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Contributed Papers

Predictive modeling and causal inference in sports analytics

Thu, Aug 6, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM Room CC-254A Thomas M. Menino Convention & Exhibition Center

Weining ShenChair

Section on Statistics in Sports

7 Presentations

A Causal Inference Framework to Evaluate Managers' Use of the Intentional Walk in Baseball

10:35 AM - 10:50 AM

Jason Osborne (North Carolina State University)

Co-authors: Hank Brodowski (North Carolina State University)

Sports Analytics Causal Inference Generalized Linear Models Inverse Probability Weighting

Context-Aware Prediction of Upsets in Close Matches Using Logistic Regression

10:50 AM - 11:05 AM

Jerry Cheng (Central Bucks East High School)

Predictive modeling Logistic regression Context-aware prediction Sports analytics

Predicting ELO-type Ratings in Sports

11:05 AM - 11:20 AM

Jose Almer Sanqui (Appalachian State University)

Co-authors: Joshua Sanchez (Appalachian State University)

Athlete Performance Measure Chess Rating Systems Pairwise Comparisons FARGO Rating Two Player Games Bradley-Terry Model

Prediction of performance in the English Football league to optimise for Fantasy Football Leagues

11:20 AM - 11:35 AM

John Wilson (Ivey School of Business)

Estimation Poisson Regression Optimisation Expected Goals English Premier League Bayesian Modelling

Quantitative Analysis of Momentum in Professional Tennis Matches

11:35 AM - 11:50 AM

Andrey Skripnikov (New College of Florida)

Count data models Logistic regression Mixed-effects models Sports analytics Sports psychology

The Causal Effect of the Two-For-One Strategy in the National Basketball Association

11:50 AM - 12:05 PM

Daryl Swartzentruber

causal inference sports analytics propensity scores

Under Pressure: The Impact of Game Score on Performance in Men's Collegiate Tennis

12:05 PM - 12:20 PM

Co-authors: Alison Kleffner (Creighton University)

Tennis Sports Data Collection Survey

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