Diagnostics for Bayesian Hierarchical Models of Response Time Data
Peter F. Craigmile, The Ohio State University; Mario Peruggia, The Ohio State University; Trisha Van Zandt, The Ohio State University
10:55 AM
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Multiple Imputation of Disease Status Based on a Two-Phase Sample Design
Steven G. Heeringa, University of Michigan
11:15 AM
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Outlier Detection Methods for Improving Boosting
Waldyn Martinez Cid, The University of Alabama; J. Brian Gray, The University of Alabama
11:20 AM
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Using a "Match Rate" Model to Predict Areas where USPS-Based Address Lists May Be Used in Place of Traditional Listing
Valerie Hsu, Westat; Jill Montaquila, Westat; J. Michael Brick, Westat
11:35 AM
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Improved Prediction Intervals for Binomial and Poisson Distributions
Jie Peng, St. Ambrose University; Kalimuthu Krishnamoorthy, University of Louisiana at Lafayette
11:35 AM
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Thinning Random Forests
Jie Xu, The University of Alabama; J. Brian Gray, The University of Alabama
11:35 AM
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I-SPY2: Identifying Biomarker Signatures for Therapeutic Agents in Neoadjuvant Breast Cancer
Donald Arthur Berry, MD Anderson Cancer Center; Kyle Wathen, MD Anderson Cancer Center; Nebiyou Bekele, MD Anderson Cancer Center; Laura Esserman, University of California, San Francisco
11:35 AM
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Calibrated Bayes Factor for Model Comparison and Prediction
Xinyi Xu, The Ohio State University; Steven MacEachern, The Ohio State University; Pingbo Lu, The Ohio State University; Ruoxi Xu, The Ohio State University
11:35 AM
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The Predictive Spatial Dirichlet Process with Application to Downscaling
Veronica J. Berrocal, Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute; Sudipto Banerjee, University of Minnesota; Alan E. Gelfand, Duke University
11:35 AM
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Health Insurance Estimates from the CPS vs. ACS: An Analysis of State-Specific Program Names
Joanne Pascale, U.S. Census Bureau
11:35 AM
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A Doubly Robust Estimator in Comparing Predictive Values for Diagnostic Tests Under Missing at Random
Yoonjin Cho, GlaxoSmithKline
11:35 AM
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An Experiment in Measuring Health Insurance Status and Type
Dianne Rucinski, Institute for Health Research and Policy
11:50 AM
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A Reexamination of Daily Temperature Data
David James Thomson, Queen's University
11:50 AM
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Challenges in Predicting Risk of Women Diseases Using Genomic Data
Mariza De Andrade, Mayo Clinic
11:55 AM
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Spline-Based Models for Prediction in Survey Samples
Hui Zheng, Harvard Medical School
11:55 AM
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Prediction Intervals for the Local Spectrum Estimate
Kara Stevens, University of Bristol; Guy Nason, University of Bristol
2:05 PM
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Genes Selection and Components Retention for Supervised Survival Prediction Models
Keyue Ding, Queen's University
2:05 PM
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Order-Preserving Factor Discovery with Misaligned Data
Arnau Tibau Puig, University of Michigan; Ami Wiesel, University of Michigan; Alfred O. Hero, University of Michigan
2:05 PM
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Using Gene Gxpression to Predict Dose-Response Data
Philippe Haldermans, I-Biostat; Ziv Shkedy, Universiteit Hasselt
2:05 PM
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Multivariate Dyadic Regression Trees for Sparse Learning Problems
Han Liu, Carnegie Mellon University; Xi Chen, Carnegie Mellon University
2:05 PM
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The Role of Proxy Genes in Predictive Models: An Application to Early Detection of Prostate Cancer
Jay Magidson, Statistical Innovations Inc.; William Oh, Mount Sinai School of Medicine; Robert Ross, Infinity Pharmaceuticals; Philip Kantoff, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute; Karl Wassmann, Source MDx
