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284 – International Statistical Consulting: Current Initiatives to Build Statistics Capacity in Developing Countries

Gauss's Mortality Formula: A Demometric Analysis with Application to the Feral Camel Population in Central Australia

Sponsor: Biometrics Section
Keywords: Life table, Stable Model, Life Expectancy, Leslie Matrix, Gompertz Distribution, Population Biology

Peter Pflaumer

Technical University

A life table for the feral camel population in central Australia is constructed, using an extension of the Gompertz distribution, which was first proposed in a note by the famous mathematician Gauss. It is shown that under certain conditions some important life table parameters can be represented by simple formulae. The derived life table is then used to formulate both a continuous and a discrete model of the camel population. The models yield an annual growth rate of about 7%, a net reproduction rate of about 2.3, and a mean age of population of only 7 years.

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