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All Times EDT

Legend:
CC = Walter E. Washington Convention Center   M = Marriott Marquis Washington, DC
* = applied session       ! = JSM meeting theme

Activity Details


19 !
Sun, 8/7/2022, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-144C
2020 Census Post-Enumeration Survey Estimation Methods: Research and Challenges — Topic Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Timothy Kennel, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Timothy Kennel, U.S. Census Bureau
2:05 PM COVID-19 Impacts on the Post-Enumeration Survey
Shadie Khubba, U.S. Census Bureau; Elizabeth Marra, U.S. Census Bureau
2:25 PM Nonresponse in the 2020 Post-Enumeration Survey
Shadie Khubba, U.S. Census Bureau; Mark Jost, US Census Bureau; Courtney Hill, U.S. Census Bureau
2:45 PM Analyzing the Imputations for Nonresponse in the 2020 Census Post-Enumeration Survey
Michael Beaghen, U.S. Census Bureau; Richard Neil Turner, U.S. Census Bureau
3:05 PM Bias in the Post-Enumeration Survey Due to Duplicate Misclassification Presentation
Scott Konicki, U.S. Census Bureau
3:25 PM Research on Reducing Correlation Bias in Dual-System Estimates
Krista Heim, U.S. Census Bureau; Courtney Hill, U.S. Census Bureau
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

20 * !
Sun, 8/7/2022, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-159AB
Applications of Text Analysis — Topic Contributed Papers
Text Analysis Interest Group, Government Statistics Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science
Organizer(s): David Banks, Duke University
Chair(s): Mark Ward, Purdue University
2:05 PM Text Mining and Music Mining
Qiuyi Wu, University of Rochester
2:25 PM Representation Learning: A Causal Perspective
Yixin Wang, University of Michigan; Michael Jordan, UC Berkeley
2:45 PM Coding Interviewer Question-Asking Behaviors in Surveys Using Recurrent Neural Networks: Do Question Characteristics Matter?
Jerry Timbrook, RTI International
3:05 PM Statistical Insights from Consumer Complaints
Ricky Rambharat, Office of the Comptroller of the Currency; Stephen Karolyi, Office of the Comptroller of the Currency
3:25 PM Discussant: David Banks, Duke University
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

25 * !
Sun, 8/7/2022, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-149AB
Cooperation Between National Statistical Offices and Scientific Societies for the Advancement of Data Ecosystems: Forms and Effects — Topic Contributed Panel
International Statistical Institute, SSC (Statistical Society of Canada), Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Dominik Antoni Rozkrut, Statistics Poland
Chair(s): Misha Belkindas, International Association for Official Statistics
2:05 PM Cooperation Between National Statistical Offices and Scientific Societies for the Advancement of Data Ecosystems: Forms and Effects
Panelists: Dominik Antoni Rozkrut, Statistics Poland
Jonathan Auerbach, George Mason University
Waldemar Tarczynski, Polish Statistical Association
Wendy Lou, Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto
3:40 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

44 * !
Sun, 8/7/2022, 4:00 PM - 5:50 PM CC-202A
Tukey (1962) and the Subsequent Sixty Years of Data Analysis: Perspectives from Government and Social Science Applications — Invited Papers
Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section, Section on Statistical Consulting
Organizer(s): John L. Eltinge, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Tommy Wright, U.S. Census Bureau
4:05 PM Statistics Research Driven by Real Problems: The Expanding Legacy of John Tukey's Career in Data Analysis, Robustness, and Service to Science
Karen Kafadar, University of Virginia
4:30 PM Realistic Evaluation and Communication of Indications, Conclusions, and Uncertainty from Analysis of Government Data
John L. Eltinge, U.S. Census Bureau
4:55 PM Risk of Model Misspecification in Survey Estimation
Daniell Toth, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
5:20 PM Discussant: Xiao-Li Meng, Harvard University
5:40 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

60 * !
Sun, 8/7/2022, 4:00 PM - 5:50 PM CC-151A
Census Disclosure Avoidance: Where Are We Now? — Topic Contributed Panel
Social Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Margo Anderson, University of Wisconsin Milwaukee
Chair(s): Constance Citro, National Academy of Sciences
4:05 PM Census Disclosure Avoidance: Where Are We Now?
Panelists: Steven Ruggles, University of Minnesota
Andrew Beveridge, Social Explorer, Inc
David Van Riper, Minnesota Population Center
Margo Anderson, University of Wisconsin Milwaukee
5:40 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

96 * !
Mon, 8/8/2022, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-102A
Advances in the Measurement of Inputs, Output, and Productivity in the US Federal Statistical System — Topic Contributed Papers
Quality and Productivity Section, Government Statistics Section, Committee on Applied Statisticians
Organizer(s): Sun Ling Wang, USDA-Economic Research Service
Chair(s): Spiro Stefanou, USDA-Economic Research Service
8:35 AM Tracking Cultivated Assets in Measures of Capital Presentation
Rachel Harris Soloveichik, Bureau
8:55 AM Why Are Estimates of Hours Worked by the Self-Employed So Volatile?
Sabrina Wulff Pabilonia, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Cindy Cunningham, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
9:15 AM The Effects of Editing and Imputation on Measured Plant-Level and Aggregate Productivity Growth in a Panel of US Manufacturing Plants
Thomas Kirk White, U.S. Census Bureau; Hang Kim, University of Cincinnati; Martin Rotemberg, New York University
9:35 AM TFP Accounting with Secondary Production
Jon Samuels, Bureau of Economic Analysis
9:55 AM Inputs, Outputs, and Total Factor Productivity in the US Farm Sector: A New State-Level Analysis
Sun Ling Wang, USDA-Economic Research Service; Eldon Ball, University of Maryland; Richard Nehring, USDA-Economic Research Service
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

101 * !
Mon, 8/8/2022, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-154B
Time Series Modeling: Mixed Frequency Data, Seasonality, and Model Identification — Topic Contributed Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section, International Statistical Institute
Organizer(s): James Livsey, US Census Bureau
Chair(s): Richard Penny, Statistics New Zealand
8:35 AM A Model Comparison Diagnostic for Differencing Operators Based Upon Multi-Step Ahead Forecast Mean Squared Error Paths
Tucker McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau
8:55 AM Penalized M-Estimation of Autocorrelation for Time Series Goodness of Fit
Colin M Gallagher, Clemson University; Xiyan Tan, Clemson University
9:15 AM Linear Identification of Linear Rational Expectations Models by Exogenous Variables Presentation
Peter Zadrozny, Bureau of Labor Statistics
9:35 AM A Nonstationary Time Series Model for Fractional Seasonal Periodicity
James Livsey, US Census Bureau
9:55 AM A Bayesian Marked Point Process Model for Seasonality in Mixed Frequency Data
Anindya Roy, U.S. Census Bureau; Tucker McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