2:20 PM
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Modeling Longitudinal Dyadic Data with Informative Dropout
Guangyu Zhang, University of Maryland; Ying Yuan, MD Anderson Cancer Center
2:25 PM
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Transition from Genetic Studies to Personalized Medicine: A Consulting Experience
Fang-Chi Hsu, Wake Forest University School of Medicine
2:25 PM
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Imputation Strategies for Missing Binary Outcomes in Cluster Randomized Trials
Jinhui Ma, McMaster University; Noori Akhtar-Danesh, McMaster University; Lisa Dolovich, McMaster University; Lehana Thabane, McMaster University
2:35 PM
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Full Bayesian Procedure for File Linking to Analyze End-of-Life Medical Costs
Roee Gutman, Harvard University; Alan Zaslavsky, Harvard Medical School
2:45 PM
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Approximate Confidence Limits for a Proportion of the Hypergeometric Probability Distribution: Applications in Audits, Acceptance Sampling and Medical Investigations
Yevgeniy Voinov, KIMEP
2:50 PM
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Robust Multiple Imputation Based on Bayesian Bootstrap Predictive Mean Matching
Florian Koller-Meinfelder, Universität Bamberg
2:50 PM
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Using the Dice-Based Golf Game GOLO to Illustrate Discrete Probability Distributions and Sampling Distributions on Proportions
Paul L. Stephenson, Grand Valley State University; Mary Richardson, Grand Valley State University; John Gabrosek, Grand Valley State University; Diann Reischman, Grand Valley State University
3:25 PM
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Wednesday, 08/04/2010
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Calculation of Sample Size for Testing the Performance of Disease Risk Prediction Models from Survival Analysis Based on Harrell's C Discrimination Index
Ching-Yu Huang, National Health Research Institutes, Taiwan; Hsing-Yi Chang, National Health Research Institutes, Taiwan; Wen-ling Liu, National Health Research Institutes, Taiwan
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Properties of Linear Model Selection
Changjiang Xu, The University of Western Ontario; A. Ian McLeod, The University of Western Ontario
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Bayesian Methods in Genomics: Searching for Unity in Diverse Data Sources
Bhramar Mukherjee, University of Michigan; Debashis Ghosh, Pennsylvania State University
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Comparison of Logistic Regression and Support Vector Machine Models to Predict Diabetes
Wei Yu, CDC; Tiebin Liu, CDC; Rodolfo Valdez, CDC; Marta Gwinn, CDC; Nicole Dowling , CDC; Muin J. Khoury, CDC
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Measuring Classifier Performance: A Penalty/Profit Perspective
Chamont Wang, The College of New Jersey; Kati Lentz, The College of New Jersey; Robert Stine, University of Pennsylvania
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Experts vs. Equations: A Case Study in the Prediction of NBA Games
Michele Meisner, The College of New Jersey; Chamont Wang, The College of New Jersey; Danielle Zanghi, The College of New Jersey; James Fitzpatrick, The College of New Jersey
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In Evaluating Measures Using Rasch Analysis: Comparison of the Rating Scale Model and the Partial Credit Model
Man Hung, The University of Utah
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Investigator Evaluation and the Collaborative/Consulting Experience
Rhonda VanDyke, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center
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SAS Macro for Multiple Simple Logistic Regression Analyses with Application to Predictors of New Onset Diabetes After Renal Transplant (NODAT)
Brie N. Noble, Mayo Clinic; Amylou C. Dueck, Mayo Clinic; Joseph G. Hentz, Mayo Clinic; Qing Wu, Mayo Clinic; Harini A. Chakkera, Mayo Clinic
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The Unit Interval Characteristic Distributions and Their Applications
Fassil Nebebe, Concordia University
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Exon-Based Microarrays and Their Applications in Personalized Health Care
Wei-min Liu, Roche Molecular Systems, Inc.; Yu Chuan Tai, Roche Molecular Systems, Inc.; Yan Li, Roche Molecular Systems, Inc.
