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Ryan Savitz

Neumann University



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243 – 243 - Statistics in Sports and Beyond

The Implementation and Application of Statistics in Shotokan Karate

Sponsor:
Keywords: logistic regression, sabermetrics, karate

Ryan Savitz

Neumann University

This paper introduces a model that can be used to predict the outcome of Shotokan karate matches.  This model utilizes multiple karate related variables to determine the winner of a competition in Shotokan karate.  The model was constructed using logistic regression analysis and data from previous matches. The original model we constructed was refined into a more parsimonious model due to the existence of multicollinearity issues in the original model. The final model predicts the outcome of matches with 91.7% accuracy. We also utilize a subset of the variables involved in the previous analysis to construct a single statistic that may be used to capture the skill level of Shotokan karate participants.

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