105 * !
Mon, 8/8/2022, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-203AB
Advances in Statistical Methods and Models for Real-Time Surveys — Topic Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Katherine Irimata, National Center for Health Statistics
Chair(s): Lingxiao Wang, National Cancer Institute, DCEG, Biostatistics Branch
8:35 AM Data Collection and Research Using the National Center for Health Statistics’ Research and Development Survey (RANDS)
Paul Joseph Scanlon, National Center for Health Statistics
8:55 AM New Measures for Assessing Non-Ignorable Selection Bias in Non-Probability Samples and Low Response Rate Probability Samples
Brady Thomas West, Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan-Ann Arbor
9:15 AM Applying Calibration Weighting to Real-Time Surveys: Some Lessons Learned from the Research and Development Survey (RANDS)
Yulei He, National Center for Health Statistics; Katherine Irimata, National Center for Health Statistics; Van Parsons, CDC; Bill Cai, CDC; Rebecca Hu, CDC; Rong Wei, CDC; Guangyu Zhang, CDC; Hee-Choon Shin, CDC
9:35 AM Producing Machine Learning Model-Based Health Estimates Using Web-Based Panel Data
Katherine Irimata, National Center for Health Statistics; Ben Rogers, National Center for Health Statistics; Amy Cha, National Center for Health Statistics
9:55 AM Rapid Surveys at the National Center for Health Statistics
Jennifer Parker, National Center for Health Statistics; Stephen Blumberg, NCHS
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

110
Mon, 8/8/2022, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-204A
Census Data — Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section
Chair(s): Stephen Campbell, National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST)
8:35 AM Profiling 2020 Census Mailings That Were Returned with Undeliverable as Addressed Status
Aliza Kwiat, US Census Bureau; Cliff Loudermilk, US Census Bureau
8:50 AM Compiling, Enumerating, and Estimating: Evaluating the 2020 Administrative Records Repository
Jennifer M. Ortman, US Census Bureau; Kevin M. Shaw, US Census Bureau; Rajini L. Kotha, US Census Bureau; John L. Boies, US Census Bureau
9:05 AM Primary Sampling Unit Stratification for the Current Population Survey
Brian Shaffer, U.S. Census Bureau; Tim Trudell, U.S. Census Bureau; Yarissa Gonzalez, U.S. Census Bureau
9:20 AM Operationalizing Previously Reported Data on the 2022 Census of Agriculture
Gavin Corral, USDA NASS
9:35 AM Sample Design Research in the Annual Survey of Public Employment and Payroll in the Government Surveys of the U.S. Census Bureau
Peter Schilling, US Census Bureau; Bac Tran, US Census Bureau
9:50 AM Retrospective Analysis of Contact-Strategy Assignment Definition in the 2020 Census
Mark Fulginiti, U.S. Census Bureau
10:05 AM Survival Analysis Under Differential Ascertainment of Event Times Using Linked Historic Census Data
Arielle K Marks-Anglin, Mathematica Inc.
 
 

130 * !
Mon, 8/8/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-151A
A Modern Infrastructure for the Future of Official Statistics: What Has Changed, and Where Are We Going? — Invited Panel
Government Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, Business and Economic Statistics Section, Caucus for Women in Statistics
Organizer(s): Arthur B Kennickell, Stone Center, CUNY Graduate Center
Chair(s): Emilda Rivers, National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics
10:35 AM A Modern Infrastructure for the Future of Official Statistics: What Has Changed, and Where Are We Going?
Panelists: Anna Hui, Missouri Department of Labor and Industrial Relations
Julia Lane, New York University
Barry Johnson, Statistics of Income, IRS
Nancy Potok, NAPx Consulting
12:10 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

147
Mon, 8/8/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-153
Health — Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section
Chair(s): Stephen Campbell, National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST)
10:35 AM Rapid Clinical Screening and Staging for COVID-19 Severe Outcome
Chaorui C Huang, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene
10:50 AM Re-Estimating Employer Contributions to Health Insurance in the CPS ASEC
John Creamer, US Census Bureau; Katherine Keisler-Starkey, US Census Bureau
11:05 AM The Presentation Standards for Rates from the National Center for Health Statistics: A Simulation Study
Guangyu Zhang, CDC; Katherine Irimata, National Center for Health Statistics; Makram Talih, National Center for Health Statistics; Alex Strashny, National Center for Health Statistics; Jennifer Parker, National Center for Health Statistics
11:20 AM Modifying State and Area Current Employment Statistics (CES) Birth / Death Methodology During Coronavirus Pandemic
Daniel McGregor , Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC) ; Wendy Zhang , Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ; Michele Eickman Walker , Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)
11:35 AM Improving Efficacy Estimates for New HIV Antivirus Pre-Clinical Studies: A Simulation Study
Yi Pan, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
11:50 AM Using Linked Data to Follow Survey Participants Over Time: A Case Study of the National Health Interview Survey and Linked Medicare Data
Crescent Martin, CDC / National Center for Health Statistics; Lisa B. Mirel, National Center for Health Statistics
12:05 PM Measuring the Robustness of Method Comparison Study Methodology Using Data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey
Jennifer Rammon, NCHS/CDC; Kevin Chuang, NCHS/CDC
 
 

172 !
Mon, 8/8/2022, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-143B
Thinking Outside the Box: Innovative Methods for Estimation and Inference for Surveys — Invited Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Jean Opsomer, Westat
Chair(s): Jean Opsomer, Westat
2:05 PM Statistical Data Integration Using Multilevel Models to Predict Employee Compensation Presentation
Andreea Luisa Erciulescu, Westat; Jean Opsomer, Westat; Benjamin Schneider, Westat
2:30 PM Multiple Bias Calibration: A New Propensity Score Weighting Framework for Handling Selection Bias in Voluntary Samples
Jae-kwang Kim, Iowa State University
2:55 PM Incorporating Order Restrictions in Survey Domain Mean Estimation and Inference
Mary C Meyer, Colorado State University; Xiyue Liao, California State University, Long Beach; Xiaoming Xu, Duke University; Jean Opsomer, Westat
3:20 PM Inference in the Presence of Imputed Databased on Random Forests
David Haziza, University of Ottawa; Mehdi Dagdoug, Université de Franche-Comté; Camelia Goga, Université de Franche Comté
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

