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Activity Number: 1 - Invited E-Poster Session
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Sunday, August 2, 2020 : 12:30 PM to 3:30 PM
Sponsor: Section on Bayesian Statistical Science
Abstract #313074
Title: Estimation of the Intensity Function of an Inhomogeneous Poisson Process with a Change-Point
Author(s): Brendan Murphy* and Tin Lok James Ng
Companies: University College Dublin and University of Wollongong
Keywords: Poisson Process; Change-point; Bayesian; Terrorist Attacks; Intensity Function; MCMC
Abstract:

We study the problem of estimating the intensity function of an inhomogeneous Poisson process with a change?point using non?parametric Bayesian methods. A Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm is proposed to obtain estimates of the intensity function and the change?point. The approach is used to model terrorist attacks in a number of countries over time.


Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

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