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Abstract:
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Estimating conflict mortality poses challenges to many conventional analytical techniques. Data are difficult and dangerous to collect, and what is available is rarely representative. These challenges provide the motivation for the application of methods from record linkage (or entity resolution) and capture-recapture (or multiple systems estimation (MSE)). This introductory overview lecture will introduce these two broad classes of methods and work through a series of examples drawing on human rights and other applications to illustrate various challenges and new methodological directions. In this section on MSE we will discuss system dependence, stratification to identify subsamples with homogenous inclusion probabilities, Bayesian approaches, and latent class models.
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