192 * !
Mon, 8/8/2022, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-143A
Using Ranking Data for Decision-Making — Topic Contributed Papers
Social Statistics Section, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science, Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Elena Erosheva, University of Washington ; Michael Pearce, University of Washington
Chair(s): Michael Pearce, University of Washington
2:05 PM Mixture-of-Experts Models with Item Covariates for Ranking Data
Thomas Brendan Murphy, University College Dublin; Lucy Small, University College Dublin
2:25 PM Joint Confidence Regions for Communicating Uncertainty in Rankings Presentation
Jerzy Wieczorek, Colby College
2:45 PM The Usefulness of Both Ranking and Scoring in the Grant Review of Research Applications
Stephen Gallo, American Institute of Biological Sciences
3:05 PM Dishonest Behavior in Peer Review
Nihar B Shah, Carnegie Mellon University
3:25 PM Ratings as Comparisons with Mileposts -- a Mallows Model
Annelise Wagner, University of Washington; Marina Meila, University of Washington
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

194 * !
Mon, 8/8/2022, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-144C
Time Series in Federal Statistics — Topic Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section, Business and Economic Statistics Section, Royal Statistical Society
Organizer(s): James Livsey, US Census Bureau
Chair(s): James Livsey, US Census Bureau
2:05 PM Business Cycle Fluctuations in the U.S. Real GDP and NIPA Aggregates Presentation
Baoline Chen, Bureau of Economic Analysis; Kyle Hood, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis; Tucker McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau; Thomas Trimbur, U.S. Census Bureau
2:25 PM The Dark Side of the Moon: Searching for the Other Half of Seasonality
Gary Joseph Cornwall, Bureau of Economic Analysis; Jeffrey Chen, Bennett Institute for Public Policy: University of Cambridge
2:45 PM An Empirical Look at Multivariate Signal Extraction for the U.S. Census Bureau's M3 Survey
Osbert Pang, U.S. Census Bureau
3:05 PM Modeling Weather Effects and Seasonal Heteroskedasticity in U.S. Monthly Regional Housing Starts
William Robert Bell, U.S. Census Bureau
3:25 PM Seasonal Adjustment and Trend Estimates Under COVID – How Will We Identify a “New Normal” When it Occurs
Richard Penny, Statistics New Zealand
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

Register 211
Tue, 8/9/2022, 7:00 AM - 8:15 AM CC-Ballroom Level South Prefunction
Government Statistics Section A.M. Roundtable Discussion (Added Fee) — Roundtables AM Roundtable Discussion
Government Statistics Section
TL02: Combining Visualization Best Practices with Agency Standards for Statistical Graphics in Government Reports
Haley Jeppson, National Institute of Statistical Sciences; Brian Habing, National Institute of Statistical Sciences; Heike Hofmann, Iowa State University
 
 

219 * !
Tue, 8/9/2022, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-201
Expanding Access to Administrative and Survey Data for Public Policy Decision-Making — Invited Papers
Government Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Claire McKay Bowen, Urban Institute
Chair(s): Claire McKay Bowen, Urban Institute
8:35 AM Working with Stakeholders to Protect Data Confidentiality
Aaron R. Williams, Urban Institute
9:00 AM Expanding Data Access While Protecting Confidentiality
Ellen Galantucci, Federal Maritime Commission
9:25 AM Survey of Economists’ Perspectives on Differentially Private Methods
Joshua Snoke, RAND Corporation; Aaron R. Williams, Urban Institute; Claire McKay Bowen, Urban Institute; Andrés Barrientos
9:50 AM An Assessment of Privacy-Preserving Regression Analyses Within the Context of Validation Servers for Administrative Tax Data
Andres F. Barrientos, Florida State University; Aaron R. Williams, Urban Institute; Joshua Snoke, RAND Corporation; Claire McKay Bowen, Urban Institute
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

223 * !
Tue, 8/9/2022, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-159AB
Forecasting for Policy in an Uncertain and Rapidly Changing World — Invited Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science, Caucus for Women in Statistics
Organizer(s): Andrew B Martinez, US Department of the Treasury
Chair(s): Andrew B Martinez, US Department of the Treasury
8:35 AM Augmented Information Rigidity Test
Tucker McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau; Xuguang Simon Sheng, American University
9:00 AM Jointly Modeling Male and Female Labor Participation and Unemployment
David Harry Bernstein, Environmental Protection Agency; Andrew B Martinez, US Department of the Treasury
9:25 AM The Longer-Run Forecasts of the FOMC
Jaime Marquez, Johns Hopkins University
9:50 AM The Wisdom of Diversity in Committees
Neil R Ericsson, Federal Reserve Board; David Hendry, Nuffield College; Yanki Kalfa, Rady School of Management; Jaime Marquez, Johns Hopkins University
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

241
Tue, 8/9/2022, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-140B
SPEED: Statistics in Social Sciences and Survey Research Part 1 — Contributed Speed
Business and Economic Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, Quality and Productivity Section, ENAR, Government Statistics Section, Health Policy Statistics Section, Lifetime Data Science Section
Chair(s): Jiaxin Hu, University of Wisconsin-Madison
8:35 AM Dynamic Models for Corporate Competitiveness of Global Health Care Industry with Mixed Effects
Mingzhao Hu, University of California, Santa Barbara; Lingdi Zhao, Ocean University of China; Danlei Feng, Ocean University of China
8:40 AM A Mixed Model Approach for Dynamic Trade Networks
Burcu Eke Rubini, University of New Hampshire; Loris Rubini, University of New Hampshire
8:45 AM Using R Packages for Weekly Seasonal Adjustment
Brian Carl Monsell, Bureau of Labor Statistics
8:50 AM Privacy Secure Aggregation of the Individual Models into a Federated Model with Bayesian MCMC Bootstrapping
Eugene Yankovsky, EY; Ana Yankovsky, Inuitive Surgical
8:55 AM The Inequality Process (IP) as Statistical Mechanics: How the IP’s Internal Model Enables Symmetries, Frame Independence, and the Search for the IP's Lagrangian Analogue
John Angle, The Inequality Process Institute
9:00 AM Adapting COVID-19 Early Release Data to Determine Impact of Opioid Use in Hospital Emergency Departments
Salah Shaikh, National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) - CDC
9:05 AM Comparing Methods for Weighting to Extend Inferences from a Collection of Trials
Nicole Schnitzler, The Ohio State University; Eloise E Kaizar, The Ohio State University
9:10 AM Examining the Effects of Contamination Due to School Mobility on Efficacy of Stepped Wedge Designs
Meredith McCormack-Mager, The Ohio State University; Abigail Shoben, The Ohio State University
9:15 AM Results of a Push-to-Web Protocol in a Survey of Commercial Buildings
Katie Lewis, Energy Information Administration; Sarah Grady, Energy Information Administration; Lawrence Chrishelle, Energy Information Administration
9:20 AM Using Effect Sizes to Quantify the Difference Between Survival Functions
Huan Wang, Division of Biometrics IX, OB/OTS/CDER, FDA
9:30 AM Model-Robust Experimentation Strategy for Estimation of Expensive Black-Box Functions with Mixed Quantitative and Qualitative Factors
Gautham Sunder, Carlson School of Management; Christopher Nachtsheim, Carlson School of Management
9:35 AM A Statistical Model Predicting Final Yield During Data Collection
Rui Jiao, WESTAT; Daniel Guzman, META; Sabrina Zhang, Westat; Andrea Piesse, WESTAT
9:40 AM WITHDRAWN An Empirical Evaluation of Probabilistic File Linking Techniques
Gauri Kamat, Brown University; Roee Gutman, Brown University
9:45 AM Extending MRP to Incorporate Variables with Unknown Distributions
Brittany Marie Alexander, Ipsos Public Affairs
9:50 AM Predicting Call Sequence Length in the Telephone Mode Using Prediction Algorithms
Xinyu Zhang, University of Michigan; James Wagner, University of Michigan
9:55 AM A Modified Proportional Allocation Sampling Method for the Study of Respirator Use and Practices in U.S. Private Industries
Danny Friel, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Michelle Myers, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Dee Zamora, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Xingyou Zhang, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Katherine N. Yoon, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; Megan Casey, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; Emily J. Haas, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health
10:00 AM Synthetic Data Generation for Complex Surveys
Shirley Mathur, Duke University; Jerome P. Reiter, Duke University
10:05 AM WITHDRAWN Demographic Edit and Imputation for Multilevel Data from the FBI’s National Incident Based Reporting System
Philip Lee, RTI; Amang Sukasih, RTI; Dan Liao, RTI; Marcus Berzofsky, RTI International; Alexia Cooper, RTI
10:10 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

