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472 – Statistical Practice: Challenges Encountered in Government and Industrial Applications

An Example Using Excel Stepwise Regression to Forecast High Risk Automobile Loan Losses

Sponsor: Business and Economic Statistics Section
Keywords: multiple regression, stepwise regression, automobile loan losses

Kris Moore

Baylor University

Jonathan Trower

Baylor University

A multiple regression model to predict losses on high risk automobile loans is found using stepwise regression and seven independent variables for 769 loans. The independent variables used were A. P. R. (annual percentage rate), amount financed, automobile mileage, down payment, credit rating (Auto Zoom), pass time device, and whether or not the customer had a previous repossession.

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