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Kyle Caudle

South Dakota School of Mines and Technology



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Patrick Fleming

South Dakota School of Mines and Technology



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Michael Frey

Bucknell University



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Noah Brubaker

South Dakota School of Mines and Technology



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547 – New Developments in Machine Learning

Next Generation Flow Field Forecasting

Sponsor: Section on Statistical Learning and Data Mining
Keywords: Forecasting, Machine Learning, Gaussian Process Regression

Kyle Caudle

South Dakota School of Mines and Technology

Patrick Fleming

South Dakota School of Mines and Technology

Michael Frey

Bucknell University

Noah Brubaker

South Dakota School of Mines and Technology

Flow field forecasting was first developed in 2011 as a method to forecast a univariate time series. The original version of flow field forecasting which is available on the Comprehensive R Archive Network (CRAN) was shown to be a competitive alternative to Box-Jenkins ARIMA, exponential smoothing and neural networks. Flow field forecasting has several very nice features such as, (1) reduction of historical archived data, (2) autonomous operation, and (3) computational efficiency. This talk will focus on the next version of flow field forecasting which will forecast a bivariate response (e.g. latitude, longitude). Other advancements to be touched on will be the inclusion of external environmental factors such as weather and geography.

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