263 * !
Tue, 8/9/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-152A
The Role of Statistics in Science and Policy-Making for the Environmental Protection Agency — Invited Panel
Section on Statistics and the Environment, Government Statistics Section, Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee
Organizer(s): Richard Smith, University of North Carolina Chapel Hill
Chair(s): Richard Smith, University of North Carolina Chapel Hill
10:35 AM The Role of Statistics in Science and Policy-Making for the Environmental Protection Agency
Panelists: Lianne Sheppard, University of Washington
Francesca Dominici, Harvard
Corwin Zigler, University of Texas at Austin
Daniel O. Stram, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California
12:10 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

273 * !
Tue, 8/9/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-150A
Alignment, Accuracy, Precision: Comparing and Combining Data from Multiple Sources — Topic Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Stephanie Coffey, US Census Bureau
Chair(s): Stephanie Coffey, US Census Bureau
10:35 AM Comparing the 2019 American Housing Survey to Contemporary Property Tax Records: Implications for Survey Efficiency and Quality
Ariel J Binder, U.S. Census Bureau; Emily Molfino, HUD; John Voorheis, US Census Bureau
10:55 AM Understanding Self-Employment Income Data Quality in the American Community Survey
John Voorheis, US Census Bureau
11:15 AM Hierarchical Bayesian Model for County-Level Cash Rental Rates
Lu Chen, NISS/NASS, USDA; Balgobin Nandram, Worcester Polytechnic Institute
11:35 AM Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Combining Probability and Nonprobability Samples Under Unknown Overlaps
Terrance D Savitsky, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Matthew R Williams, RTI International; Julie Gershunskaya, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Beresovsky Vladislav, NCHS
11:55 AM Incorporating Administrative Data in Survey Weights for Federal Household Surveys
Jonathan Eggleston, U.S. Census Bureau
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

275 *
Tue, 8/9/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-154A
Communicating Statistical Disclosure Avoidance Measures to Data Users — Topic Contributed Panel
Government Statistics Section, Committee on Privacy and Confidentiality, Quantitative Communication Interest Group
Organizer(s): Saki Kinney, RTI International
Chair(s): Saki Kinney, RTI International
10:35 AM Communicating Statistical Disclosure Avoidance Measures to Data Users
Panelists: Amy O'Hara, Georgetown University
Danah Boyd, Microsoft Research
Michael B Hawes, US Census Bureau
Erica Groshen, Cornell University--ILR School
12:10 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

287
Tue, 8/9/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-Hall D
Contributed Poster Presentations: Government Statistics Section — Contributed Poster Presentations
Government Statistics Section
Chair(s): Gyuhyeong Goh, Kansas State University
01: Post-Processing Large-Scale Differentially Private Data with Known Constraints
Paul Bartholomew, The MITRE Corporation; Adam Michael Edwards, The MITRE Corporation; Jordan Alexander Awan, Purdue University; Philip Leclerc, U.S. Census Bureau; Rohan Rele, The MITRE Corporation; Andrew Sillers, The MITRE Corporation; David Zhou, The MITRE Corporation
02: Linking Records and Imputing Missing Values for Multi-Source Data
Mary Munro, The MITRE Corporation; Hongxun Qin, The MITRE Corporation; Dr. Timothy Champney, The MITRE Corporation; Angus Chen, The MITRE Corporation; Sam Cohen, The MITRE Corporation; Yueh Quach, The MITRE Corporation; Dr. Yolande Tra, The MITRE Corporation
03: Using Binary Logistic Regression for Categorical Predictors to Assess the Likelihood of Counterfeit Medicine in Nigeria
Oluwole Adegoke Nuga, Bells University of Technology; Akintunde Azeez, NAFDAC
04: The Impact of CARI Consent on Interviewer Behavior and Data Quality
Ariana Welsh, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Brett McBride, Bureau of Labor Statistics
05: On the Inclusion of Natural Resources in the Input-Output Model
Luis Frank, DNMyP. Secretaría de Política Económica. Ministerio de Economía
06: Adaptive Sampling for Social Surveys at Statistics Flanders
Luca Carlini, IRCCS Istituto Giannina Gaslini; Marc Callens, Statistics Flanders; Elisabetta Carfagna, University of Bologna
07: Student Insights into Graphical Innovation for Educational and Government Reports
Brian Habing, National Institute of Statistical Sciences; Haley Jeppson, National Institute of Statistical Sciences
08: Mode Effects in the Research and Development Survey
Bill Cai, CDC; Katherine Irimata, National Center for Health Statistics; Yulei He, National Center for Health Statistics; Paul Joseph Scanlon, National Center for Health Statistics; Hee-Choon Shin, CDC
 
 

