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Activity Number: 486 - Advances in Spatial and Spatio-Temporal Statistics
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 10, 2022 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics and the Environment
Abstract #323358
Title: A Spectral Adjustment for Spatial Confounding
Author(s): Yawen Guan* and Garritt Page and Brian James Reich and MASSIMO VENTRUCCI and Shu Yang
Companies: University of Nebraska - Lincoln and Brigham Young University and North Carolina State University and University of Bologna and North Carolina State University
Keywords: Spatial causal inference; Matern covariance; Conditionally autoregressive prior; Coherence
Abstract:

Adjusting for an unmeasured confounder is generally an intractable problem, but in the spatial setting it may be possible under certain conditions. In this paper, we derive necessary conditions on the coherence between the treatment variable of interest and the unmeasured confounder that ensure the causal effect of the treatment is estimable. We specify our model and assumptions in the spectral domain to allow for different degrees of confounding at different spatial resolutions. The key assumption that ensures identifiability is that confounding present at global scales dissipates at local scales. We show that this assumption in the spectral domain is equivalent to adjusting for global-scale confounding in the spatial domain by adding a spatially smoothed version of the treatment variable to the mean of the response variable. Within this general framework, we propose a sequence of confounder adjustment methods that range from parametric adjustments based on the Matern coherence function to more robust semi-parametric methods that use smoothing splines. These ideas are applied to areal and geostatistical data for both simulated and real datasets


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