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67 – Estimating Unauthorized Migration

Design and Analysis of Foreign Migrations Surveys via Center Sampling

Sponsor: Social Statistics Section
Keywords: Unauthorised migration, Sampling, Correction of bias

Gianluca Baio

University College London

Gian Carlo Blangiardo

University of Milano-Bicocca

Marta Blangiardo

Imperial College London

We address in this paper the problem of performing a statistical survey of a group of individuals present in a certain population, when information about the complete list of the members is missing or partially unknown. This problem is particularly relevant in immigration analysis, where many of the individuals are possibly illegal migrants and therefore not formally registered or accounted for in of�cial statistics. We propose a sample method that integrates information provided by speci�c surveys and subjective knowledge available to the experimenter about the geo-social reality of interest.

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