8:35 AM
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Hierarchical Bayesian Models for Predicting Spatially Correlated Curves
Bani K. Mallick, Texas A&M University
8:35 AM
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Electronic Medical Data, Public Health Decisions, and Statisticians: An FDA Perspective
Robert T. O'Neill, FDA
8:35 AM
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Estimating Direct Effects on a Dichotomous Outcome Using Logistic Structural Direct Effect Models
Stijn Vansteelandt, Ghent University
8:35 AM
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Bayesian and Frequentist Methods for Provider Profiling Using Risk-Adjusted Assessments of Medical Outcomes
Michael Joseph Racz, Albany College of Pharmacy and Health Sciences; Joseph Sedransk, Case Western Reserve University
8:35 AM
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Spatial Regression Using Kernel-Averaged Predictors
Matthew Joseph Heaton, Duke University; Alan E. Gelfand, Duke University
8:35 AM
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Sparse Semisupervised Methods for Predicting Patient Survival Probabilities with Large-Scale Biological Data
Karthik Devarajan, Fox Chase Cancer Center
8:50 AM
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Monitoring the Economy: An Application of Multivariate Real-Time Signal Extraction
Marc Wildi, Zurich University of Applied Sciences
8:55 AM
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Assessing the Goodness of Fit of Risk Prediction Rules in a Clustered Data Setting
Bernard Rosner, Harvard Medical School; Weiliang Qiu, Harvard Medical School; MeiLing Ting Lee, University of Maryland
8:55 AM
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Forecasting Clinical Trial Enrollment: A Case Study
Zachary Skrivanek, Eli Lilly and Company
9:05 AM
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Mapping Batter Ability in Baseball by Using Spatial Statistics Techniques
Dana Draghicescu, Hunter College, CUNY; Benjamin Strong Baumer, CUNY Graduate Center
9:05 AM
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Accuracy of Biomarker Testing and Its Impact on Targeted Therapy Validation
Meijuan Li, FDA; Estelle Russek-Cohen, FDA; Rong Tang, FDA
9:15 AM
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Assessing Treatment Effect in Clinical Trials with Dichotomous Endpoints
Gang Jia, Merck & Co., Inc.
9:20 AM
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PartDSA: The Partitioning Deletion/Substitution/Addition Algorithm for Creating Survival Risk Groups
Karen Lostritto, Yale University; Rob Strawderman, Cornell University; Annette Molinaro, Yale University
9:20 AM
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Real-Time Simulation of Alternative Specification of Euro Area Turning Points Detection
Gian Luigi Mazzi, EUROSTAT; Monica Billio, Università di Venezia; Rosa Ruggeri Cannata, EUROSTAT
9:35 AM
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The Value of Personalized, Predictive Risk-Assessment Tools for the Prevention of Chronic Diseases
Edward J. Moler, Tethys Bioscience, Inc.; Louis P. Garrison, University of Washington; Janice Kolberg, Tethys Bioscience, Inc.; Harald Rinde, BioBridge Strategies Switzerland; Sean D. Sullivan, University of Washington
9:35 AM
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Interval Estimation of Epidemiological Indices for Data Sampled from Clusters: A Review and an Extension
Tasneem Zaihra, University of New Brunswick; Sudhir Paul, University of Windsor
9:50 AM
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Evaluating Diagnostics Hypotheses in Proof-of-Concept Clinical Trials
Jane Fridlyand, Genentech
9:55 AM
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A Nonparametric Lower Bound for the Number of Species Shared by Multiple Communities
Hung-Yu Pan, National Chia-Yi University
10:35 AM
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Forecasting Corporate Bankruptcy: International Evidence
Shaonan Tian, University of Cincinnati; Yan Yu, University of Cincinnati
10:35 AM
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Sequential Experiment Design for Emulator and Predictive Maturity
Brian Williams, Los Alamos National Laboratory; Jason Loeppky, The University of British Columbia; Leslie Moore, Los Alamos National Laboratory
10:35 AM
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Empirical Evaluation of Methods for Predicting Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Canada
Michael Otterstatter, Public Health Agency of Canada; Lin Xie, Public Health Agency of Canada
10:35 AM
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Misuse of Statistical Terms: What Should We Do About It?