294
Tue, 8/9/2022, 10:30 AM - 11:15 AM CC-Hall D
SPEED: Statistics in Social Sciences and Survey Research Part 2 — Contributed Poster Presentations
Business and Economic Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, Quality and Productivity Section, ENAR, Government Statistics Section, Health Policy Statistics Section, Lifetime Data Science Section
Chair(s): Jiaxin Hu, University of Wisconsin-Madison
01: Dynamic Models for Corporate Competitiveness of Global Health Care Industry with Mixed Effects
Mingzhao Hu, University of California, Santa Barbara; Lingdi Zhao, Ocean University of China; Danlei Feng, Ocean University of China
02: A Mixed Model Approach for Dynamic Trade Networks
Burcu Eke Rubini, University of New Hampshire; Loris Rubini, University of New Hampshire
03: Using R Packages for Weekly Seasonal Adjustment
Brian Carl Monsell, Bureau of Labor Statistics
04: Privacy Secure Aggregation of the Individual Models into a Federated Model with Bayesian MCMC Bootstrapping
Eugene Yankovsky, EY; Ana Yankovsky, Inuitive Surgical
05: The Inequality Process (IP) as Statistical Mechanics: How the IP’s Internal Model Enables Symmetries, Frame Independence, and the Search for the IP's Lagrangian Analogue
John Angle, The Inequality Process Institute
06: Adapting COVID-19 Early Release Data to Determine Impact of Opioid Use in Hospital Emergency Departments
Salah Shaikh, National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) - CDC
07: Comparing Methods for Weighting to Extend Inferences from a Collection of Trials
Nicole Schnitzler, The Ohio State University; Eloise E Kaizar, The Ohio State University
08: Examining the Effects of Contamination Due to School Mobility on Efficacy of Stepped Wedge Designs
Meredith McCormack-Mager, The Ohio State University; Abigail Shoben, The Ohio State University
09: Results of a Push-to-Web Protocol in a Survey of Commercial Buildings
Katie Lewis, Energy Information Administration; Sarah Grady, Energy Information Administration; Lawrence Chrishelle, Energy Information Administration
10: Using Effect Sizes to Quantify the Difference Between Survival Functions
Huan Wang, Division of Biometrics IX, OB/OTS/CDER, FDA
11: Model-Robust Experimentation Strategy for Estimation of Expensive Black-Box Functions with Mixed Quantitative and Qualitative Factors
Gautham Sunder, Carlson School of Management; Christopher Nachtsheim, Carlson School of Management
12: Specifying Prior Distributions in Reliability Applications
Colin Lewis-Beck, Eli Lilly; William Meeker, Iowa State; Qinglong Tian, University of Wisconsin ; Jarad Niemi, Iowa State
13: A Statistical Model Predicting Final Yield During Data Collection
Rui Jiao, WESTAT; Daniel Guzman, META; Sabrina Zhang, Westat; Andrea Piesse, WESTAT
14: WITHDRAWN An Empirical Evaluation of Probabilistic File Linking Techniques
Gauri Kamat, Brown University; Roee Gutman, Brown University
15: Extending MRP to Incorporate Variables with Unknown Distributions
Brittany Marie Alexander, Ipsos Public Affairs
16: Predicting Call Sequence Length in the Telephone Mode Using Prediction Algorithms
Xinyu Zhang, University of Michigan; James Wagner, University of Michigan
17: A Modified Proportional Allocation Sampling Method for the Study of Respirator Use and Practices in U.S. Private Industries
Danny Friel, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Michelle Myers, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Dee Zamora, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Xingyou Zhang, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Katherine N. Yoon, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; Megan Casey, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; Emily J. Haas, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health
18: Synthetic Data Generation for Complex Surveys
Shirley Mathur, Duke University; Jerome P. Reiter, Duke University
19: WITHDRAWN Demographic Edit and Imputation for Multilevel Data from the FBI’s National Incident Based Reporting System
Philip Lee, RTI; Amang Sukasih, RTI; Dan Liao, RTI; Marcus Berzofsky, RTI International; Alexia Cooper, RTI
 
 

325 * !
Tue, 8/9/2022, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-144B
Investigating COVID-19 and the Criminal Legal System, Policing, and Crime — Topic Contributed Papers
Social Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section, Caucus for Women in Statistics
Organizer(s): Amelia M. Haviland, Carnegie Mellon University
Chair(s): Max Rubinstein, Carnegie Mellon University
2:05 PM The Impact of COVID-19 Lockdowns on Crime: Causal Evidence from Bogota, Colombia
Maria Cuellar, University of Pennsylvania; Javier Rojas, University of Chicago; Angela Zorro Medina, The University of Chicago
2:25 PM The Impact of COVID-19 on Law Enforcement Agencies: A Multi-Wave National Survey
Cynthia Lum, George Mason University; Carl Maupin, International Association of Chiefs of Police
2:45 PM COVID Risk and Racial Disparities in Policing, Jail, and Low Wage, Essential Work: An SIR Simulation Study
Amelia M. Haviland, Carnegie Mellon University; Phillip Atiba Goff, Yale University; Tracey Lloyd, CENTER FOR POLICING EQUITY; Mikaela M Meyer, Carnegie Mellon University
3:05 PM Changes in Crime Rates During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Mikaela M Meyer, Carnegie Mellon University; Ahmed Hassafy, Carnegie Mellon University; Gina Lewis, Carnegie Mellon University; Prasun Shrestha, Carnegie Mellon University; Amelia M. Haviland, Carnegie Mellon University; Daniel Nagin, Carnegie Mellon University
3:25 PM Discussant: Daniel Nagin, Carnegie Mellon University
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

329 * !
Tue, 8/9/2022, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-154A
Alternative Labor Market Surveys — Topic Contributed Panel
Business and Economic Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section
Organizer(s): Bart Hobijn, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Chair(s): Charles Fleischman, Federal Reserve Board of Governors
2:05 PM Alternative Labor Market Surveys
Panelists: Bart Hobijn, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Chris Foote, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
Gizem Kosar, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
3:40 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

332
Tue, 8/9/2022, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-156
Estimation and Survey — Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section
Chair(s): Stephen Campbell, National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST)
2:05 PM There’s No Place Like Home: Matching People to Places Using Survey and Administrative Records
Danielle H Sandler, U.S. Census Bureau; Linden McBride, U.S. Census Bureau; Allen Ross, MITRE
2:20 PM Pseudo-Bayesian Small Area Estimation
Gauri Sankar Datta, US Census Bureau/University of Georgia; Juhyung Lee, University of Florida; Jiacheng Li, University of Georgia
2:35 PM What Is the Goal of the Calibration Weighting Procedure in Statistical Surveys?
Brian T Nix, Bureau of Labor Statistics
2:50 PM Pattern Mixture Weighted GEE Models for Survey Nonresponses
Ming Ji, University of South Florida; Yang Cheng, National Agricultural Statistics Service
3:05 PM High-Dimensional Temporal Disaggregation and Nowcasting: Examination of Trade-In-Services Throughout the Brexit Transition Period
Luke Mosley, Lancaster University ; Alex Gibberd, Lancaster University; Kaveh Salehzadeh Nobari, Imperial College London
3:20 PM Agnostic Fay-Herriot Likelihood Model Presentation
Marten Thompson, University of Minnesota - Twin Cities; Ansu Chatterjee, University of Minnesota
3:35 PM Evaluation of Estimation Methods for an Area Survey
Denise A. Abreu, USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service; Tara Murphy, USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service; Arthur Rosales, USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service; Linda J Young, USDA National Agricultural Statistics Agency
 
