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Activity Number: 1 - Invited E-Poster Session
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Sunday, August 2, 2020 : 12:30 PM to 3:30 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science
Abstract #313137
Title: Latent Space Hawkes Processes
Author(s): Owen Ward* and Jing Wu and Tian Zheng
Companies: Columbia University and Columbia University and Columbia University
Keywords: Event Dynamics; Latent Ranking ; Network Models; Point Process
Abstract:

Group-based social dominance hierarchies are of essential interest in animal behavior research. Experimental studies often collect aggressive interactions data observed over time and researchers are interested in understanding how the underlying social hierarchy is established and dynamically evolves. Traditional ranking methods summarize interactions across the observation period and rely on aggregate counts. Instead, we take advantage of the timestamps of the interactions and propose a network point process model with latent ranks. We carefully motivate the form of this model so that it can incorporate important characteristics of animal interaction data, such as the winner effect, bursting and pair-flip phenomena. We apply the model to simulation and real data. With a suite of statistically developed diagnostic perspectives, we demonstrate that this model outperforms comparison models, in terms of recovering the underlying rankings, capturing relevant network structure and providing meaningful predictions.


Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

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