Charlie Goldsmith, McMaster University
10:50 AM
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Programming in SAS
Chris Stephens, SAS Institute; Robert Chengwen Chu, SAS Institute
10:55 AM
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Sensitivity Analyses Adjusting for Early Discontinuation of Study Medication in the RE-LY Trial: An Open-Label, Randomized, Active-Controlled, Time-to-Event Noninferiority Trial
Xiuyu Cong, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Qiqi Deng, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Susan Q. Wang, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
11:15 AM
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Empirical Bayes In-Season Prediction of Baseball Batting Averages
Wenhua Jiang, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; Cun-Hui Zhang, Rutgers University
11:20 AM
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Multiregional Trials Using Bayesian Statistical Approach
Kyoungah See, Eli Lilly and Company; Robert Noble, GSK
11:35 AM
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The Effect of Seasonal Adjustment on Turning Points Detection
Gaetana Montana, EUROSTAT; Gian Luigi Mazzi, EUROSTAT; Monica Billio, Università di Venezia
11:35 AM
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Estimating Uncertainty Bounds for Complex Demographic Models: A Case Study of Estimates of the Unauthorized Population in the United States
Dean Judson, Office of Immigration Statistics; Derekh Cornwell, Office of Immigration Statistics
11:50 AM
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Online Forecasting and Prediction of Spacio-Temporal Processes with Dynamic Covariance Estimation
Dave Zes, University of California, Los Angeles
11:50 AM
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Underlying Properties of Health Disparity Indices
Stuart A. Gansky, University of California, San Francisco; Nancy F. Cheng, University of California, San Francisco; Gloria C. Mejia, University of California, San Francisco
11:55 AM
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Simulation of a Phase III Trial Using Realizations of Posterior Distribution Based on a Phase IIb Trial
A. Lawrence Gould, Merck Research Laboratories
2:05 PM
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Performance Measures for Survival Prediction Models: An Overview
Linda M. Peelen, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care UMC Utrecht; Nina P. Paynter, Brigham and Women's Hospital; Karel G.M. Moons, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care UMC Utrecht; Nancy Cook, Brigham and Women's Hospital
2:05 PM
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Statistical and Clinical Characteristics of Composite Endpoint in Clinical Studies
Jeng Mah, Regulatory and Clinical Research Institute, Inc.
2:05 PM
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The Posterior Predictive Information Criterion
Andrew Womack, Washington University in St. Louis
2:05 PM
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Finite Memory Estimation of Infinite Memory Processes
Zsolt Talata, The University of Kansas; Imre Csiszar, Hungarian Academy of Sciences
2:25 PM
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Performance of Prediction Measures in a Survival Setting
Nina P. Paynter, Brigham and Women's Hospital; Linda M. Peelen, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care UMC Utrecht; Nancy Cook, Brigham and Women's Hospital
2:25 PM
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Small-Area Estimation of U.S. Health Disparities
Tanja Srebotniak, Ecologic Institute; Christopher J.L. Murray, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation; Ali Mokdad, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation; Rafael Lozano, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
2:25 PM
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Combining Information Across Studies for Clinical Trials: What We Have Learned at FDA's Center for Devices and Radiological Health
Laura Thompson, FDA/CDRH
2:30 PM
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Evaluation and Interpretation of Diagnostic Tests
Bipasa Biswas, FDA/CDRH
2:45 PM
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Correlated Component Regression: A Prediction/Classification Methodology for Possibly Many Features
Jay Magidson, Statistical Innovations Inc.
2:50 PM
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Estimating Cost of Treatment in Elderly Patients with Colorectal Cancer Using Medicare Data
Emma Boswell, Trinity Partners, Inc.; Fotios K. Kokkotos, Trinity Partners, Inc.; Xiulin Shen, Trinity Partners, Inc.; Zheng Wang, Trinity Partners, Inc.; Ya Zhang, Trinity Partners, Inc.
2:50 PM
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Predictive Probability Approach for the Design and Analysis of Response and Toxicity Data in Cancer Clinical Trials
J. Jack Lee, MD Anderson Cancer Center; Guosheng Yin, The University of Hong Kong; Nan Chen, M D Anderson Cancer Center
2:55 PM
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Medical Device Software Safety, Validation, Verification, and Effectiveness
Carolyn Carroll, STAT TECH, Inc.