 

371 !
Wed, 8/10/2022, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-152B
Record Linkage: Statistical Innovations to Advance Official Statistics — Invited Panel
Survey Research Methods Section, Record Linkage Interest Group, Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Jeri Metzger Mulrow, Westat
Chair(s): Julia Lane, New York University
8:35 AM Record Linkage: Statistical Innovations to Advance Official Statistics
Panelists: Lisa B. Mirel, National Center for Health Statistics
Jerome P. Reiter, Duke University
Daniel Goroff, Alfred P. Sloan Foundation
Aleksandra B. Slavkovic, Penn State University
10:10 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

376 * !
Wed, 8/10/2022, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-143A
Challenges in Measuring Consumption — Topic Contributed Papers
Committee on Energy Statistics, Government Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section
Organizer(s): Pushpal Mukhopadhyay, US Energy Information Administration
Chair(s): Miriam Goldberg, DNV GL
8:35 AM A Consumption Measure for the U.S. Using Consumer Expenditure Data: Research and Development Presentation
Thesia I. Garner, Bureau of Labor Statistics
8:55 AM Measuring Energy Consumption in Commercial Buildings
Tuncay Alparslan, U.S. Energy Information Administration
9:15 AM Rotating Panels for the Commercial Buildings Energy Consumption Survey: A Simulation Study
Michael Joshua Winkler, U.S. Energy Information Administration; Janice Lent, U.S. Energy Information Administration; Caitlin Steiner, U.S. Energy Information Administration
9:35 AM Getting Time and Expenditure Together: Evaluating Imputation Methods for the Creation of Synthetic Data
Fernando Rios-Avila, Levy Economics Institute; Thomas Masterson, Levy Economics Institute
9:55 AM Discussant: Jean Opsomer, Westat
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

377 *
Wed, 8/10/2022, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-151B
Measuring Sex, Gender Identity, and Sexual Orientation: Findings of the National Academies — Topic Contributed Papers
Social Statistics Section, ASA LGBTQ+ Advocacy Committee, Government Statistics Section, Caucus for Women in Statistics
Organizer(s): Nancy Bates, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Tara Becker, National Academies
8:35 AM Measuring Sex, Gender Identity, and Sexual Orientation: Definitions, Principles, and Conclusions
Kellan Baker, Whitman-Walker Institute
8:55 AM Measuring Sexual Orientation: Recommendations from the National Academy of Sciences Consensus Panel Report
Nancy Bates, U.S. Census Bureau
9:15 AM Measuring Gender Identity for National Population Surveys: Results from the NASEM Committee Report
D'Lane Compton, University of New Orleans
9:35 AM Measuring Intersex: Findings of the National Academies
KATHARINE DALKE, Penn State Health
9:55 AM Implementing Affirming Sexual and Gender Minority Measures: Making the NASEM Report, 'Measuring Sex, Gender Identity, and Sexual Orientation,' Actionable
Christina N Dragon, Sexual and Gender Minority Research Office, NIH; Karen L Parker, Sexual and Gender Minority Research Office, NIH
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

383
Wed, 8/10/2022, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-154B
2021 Business Response to the Coronavirus Pandemic — Topic Contributed Panel
Government Statistics Section, Health Policy Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Emily Thomas, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Chair(s): Emily Thomas, Bureau of Labor Statistics
8:35 AM 2021 Business Response to the Coronavirus Pandemic
Panelists: Jeffrey Groen, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Kevin Cooksey, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Michael Dalton, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Sharon Stang, Bureau of Labor Statistics
10:10 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

407 * !
Wed, 8/10/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-152A
50 Years of the Committee on National Statistics: Impacts and Vision for the Future — Invited Panel
Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section, Committee on National Statistics; NAS
Organizer(s): Brian Harris-Kojetin, National Academies of Science
Chair(s): Melissa Chiu, National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
10:35 AM 50 Years of the Committee on National Statistics: Impacts and Vision for the Future
Panelists: Brian Harris-Kojetin, National Academies of Science
Constance Citro, National Academy of Sciences
Robert Groves, Georgetown University
Emilda Rivers, National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics
Cynthia Clark, National Agricultural Statistics Service (retired)
12:10 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

413 * !
Wed, 8/10/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-143B
Recent Advances in Statistical Modeling and Machine Learning for Official Statistics and Survey Methodology — Topic Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Business and Economic Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Scott H. Holan, University of Missouri/U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Scott H. Holan, University of Missouri/U.S. Census Bureau
10:35 AM Comparison of Poisson-Gamma and Laplace Mechanisms for Differential Privacy
Harrison Quick, Drexel University
10:55 AM Computationally Efficient Bayesian Heteroskedastic Modeling for Small Area Estimation
Paul A. Parker, University of California Santa Cruz; Scott H. Holan, University of Missouri/U.S. Census Bureau
11:15 AM Design Consistent Bayesian Tree Models
Scott H. Holan, University of Missouri/U.S. Census Bureau; Diya Bhaduri, University of Missouri; Daniell Toth, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
11:35 AM Hierarchical Bayesian Mixed Effect Models for Spatially Correlated Areal Multi-Distributional Survey Data When Covariates Are Measured with Error and Are Spatially Correlated
Saikat Nandy, University of Missouri; Scott H. Holan, University of Missouri/U.S. Census Bureau; Jonathan R Bradley, Florida State University; Christopher K. Wikle, University of Missouri
11:55 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

422
Wed, 8/10/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-141
Crime — Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section
Chair(s): Stephen Campbell, National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST)
10:35 AM The National NIBRS Estimation Project and Innovative Methods for Estimating Reported Crime
Cynthia Barnett-Ryan, Federal Bureau of Investigation
10:50 AM Estimating Key Indicators of Crime and Public Safety Based on Administrative Data from Police Agencies
Erica L Smith, Bureau of Justice Statistics
11:05 AM Modern Statistical Estimation Processes to Produce Crime Statistics from Police Administrative Data
Marcus Berzofsky, RTI International
11:20 AM Technical Innovations and Solutions to Estimating Reported Crime in the U.S. Through the National NIBRS Estimation System
Ian Thomas, RTI International
11:35 AM WITHDRAWN Innovating and Modernizing Public Access to Crime Data
Kimberly Martin, Bureau of Justice Statistics
11:50 AM WITHDRAWN Improving Statistics on Reported Crime Data, Now and into the Future
Andrea Gardner, Bureau of Justice Statistics
12:05 PM Examining Recidivism Rates and Varying Research Strategies Used by the Bureau of Justice Statistics
Leonardo Antenangeli, Bureau of Justice Statistics
 
