Invited Paper Session

Advances in Uncertainty Quantification for the Natural Sciences

Thu, Aug 7, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM Room CC-209A Music City Center

Uncertainty Quantification in Complex Systems Interest Group co: Section on Statistics in Defense and National Securityco: Section on Statistics and the Environment Applied

4 Presentations

WITHDRAWN Quantifying Uncertainty in Terrestrial Ecosystem Carbon Cycle: A Particle Filter Approach

8:35 AM - 9:00 AM

Co-authors: John Smith

Particle filter Uncertainty quantification Monte Carlo error

Quantifying Uncertainty for loss of coolant in a nuclear reactor in Local Approximate Gaussian Processes with a Structured Global Mean Function

9:00 AM - 9:25 AM

Derek Bingham (Simon Fraser University)

Local Gaussian process Computer experiments Extrapolation

ESPs: cost-efficient sampling of computationally expensive posterior distributions

9:25 AM - 9:50 AM

Simon Mak

Bayesian methods, scientific computing, uncertainty quantification

Quantifying rare events in wildfires in presence of atmospheric waves

9:50 AM - 10:15 AM

Mohammad Farazmand (North Carolina State University)

Rare events; Wildfires; Uncertainty Quantification; Atmospheric Flow