Economic Forecasting and Seasonality

Wed, Aug 7, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM

Min DengChair

Business and Economic Statistics Section

6 Presentations

Accounting for Sampling Error in the Seasonal Adjustment of National Labor Force Series

8:35 AM - 8:50 AM

Thomas Evans (Bureau of Labor Statistics)

Co-authors: Michael Sverchkov (US Bureau of Labor Statistics), Reid Rottach (Bureau of Labor Statistics), Connor Doherty

Economic Indicators and Forecasting Trend Changes in Cement Demand

8:50 AM - 9:05 AM

Ardavan Yazdanbakhsh (City College of New York)

Forecasting Economic Situation in the Greater China through Chinese Consumer Confidence Index

9:05 AM - 9:20 AM

Haoran Xue (City University of Hong Kong)

Co-authors: Kwok Fai Geoffrey Tso (College of Business, City University of Hong Kong), Tze-Kin Alan WAN (College of Business, City University of Hong Kong)

Identification of Influencing Factors on Self-reported Data with Multiple Potential Inflated Value

9:20 AM - 9:35 AM

Yang Li (Renmin University of China)

Co-authors: Mingcong Wu (Renmin University), Mengyun Wu (Shanghai University of Finance and Economics), Shuangge Ma (Yale University)

Multi-step Ahead Forecasting Using Transformer Based Model

9:35 AM - 9:50 AM

Anindya Roy (University of Maryland-Baltimore County)

Two Topics in Applying Seasonal Adjustment Diagnostics on Large Sets of Series

9:50 AM - 10:05 AM

Brian Monsell