 

469 * !
Wed, 8/10/2022, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-143A
2022 GSS/SRMS/SSS Student Paper Competition Award Winners — Topic Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Andreea Luisa Erciulescu, Westat
Chair(s): Megan Price, HRDAG
2:05 PM A-Optimal Split Questionnaire Designs for Multivariate Continuous Variables
Dae-Gyu Jang, Iowa State University; Zhengyuan Zhu, Iowa State University; Cindy Yu, Iowa State University
2:25 PM Sample Size Estimation in Respondent-Driven Sampling
Yibo Wang, University of Michigan; Michael Elliott, University of Michigan; Sunghee Lee, University of Michigan, Institute for Social Research
2:45 PM Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve for Complex Survey Data
Tamy Harumy Moraes Tsujimoto, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Jianwen Cai, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
3:05 PM On the Reliability of Multiple Systems Estimation for the Quantification of Modern Slavery Presentation
Olivier Binette, Duke University; Rebecca Steorts, Duke University
3:25 PM Smoothed Model-Assisted Small Area Estimation
Peter A. Gao, University of Washington; Jon Wakefield, University of Washington
3:45 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

483
Wed, 8/10/2022, 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM CC-141
Privacy and Work Force — Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section
Chair(s): Stephen Campbell, National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST)
2:05 PM A New Bound for Privacy Loss of Bayesian Posterior Sampling Presentation
Xingyuan Zhao, University of Notre Dame; Fang Liu, Univerisity of Notre Dame
2:20 PM Skilled Technical Workforce Classification
Leonel Siwe, University of Virginia; Vicki Lancaster, University of Virginia; Cesar Montalvo, University of Virginia; Haleigh Tomlin, Washington and Lee University
2:35 PM Some Challenges Regarding Differential Privacy for Government Agencies
Joerg Drechsler, Institute for Employment Research and University of Maryland
2:50 PM Missing Data Imputation Under Differential Privacy
Soumojit Das, University of Maryland, College Park; Shawn Merrill , University of Maryland, College Park
3:05 PM Shape and Structure Preserving Differential Privacy on Manifolds
Carlos J Soto, The Pennsylvania State University
3:20 PM Real-Time Analytics for Human Performance Within Special Operations
Catherine Starnes, SOCOM-MARSOC and Knowesis, Inc.; Joseph V Lipoff, SOCOM-MARSOC and Knowesis, Inc.; Sarah Glover, SOCOM-MARSOC; Ryan Sheppard, SOCOM-MARSOC
3:35 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

223617
Thu, 8/11/2022, 7:00 AM - 8:30 AM CC-102B
Government Statistics Section Business Meeting — Other Cmte/Business
Government Statistics Section
Chair(s): Simone Gray, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
 
 

507 * !
Thu, 8/11/2022, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-151B
How Can Data Science Improve Surveys? — Topic Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Tom Krenzke, Westat
Chair(s): Tom Krenzke, Westat
8:35 AM Use Machine Learning Approach to Assess Interviewer Performance
Hanyu Sun, Westat; Ting Yan, Westat
8:55 AM Evolving Official Estimates Using Data Science and Diverse Survey and Nonsurvey Data Sources
Linda J Young, USDA National Agricultural Statistics Agency
9:15 AM Faster, Cheaper, Better: How the UK’s Office for National Statistics Is Using Data Science and Machine Learning to Strengthen Our Surveys
Tom Smith, Office for National Statistics, UK; Arthur Turrell, Office for National Statistics, UK
9:35 AM Surveys and Data Science at Statistics Canada
Eric Rancourt, Statistics Canada
9:55 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

510 * !
Thu, 8/11/2022, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM CC-154A
Innovative Approaches in Sample Survey Designs — Topic Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Katherine J. Thompson, US Census Bureau
Chair(s): Hang Kim, University of Cincinnati
8:35 AM Oversampling of Minority Populations Through Dual-Frame Surveys
Alexander Stubblefield, Michigan State University; Julie Stoner, University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center; Sixia Chen, University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center
8:55 AM Creating Multiple Synthetic Frames for Sample Design Research on the Business Enterprise Research and Development Survey
Matthew R Williams, RTI International; Hang Kim, University of Cincinnati; Katherine J. Thompson, US Census Bureau; Stephen Kaputa, U.S. Census Bureau
9:15 AM Using Differentially Private Synthetic Data to Inform the Design Stage of a Sample Survey
Marcel Neunhoeffer, Boston University; Katherine J. Thompson, US Census Bureau; Donald Mark Bauder, U.S. Census Bureau
9:35 AM Developing a Unified Sample Design for the Annual Integrated Economic Survey
Katherine J. Thompson, US Census Bureau
9:55 AM Discussant: Jill Dever, RTI International
10:15 AM Floor Discussion
 
 

535 !
Thu, 8/11/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-144B
Learning Individualized Treatment Rules in Complex Settings — Invited Papers
Health Policy Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section, Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Eli Ben-Michael, Harvard University
Chair(s): Kosuke Imai, Harvard University
10:35 AM Safe Policy Learning Through Extrapolation: Application to Pre-Trial Risk Assessment
Eli Ben-Michael, Harvard University; Jim Greiner, Harvard University; Kosuke Imai, Harvard University; Zhichao Jiang, University of Massachusetts Amherst
10:55 AM On Identification of Optimal Dynamic Treatment Regimes: A Proximal Causal Inference Approach
Eric J Tchetgen Tchetgen, University of Pennsylvania
11:15 AM Confounding-Robust Policy Evaluation in Infinite-Horizon Reinforcement Learning
Angela Zhou, UC Berkeley; Nathan Kallus, Cornell University
11:35 AM Off-Policy Evaluation in Partially Observed Markov Decision Processes
Stefan Wager, Stanford University; Yuchen Hu, Stanford
11:55 AM Discussant: Qingyuan Zhao, University of Cambridge
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

538 *
Thu, 8/11/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-151A
Transitions from Telephone Surveys to Self-Administered and Mixed-Mode Surveys — Invited Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Stas Kolenikov, NORC
Chair(s): James Wagner, University of Michigan
10:35 AM Transitions from Telephone to Mixed Mode Surveys
Kristen Olson, University of Nebraska At Lincoln
10:55 AM Early Experiences When Transitioning from RDD to a Postal Mail Survey Using a Paper Questionnaire
David Cantor, Westat
11:15 AM The Impact of an RDD to ABS/Mail Sample Design and Mode Change in the 2021 New York City Community Health Survey (CHS) Presentation
Michael Witt, Abt Associates; Steven Fernandez, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene; Stephen Immerwahr , New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene; Stas Kolenikov, NORC; Amber Levanon Seligson, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene; Martha McRoy, Abt Associates; John Sokolowski, Abt Associates; Nicholas Ruther, Abt Associates; Stephanie Zimmer, Abt Associates
11:35 AM Transitions from Single to Multi-Mode Surveys: The NORC Experience
Ned English, NORC at the University of Chicago; Anna Wiencrot, NORC at the University of Chicago; Colm O'Muircheartaigh, NORC at the University of Chicago
11:55 AM Discussant: Stas Kolenikov, NORC
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