3:05 PM
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Comparing Non-Nested Survival Prediction Models
Ulla Brasch Mogensen, University of Copenhagen; Thomas A. Gerds, University of Copenhagen
3:05 PM
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Discovering Personalized Therapy for Cystic Fibrosis by Reinforcement Learning
Yiyun Tang, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Michael Kosorok, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
3:05 PM
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Bayesian Dynamic Models for Improved Efficacy in Avoidance of Preventable Hospital Deaths
David Draper, University of California, Santa Cruz
3:20 PM
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Comparing Web Panel Samples vs. Non-Panel Samples of Medical Doctors
Lin Chiat Chang, LinChiat Chang Consulting, LLC; Jeremy Brody, Kantar Health
3:20 PM
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Human MicroRNA Target Prediction by the Relative R-Squared Method
Wan Ju Hsieh, National Chiao Tung University; Hsiuying Wang, National Chiao Tung University
3:20 PM
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Adding a Prediction Interval Futility Analysis to a Group Sequential Trial
John Loewy, ARIAD Pharmaceuticals; David Dorer, ARIAD Pharmaceuticals
3:25 PM
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Predicting Patient Survival from Proteomic Profile Using MALDI-TOF Mass Spectrometry Data
Farida Mostajabi, University of Louisville; Susmita Datta, University of Louisville
3:35 PM
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Thursday, 08/05/2010
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Gibbs-Type Priors for Bayesian Nonparametric Inference on Species Variety
Stefano Favaro, University of Turin ; Antonio Lijoi, University of Pavia; Ramses Mena, IIMAS-UNAM; Igor Pruenster, University of Turin
8:35 AM
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On the Ability of Breast Cancer-Associated SNPs to Augment Clinical Variables in Predicting Breast Cancer Risk
Ross L. Prentice, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; David A. Hinds, Perlegen Sciences
8:35 AM
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Nonparametric Comparison for Panel Count Data with Unequal Observation Processes
Xingqiu Zhao, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University; Jianguo Sun, University of Missouri
8:50 AM
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Gaussian Process Prediction of Computer Model Outputs with Nonconstant Variance in Systems Biology: A Plug-In Approach
Garrett Dancik, Northwestern State University
8:50 AM
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New Tuning Methods for the Architecture of Neural Network Model with Application to Bankruptcy Prediction
Chulwoo Jeong, Sogang University; Myung Suk Kim, Sogang University;
8:50 AM
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Correlates of Armed Violence Within the Nation-State: Predicting Future Conflict with Varying Data
Michael Kisielewski, StatAid
8:50 AM
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The Impact of Measurement Error in Auxiliary Variables on Model-Based Estimation of Finite Population Totals: A Simulation Study
Brady West, Institute for Social Research
8:55 AM
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Analysis of Single-Arm Studies: Statistical Considerations of Study Site Variability from a Regulatory Perspective
Terri Kang Johnson, FDA/CDRH; Yunling Xu, FDA/CDRH
8:55 AM
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Data Augmentation by Updating Long-Term CRM Models with Day-Specific Meteorological Conditions
Philippe Baecke, Ghent University; Dirk Van den Poel, Ghent University
8:55 AM
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Aggregation of Sleeping Predictors to Forecast Electricity Consumption
Yannig Goude, EDF R&D; Stoltz Gilles, CNRS; Marie Devaine, ENS ulm
9:05 AM
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Customer Churn Prediction: Does Technique Matter?
Wouter Verbeke, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven; Karel Dejaeger, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven; David Martens, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven; Bart Baesens, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven
9:15 AM
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Some Sources of Bias and Instability in Binary Imputation by Dichotomization of Model-Based Predicted Probabilities: A Simulation-Based Study
Peter Richardson, Houston VA Medical Center/HSR&D
9:15 AM
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Predicting Neural Spike Train Using Peers' Activities: Likelihood-Based Approach
Ruiwen Zhang, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
9:20 AM
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Distance-Based Probability Distributions on Set Partitions for Bayesian Nonparametric Models
David Dahl, Texas A&M University; Ryan Day, University of the Pacific; Jerry Tsai, University of the Pacific
9:25 AM
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P-Values or Prediction Errors: What Is the Name of the Game in Genomics?
Rafal Kustra, University of Toronto
9:35 AM
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Statistical Considerations in Cost-Effectiveness Assessments of New Medicines in Australia
Ian Marschner, Macquarie University
10:35 AM
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HARK: A New Approach for Regression with Functional Predictors
Dawn B. Woodard, Cornell University
10:35 AM
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Approximating High-Dimensional Simulations in Low-Dimensional Space, with Application to Microarray Prediction Error Estimation
Kevin Dobbin, The University of Georgia
10:50 AM
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Exact Distribution of Prediction Error Rates for Protein and Domain Interactions
Donald E.K. Martin, North Carolina State University; John Aston, University of Warwick
10:50 AM
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The Use of Nomogram Predictions as Comparators for Adjuvant Treatment Studies in Prostate Cancer
Zhenyu Jia, University of California, Irvine; James Koziol, The Scripps Research Institute; Michael Lilly, University of California, Irvine; Dan Mercola, University of California, Irvine
11:05 AM
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Establishing Best Predictors for Completion of the HPV4 Vaccine Sequence by Female Patients at Clinics of Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions
Christopher E. Barat, Stevenson University; Courtney Wright, Stevenson University; Betty Chou, The Johns Hopkins University
11:05 AM
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Tumor Class Prediction Using Gene Expression Microarray Data
Xueli Liu, City of Hope; Mark Yang, University of Florida; Jeffrey Longmate, City of Hope
11:05 AM
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Accuracy, Bias, and Notable Observations for Experimental Actigraphy Data
Juergen Symanzik, Utah State University; Peter M. Sherick, Utah State University; William D. Shannon, Washington University School of Medicine
11:05 AM
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Residential Mobility, Cancer and Local Indicators of Geocoding Accuracy
Geoffrey Mark Jacquez, TerraSeer; Robert Rommel, TerraSeer
11:15 AM
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Comparing Biomarkers as Principal Surrogate Endpoints
Ying Huang, Columbia University
11:15 AM
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A Simulation Study to Evaluate Sample Size and Power for a Trial to Develop a Prediction Rule Using Machine Learning Methods
Radha Railkar, Merck & Co., Inc.; Matthew Wiener, Merck & Co., Inc.; Leonidas Carayannopoulos, Merck & Co., Inc.
11:20 AM
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Parsimonious Models for Classifying Proteomic MS Data
Chris Fraley, Insilicos LLC; Bryan Prazen, Insilicos LLC; Mark Seligman, Insilicos LLC
11:20 AM
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Parametric Additive and Semiparametric Models in the Presence of Heteroscadicity
Ahmet Sezer, Anadolu University
11:20 AM
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A Bayesian Joint Survival Model for Predicting Treatment Efficacy via Quantitative MRI
Jincao Wu, University of Michigan; Timothy D. Johnson, University of Michigan
11:35 AM
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Field-Failure and Warranty Prediction Based on Auxiliary Use-Rate Information
Yili Hong, Virginia Tech; William Q. Meeker, Iowa State University
11:35 AM
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Reliability Analysis Based on Warranty Data with Sale and Report Lag
Shuen-Lin Jeng, National Cheng Kung University
11:50 AM
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Unified Modeling Methods for Curve Predictors and Different Responses
Xiaohui Wang, The University of Texas-Pan American; Veera Baladandayuthapani, MD Anderson Cancer Center; Bani K. Mallick, Texas A&M University; Kim-Ahn Do, MD Anderson Cancer Center; Shubhankar Ray, Merck & Co., Inc.
11:50 AM
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Kernel Estimation of Time Series: An Asymptotic Theory
Weibiao Wu, The University of Chicago; Yinxiao Huang, The University of Chicago; Yibi Huang, The University of Chicago
11:55 AM
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