544 !
Thu, 8/11/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-149AB
Assessing Different Approaches to Combining Probability and Nonprobability Samples via Simulations — Topic Contributed Papers
Social Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Michael Yang, NORC at the University of Chicago
Chair(s): Katherine J. Thompson, US Census Bureau
10:35 AM Combining Data from Probability and Nonprobability Samples Using Doubly Robust Methods
Michael Elliott, University of Michigan; Ali Rafei, Meta; Carol Flannagan, University of Michigan
10:55 AM Assessing the Accuracy of Estimates from a Blended Sample Where the Nonprobability Subsample Has Been Calibrated to the Probability Subsample
Jamie Ridenhour, RTI International; Phillip S. Kott, RTI International
11:15 AM Hybrid Methods for Combining Probability and Nonprobability Samples for Estimation
Michael Yang, NORC at the University of Chicago; Nada M Ganesh, NORC at the University of Chicago; Edward Mulrow, NORC at the University of Chicago; Evan Herring-Nathan, NORC at the University of Chicago; Vicki Pineau, NORC at the University of Chicago
11:35 AM A Dual-Frame Estimation Approach for Combining Probability and Nonprobability Samples
Chien-Min Huang, Colorado State University; Jay Breidt, NORC at the University of Chicago
11:55 AM Discussant: Andrew Mercer, Pew Research Center
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

547 * !
Thu, 8/11/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-144C
Statistics About Crime and Justice for Tribal Areas and for American Indian and Alaska Natives: Current State and the Need for Innovation — Topic Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Amy Lauger, Bureau of Justice Statistics
Chair(s): Matthew Durose, Bureau of Justice Statistics
10:35 AM Crime and Victimization on Tribal Lands and Involving American Indians and Alaska Natives–Opportunities and Challenges
Amy Lauger, Bureau of Justice Statistics
10:55 AM Tribal Law Enforcement and Court Systems in the U.S
Steven W. Perry, Bureau of Justice Statistics, U.S. Department of Justice
11:15 AM Results of the Survey of Jails in Indian Country
Michael B Field, Bureau of Justice Statistics; Todd D. Minton, Bureau of Justice Statistics
11:35 AM Discussant: Christine Crossland, National Institute of Justice
11:55 AM Discussant: Emily Wright, University of Nebraska, Omaha
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

549 * !
Thu, 8/11/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-150B
Integration of Design and Estimation Approaches in the Use of Auxiliary Data with Sample Surveys — Topic Contributed Papers
Survey Research Methods Section, Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): John L. Eltinge, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair(s): Daniell Toth, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
10:35 AM Predictive Modeling Using an Enhanced Address-Based Sampling Frame
Rachel Harter, RTI International; Joseph McMichael, RTI International
10:55 AM On the Use of Auxiliary Data in Multiple-Source Extensions of Adaptive Survey Design Concepts and Methods Presentation
Kayla Varela, US Census Bureau; Stephanie Coffey, US Census Bureau; John L. Eltinge, U.S. Census Bureau; Jaya Damineni, US Census Bureau; Anup Mathur, US Census Bureau
11:15 AM Tackling the Overabundance of Options in Survey Estimation
Kelly McConville, Harvard University; Grayson White, RedCastle Resources, Inc.; Olek Wojcik, Reed College; Samuel Olson, Reed College; Paul Nguyen, Reed College; Gretchen Moisen, USDA Forest Service; Tracey Frescino, USDA Forest Service
11:35 AM An Approximate Bayesian Approach to Improving Probability Sample Estimators Using a Supplementary Nonprobability Sample
Yong You, Statistics Canada; Abel DaSylva, Statistics Canada; Jean-Francois Beaumont, Statistics Canada
11:55 AM Nonresponse Weight Adjustment in the Census Bureau's Probability and Nonprobability Tracking Surveys
Eric Slud, US Census Bureau
12:15 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

550 *
Thu, 8/11/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-150A
Federal Statistical Agency Initiatives to Broaden Data Access — Topic Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section, Survey Research Methods Section
Organizer(s): John Finamore, National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics
Chair(s): John Finamore, National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics
10:35 AM Results from a Stakeholder Feedback Survey for the NCSES Secure Data Access Facility
Darius Singpurwalla, National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics
10:55 AM The National Center for Health Statistics Virtual Data Enclave (VDE)
J. Neil Russell, National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS)
11:15 AM Federal Statistical Research Data Centers Virtual Access
Barbara Downs, US Census Bureau
11:35 AM Implementing the Evidence Act’s Standard Application Process
Spiro Stefanou, USDA-Economic Research Service
11:55 AM Discussant: Leonard Burman, Urban Institute
12:10 PM Floor Discussion
 
 

556
Thu, 8/11/2022, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-153
Revisions — Contributed Papers
Government Statistics Section
Chair(s): Stephen Campbell, National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST)
10:35 AM The Impact of Alternative Inflation Adjustments on CPS ASEC Income Statistics
Matthew Unrath, Census Bureau; Jessica Semega, Census Bureau; Melissa Kollar, Census Bureau
10:50 AM Analysis of Quarterly Revisions of Fixed Quantity Consumer Price Index Products
Joshua Klick, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Jessie Park, Bureau of Labor Statistics
11:05 AM Searching for More Effective Variables to Use in a Household Survey’s Nonresponse Adjustment Process
Lauren Vermeer, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Sharon Krieger, Bureau of Labor Statistics ; David Swanson, Bureau of Labor Statistics
11:20 AM Random Forest Prediction of Subjective Burden of Respondents in a Household Survey Presentation
Danny Yang, US Bureau of Labor Statistics
11:35 AM A Comparison of Outlier Editing Methods for Establishment Measures of Size
Jacob Sandruck, U.S. Census Bureau; Katrina Washington, U.S. Census Bureau; Kenishea Donaldson, U.S. Census Bureau; Erica Wong, U.S. Census Bureau; Olivia Brozek, U.S. Census Bureau; Micah Tyler, U.S. Census Bureau
11:50 AM Inference Using Non-Probability Samples from a Demographic Survey
Giang Trinh, U.S. Census; Thomas Chesnut, U.S. Census
12:05 PM Floor Discussion